圣诞行情
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Cryptocurrency News
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1. Today’s Fear and Greed Index rose to 79, and the level changed from Greed to Extreme Greed;
2. Thailand is considering a Bitcoin pilot project proposed by former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, which will be tested in Phuket as a sandbox focused on the tourism industry;
3. Hashgraph Group obtained a fund management license in Abu Dhabi and will launch a $100 million Web3 fund;
4. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%;
5. Agridex on Solana chain completed its first coffee transaction, which may promote the tokenization of agricultural assets;
1. Today’s Fear and Greed Index rose to 79, and the level changed from Greed to Extreme Greed;
2. Thailand is considering a Bitcoin pilot project proposed by former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, which will be tested in Phuket as a sandbox focused on the tourism industry;
3. Hashgraph Group obtained a fund management license in Abu Dhabi and will launch a $100 million Web3 fund;
4. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%;
5. Agridex on Solana chain completed its first coffee transaction, which may promote the tokenization of agricultural assets;
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$zen can be shipped, the secondary market has buyers, sell first and wait for opportunities later! The reason is in the chart, look at the chart! Look at the chart! Doctor has 50% position in spot, recommends selling at $50.
The doctor's trading group is currently ranked fourth on Binance, recognized for profitability, seeking attention! For contract group details, see personal information.
Free public domain trading signals will soon close, don't miss out, invitations for private domain trading will be sent out gradually.
Currently still in a fluctuation, $eth and others may have a second bottom test, do not go long on contracts, the doctor has repeatedly reminded, conservatives should stay in cash, follow the doctor's spot group, orders have been placed. Risk investments are currently in cash. The big bull market has not arrived yet. Do not be caught with positions before dawn.
$ZEN $ETH $XRP
#灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #圣诞行情 #比特币市场波动观察
The doctor's trading group is currently ranked fourth on Binance, recognized for profitability, seeking attention! For contract group details, see personal information.
Free public domain trading signals will soon close, don't miss out, invitations for private domain trading will be sent out gradually.
Currently still in a fluctuation, $eth and others may have a second bottom test, do not go long on contracts, the doctor has repeatedly reminded, conservatives should stay in cash, follow the doctor's spot group, orders have been placed. Risk investments are currently in cash. The big bull market has not arrived yet. Do not be caught with positions before dawn.
$ZEN $ETH $XRP
#灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #圣诞行情 #比特币市场波动观察
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那边的庄太能洗了一直在压具体什么时候飞没消息真不好说
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📈 Analyst's View: Boosted by the Christmas Rally, Bitcoin Aims for the $120,000 Mark by the End of the Month!
According to foreign media reports, influenced by the upcoming Christmas rally, traders expect Bitcoin's target price to reach $120,000. They believe that after Bitcoin breaks through $106,000, the next target price is around $120,000.
The traders' predictions are based on the increased transparency of U.S. regulations regarding cryptocurrency and the continued positive performance of the Bitcoin spot ETF market. Additionally, historically, December has typically been a good month for Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, investor sentiment is currently very high, partly due to Trump stating in a recent interview that he might designate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the U.S. on his first day in office.
Moreover, the market generally anticipates that the Federal Reserve will continue to implement interest rate cuts on Wednesday. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point cut currently stands at 95.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has dropped to 4.6%, showing a significant difference compared to the previous month's probabilities of 61.9% and 38.1%. In summary, driven by these numerous positive news, Bitcoin's performance in the next two weeks is highly anticipated.
Analysts also pointed out that if Bitcoin's price rises to $125,000, it may experience a 30% correction, as historically, major bull markets have seen corrections of 20-30%, and this current bull market has not yet seen such a situation. This could be a sign of a super cycle, and as Bitcoin's market capitalization increases, volatility may gradually decrease, leading to a reduction in past 30% corrections to 15-20%.
If Bitcoin experiences a 30% correction after rising to $125,000, the price may fall back to around $87,000. However, if Bitcoin corrects by 30% after rising to $110,000, it could drop to $77,000-$78,000, which would just fill the previous futures gap. As for whether this futures gap will be filled now, wait until the next bear market, or never be filled, this is also a question that market participants need to pay attention to.
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's price trend moving forward? How do you think the Christmas rally will impact Bitcoin?
According to foreign media reports, influenced by the upcoming Christmas rally, traders expect Bitcoin's target price to reach $120,000. They believe that after Bitcoin breaks through $106,000, the next target price is around $120,000.
The traders' predictions are based on the increased transparency of U.S. regulations regarding cryptocurrency and the continued positive performance of the Bitcoin spot ETF market. Additionally, historically, December has typically been a good month for Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, investor sentiment is currently very high, partly due to Trump stating in a recent interview that he might designate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the U.S. on his first day in office.
Moreover, the market generally anticipates that the Federal Reserve will continue to implement interest rate cuts on Wednesday. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point cut currently stands at 95.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has dropped to 4.6%, showing a significant difference compared to the previous month's probabilities of 61.9% and 38.1%. In summary, driven by these numerous positive news, Bitcoin's performance in the next two weeks is highly anticipated.
Analysts also pointed out that if Bitcoin's price rises to $125,000, it may experience a 30% correction, as historically, major bull markets have seen corrections of 20-30%, and this current bull market has not yet seen such a situation. This could be a sign of a super cycle, and as Bitcoin's market capitalization increases, volatility may gradually decrease, leading to a reduction in past 30% corrections to 15-20%.
If Bitcoin experiences a 30% correction after rising to $125,000, the price may fall back to around $87,000. However, if Bitcoin corrects by 30% after rising to $110,000, it could drop to $77,000-$78,000, which would just fill the previous futures gap. As for whether this futures gap will be filled now, wait until the next bear market, or never be filled, this is also a question that market participants need to pay attention to.
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's price trend moving forward? How do you think the Christmas rally will impact Bitcoin?
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This market is in a sideways movement for BTC, while others may not necessarily catch up.
Apart from the AI and science sectors which are fluctuating, everything else is in a downward trend.
The spring river water warms, and the duck knows first.
If the market doesn't catch up, it may be preparing for a Christmas plunge.
If it can't go up, it has to pull back.
Christmas overseas is similar to the Chinese Spring Festival; many companies or people need funds to circulate. If it's a contract, it’s recommended to close it first ~ For spot trading, there's no fear of pullbacks; you can hold on, believing that January will have a good altcoin season, or the altcoin season may just be around the corner at the end of the month.
The bull market is still worth waiting for ⌛️ Give it a little time.
#圣诞行情 #BTC☀
Apart from the AI and science sectors which are fluctuating, everything else is in a downward trend.
The spring river water warms, and the duck knows first.
If the market doesn't catch up, it may be preparing for a Christmas plunge.
If it can't go up, it has to pull back.
Christmas overseas is similar to the Chinese Spring Festival; many companies or people need funds to circulate. If it's a contract, it’s recommended to close it first ~ For spot trading, there's no fear of pullbacks; you can hold on, believing that January will have a good altcoin season, or the altcoin season may just be around the corner at the end of the month.
The bull market is still worth waiting for ⌛️ Give it a little time.
#圣诞行情 #BTC☀
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There is support at 4w, see the red horizontal line. The descending triangle reaches near the horizontal line many times without breaking.
This horizontal line basically coincides with the daily Bollinger upper track. When you reach the upper track, there will be support.
Let's see if it falls below.
On the 4h chart, the price is running in the green descending channel. If it falls below the 4w level, then the next support is the super intensive trading area in front of around 3.8w. By the time the descending channel intersected the 3.8w level, it was Christmas Day.
What a perfect script. It’s too neat~
The greed index has dropped slightly. It's a good thing.
If everyone is calmer, it may not fall to 3.8w, and it will usher in the next rise after a month of fluctuations. This makes everyone happy. Why do you have to jump in and play with heartbeats, right?
#BTC🔥🔥 #etf #一起来跟单 #合约锦标赛 #圣诞行情 $BTC
This horizontal line basically coincides with the daily Bollinger upper track. When you reach the upper track, there will be support.
Let's see if it falls below.
On the 4h chart, the price is running in the green descending channel. If it falls below the 4w level, then the next support is the super intensive trading area in front of around 3.8w. By the time the descending channel intersected the 3.8w level, it was Christmas Day.
What a perfect script. It’s too neat~
The greed index has dropped slightly. It's a good thing.
If everyone is calmer, it may not fall to 3.8w, and it will usher in the next rise after a month of fluctuations. This makes everyone happy. Why do you have to jump in and play with heartbeats, right?
#BTC🔥🔥 #etf #一起来跟单 #合约锦标赛 #圣诞行情 $BTC
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[A big analysis of the Christmas Bitcoin market! 】There will be an analysis of the Spring Festival later this Christmas. Will Bitcoin bring surprises? In 2023, the price of Bitcoin showed a rapid upward trend, once approaching a high of $45,000. But as the final countdown to the end of the year approaches, will the price of Bitcoin return to the lows of previous years? Let's review the data from 2017 to 2022. During the Christmas period, Bitcoin's price performance mostly showed a downward trend. But in the past Christmas, there was one year when prices actually increased, and that was 2017. So this year, with multiple good news such as the potential approval of spot ETFs, the halving narrative and interest rate cut expectations, investors’ expectations for Bitcoin have reached a new high. So, can Bitcoin reverse its decline at Christmas in 2023 and draw a perfect end to the end of the year? Will the price of Bitcoin be affected by the international political and economic environment this year and bring about special price changes during this festival?
Next, we will sort out the price changes of Bitcoin during the Christmas period in the past six years for you:
2022: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced a downward trend, falling by 2.7% throughout the Christmas period. During this period of 2022, the price of Bitcoin fell sharply, disappointing investors.
2021: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices once again trended downward, falling 11.9% throughout the Christmas period. The price changes of Bitcoin this year have been particularly outstanding, exceeding most people’s expectations.
2020: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced an upward trend, rising by 22.3% throughout the Christmas period. Although the price performance of Bitcoin this year was not as impressive as that of 2017, it still attracted the attention of many investors.
2019: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced a downward trend, falling 1.1% over the Christmas period. The price performance of Bitcoin this year is no exception. Although the price fluctuations are not large, the overall price is still in a state of decline.
2018: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices once again trended downward, falling 5.3% over the Christmas period. The range of Bitcoin price changes this year is not difficult to understand, because the Bitcoin price has been declining throughout 2018.
2017: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced an upward trend, rising 4.1% over the Christmas period. During this year, the price performance of Bitcoin was relatively stable, with little price fluctuation throughout the year.
Bitcoin prices are generally relatively stable during the Chinese New Year because most market participants will be on holiday during this period, so transaction volume will be relatively small and volatility will be small.
Investors are also starting to focus on the outlook for 2024. Especially during the Spring Festival, what will be the price trend of Bitcoin? Can historical data give us some hints?
We started in 2017 and counted the rise and fall of Bitcoin in the seven days before and after the Spring Festival every year. The date of the Spring Festival is determined according to the lunar calendar, so it varies every year.
We use data provided by CoinMarketCap, priced in USD. Here is the result we got:
2023: Up 8.2%
2022: Down 9.7%
2021: Up 6.4%
2020: down 2.3%
2019: up 3.1%
2018: down 15.6%
2017: up 1.7%
From the above data, we can see that there is no obvious pattern in the performance of Bitcoin during the Spring Festival. Sometimes it rises and sometimes falls, and the range of rises and falls is not necessarily large. This may be related to the global and decentralized characteristics of Bitcoin. Investors in different countries and regions may have different holiday habits and emotions, so the demand and supply for Bitcoin will also change. In addition, the price of Bitcoin will also be affected by other factors, such as market sentiment, technological innovation, policy changes, competing currencies, etc.
Therefore, we believe that Bitcoin’s Spring Festival market is not a good predictor and investors should pay more attention to Bitcoin’s long-term value and development trend. In 2024, Bitcoin may face some new opportunities and challenges, such as the approval of spot ETFs in the United States, the Bitcoin halving event, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut expectations, etc. These factors may have a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin. Investors should pay close attention to market dynamics, manage risks, and seize opportunities.
#BTC！ #圣诞行情 #过年
Next, we will sort out the price changes of Bitcoin during the Christmas period in the past six years for you:
2022: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced a downward trend, falling by 2.7% throughout the Christmas period. During this period of 2022, the price of Bitcoin fell sharply, disappointing investors.
2021: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices once again trended downward, falling 11.9% throughout the Christmas period. The price changes of Bitcoin this year have been particularly outstanding, exceeding most people’s expectations.
2020: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced an upward trend, rising by 22.3% throughout the Christmas period. Although the price performance of Bitcoin this year was not as impressive as that of 2017, it still attracted the attention of many investors.
2019: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced a downward trend, falling 1.1% over the Christmas period. The price performance of Bitcoin this year is no exception. Although the price fluctuations are not large, the overall price is still in a state of decline.
2018: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices once again trended downward, falling 5.3% over the Christmas period. The range of Bitcoin price changes this year is not difficult to understand, because the Bitcoin price has been declining throughout 2018.
2017: During the Christmas period, Bitcoin prices experienced an upward trend, rising 4.1% over the Christmas period. During this year, the price performance of Bitcoin was relatively stable, with little price fluctuation throughout the year.
Bitcoin prices are generally relatively stable during the Chinese New Year because most market participants will be on holiday during this period, so transaction volume will be relatively small and volatility will be small.
Investors are also starting to focus on the outlook for 2024. Especially during the Spring Festival, what will be the price trend of Bitcoin? Can historical data give us some hints?
We started in 2017 and counted the rise and fall of Bitcoin in the seven days before and after the Spring Festival every year. The date of the Spring Festival is determined according to the lunar calendar, so it varies every year.
We use data provided by CoinMarketCap, priced in USD. Here is the result we got:
2023: Up 8.2%
2022: Down 9.7%
2021: Up 6.4%
2020: down 2.3%
2019: up 3.1%
2018: down 15.6%
2017: up 1.7%
From the above data, we can see that there is no obvious pattern in the performance of Bitcoin during the Spring Festival. Sometimes it rises and sometimes falls, and the range of rises and falls is not necessarily large. This may be related to the global and decentralized characteristics of Bitcoin. Investors in different countries and regions may have different holiday habits and emotions, so the demand and supply for Bitcoin will also change. In addition, the price of Bitcoin will also be affected by other factors, such as market sentiment, technological innovation, policy changes, competing currencies, etc.
Therefore, we believe that Bitcoin’s Spring Festival market is not a good predictor and investors should pay more attention to Bitcoin’s long-term value and development trend. In 2024, Bitcoin may face some new opportunities and challenges, such as the approval of spot ETFs in the United States, the Bitcoin halving event, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut expectations, etc. These factors may have a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin. Investors should pay close attention to market dynamics, manage risks, and seize opportunities.
#BTC！ #圣诞行情 #过年
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Morning Key Summary:
1. #纳斯达克 100 Included in MicroStrategy: On December 23, MicroStrategy will be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index, a move that will attract significant capital inflow. Congratulations to MicroStrategy and Bitcoin (BTC).
2. #圣诞行情 Outlook: Analysts are generally optimistic about the market during the Christmas period, expecting Ethereum (ETH) to potentially break $5000 in early next year. Over the past decade, cryptocurrencies have shown an upward trend around Christmas in 8 out of 10 years.
3. Bank of Japan Interest Rate Policy: The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its interest rate unchanged at next week's meeting, so the market does not need to worry about negative news.
4. #BTC☀ Key Support Range: About 2.25 million wallets purchased 2.18 million Bitcoins in the range of $94300 to $100250, forming a strong support.
5. BTC Outflow Situation: In the past 30 days, centralized exchanges (CEX) have seen an outflow of 124,000 Bitcoins, and the tight supply situation supports the price increase, with continued outflows being bullish for the market.
6. #USDC Additional Issuance: Today, an additional 50 million USDC will be issued, and this continuous issuance and buying activity is positive for the market.
7. #山寨季 Coming Soon: The market generally expects the altcoin season to arrive soon, watch for coins that break new highs and have strong momentum at lower levels, which may bring opportunities.
1. #纳斯达克 100 Included in MicroStrategy: On December 23, MicroStrategy will be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index, a move that will attract significant capital inflow. Congratulations to MicroStrategy and Bitcoin (BTC).
2. #圣诞行情 Outlook: Analysts are generally optimistic about the market during the Christmas period, expecting Ethereum (ETH) to potentially break $5000 in early next year. Over the past decade, cryptocurrencies have shown an upward trend around Christmas in 8 out of 10 years.
3. Bank of Japan Interest Rate Policy: The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its interest rate unchanged at next week's meeting, so the market does not need to worry about negative news.
4. #BTC☀ Key Support Range: About 2.25 million wallets purchased 2.18 million Bitcoins in the range of $94300 to $100250, forming a strong support.
5. BTC Outflow Situation: In the past 30 days, centralized exchanges (CEX) have seen an outflow of 124,000 Bitcoins, and the tight supply situation supports the price increase, with continued outflows being bullish for the market.
6. #USDC Additional Issuance: Today, an additional 50 million USDC will be issued, and this continuous issuance and buying activity is positive for the market.
7. #山寨季 Coming Soon: The market generally expects the altcoin season to arrive soon, watch for coins that break new highs and have strong momentum at lower levels, which may bring opportunities.