According to CryptoQuant data, the Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator shows that we are in a bullish phase from the lowest levels since the US banking crisis in March 2023.

With Bitcoin fluctuating around $61,000 and recently reaching a monthly low of $58,500, bullish momentum is necessary for prices to recover. For this to happen, the Bullish-Bearish Market Cycle indicator is expected to cross its 30-day simple moving average.

BTC demand rate should return to levels in the first quarter of 2023 for prices to recover. Although there has been a slight improvement since May, current demand growth remains behind levels at the time of the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Long-term Bitcoin holders are among the major players in the market. They are currently purchasing 72,000 BTC per month, which is well below the monthly purchasing pace of 160,000 BTC in the first quarter. Although this is a slight increase in purchase amount compared to 68,000 BTC in May, further increases are necessary for a sustainable price increase.

Risk of a Major Correction

The critical support level for Bitcoin is currently pegged around $56,000 according to Metcalfe price valuation bands. This level has served as a strong resistance and support level in past market cycles. A break below this level could trigger a significant market correction and potentially lead to further declines.

Positive unrealized profit margins among traders may indicate upcoming rallies. Additionally, increased Bitcoin flows from other exchanges to Coinbase generally indicate higher Bitcoin prices, which is associated with increased interest in the US market.

The rapid increase in stablecoin liquidity reflects the 60-day growth in the market value of stablecoins such as Tether (USDT). This is considered a critical element of new capital inflow into the market for Bitcoin's upward price movements.

#BitcoinDunyamiz

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