mvrv

CryptoQuant warns: a "second hump of the camel" is forming on the BTC chart 🐪

🔍 The MVRV ratio indicates a possible beginning of a downtrend as early as the end of August — until September 10.

Analysts compare the current situation to market movements in 2021 — back then, the second peak ended with a strong correction.

📉 If the signal is confirmed — this could mark the beginning of a medium-term decline phase in the market.

❓ What do you think, will the 2021 scenario repeat? Or is the market already operating under new rules? Write in the comments 👇

#btc #bitcoin #crypto #CryptoQuant #MVRV
$BTC

$ETH
$SOL

#Bitcoin Shows Signs of Stabilization: Can $BTC Rebound Toward $120K?
Since mid-2025, institutional confidence in Bitcoin (#BTC ) has steadily increased, as the asset’s annualized volatility fell to near 30%, the lowest ever recorded in its history. This decline in volatility has drawn attention from long-term investors, signaling that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a purely speculative asset toward a more mature macro hedge in institutional portfolios.

Financial giant #JPMorgan recently emphasized that Bitcoin remains undervalued relative to gold, highlighting its evolving role in diversified investment strategies rather than simply being a speculative vehicle. This view aligns with a broader trend of growing institutional adoption, particularly among hedge funds, family offices, and corporate treasuries.

On-Chain Metrics #Signal Structural Strength
Several on-chain indicators reinforce the argument that Bitcoin’s current price may underestimate its intrinsic value.

#MVRV Ratio at 2.1: This metric, which compares market capitalization to realized value, remains well below overheated levels near 4, suggesting BTC is not in a speculative bubble.

Shrinking Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin held on exchanges continues to decline, reflecting a trend of long-term accumulation rather than short-term trading.

ETF Inflows: Despite volatility, exchange-traded fund inflows have remained steady, indicating sustained institutional demand.

Together, these indicators suggest a structurally bullish foundation, with both long-term holders and institutional investors supporting Bitcoin at current levels.

Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch...

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Ethereum ($ETH ) is showing strong bullish signals! 🚀

The recent 15%+ rebound from lows, coupled with a bull flag pattern and positive on-chain data, suggests we could see significant upside momentum.
A key indicator, the MVRV deviation bands, shows ETH stabilizing near historical support, which has often been a launching pad for rallies toward $5,000!
The critical hurdle to watch? Holding above the 200-day EMA near $3,550 to confirm the bullish setup.
Can ETH reclaim $4,500 this October? Things are looking promising! 👀

#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #BullFlag #MVRV

Bitcoin($BTC ) hit bottom, according to the indicator
#MVRV 👀

The MVRV (Market-Value-to-Realized-Value) indicator is a key thermometer that compares the current market value of bitcoin ($BTC ) with the price at which its coins were acquired on average. 📈

This reveals whether the market is overheated (overvalued) or oversold (undervalued).

🗞 More details

Bitcoin Oversold — Is Accumulation Underway?

Oversold metrics are signaling a potential buying opportunity. With the MVRV ratio at -11.5%, Bitcoin sits in a classic accumulation zone where long-term holders quietly accumulate supply.

The recent bounce, however, is not yet a confirmed trend—it reflects a short-term reaction driven by support levels holding firm and clear oversold conditions. While these signals highlight opportunity, a true reversal in momentum will require Bitcoin to reclaim and sustain $95,000.

Investors monitoring this phase can interpret it as a measured accumulation window. The market is quietly preparing, and those with patience may position themselves advantageously for the next significant move in BTC.

#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoAccumulation #MVRV #MarketInsight

🚨 $BTC Alert: Rare Zone Detected!

$BTC is trading near **-1 SD of short-term holders’ average cost** — historically a **risk redistribution zone**, not a crash point.

📉 Past examples:
- 2020: ~$3k
- 2021: ~$29k
- 2022: $15k–$20k
- 2024: ~$49k
- 2025: $74k–$85k

💡 **Insight:** Selling pressure from weak hands is fading. Prolonged dips below this level are rare. Expect **local bottoms or consolidation before next impulse**.

🔹 Not a buy signal, but a **critical market condition marker**.

#Crypto #Bitcoin #Binance #BTCAnalysis #MVRV

Is Bitcoin Entering a Bear Market? CryptoQuant Issues a Warning!

Recently, analysts at CryptoQuant have discovered some concerning signals through on-chain data, indicating that Bitcoin may be at the beginning of a bear market. While pullbacks in Bitcoin are not uncommon during a bull market, the current valuation indicators suggest that this adjustment could be deeper than before.

CryptoQuant's analysts found some troubling signals in the on-chain data. For instance, the Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator is currently at the most bearish level of this cycle, and the Z-score of the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has fallen below the 365-day moving average. This indicates that Bitcoin’s upward momentum has weakened.

Moreover, Bitcoin's demand is also contracting, and the pace at which whales are accumulating has slowed. Last week, Bitcoin's demand plummeted at the fastest rate since July 2024, dropping by 103,000 BTC in one go. It's not just the whales; the annual accumulation rate of other large investors has also significantly decreased, from 368,000 BTC in January to 268,000 BTC now.

What's more concerning is that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have now become net sellers of BTC, in stark contrast to the frenzied buying seen during the same period last year. So far this year, these ETFs have only bought about $700 million worth of BTC, whereas last year around this time, they bought $8.7 billion. This adds additional downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.

Additionally, the number of BTC flowing into the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, from other platforms has also fallen below the 90-day moving average. Since February 13, Coinbase has been in a price adjustment period, when BTC was approximately $96,000. Typically, when demand is high, BTC flows into Coinbase, but the situation has reversed now.

CryptoQuant's analysts also mentioned that if BTC cannot maintain the support level between $75,000 and $78,000, the price could drop to $63,000. As of the time of writing, BTC is priced at $83,400, while $63,000 is the lowest on-chain realized price range for traders.

Do you think Bitcoin has entered a bear market? Will Bitcoin rebound or continue to decline in the coming weeks? At this moment, would you choose to buy the dip or continue to wait and see?

#比特币 #熊市预警 #CryptoQuant #MVRV

🛑 BTC ready to move: STH MVRV indicates $115,000-120,000

According to data from CryptoQuant, the key on-chain indicator STH MVRV (market value to realized value ratio for short-term holders) signals a potential rise of Bitcoin to the $115,000-120,000 range.

This indicator reflects the behavior of "weak hands" - when short-term holders start to take profits, it often coincides with local maxima. Currently, the model shows that the potential for growth is not yet exhausted.

It is especially important that the signal is confirmed against the backdrop of declining retail interest - a classic combination for the start of a sustained bull movement. For me, the key level remains support at $100,000.

When on-chain metrics and price action synchronize - it is the strongest signal for careful examination of the asset.

make difference: your difference in the market. Hugging you 🫂
#bitcoin #CryptoQuantitative #CryptoQuant #MVRV $BTC

The CEO of CryptoQuant says that the Bitcoin bull cycle has ended, is Bitcoin's consolidation long-term?

Young Joo, the CEO of CryptoQuant, stated that Bitcoin prices may see a decline over the next six to twelve months.
Recent Bitcoin trading activity suggests that the cryptocurrency is entering a consolidation phase.
It seems that the cryptocurrency market has entered a phase of consolidation over the past few days.
The lack of any significant moves has led to a sense of doubt and skepticism among investors, which in turn has resulted in a wave of selling among short-term traders. In the meantime, the ETF sector and cryptocurrency reserves are still witnessing increased activity despite falling prices.

Confirming investors' worst fears, Ki Young Joo, the CEO of CryptoQuant, published a forecast about Bitcoin a few hours ago.
According to this forecast, Joo stated that the Bitcoin bull cycle has officially ended. He also pointed out that over the next six to twelve months, we can expect bearish or sideways prices.

Cryptocurrency communities have paid close attention to these predictions and discussed them enthusiastically. The CEO of CryptoQuant applied the PCA risk indicator to chain metrics such as MVRV and SOPR.
#CryptoQuant #sopr #MVRV
$BTC

🚨 ETHEREUM MVRV FLIPS BULLISH: NEXT LEG UP STARTING?

📈 Breaking: Ethereum's MVRV ratio just crossed into positive territory, signaling:

✅ Early accumulation phase

✅ Historically strong buy zone

✅ Average +82% gains post-cross

💎 Key Metrics:

🔹 Current MVRV: 1.02 (first time >1 since April)

🔹 Price Target: $3,800 based on 30-day MVRV trajectory

🔹 Exchange Reserves: At 5-year lows (supply squeeze incoming)

🚀 3 Smart Moves:

Buy ETH Now → 0% Fee Entry

Trade the Breakout → VIP Futures

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✨ Support Our Research:

"If this technical insight helps you profit, consider leaving a tip!"

⚠️ Historical Window: 90-day average return after this
signal: +58%

#Ethereum #MVRV #TechnicalAnalysis #ETH

❗️The next 6–12 months will be bearish or show sideways price movement, as the Bitcoin bull cycle has ended – CEO #CryptoQuant Ki Yong Joo.

Among the indicators, he noted the market value to realized value ratio (#MVRV ), the spent coin output ratio (#SOPR ), and net unrealized profit or loss (#NUPL ) – these indicators showed turning points in past market cycles.

💡 Some users reminded that in 2020 CryptoQuant already gave a false sell signal #BTC .
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

#MVRV
‼️$BTC MVRV Nears Critical Zone ‼️

Short-term holder MVRV is back at ~1.2, a level that’s historically signaled local tops. 📉
Each time $BTC hits this zone, we’ve seen pullbacks or consolidation. Now, the market’s at a crossroads:

🔴 Rejection: Short-term cool-off likely
🟢 Breakout: Momentum could surge

History often rhymes—stay sharp! 👀

$XRP Faces #Bearish Pressure as #MVRV Ratio #Signals “Death Cross” Warning
Ripple’s native token, XRP, may be heading toward deeper market turbulence following a bearish signal on its on-chain metrics. According to well-known crypto analyst Ali Martinez, XRP’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio has just formed a death cross against its 200-day moving average — a technical sign that could point to a sharper price correction ahead.

What is the MVRV Ratio, and Why Does It Matter?
The MVRV Ratio is a widely used on-chain indicator that compares a token’s Market Capitalization with its Realized Capitalization. While market cap is calculated using the current spot price across all circulating tokens, realized cap assesses the aggregate "real" value based on the last on-chain transaction price of each individual coin.

This method offers a more nuanced view of the asset’s true valuation, accounting for investors' historical cost basis rather than just current prices. An MVRV value above 1 implies holders are, on average, in profit, while a ratio below 1 suggests net unrealized losses.

XRP's MVRV Death Cross: What the Chart Shows
In a chart shared on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Martinez highlights how the daily MVRV Ratio of XRP has fallen below its 200-day moving average, forming a death cross — a classic bearish signal in technical analysis.

“The MVRV ratio flashed a death cross for XRP, suggesting a steeper correction could be underway!” — Ali Martinez, crypto analyst

This latest crossover marks the second time in 2025 that XRP’s MVRV Ratio has dropped beneath its long-term average. Earlier in the year, a similar move triggered short-term downside volatility before the price stabilized. Whether history repeats itself remains to be seen.

XRP #Price Action: Losses Deepen Amid Market Uncertainty
At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $3.00, having declined approximately 6.5% in the past week. The dip follows a temporary rebound in July that saw XRP test local highs, only to be met with strong selling pressure..

#Bitcoin (BTC) Holds $109K as Short-Term Holders Capitulate but Long-Term Conviction Remains Strong
Bitcoin ($BTC ) has faced weeks of downward pressure after peaking at $124,000 in mid-August, with prices dipping as low as $107,270 before modestly rebounding to $109,540. While short-term holders are showing signs of capitulation, long-term investors continue to demonstrate conviction, suggesting the market may be nearing a turning point.

Bitcoin Price Action: From $124K Peak to $107K Low
After briefly crossing the $124,000 mark three weeks ago, Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase. As of the latest trading session, #BTC was priced at $109,540, marking a 0.56% daily gain but still reflecting a 3.74% monthly decline.

This retracement mirrors past market cycles, where overheated rallies often invite profit-taking, leading to a sharp but temporary downturn before stabilization.

Short-Term Holders Show Signs of Capitulation
The recent pullback has placed significant pressure on short-term holders (STHs), who often buy during price surges and panic-sell during downturns.

STH MVRV Falls Below 1
According to analyst Burak Kesmeci, the STH Market Value to Realized Value (#MVRV ) ratio dropped below 1 after 132 consecutive days in profit.

MVRV < 1: Indicates STHs are holding at a loss.

Previous instance: The last dip below 1 occurred in February 2025, lasting 58 days and coinciding with a Bitcoin plunge to $79,000.

This decline #signals that many newer investors are now underwater, heightening the risk of panic-driven exits.

Unrealized Profit/Loss Confirms Weakness...

read more 24crypto .news

#XRP Eyes New All-Time High as Rare Golden Cross Pattern Emerges
XRP is trading with renewed bullish momentum after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (#SEC ) officially closed its case against Ripple, removing a multi-year cloud of legal uncertainty. With investor sentiment surging, on-chain metrics now suggest that the digital asset could be on the verge of another significant rally—possibly setting a new all-time high.

#Ripple ’s Legal Victory Sets Stage for #Bullish Momentum
On August 7, 2025, Ripple and the SEC reached a final resolution in their high-profile legal battle over alleged unregistered securities sales. Both parties agreed to drop appeals related to Judge Analisa Torres’ ruling, which fined Ripple but also prohibited institutional sales of XRP moving forward.

The closure of the case has provided regulatory clarity, a factor that market observers say could help institutional adoption of XRP accelerate. The token’s price reacted positively, rising to $3.32 by press time—up 0.65% in the past 24 hours and nearly 11% in the past week, according to data from Finbold.

Golden Cross in #MVRV Ratio Signals Potential Upside
According to data from Santiment, XRP’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has just formed a rare golden cross. This technical pattern occurs when the short-term MVRV ratio crosses above its 200-day moving average (MA)—a signal that often precedes substantial price rallies.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted the development in an August 8 post on X (formerly Twitter), noting that this pattern has appeared only twice in recent years. In both cases, $XRP posted massive gains shortly afterward—630% in one instance and 54% in another.

The MVRV ratio is a key on-chain metric that measures whether an asset is undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical acquisition price. A rising MVRV often indicates increasing profitability among holders, potentially attracting more buyers.

Potential Price Targets: $24.42 in Sight?

more: 24crypto(dot)news

#bitcoin #btc #crypto

According to the #MVRV indicator, $BTC is close to a medium-term bottom.

Historically, a drop in the MVRV indicator to the 1.8-2 range has coincided with a medium-term bottom in $BTC . Currently, the MVRV is near 1.8, according to CryptoQuant experts.

The $BTC Floor Just Vaporized. 42% History Is Calling.

The defining metric of this entire cycle, the Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score, just broke below its critical support level. This is not a slight dip; this is a structural failure.

The last time $BTC lost this specific on-chain floor, the market experienced a vicious 42% crash in the immediate aftermath. The key support that underpinned this entire rally is now eliminated. This breakdown signals that the foundation holding up the current price structure is gone. Prepare for panic exits and cascade liquidations to severely impact $ETH and all risk assets. This is the moment when patience is a liability.

This is not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #OnChain #MVRV #CryptoCrash
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