The cryptocurrency environment this year is actually very good.

There is support from Wall Street capital.

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF spot have been approved.

There is the background of the US election. 50 million young crypto voters have made every presidential candidate start to roll up their sleeves. Their attitude towards Bitcoin has changed from bad to good, from not knowing to talking about it.

There is also the background of the end of interest rate hikes and the expectation of interest rate cuts.

There is also a four-year cycle of Bitcoin production reduction.

However, all this did not drive the entire market up. Bitcoin has tried to break through the 73,000 position many times, but failed. For various reasons, many copycats have even fallen back to the starting point of the bull market.

I actually had this expectation before the start of this round of bull market, but I just don’t know how they are going to play this round. If you can’t predict the market, you can only find some clues. In this round of bull market, dog dealers pursue surprises. In short, all the unexpected things that everyone expects will happen with a high probability, and the expected ones will not happen.

For example, everyone expected that after the Bitcoin ETF was approved, it would directly rise, but it fell below 4. Everyone expected that the Ethereum ETF would not pass, but it passed. Many people expected that after the fundamentals of ETFs improved, it would be difficult for Ethereum to fall to 3,200, but it did.

At the beginning of the bull market, it was expected that VC would be hyped, but it was meme that was hyped from beginning to end. At the beginning, it was inscriptions, then sol, and then zoos. The project that everyone was optimistic about at the beginning became the biggest failure of this round of bull market. In fact, I can understand this matter. After all, it involves capital and money. It is difficult not to have accidents. Communication q1un: xntm566 If there is no accident, won’t everyone make money? So I said before: The Fed cuts interest rates. Many people say that it will be difficult this year and will only happen next year. I don’t agree.

The harder the Fed’s mouth is, I think it is more likely to be advanced. Before September-October, it is very likely.

I think even one day before the rate cut, the Fed officials will keep an eagle’s mouth.

The eagle’s mouth is to tighten the outside, but it is actually loose inside. The eagle is not terrible. On the contrary, when the market is harmonious, you should be vigilant. Although I don’t buy the bottom every time there are many negative news in the market, but every time I buy the bottom on a large scale, I must be buying the negative news.

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