比特币价格预测
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Will Bitcoin reach one million dollars this year?
Many people think I am overly optimistic, believing that it is impossible for Bitcoin to reach one million dollars by 2025 (which is ten times the current price), but I think they are overly pessimistic.
Studying the bull market after the 2017 halving:
The price of Bitcoin at the beginning of 2017 was $964, and by the end of the year, it soared to $14,156, yielding a return of 14 times. Throughout that year, Bitcoin increased for 10 months, with only one significant drop in March, which was just -9%.
However, the market environment at that time was not ideal:
• No ETF
• No corporate buyers like MSTR
• Nation-states were not buying or mining Bitcoin, and the idea of strategic reserves was considered crazy
• Retail purchases were greatly disrupted by the ICO frenzy
• 1,800 new coins entered the market daily (two halving cycles ago)
• Overall, people knew very little about Bitcoin, and standards for Bitcoin had not even been established.
But all the issues that led to the sluggish bull market in 2021 have been resolved by 2025.
In my view, the market conditions of 2017 can better represent the market of 2025; therefore, it is absolutely possible for Bitcoin to rise to one million dollars, achieving a tenfold increase.
The Elon Musk-themed dog ρꪊρρⅈꫀડ, as one of the most promising concepts on the Ethereum chain, is gradually emerging. Its future development potential is immense, and it may have the opportunity to become the next phenomenon like Shiba that attracts attention as a crypto asset. Investors should closely monitor and research it.
Many people think I am overly optimistic, believing that it is impossible for Bitcoin to reach one million dollars by 2025 (which is ten times the current price), but I think they are overly pessimistic.
Studying the bull market after the 2017 halving:
The price of Bitcoin at the beginning of 2017 was $964, and by the end of the year, it soared to $14,156, yielding a return of 14 times. Throughout that year, Bitcoin increased for 10 months, with only one significant drop in March, which was just -9%.
However, the market environment at that time was not ideal:
• No ETF
• No corporate buyers like MSTR
• Nation-states were not buying or mining Bitcoin, and the idea of strategic reserves was considered crazy
• Retail purchases were greatly disrupted by the ICO frenzy
• 1,800 new coins entered the market daily (two halving cycles ago)
• Overall, people knew very little about Bitcoin, and standards for Bitcoin had not even been established.
But all the issues that led to the sluggish bull market in 2021 have been resolved by 2025.
In my view, the market conditions of 2017 can better represent the market of 2025; therefore, it is absolutely possible for Bitcoin to rise to one million dollars, achieving a tenfold increase.
The Elon Musk-themed dog ρꪊρρⅈꫀડ, as one of the most promising concepts on the Ethereum chain, is gradually emerging. Its future development potential is immense, and it may have the opportunity to become the next phenomenon like Shiba that attracts attention as a crypto asset. Investors should closely monitor and research it.
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#比特币价格预测
I had a dream last night. I dreamed that I went back to 2010. I had millions of cash in my hand. I was running wild in the cryptocurrency circle. The prices of all mainstream coins were similar. Which one should I choose with the money in my hand?
I had a dream last night. I dreamed that I went back to 2010. I had millions of cash in my hand. I was running wild in the cryptocurrency circle. The prices of all mainstream coins were similar. Which one should I choose with the money in my hand?
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🌟 Michael Saylor's prediction of Bitcoin price in 2045, do you think it's really reliable?
🚀 Hello everyone! At the recent hot Bitcoin conference, Michael Saylor, an early investor in Apple and Bitcoin, shared his bold predictions for the future of Bitcoin. He said that by 2045, Bitcoin may reach 3 million in a bear market, 13 million in the normal market, or 49 million US dollars per coin in a bull market! 🤯 Yes, you heard it right, the unit is US dollars!
💼How did he calculate it? It is said that it is calculated based on the percentage of Bitcoin in global assets. The most pessimistic bear market situation is 2% of global assets, the normal situation is 7%, and the most optimistic bull market situation is 22%.
📈According to this logic, the market value of Bitcoin may range from 68 trillion in a bear market, 280 trillion in the normal market, or 103 trillion US dollars in a bull market. According to this logic, in the next 21 years, the average annual return of Bitcoin may be 21%, 29%, and 37% respectively.
💡 But wait! Although these predictions sound exciting, don't rush to empty your wallet and make a fuss. Don't forget that Michael Saylor himself is a super fan of Bitcoin, and MicroStrategy has also purchased and held a large amount of Bitcoin. His words may be more like giving the market a boost... you know.
💸 So, before investing, look at your risk tolerance first, and don't put all your eggs in one basket. Remember, don't blindly follow the trend in the investment market, and don't blindly follow the trend with money you can't afford to lose.
🤔 My personal opinion is that we don't need to predict the final price of Bitcoin in the investment market. You just need to know that the value of Bitcoin will gradually increase over time, while the value of legal currency will continue to depreciate over time. At the same time, investment is not speculation. Only by recognizing these can you maintain a correct investment mentality in the market.
💬 So, what do you think? Do you think Michael Saylor's predictions are reliable? Would you choose to invest in Bitcoin for the long term? Tell me what you think in the comments!
#MichaelSaylor #比特币价格预测 #投资策略 #比特币大会 #加密货币未来
🚀 Hello everyone! At the recent hot Bitcoin conference, Michael Saylor, an early investor in Apple and Bitcoin, shared his bold predictions for the future of Bitcoin. He said that by 2045, Bitcoin may reach 3 million in a bear market, 13 million in the normal market, or 49 million US dollars per coin in a bull market! 🤯 Yes, you heard it right, the unit is US dollars!
💼How did he calculate it? It is said that it is calculated based on the percentage of Bitcoin in global assets. The most pessimistic bear market situation is 2% of global assets, the normal situation is 7%, and the most optimistic bull market situation is 22%.
📈According to this logic, the market value of Bitcoin may range from 68 trillion in a bear market, 280 trillion in the normal market, or 103 trillion US dollars in a bull market. According to this logic, in the next 21 years, the average annual return of Bitcoin may be 21%, 29%, and 37% respectively.
💡 But wait! Although these predictions sound exciting, don't rush to empty your wallet and make a fuss. Don't forget that Michael Saylor himself is a super fan of Bitcoin, and MicroStrategy has also purchased and held a large amount of Bitcoin. His words may be more like giving the market a boost... you know.
💸 So, before investing, look at your risk tolerance first, and don't put all your eggs in one basket. Remember, don't blindly follow the trend in the investment market, and don't blindly follow the trend with money you can't afford to lose.
🤔 My personal opinion is that we don't need to predict the final price of Bitcoin in the investment market. You just need to know that the value of Bitcoin will gradually increase over time, while the value of legal currency will continue to depreciate over time. At the same time, investment is not speculation. Only by recognizing these can you maintain a correct investment mentality in the market.
💬 So, what do you think? Do you think Michael Saylor's predictions are reliable? Would you choose to invest in Bitcoin for the long term? Tell me what you think in the comments!
#MichaelSaylor #比特币价格预测 #投资策略 #比特币大会 #加密货币未来
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If Trump wins, will Bitcoin really soar?
Hey, fellow crypto enthusiasts, have you ever thought about whether Bitcoin would soar like a rocket if Trump wins the election? It is said that Standard Chartered's analyst Jeff Kendrick predicts that if Trump wins, Bitcoin could skyrocket to $125,000!
Look at this data, Trump's winning probability on the Polymarket platform has risen to 64.1%, significantly ahead of Harris. Friends in the overseas market are optimistic about Trump winning this election. Think about Trump's previous promise to establish a Bitcoin national reserve; this is like giving Bitcoin a shot of adrenaline!
Look at this data, Trump's winning probability on the Polymarket platform has risen to 64.1%, significantly ahead of Harris. Friends in the overseas market are optimistic about Trump winning this election. Think about Trump's previous promise to establish a Bitcoin national reserve; this is like giving Bitcoin a shot of adrenaline!
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📈 Analyst's View: Boosted by the Christmas Rally, Bitcoin Aims for the $120,000 Mark by the End of the Month!
According to foreign media reports, influenced by the upcoming Christmas rally, traders expect Bitcoin's target price to reach $120,000. They believe that after Bitcoin breaks through $106,000, the next target price is around $120,000.
The traders' predictions are based on the increased transparency of U.S. regulations regarding cryptocurrency and the continued positive performance of the Bitcoin spot ETF market. Additionally, historically, December has typically been a good month for Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, investor sentiment is currently very high, partly due to Trump stating in a recent interview that he might designate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the U.S. on his first day in office.
Moreover, the market generally anticipates that the Federal Reserve will continue to implement interest rate cuts on Wednesday. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point cut currently stands at 95.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has dropped to 4.6%, showing a significant difference compared to the previous month's probabilities of 61.9% and 38.1%. In summary, driven by these numerous positive news, Bitcoin's performance in the next two weeks is highly anticipated.
Analysts also pointed out that if Bitcoin's price rises to $125,000, it may experience a 30% correction, as historically, major bull markets have seen corrections of 20-30%, and this current bull market has not yet seen such a situation. This could be a sign of a super cycle, and as Bitcoin's market capitalization increases, volatility may gradually decrease, leading to a reduction in past 30% corrections to 15-20%.
If Bitcoin experiences a 30% correction after rising to $125,000, the price may fall back to around $87,000. However, if Bitcoin corrects by 30% after rising to $110,000, it could drop to $77,000-$78,000, which would just fill the previous futures gap. As for whether this futures gap will be filled now, wait until the next bear market, or never be filled, this is also a question that market participants need to pay attention to.
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's price trend moving forward? How do you think the Christmas rally will impact Bitcoin?
According to foreign media reports, influenced by the upcoming Christmas rally, traders expect Bitcoin's target price to reach $120,000. They believe that after Bitcoin breaks through $106,000, the next target price is around $120,000.
The traders' predictions are based on the increased transparency of U.S. regulations regarding cryptocurrency and the continued positive performance of the Bitcoin spot ETF market. Additionally, historically, December has typically been a good month for Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, investor sentiment is currently very high, partly due to Trump stating in a recent interview that he might designate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the U.S. on his first day in office.
Moreover, the market generally anticipates that the Federal Reserve will continue to implement interest rate cuts on Wednesday. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point cut currently stands at 95.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has dropped to 4.6%, showing a significant difference compared to the previous month's probabilities of 61.9% and 38.1%. In summary, driven by these numerous positive news, Bitcoin's performance in the next two weeks is highly anticipated.
Analysts also pointed out that if Bitcoin's price rises to $125,000, it may experience a 30% correction, as historically, major bull markets have seen corrections of 20-30%, and this current bull market has not yet seen such a situation. This could be a sign of a super cycle, and as Bitcoin's market capitalization increases, volatility may gradually decrease, leading to a reduction in past 30% corrections to 15-20%.
If Bitcoin experiences a 30% correction after rising to $125,000, the price may fall back to around $87,000. However, if Bitcoin corrects by 30% after rising to $110,000, it could drop to $77,000-$78,000, which would just fill the previous futures gap. As for whether this futures gap will be filled now, wait until the next bear market, or never be filled, this is also a question that market participants need to pay attention to.
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's price trend moving forward? How do you think the Christmas rally will impact Bitcoin?
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🚀 Saylor predicts: Bitcoin will soar to $13 million per coin in the next 20 years?
Imagine that by 2045, each of your Bitcoins is worth $13 million! This is not science fiction, but a bold prediction by Michael Saylor, chairman of MicroStrategy. He believes that despite Bitcoin's recent volatility, its long-term annual return will be 8% higher than the S&P index.
In an interview with CNBC, Saylor said that Bitcoin will maintain a 44% compound annual growth rate for the next 20 years, and then gradually decline to about 5% per year as it matures. He even proposed a "bear market" worst-case scenario, predicting that Bitcoin could be worth $3 million, while the "bull market scenario" is as high as $49 million.
For MicroStrategy (MSTR), Saylor believes that the company actually provides users with a "tax-deferred" BTC income tool by issuing billions of dollars in convertible bonds to purchase BTC.
But not everyone agrees with Saylor. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff criticized Saylor's statement as "nonsense", noting that MSTR's stock price has fallen 40% from its 52-week high.
🤔 Viewpoint:
Michael Saylor's optimistic prediction for the future of Bitcoin has undoubtedly injected a shot of adrenaline into the market, but as investors, we need to keep a clear head.
In addition, from the perspective of market value comparison, the total market value of US stocks is more than 27 times the total market value of cryptocurrencies. The current total market value of US stocks is about 54 trillion US dollars, while the market value of the entire cryptocurrency is only about 2 trillion US dollars, which means that the market value of US stocks is 27 times that of cryptocurrencies.
Based on the current price of Bitcoin of about $57,000, if the total market value of cryptocurrencies is the same as that of US stocks, the price of Bitcoin needs to be multiplied by 27 times to more than $1.5 million, but this is still far from Saylor's prediction of $13 million.
Although Saylor's prediction of Bitcoin prices brings hope, there is no obvious loophole from the annual compound rate analysis. But investors should conduct a comprehensive market analysis and be prepared to deal with various uncertainties, and should not rely on a single forecast to guide investment decisions.
💬 What do you think of Saylor's forecast? Do you think the price of Bitcoin will reach $13 million? Welcome to leave your opinion in the comment area!
#比特币价格预测 #Saylor观点 #加密货币市场 #美股市值 #比特币投资
Imagine that by 2045, each of your Bitcoins is worth $13 million! This is not science fiction, but a bold prediction by Michael Saylor, chairman of MicroStrategy. He believes that despite Bitcoin's recent volatility, its long-term annual return will be 8% higher than the S&P index.
In an interview with CNBC, Saylor said that Bitcoin will maintain a 44% compound annual growth rate for the next 20 years, and then gradually decline to about 5% per year as it matures. He even proposed a "bear market" worst-case scenario, predicting that Bitcoin could be worth $3 million, while the "bull market scenario" is as high as $49 million.
For MicroStrategy (MSTR), Saylor believes that the company actually provides users with a "tax-deferred" BTC income tool by issuing billions of dollars in convertible bonds to purchase BTC.
But not everyone agrees with Saylor. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff criticized Saylor's statement as "nonsense", noting that MSTR's stock price has fallen 40% from its 52-week high.
🤔 Viewpoint:
Michael Saylor's optimistic prediction for the future of Bitcoin has undoubtedly injected a shot of adrenaline into the market, but as investors, we need to keep a clear head.
In addition, from the perspective of market value comparison, the total market value of US stocks is more than 27 times the total market value of cryptocurrencies. The current total market value of US stocks is about 54 trillion US dollars, while the market value of the entire cryptocurrency is only about 2 trillion US dollars, which means that the market value of US stocks is 27 times that of cryptocurrencies.
Based on the current price of Bitcoin of about $57,000, if the total market value of cryptocurrencies is the same as that of US stocks, the price of Bitcoin needs to be multiplied by 27 times to more than $1.5 million, but this is still far from Saylor's prediction of $13 million.
Although Saylor's prediction of Bitcoin prices brings hope, there is no obvious loophole from the annual compound rate analysis. But investors should conduct a comprehensive market analysis and be prepared to deal with various uncertainties, and should not rely on a single forecast to guide investment decisions.
💬 What do you think of Saylor's forecast? Do you think the price of Bitcoin will reach $13 million? Welcome to leave your opinion in the comment area!
#比特币价格预测 #Saylor观点 #加密货币市场 #美股市值 #比特币投资
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📊 Bitcoin Cycle Observation: Comparison of the 162-day wait in this round with the new highs in previous cycles
According to CryptoQuant's analysis data, we can see that 162 days have passed since Bitcoin (BTC) last reached its all-time high (ATH). This time span makes us look back at past cycles, in which the previous two cycles took 209 days and 188 days to reach a new ATH again.
🔍 By analyzing this chart, we can see the fluctuations in Bitcoin prices since 2011, as well as the number of days away from the ATH in each cycle. The chart shows some key periods in Bitcoin's history, including the time when the price pulled back after reaching the ATH and climbed again.
🔑 Comparing historical data, it is clear that Bitcoin fluctuates cyclically. Although the length of time to reach the all-time high (ATH) in each cycle varies, they all show that Bitcoin has the ability to recover from price pullbacks and set new highs.
🚀 At present, Bitcoin has not reached a new ATH for 162 days, becoming an important time node widely watched by investors. If we follow the ATH development pattern in the past, does it mean that Bitcoin is about to enter a new upward cycle and will usher in a new round of bull market at any time?
🤔 However, I want to say that although historical data can provide reference, each market cycle has its own unique macroeconomic background, technological development, market sentiment and regulatory environment, which may affect the future performance of Bitcoin. Therefore, the next few weeks or even before the end of the year will be the focus of our attention in this cycle.
👇Does Bitcoin's current market performance meet your expectations? Do you think that comparing and analyzing historical cycles can help predict the future of Bitcoin? Welcome to tell us your thoughts in the comments section!
#比特币ATH #市场周期 #历史数据分析 #比特币价格预测
According to CryptoQuant's analysis data, we can see that 162 days have passed since Bitcoin (BTC) last reached its all-time high (ATH). This time span makes us look back at past cycles, in which the previous two cycles took 209 days and 188 days to reach a new ATH again.
🔍 By analyzing this chart, we can see the fluctuations in Bitcoin prices since 2011, as well as the number of days away from the ATH in each cycle. The chart shows some key periods in Bitcoin's history, including the time when the price pulled back after reaching the ATH and climbed again.
🔑 Comparing historical data, it is clear that Bitcoin fluctuates cyclically. Although the length of time to reach the all-time high (ATH) in each cycle varies, they all show that Bitcoin has the ability to recover from price pullbacks and set new highs.
🚀 At present, Bitcoin has not reached a new ATH for 162 days, becoming an important time node widely watched by investors. If we follow the ATH development pattern in the past, does it mean that Bitcoin is about to enter a new upward cycle and will usher in a new round of bull market at any time?
🤔 However, I want to say that although historical data can provide reference, each market cycle has its own unique macroeconomic background, technological development, market sentiment and regulatory environment, which may affect the future performance of Bitcoin. Therefore, the next few weeks or even before the end of the year will be the focus of our attention in this cycle.
👇Does Bitcoin's current market performance meet your expectations? Do you think that comparing and analyzing historical cycles can help predict the future of Bitcoin? Welcome to tell us your thoughts in the comments section!
#比特币ATH #市场周期 #历史数据分析 #比特币价格预测