Since 2018, Bitcoin's volatility has been close to a low volatility state of 1% to 2% at the following 7 time points:

1. The last drop in the 2018 bear market: In the bear market, Bitcoin prices fluctuated for 91 days. This kind of low-volatility oscillation market usually does not exceed three months in the extreme oscillation time of the currency circle.

After 91 days of oscillation, Bitcoin experienced a BCH fork, and the market fell for two months

2. The bottoming out of the 2018 bear market:

After the plunge, it fluctuated with low volatility for 105 days, which was also about three months, and then rose from US$3,000 to US$14,000.

3. The repair market after 312: After 77 days of oscillation, the price of Bitcoin rose from about US$7,000 to US$64,000.

4. The last round of bear market: Before FTX exploded, Bitcoin fluctuated for six months, and then the market plummeted.

5. After the FTX explosion: the market fluctuated for only one and a half months, but the price soared from $15,000 to $30,000.

6. In August and September last year: After two months of fluctuations, the price of Bitcoin rose from $25,000 to $70,000.

7. Current market: We are now in a low-volatility fluctuation stage, which has lasted for more than three months

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Market characteristics of low volatility stage

Two common characteristics can be seen from these six low-volatility stages in history:

1. The fluctuation time will not exceed three months: In most cases, the market will not fluctuate for more than three months in a low-volatility state.

2. There must be a trend market after the fluctuation: After each fluctuation, the market will inevitably have a trend market, whether it is a surge or a plunge.

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