博雅看市

$ETH Ethereum performed as expected, started to pull back after entering the risk zone, and as I replied, it fell below 2600.
However, Ethereum's overall movement is not a standard trend divergence structure, so we cannot guarantee that the next move will definitely be a daily drop. But it is certain that there will be continued consolidation here. If it rallies again above 30M later, or even makes a new high, it will be an opportunity for short-term short positions until it adjusts properly #ETH突破2500

The position $ETH needs to be cautious of risks. The rise from last night to now may evolve into the final increase that started at 1750, and a daily top is likely to appear today. If there is another surge during the day, it may even be possible to enter a short position with a stop loss.

$BTC Yesterday 102300 was the second position for 6M long, I said to try here and see if 5M could drive 30M to turn long, and the result was a successful long turn. Then I said to continue operating at the second position for 30M long, and I specifically mentioned in the comments to enter close to the 30M moving average. It turned out that both positions were correct.

Of course, operating ETH would yield greater profits, but ETH has started a large-scale divergence, and pulling it further could easily break. BTC 30M has also reached the third position, and if it pulls further, we can consider exiting.

$BTC 5M long second position drives 30M to long soon, you can wait for 30M second position to continue operation

$BTC 5M Long second position driving 30M turning long is about to succeed, you can wait for the 30M second position to continue operations

Attempting to go long at the second position of 5M based on $BTC , either to drive the 30M to turn bullish, or if unable to rise, the 30M will return to a downtrend. Set a stop loss on the 5M chart.

$SOL Sol The daily line yesterday also saw a rise before falling back, closing without breaking below the 5-day line, but this morning it opened lower, breaking below yesterday's low and the 5-day line. It can be confirmed that a daily top formation has occurred; whether it breaks below the 5-day line will need to wait until the close.

On the 4-hour chart, it is still an extension of the central range, with high-level consolidation. Currently, there is no clear breakdown range, nor is there a clear third type selling point available for operation.

Therefore, we need to continue waiting for evolution, either to confirm the effectiveness of the support at the low point of the 167 range, and then set up long positions according to the 167-180 range, or to confirm that 167 has been broken, even leading to a sideways reversal from long to short. For now, inside the range, it is best not to take action. #山寨币交易

The situation of ETH is close to BTC today. The daily chart is forming a top pattern, and the price level to watch today is around 2435, as mentioned yesterday.

On the 30M chart, if there is a new low later, we need to observe the subsequent double pullback, whether it can stand above 2435, which will be the dividing line for short-term short positions.

In this case, we can wait for the pullback to finish, using 2500 as the defensive point, and attempt with a light position. If the 30MACD shows a bottom divergence, we will switch back to long positions. #本周高光时刻

$BTC BTC experienced a high and then a pullback yesterday, resulting in a wide fluctuation, closing below the 5-day moving average. This closing gives the possibility of another dip today.

Currently, after constructing the center on the 4-hour chart, the price broke down through the center after last night's downward spike, followed by a rebound that peaked at 103081, which did not touch 103283. If this rebound is completed, it will form a third type of sell signal for the 4-hour center; therefore, today we should first consider shorting in the short term, then watch the strength.

Wait for another rebound on the 30M chart, considering entering between 102600-103000, with a stop loss at 103800. If it breaks above, the third type of sell signal will not be established, and we will continue to consolidate at a high level, making it impossible to continue shorting.

For a more cautious approach, wait for the 30M chart to test the bottom again, and look for MACD divergence to consider entering long positions. If it later pulls back above 103300, treat it as a wide fluctuation, exit after a spike; if it cannot pull back to 103300, and moves down further, regardless of profit or loss, exit first. #BTC重返10万

$BTC Trump really gave in!

First, let's look at the picture:

Do you all understand this "China-US Joint Statement"? I think it should be understood by everyone in the world. What 145% tariffs, what Trump shouted about 84% tariffs being reasonable, don't want 54, don't want 34, today we offer family members 9.9 with free shipping, 10%! How about that, explosive or not?

After the news was released, the market responded with a surge, Bitcoin hit a new recent high again, US stock futures soared, the Hang Seng Index rose sharply after hours, and the Renminbi appreciated, while the safe-haven gold retreated. Everything has returned to normal.

Sure enough, talks without Trump are good talks, indeed, Trump has backed down, and this month’s experience has made it clear that making empty threats and extortion doesn’t work. Although it is still a 90-day pause, the turbulence in the market over this month has made it impossible for Trump to act without credibility and flip-flop.

Recently, the last thunder has been eliminated, and the market has returned to regular games. What are your thoughts on the future market? #BTC重返10万 #贸易战缓和

The situation of Sol is close to BTC, not as strong as ETH. The daily chart shows it has risen from the second position, with the MACD double lines reaching new highs, but the histogram did not reach new highs, similar to BTC. This pattern depends on whether it can rise again in the short term and the strength of that rise.

On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear bullish trend, consolidating at the third position, with the price already close to the moving average, and the MACD also retreating towards the 0 axis, indicating a higher possibility of another short-term surge.

However, after another surge on the 4-hour chart, attention should be paid to the strength. If the MACD indicates that it cannot reach new highs, long positions can exit in a timely manner. #山寨币交易

$ETH ETH actually surged nearly 40% last week, much stronger than Bitcoin and Solana, Auntie has never been so assertive.

With such a strong rise, it has reached a resistance zone on the weekly chart, 2561-2677 is where the 104-week and 26-week moving averages are located, which can also be said to be the positions of the six-month and two-year lines.

On the daily chart, after the second position's jump, the momentum is strong and sustained, and currently, there are no signs of a peak. The 4-hour chart has just formed a central area, so now we will operate short-term based on this central area, with the central range being 2270-2608, and the core area being 2435-2491.

In the future, we need to see if 2435-2491 can break through and hold. If it goes up and breaks through 2608, the 4-hour MACD will show a peak divergence, and we will need to pull back again. If it can hold at 2491 after pulling back, then the probability of strong consolidation moving upwards is high. If it breaks below 2435, the consolidation time may be extended; however, if it breaks below 2435 and continues to seek a bottom, it may become a good opportunity to go long. #ETH突破2500

$BTC BTC daily bullish trend, MACD double line shows no divergence, only that the MACD histogram has not made a new high. In this pattern, we cannot predict that the daily line has peaked, but we do not rule out the possibility of two small bearish candles or a short-term downward spike.

The 4-hour chart shows a bullish arrangement of moving averages, and after the MACD reaches a new high, it pulls back. This is a clear third position adjustment for bulls. In this situation, do not short, continue to buy on the pullback. Just keep in mind that if a new high is made later, we need to watch for potential top divergence; just pay attention to the MACD indicator.

In simple terms, do not short, do not buy on the pullback, only consider entering long positions if it falls to the 4-hour moving average range, otherwise just observe. #BTC重返10万

$BTC is definitely positive. However, it has already risen a lot in the early stage, and there may be a short-term realization of the benefits. But the medium-term fundamental situation is stable.

$ETH The China-US high-level economic and trade meeting started in Switzerland. Without Trump's presence, perhaps Bessant will be more normal. #BTC重返10万

$BTC BTC is currently in the third central oscillation of an upward trend on the weekly chart. After turning bullish again in late April on the daily chart, it is entering a major upward wave once more. The daily MACD is not diverging, so on a larger timeframe, it is still far from reaching a peak.

The 4-hour chart shows a slight consolidation at a high level, currently far from the moving averages. Here, it could either continue to consolidate slightly at a high level, waiting for the moving averages to converge, or make a quick dip and rise, oscillating widely. Given that today is the weekend, I personally think the probability of continued slight consolidation at a high level is quite high.

Currently, there isn't much to say about the market. On timeframes above 4 hours, it is still in a bullish holding phase with no new trading opportunities. Enjoy the weekend. #山寨季何时到来？

The feeling of being fully invested and missing out is really unpleasant, and it's a bit nerve-wracking. However, for me, after the interest rate decision the day before yesterday, I didn't follow up in time, and there haven't been any entry opportunities since then, just holding my position. Moreover, it's fortunate that this time, considering the large scale bullish position, the guess at the peak level is very small, so I only used a test account and didn't touch the main account.

Now I can only continue to watch the show and wait for the subsequent developments.

$BTC The post at noon, finally told the radicals the way to intervene in guessing the top:

Today's trend can be considered as giving face, completely consistent with what was said above:

When I mentioned it at noon, the price had reached 6, I said that we cannot act at this moment, if we want to act, first the price has to make a new high, second the level can only be guessed at the 1-hour level, and third, wait for the 1-hour chart to close with a long upper shadow bearish candle before intervening. At 7 PM, when the 1-hour closes with a bearish candle that has an upper shadow, we can try to intervene.

Let me clarify, this is not my main operating account, it is just for testing. I said I wouldn't operate at this level, and my main account hasn't moved. The testing account will give it a try, with a stop loss above today's high, a stop loss of over 100 points, to see if this time it can reach 97865, or if it will pull back slightly before continuing to look for a larger level top.

However, trying to prove that if your positioning is for a 1-hour level guessing operation, this is doable, but if you are hoping that this is the top of the 4-hour or daily level, then that is indeed thinking a bit too much, a bit too early. #最近的一笔交易