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š” Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fedās rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrowās Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch ToolĀ indicatesĀ a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cutāthe first in over a decadeāwhile a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
šŗ Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarterās 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoinās trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the weekĀ due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred withĀ the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong KongĀ yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fedās key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrowās Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch ToolĀ indicatesĀ a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cutāthe first in over a decadeāwhile a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
šŗ Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarterās 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoinās trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the weekĀ due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred withĀ the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong KongĀ yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fedās key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
AlphaDropster:
Before every Fed decision comes fear and volatility.
The market watches the noise,
while the real moves quietly take shape.
Those who panic react.
Those who understandā¦ wait.
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