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📌
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📌
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#返佣
#DOGE飙升
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？
#特朗普家族加密项目
$BTC
$ETH

☕ December 22nd Market Opinion. ☕
$BTC Opinion:
Yesterday, 98373 was reached, peaking at 99530. Many of you might think that the downtrend has ended and are preparing for a V-shaped reversal, but the pullback to 98373 didn't hold, and it has once again fallen below 98373.
This could be a natural rebound following the previous day's decline, and there may be a second test. If the second test does not break below 92272, it will stabilize for a while before going up. If it breaks below 92272 directly, then we will look down towards 90185-88598!
☕
Bitcoin successfully broke through 97186 with volume, closing the hourly level above 97186, so chase the long position on the right side, and retract the stop loss.
If Bitcoin breaks below 96780, chase the short position on the right side, and retract the stop loss.

Upon pulling back to 95789, confirm the support is effective and take a small long position; if it breaks down, retract the stop loss. Pay attention to changes in volume.
Bitcoin must break through 98338 to strengthen; only then can we look up towards 99556-100468, otherwise, it will continue to consolidate and oscillate until a direction emerges.
☕
At the top, 99485 gives a light short position; break above 100,000, stop loss.
Conservative players should wait for 94635 to go long, stop loss if it breaks below 94000.
The hourly level for Bitcoin should not break below 96336; if it does, look for stronger support at 95564-94579.
☕
Upper resistance: 98462-99485-100508
Lower support: 96309-95607-94817
Currently, the hourly level for Bitcoin has not created a lower low, developing horizontally to see if it will find direction tonight.

☕☕☕☕☕☕☕☕☕☕☕

$ETH Thoughts:
Ethereum successfully broke through 3362 with volume, chase the long position on the right side, and retract the stop loss.
If it breaks below 3327, chase the short position on the right side, and retract the stop loss.

Ethereum pulls back to 3245, take a small long position; if it breaks below 3207, must stop loss.
Ethereum at the hourly level must break and stabilize above 3390 to look at the target positions above 3464-3552.
☕
For Ethereum, pay attention to 3468 to give a short position; break above 3500, stop loss.
Left-side order: 3241 to gamble one long position; stop loss if it breaks below 3200.
Ethereum on the 4-hour level must not break below 3285; once it breaks, it's likely to test around 3100. If 3100 cannot hold, look to 3028!
☕
Upper resistance: 3387-3454-3535
Lower support: 3285-3230-3100
Ethereum's 4-hour bearish candle indicated by the white arrow closed poorly, a typical bearish engulfing structure. This year has been very difficult to trade. Meeting adjourned.
$BTC
#加密市场盘整
#市场调整後的机会？
#PCE通胀降温

Watching the market is a 'dynamic' process. When trading, one cannot be vague; the positioning must be clear. Trading is like shooting; one must aim at a point to hit an area. Although the turning point is a single point, for traders, it represents an area.
🏖️
Different cycles have different highs and lows. The point remains unchanged objectively, while the methods are subjective. If a subjective method aligns with the objective price fluctuation laws and adheres to consistent operational principles, it then becomes objective. New highs and lows continuously emerge, while old highs and lows persist stubbornly.
🏖️
One must view highs and lows with a developmental perspective, not clinging to one without letting go. When new highs and lows emerge, one must use the new; if there are none, then use the old. No one can guarantee that the highs and lows drawn at any moment are absolutely correct, so one must dynamically watch the market to see if the prior highs and lows used for defense are of the same level; if not, adjustments must be made. For instance, during an uptrend, the prior low keeps rising, necessitating the constant marking of new prior lows for defense.
🏖️
When observing highs and lows, one must be able to hold onto them and let them go; the old must be held onto until the new appears, at which point it must be released. The new will soon become old, and the process of trading is one of continuously picking up and putting down.
$ETH
#加密市场反弹
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析

The Four Realms of Life: Not knowing that you don't know, knowing that you don't know, not knowing that you know, knowing that you know.
In front of 'self', 'knowing' or 'not knowing' refers to a person's awareness of their own level, known as 'self-awareness', which is the clarity of self-recognition. Behind 'self', 'knowing' or 'not knowing' refers to a person's awareness of external objects, which is usually referred to as 'knowledge'.
📌
'Not knowing that you don't know' means being so confused that you are unaware of whether you know or don't know anything at all.
'Knowing that you don't know' means being aware of your limits and having self-awareness, avoiding tasks beyond your capabilities.
'Not knowing that you know' means having a certain level of mastery in a specific knowledge area, but not realizing that you have reached that level.
📌
This is the critical point where enlightenment occurs.
'Knowing that you know' means having reached enlightenment, understanding not only the facts but also the reasons behind them.
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析

$XRP is quite hard. XRP has not even broken 2 in the past few days. It is beyond imagination. If you choose a fake spot, you have to choose the one that can withstand the decline. Don't choose the one that will directly release the flood after the big cake just fell a little.
Now you can intervene in the first position of the fake target you like, or you can invest 20%-30% of the spot first position according to your own funds. Isn't it great to make 20% while others recover their capital?
😁
Look at the picture: XRP seems to be in the W bottom pattern at the daily level. If the W bottom at the daily level wants to form, it must break through and stand firm at the neckline of the daily level at 2.6 to challenge the previous high or new high, otherwise it can only fluctuate and consolidate within the pregnancy line at the daily level.
The Fibonacci 1:1 retracement level at the same daily level is 1.72, and the lowest pin point yesterday was 1.9458 and did not retrace in place.
If the big cake continues to fall and breaks the 90,000 integer mark, xrp will most likely go to around 1.618, and the corresponding price is 1.1.
😁
The xrp daily level entity cannot fall below the price of 2.0 indicated by the yellow arrow. Once it falls below the daily level, it will start to pull back and look conservatively at around 1.89-1.55-1.27. And the white arrow on the daily level indicates that the daily line looks like it will burn incense. We will know whether it is in the form of burning incense by the closing line at 8 o'clock tomorrow morning.
😁
If the daily level is going to burn incense, it can basically be confirmed that the daily level callback has begun. And the daily line closed yesterday has volume but no price, which is also a useless K line. If the daily level goes through a double needle bottoming 2.0, it cannot be broken. If it falls below the double needle bottoming, it will no longer exist.
😁
The position where the spot can be laid out, the three positions marked in the figure are all positions where the spot can be intervened. Buy and hold, and lie flat if it falls. Do a good job of position management and adjourn the meeting.
$XRP
#加密市场反弹
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析

$ETH Thoughts:
The rebound of the altcoin is much stronger than that of the main coin, rebounding over 400 dollars from yesterday's low to today's high of 3553. The altcoin is strong, and those who are not fully invested in the altcoin are going to be crying.
🔥
Let's talk through the chart. Pay attention to the marked positions in the chart; go in the direction that arrives first. Watch the volume-price relationship and set your stop-loss accordingly.
If the altcoin can stabilize above 3569 on the hourly level, it would be even better, and then it would challenge 3637-3721 or even higher.
🍬
On the 4-hour level, the altcoin should not drop below 3390; otherwise, it will have to test 3326-3253. A sideways drop to correct the market is the best option. In terms of exchange rates: 0.03659, which was previously support, is now resistance; if it can surge past it and stabilize, then nothing has happened. If it is blocked at 0.03659, it will have to test 0.03466-0.03358 again, as long as it does not break yesterday's low, there will be no issues. Meeting adjourned.
$ETH
#PCE通胀降温
#加密市场反弹
#USUAL走势分析

$BTC Evening View:
There isn't much market activity on Saturday, and it's good to maintain the current situation for the major coin. It would be even better if it could move up a bit.
🍬
Speaking with charts: The major coin broke through 98813 with volume, chase long on the right side; if it falls below 98355 and can't recover, chase short on the right side. If it can be done, do it; if not, just watch the show. Don't force trades, go with the flow.
🍬
What does it mean that the major coin's daily chart formed a doji at the bottom? Everyone should understand, right? It indicates that there is strong support below.
The major coin has broken through and stabilized above 99485; continue to look up towards 100615-101853.
The hourly support at 97340 must not be broken; if it breaks, we need to go to 95738-94824. Make sure to set stop losses in the chart and pay attention to changes in volume.
🍬
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Acting on impulse is better than just thinking about it.
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析

Last night, this round of trading was truly satisfying! If you had followed this wave and bought the dip back to 3111, you would have made at least $100, or even over $300.
If you are still holding the long position near 3111, conservative traders can close out or reduce their position by 75% while keeping a base position to bet on higher levels. Unless a black swan event occurs, it's highly likely that the area around 3111 is the bottom, and you can hold until the end of the bull market to exit. How fortunate it is to have a long contract at the bottom 😃.
🚀
Every day, I write articles with great care, and I hope all of you can read them seriously and not just skim through them absentmindedly.
$ETH
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析
#加密市场回调

🚀December 21st midday market outlook.🚀
$BTC 's view:
The large coin's daily level has basically formed a short-term bottom with these two big pins. As long as the 4-hour level retracement does not break below 95629, it shouldn't be a big issue. If it breaks below, we will have to go to 94251-92741 again.
🚀
The large coin broke through 97612 with volume, and the hourly closing price is above 97612, which is a signal to chase long positions on the right side, with a stop loss in place.
If it retraces to 97051 and falsely breaks below, add one more long position; if it breaks below, set a stop loss. Do not go long if there is no recovery action.

The large coin must break and hold above 98355 at the hourly level to look upward, otherwise it will be a consolidation and fluctuation between 99485-100561.
If it breaks below 97051 with volume, chase short positions on the right side, with a stop loss in place.
🚀
Pay attention to 99539 above; if a 2b false breakout occurs, go short one position, and set a stop loss if it breaks 100,000. Pay attention to volume changes.
Conservative players should wait for the large coin to retrace to 95340 to add one more long position; if it breaks below 95000, a stop loss must be set.
🚀
Upper pressure levels: 98408-99054-100454
Lower support levels: 96255-95340-94318
Looking at the large coin's daily level, it has not created a lower low; the previous low of 90168 has not been broken. We will see if this rebound can create a new high. If it retraces without breaking yesterday's low, it indicates that this wave of adjustment is over.

🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

$ETH Thoughts:
The second coin broke through 3481 with volume; chase long positions on the right side, with a stop loss in place.
If it retraces to 3392 and confirms support, add one more long position; if it breaks below 3353, set a stop loss.

If it breaks below 3457 with volume, chase short positions on the right side, with a stop loss in place.
The second coin must break through 3518 at the hourly level to perform stronger, with target levels of 3640-3718.
🚀
Pay attention to 3633 above; if it gives a light position to short one, set a stop loss if it breaks 3660.
Left-side order at 3152 gives a direct long position, with a stop loss if it breaks 3121.
🚀
Upper pressure levels: 3518-3593-3637
Lower support levels: 3410-3366-3319
The second coin's daily level is fine as long as it doesn't break below 3034; if it does break below 3034, it could be a downturn, conservatively looking at: 2893-2753.
$BTC
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析
#比特币市场波动观察

In the absence of personal interests, everyone will 'understand' that system drawdowns or losses are an inevitable rule of trading and will face them calmly. However, once it is closely related to personal interests, very few people will understand what a 'loss period' is when the system is in drawdown; what comes to mind are just the two words 'loss'.
Everyone's purpose in trading is only one: to make money. Since making money is not possible, there is no reason to continue. Some people leave, some observe, and some reduce their positions (to levels that are completely meaningless to them). These factors constitute the motivation and source for top traders to wait in vain.
☂️
When everyone thinks that trend-following trading systems are gradually failing, it is only at this time that the opportunity or probability of trends appearing will gradually increase, and there may even be a rotation effect of bullish and bearish trends.
☂️
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Action is better than inaction.
$ETH
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析
#比特币市场波动观察

Whether in the past, present, or future, I have always believed: under reasonable position management, there will never be issues of trend-following trading systems dying or failing.
Why am I so certain? It's still the simplest reasoning, whether you think trends are generated randomly or systematically, it doesn't matter; what matters is that trends will definitely appear at some point in the future, more or less, and that's enough.
🏖️
In a volatile market, the probability of making a profit will never exceed 50%; only in a trending market can the probability of making a profit exceed 50%. Now the question arises, how can we seize the opportunities in trending markets? There is only one way: wait.
$BTC
#PCE通胀降温
#USUAL走势分析
#比特币市场波动观察

$PEPE Buy! What are you waiting for? If not now, when? When the price is rising, you are waiting for a callback and say: you must buy at a certain position.
Now the callback has given you the opportunity, but you still say that you will buy at xxx position. Then I advise you not to buy, because the speed of decline will never catch up with the speed of your change.
Then you can only slap your thighs when it is rising and regret that you should buy all the positions when it fell to xxx position. This is the legendary missing out on a whole round of bull market. Haven't you heard of a saying? If you want to make money, you must be trapped first.
🇨🇳
See the picture: pepe's daily level 1:1 callback has been in place, and it has deeply callback to 1.618. At this position, you dare not buy all the positions. You can enter a first position, and then cover the position when it falls.
I really don't know what you are waiting for, I don't understand what you are afraid of in the spot. Can pepe return to zero? Definitely not. Can the big cake return to 50,000? It seems that it can't! Just remember that the general trend is upward, and don't create anxiety for yourself.
🇨🇳
Pepe also seems to be in the daily W-bottom pattern. Once the daily W-bottom is formed, at least the previous high will be seen. If it is fierce, it will not be a problem to see the new high. After talking about the good direction, let's talk about the bad expectations. Pepe's weekly level cannot fall below the position circled in the yellow box in the figure. If it falls below the 1313 support of the weekly level, it will go back to where 766 came from and return to its original shape.
I can only pray silently that the big cake will not continue to fall.
🇨🇳
Finally, students who want to buy spot should pay attention to the 3 positions marked in the figure, buy spot in batches and do a good job of position management.
Some students will ask what to do if the spot is full? Just lie down and wait for takeoff. The more it falls, the more it rises. There is a sea in your heart, and there are beaches wherever you go😃.
I hope my interpretation can help you.
$PEPE #PCE通胀降温 #USUAL走势分析 #比特币市场波动观察

$ETH Thoughts:
It's over, who can come out to save the market! Let's rebound and then fall again if the market keeps falling without turning back! It's unbearable to keep falling like this.
Is this still a bull market? Where is the bull? Has the bull returned home?
This year's bull market is one of the most difficult bull markets in history.
🐮
Look at the picture: The second cake rebounds to 3245 and falsely breaks through to recover a light position and short one hand, and falls back to 3111 and falsely breaks to recover one hand, with a stop loss.
Don't act rashly if there is no recovery, and pay attention to the changes in volume.
🐮
If the second cake daily level cannot recover to 3297 tomorrow, it will be completely useless, and look directly down to 3034-2866! Not to mention the exchange rate, go directly to the previous low of 0.03187 to test the support! If the support is effective, it can rebound, and if 0.03187 can't hold up, go to 0.027-0.023.
The second 15-minute level must break through 3240 and stabilize. It can look up to 3321-3379. If it can't go up, it will continue to fall. Meeting adjourned.
$ETH
#币安Alpha项目公布
#USUAL走势分析
#比特币市场波动观察

$BTC Evening View:
These few days of continuous new lows are just like the previous few days of continuous new highs. Why can many students only accept continuous new highs, but cannot accept continuous new lows? Only allow to rise, not fall?
Please tell me why? If you can't accept the retracement, don't come to this circle. Stay away as soon as possible to avoid sadness.
🌞
Look at the picture: If the US stock market opens at night, short one hand. Students who want to go long will wait for 93437 to give a light position to add one hand, and 94707 will be falsely broken and recovered.
The left side order must be light, and the stop loss band is good in the figure. Only choose one direction to do it, and never eat both long and short. Or which strategy comes first, do which one, long orders can only eat rebounds, not patterns.
🌞
The 1:1 retracement position of the Fibonacci 4-hour level is 93155, and continue to retrace to see 87200.
Only if the 1-hour level breaks through 95800, can we look up to 96827-97853.
At the 4-hour level, if the 94253 entity falls through, it will go to 90000.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#USUAL走势分析
#比特币市场波动观察

🍺Market Insights on December 20.
$BTC 's Opinion:
The major coin seems to be forming a W bottom pattern on the hourly chart, but it must break the neckline at 98310 on the hourly level to continue moving upward. The target above is 99013-100200.

If the major coin breaks above 97483 with volume and closes above 97483, go long on the right side, and set a stop loss.
If it pulls back to 95972 and falsely breaks down but closes back above, you can take a small long position, with the stop loss at the fake breakdown low. Do not go long without a recovery action.

If it breaks 95972 downwards directly, go short on the right side, and set a stop loss.
🍺
Pay attention to a 2b false breakout at 100591 to take a small short position, and set a stop loss above 101120. Keep an eye on volume changes.
For a conservative approach, wait for 94747 to go long one position, with a stop loss below 94260.
The major coin cannot break below 95597 on the 4-hour level; if it does and cannot recover, then look down to 94248-93775-92641.
🍺
Upper pressure levels: 98360-99414-100618
Lower support levels: 95902-94827-93893
All highs and lows on the hourly chart for the major coin are decreasing, and it has not yet formed a consolidation continuation. The direction is unclear; be patient and wait for the major coin to form a consolidation continuation before opening a position.

🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺

$ETH Strategy:
The secondary coin breaks above 3466 with volume; go long on the right side and set a stop loss.
If it pulls back to 3376 and confirms support, take a small long position, with a stop loss below.

If it breaks down below 3376 with volume, go short on the right side and set a stop loss.
The secondary coin must break above 3462 to look at 3522-3638.
🍺
For the secondary coin, pay attention to 3566 to take a short position; set a stop loss above 3600.
For left-side orders, 3239 requires a long position; set a stop loss below 3200.
Upper pressure levels: 3460-3516-3560
Lower support levels: 3379-3322-3251
If the secondary coin breaks down below 3244 on the 4-hour level, then all the gains in the past few months will be negated, and it will return to 3023-2810.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#加密市场回调
#萨尔瓦多增持BTC

From the perspective of long-term trading results, different rules will definitely have differences in capital returns. The higher the return, the more it aligns with price trends; this is the conceptual advantage. Trading is about trading your concepts, and the specific entry points are also a product of those concepts.
Therefore, one should not rigidly determine which point to go long and which point to go short. Both long and short can be correct, as prices move continuously, and this 'continuity' will produce many changes; only rules can handle price fluctuations.
$ETH
#币安Alpha项目公布
#美联储放鹰

Whether it can be executed with accurate quantification over a long period. For example, the turtle trading rule has been a publicly available trading system for many years, but very few people have been able to make money from it so far. Why is that? It is because of the lack of understanding of the drawdown periods of the trading system, a misunderstanding of trading, and inadequate control of psychological rhythms during the trading process.
🐊
Position management is chaotic; many friends mistakenly believe that having a good system is enough to make money. In fact, this is a grave misunderstanding. I personally believe that trading skills or trading strategies account for less than 10% of the trading process. The focus is on controlling positions during execution and maintaining the psychological costs of trading.
🐊
Some people are overly calculative; they cannot tolerate a loss even once and stop trading. After observing for a while, they feel the system is decent and enter again, only to encounter another drawdown period and stop trading again. They lose exactly what they should have lost and exit when they should have gained.
Is this a matter of luck or personal psychological issues? Regardless of the method used, those who can achieve long-term stable profits in the market are individuals with simple thoughts, open personalities, focused minds, and calm demeanors.
Too smart people are not suited for trading.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#美联储放鹰
#加密市场回调