Important Notice for Traders!

This Wednesday brings CPI data, the Federal funds rate decision, and the FOMC meeting.

It’s almost certain that the FED funds rate will stay at 5.5%, which is already anticipated by the market. CPI data is expected to align with predictions, possibly showing a 0.1% Y/Y decrease.

The FOMC meeting will likely indicate that further rate adjustments are needed, potentially causing volatility but essentially suggesting the FED needs more data for future decisions.

For short-term traders, it’s advisable to wait until the Fed rates are announced. It’s not just the rate decision that will impact the market, but also the accompanying speech from the Fed Chairman. The insights from this speech can significantly influence market sentiment.

Therefore, it’s best to wait and see what the Fed Chairman has to say and then build positions based on the broader market reactions. This is particularly crucial for those involved in futures and derivatives trading.

The recent jobs data, which impacted crypto prices, makes a rate cut in July highly unlikely and suggests we might see only one rate cut this year instead of two. For those unfamiliar with interest rates, a decrease in rates would generally be positive for crypto, as it would lead to more investment in the market.

#CryptoNews #FedRateCut #Fed #InterestRateDecision #CPI数据

Market Update: The Fed Maintains Interest Rates and Bitcoin Faces Volatility

📌 The Federal Reserve of the United States has decided to keep interest rates unchanged in its latest meeting, in line with market expectations. This marks the fifth consecutive occasion where the Fed has chosen to maintain the range of the federal funds rate at a 23-year high of 5.25% to 5.5%.

📌 On the economic front, the projections paint an optimistic picture for the US economy, with GDP growth forecasts revised upwards and a slight decrease in the unemployment rate. However, the cryptocurrency market, especially #Bitcoin , has experienced some volatility following the Fed's announcement.

📌 Bitcoin has seen a 12% drop in the last week, suggesting that investors may have been anticipating a different outcome from the Fed's meeting or reacting to other market factors. Although the cryptocurrency hasn't experienced significant movements immediately after the announcement, economic uncertainty continues to influence its price.

📌 The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged reflects a cautious stance on monetary policy in the midst of global economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency investors should stay vigilant to changes in economic and political spheres, as well as market fluctuations, to make informed decisions in their investment strategies.

#Fed #MarketSituation #InterestRateDecision

Will the govt increase or decrease the interest rate? what do you say
#newstable #InterestRateDecision

$BTC

Right now the market is a little jumpy, this is good news for the market, but 2 hours have passed since the release of this news, but no difference can be seen.
#BTC‬ #fomc #bitcoinhalving #InterestRateDecision

🎥 Get ready for the FOMC Interest Rate Decision and FED Press Conference happening in just a few hours today! 👀 Brace yourself for potential market volatility ⚡️

👀 Here are the possible scenarios to watch out for:

1) Rate Hike: Expected to be bearish 📉
2) No Hike: Neutral to Bullish 📈
3) Rate Cut: Potentially bullish 📈

Trade with caution and stay informed! 💚 Keep an eye on the developments and adjust your strategies accordingly. Stay tuned for updates! 📈📉 #fomc #InterestRateDecision #MarketVolatility 📊🔍 #HotTrends $BTC $ETH $BNB #MS_CryptoX

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🎥 Get ready for the FOMC Interest Rate Decision and FED Press Conference happening in just a few hours today! 👀 Brace yourself for potential market volatility ⚡️

👀 Here are the possible scenarios to watch out for:

1) Rate Hike: Expected to be bearish 📉

2) No Hike: Neutral to Bullish 📈

3) Rate Cut: Potentially bullish 📈

Trade with caution and stay informed! 💚 Keep an eye on the developments and adjust your strategies accordingly.📈

📉 #fomc #InterestRateDecision #MarketVolatility 📊🔍 #HotTrends $BTC $ETH $BNB #MS_CryptoX

🏦 Bank of Korea Holds Steady! 📉🏦 The Bank of Korea maintains the benchmark interest rate at 3.5% for the fifth consecutive time. After raising it from 3.25% to 3.5% in January, the rate remains unchanged. The decision reflects the bank's stance amidst economic conditions. 📊💼 #BankOfKorea #InterestRateDecision #EconomicNews

📣 Attention all crypto enthusiasts! 📣

Get ready for a fundamental announcement that could sway the future movement of Bitcoin's price! 📈

🏦 On March 20th, Wednesday, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will reveal the Fed's decision on the interest rate during the FOMC meeting. 💼

But here's the twist: While there's anticipation surrounding this announcement, data from the CME platform suggests that the Fed is likely to keep the interest rate unchanged, with a whopping 99% probability of this decision. 📊

Now, why is this announcement so crucial for the crypto community? 🤔 Well, the Fed's interest rate decisions have a significant impact on financial markets, including crypto assets like Bitcoin. 🌐💰

In recent years, the Federal Reserve has been tightening rates to combat inflation. However, Jerome Powell hinted at a potential shift towards loosening rates. 📉 This has led to speculation and anticipation within the crypto space, with Bitcoin's price rising in anticipation of potential rate cuts and the upcoming Bitcoin halving. 🚀

Traditionally, rate tightening by the Fed tends to negatively impact risky assets like Bitcoin, while rate cuts often lead to an influx of funds into BTC, driving prices higher. 📉📈

So buckle up, folks! The outcome of this interest rate decision could have ripple effects across the entire crypto market! 🌊💼 #HotTrends #Bitcoin #InterestRateDecision 🌟📈

Good morning : )

Recent reports suggest that investors expect that the Fed will cut interest rates soon.

Reports to be delivered today, June 7, 2024, may confirm or not confirm the market’s expectations.

While the #FederalReserve may observe these expectations, its vote in either direction next week will depend on its members' views and whether they agree that its existing policy is actually working. (I suspect that the Fed will announce similar wording as the Bank of England. Let’s hold, wait, and see.)

In the meantime, here is the recent #InterestRateDecision of overseas central banks:

On May 9, 2024, the Bank of England announced its “decision to hold interest rates at 5.25%.”

#BankofEngland added, “The progress we are seeing in the key economic data is encouraging, but we are not yet at the point of cutting interest rates” and “We need to see more evidence that inflation will stay low before we can do that.”

On June 5, 2024, the #BankofCanada “decided monetary policy no longer needs to be as restrictive and lowered the policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%.”

On June 6, 2024, the #EuropeanCentralBank said, “The Governing Council today decided to lower the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points.”

More #bitcoin☀️ #volatility June 11 to 12

#FederalReserve will announce its #InterestRateDecision after meetings from June 11 to 12 (see below schedule).

#FederalReserve is unlikely to lower interest rates at the meeting this week as it is seeking consistent evidence that inflation is coming down to its target.

Consistent means about three periods of reports confirming their views.

Bitcoin price appears to move in the opposite direction of interest rates... however, Bitcoin seems to recover in a short period.

The Federal Reserve will likely continue its "higher for longer" approach, meaning interest rates will stay the same or increase.

So, some downward action for Bitcoin is possible from June 11 to 12, when the Fed meets and delivers its interest rate decision.

In the long term, Bitcoin may move in the same direction as interest rates once it is accepted as a medium of exchange for goods and services like the dollar.

🚨 Is the Market Forecasting a Recession? 🚨

Key Indicators to Watch:

- Interest Rate Futures and Fed Rate Cuts:
- Futures markets are anticipating 8 Fed rate cuts over the next 12 months.
- This expectation is the highest since the 2008 Financial Crisis.

- Market Sentiment Shift:
- In the past week, expectations have dramatically shifted towards more aggressive rate cuts.
- This shift reflects rising concerns about potential economic weakness.

- Historical Precedent:
- Historically, when the market expected 200 basis points of rate cuts, a recession followed within months.
- Current forecasts align with this pattern, suggesting a possible economic downturn.

- 2024 Rate Cut Expectations:
- The market is predicting a 100 bps decline in interest rates this year alone.
- There’s a 49% chance of a 50 bps cut as early as September.
- As of April, only a single 25 bps cut was anticipated for 2024, showing a significant shift in market sentiment.

Conclusion:
- The current pricing of rate cuts suggests a high likelihood of a recession, as the market anticipates measures to address economic weaknesses.
- Traders, investors, and policymakers should monitor these signals closely and consider defensive strategies in preparation for potential market volatility.

Stay informed and be prepared for possible changes.
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⌨️ COMMENT
#InterestRateDecision

FED Member Bostic Answered the Question of a 50 Basis Point Rate Cut: “Everything is on the Table”
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A top Fed official expressed openness to a rate cut in September and said timely action is needed to ease monetary policy amid signs of a cooling in the labor market.

Raphael Bostic, president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve and a voting member of the central bank’s interest rate-setting committee, told the Financial Times that as inflation pressures ease, it is crucial for officials to consider their duty to maintain full employment.

“Now that inflation has come into a range, we need to look at the other side of the spectrum, and there we have seen the unemployment rate rise significantly from low levels,” Bostic said. “But it does make me think about what the appropriate timing is, and so I am open to something happening in terms of us taking action before the fourth quarter.”

Bostic said the risks are high for the Fed as it considers when and how quickly to ease policy. “Waiting brings risk, and that’s why we have to be extra careful,” he said. “Because our policies move in both directions with a lag, we can’t afford to be late. We have to act as soon as possible.”

The comments by the Atlanta Fed president support market expectations that the central bank could begin cutting interest rates in September for the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic devastated the U.S. economy in 2020.

#FED #FOMC #InterestRateDecision #US #LowestCPI2021 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Is the Market Forecasting a Recession? 📉

The current trajectory of interest rate futures suggests that the market is indeed bracing for a potential recession. Let’s break down the key indicators:

Interest Rate Futures and Fed Rate Cuts:
- Futures markets are now pricing in 8 Fed rate cuts over the next 12 months.
- This level of expected rate reduction is the highest since the 2008 Financial Crisis.

Market Sentiment Shift:
- Over the last week, market expectations have significantly shifted towards more aggressive rate cuts.
- This shift is driven by growing concerns over potential economic weakness.

Historical Precedent:
- Over the past 60 years, every time the market has anticipated 200 basis points of rate cuts, a recession has followed within months.
- The current forecast aligns with this pattern, signaling potential economic downturn.

2024 Rate Cut Expectations:
- This year alone, the market is pricing in a 100 bps decline in interest rates.
- There’s a 49% chance of a 50 bps cut as early as September.
- Back in April, only a single 25 bps cut was expected for 2024, highlighting the significant change in market sentiment.

Conclusion:
- The market’s pricing suggests a high probability of a recession, as it anticipates multiple rate cuts to counteract economic weakness.
- This shift in expectations is a strong indicator that investors are bracing for challenging times ahead.

The alignment of interest rate futures with recessionary signals should be closely monitored by traders, investors, and policymakers alike. It’s a critical time to consider defensive strategies and prepare for potential market volatility.

#InterestRateDecision

WHALES ARE MOVING THEIR ASSETS! 🚩 What Out At Interest Rates Tomorrow! 🙏👇

$XRP and $ETH whales are starting to move their digital assets to exchanges due to uncertainty. In the last 24 hrs., more than 55 million worth of token have been moved. More precisely, $46,390,082 of ETH and $13,767,612 of XRP. This is happening because of the Ripple's legal battle with the SEC AND the Fed Interest Rate Decision that will be announced tomorrow. In my opinion, I see these moves as a strategic sell-off due to uncertainties. Basically, whales are getting ready in case of bad news. Also, watch out for tomorrow: if the rates are higher, most likely people will sell; if they are lower, then whales will hold. At least, today the monthly candles will close and as a consequence, it will lead the next trend!

WHEN Fed Interest Rate Decision Will Be Announced? 🤔👇
May 01, 2024 14:00 Europe Time!

BE READY! 💪 & Remember, Your Support Is MASSIVELY Appreciated!👍💪 - DYOR 🙏 NFA.🤝

#InterestRateDecision #XRPWhaleAccumulation #EthereumWhales #WhaleTactics

Federal Reserve about to have its toughest week yet
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The Federal Reserve is heading into what could be its toughest week in a long time. The central bank is about to face a series of challenges that will have everyone from Wall Street to Main Street paying close attention.

Things kick off with the Fed’s annual meet-up in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Chair Jerome Powell will give a speech that’s expected to set the tone for what’s coming next. 

He’s got to walk a fine line—laying out a plan without locking the Fed into a course that could backfire.

Powell’s balancing act
The Fed got caught with its pants down before, underestimating the inflation surge. They called it “transitory,” and that mistake is still haunting them. As Quincy Krosby, the chief global strategist at LPL Financial, puts it: 

What’s at stake here is how the Fed reacts now that inflation seems to be cooling off. Recent data shows consumer prices have slowed down to their weakest pace in over three years. 
Wholesale prices barely moved in July, spending was stronger than expected, and layoffs have mostly leveled out. But it’s not all sunshine and rainbows—housing is still a mess. 

Construction starts and permits hit a four-year low in July. Wages are going up, but not fast enough to outpace inflation by much. And imports are showing inflation’s ugly face, rising at their highest rate since December 2022.

Rate cuts when?
Despite the mixed bag of data, most people in the market think the Fed should start cutting interest rates soon. The Fed’s track record isn’t perfect, and as Krosby said: 

#FederalReserve #InterestRateDecision #FED #FOMC #CryptoNews $BTC $ETH $SOL

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# 🚨🚨🚨 IMF Recommends Steady Interest Rates for the US Through 2024

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has advised the United States to maintain its current interest rates through 2024. This guidance implies that the existing monetary policy should remain unchanged for the next year and a half. The IMF's recommendation suggests that the US should take a cautious, wait-and-see approach, refraining from any interest rate adjustments for now.

#InterestRateDecision #interestrate #IMF #Write2Earn! #BinanceTournament

Volatility Alert 

August 14th will be important for the next interest rate decision. 

Crypto market could become volatile.

#InterestRateDecision #MarketDownturn

'While Fed Chair Powell hasn't committed to a September rate cut, his comments suggest it's under serious consideration. The central bank is closely monitoring economic data to determine the appropriate policy path, aiming to balance inflation risks with the potential for economic slowdown.’

🚨 Fed Chair Powell's Latest Statement :Highlights Key Points: 🚨#

📅 No decision yet on a September rate cut

⚖️ Carefully balancing inflation risks and economic slowdown

📊 Future policy will hinge on incoming economic data

📈 Q2 inflation numbers boost confidence on inflation control

⏳ Delaying rate cuts could overly weaken the economy

🔍 Still seeking more certainty on inflation trends

The Fed's cautious stance and potential rate cut could stir up volatility in the crypto markets. 📉🔍 As they weigh these economic signals, expect increased market fluctuations and potential opportunities for savvy crypto investors. 🚀💰#FED #PowellSpeech #InterestRateDecision