December 2024
Lunar December
Do this one thing well.
All things are renewed, a new beginning.

What do you think about the Bitcoin halving? Let's discuss it together?
$BTC

When you are in trouble and ask for help, what is the probability that someone will help you?

1. Parents 100%
2. Spouse 90%
3. People who have helped you before 60%
4. Aunts, uncles, cousins ​​40%
5. Good friends (when you are of no use) 1%
Basically zero.

​Are you dissatisfied? ​​​

Noisy, it raided my wallet again!
Can’t stop, right?

The war is going on. Be prepared for the decline of Bitcoin. Save your bullets so that you can see more cost-effective Bitcoin. $BTC

2024.4.19 Cryptocurrency Circle Events, Read Morning Post.

● He Yi: CZ is in a relatively peaceful state in the United States, and regulatory pressure has been expected internally

● Whales once again spent 10 million USDT to buy 3,279 ETH, with a purchase price of about $3,239

● There is less than 1 day left before the BTC halving, and Runes Protocol is launched simultaneously. Runes is a new protocol built on BTC. The founder is Casey, who is also the founder of the Ordi protocol

● $LDO-Lido releases dual governance interpreter, and the mainnet is expected to be deployed in the fourth quarter

● Israeli missiles hit locations in Iran

● Coinbase International announced on April 25 that it will list $WIF perpetual futures.

● $APT - Aptos Labs partners with Microsoft, Brevan Howard and SK Telecom to build the institutional platform Aptos Ascend.

● $AMB - Airdao reveals the "Star Fleet" initiative, a long-term strategic plan to launch new products in 2024.

● $ASM - Assemble Protocol announces rebranding in May.

● $BNB - Binance is launching a new token launch platform, Binance Megadrop. The first project will be Bouncebit $BB, a BTC reforged chain.

● $INJ - Injective is a collaboration with Jambo, a Web3 mobile infrastructure company.

● $LSK - Lisk teases plans to announce snapshot height next week.

● $NTRN -
@astroport_fi
Migration to Neutron is complete.

● $NIBI - Nibiru Chain launches $15 million Nibiru Builder grant program.

● $STX - Binance will support Stack's Nakamoto upgrade. The network upgrade and hard fork will take place on April 22.

● $XCH - According to coindesk, the Chia project has made progress towards an IPO.

$BTC

I've been affected all the time, and then there was the explosion.

In cryptocurrency trading, there are several core aspects that require special attention:

1. **Market Analysis:** Market analysis is the foundation of trading. This includes technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sentiment analysis. Technical analysis focuses on price trends, chart patterns, and technical indicators, fundamental analysis focuses on the fundamentals of cryptocurrency projects, and sentiment analysis focuses on the emotions and expectations of market participants.

2. **Risk Management:** Effective risk management is the key to successful trading. This includes determining stop-loss points and target prices for trading, controlling position sizes, and diversifying investment portfolios. Through reasonable risk management, losses can be minimized and investment funds can be protected.

3. **Emotional Control:** During the trading process, you need to remain calm and rational and avoid being swayed by emotions. Greed and fear are the biggest enemies of traders, so learn to control your emotions and don't make impulsive trading decisions.

4. **Execution:** When executing a trade, ensure that the trading plan is executed in a timely and accurate manner. This includes choosing the right trading platform and tools, and processing trading orders in a timely manner. Good execution can ensure the smooth progress of the transaction and maximize the achievement of trading goals.

5. **Continuous learning:** The cryptocurrency market changes rapidly, and traders need to constantly learn and adapt to new market conditions and trading techniques. Continuous learning includes reading market information, participating in trading communities, and learning from others' trading experience to improve their trading skills and knowledge.

These core aspects are interrelated and together constitute a successful trading strategy. Only by continuously improving these aspects can better trading results be achieved in the cryptocurrency market.

Spot trading in the cryptocurrency market Core technologies of spot trading:
1. **Market analysis:** Before conducting spot trading, it is crucial to conduct market analysis. This includes a variety of methods such as technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sentiment analysis to help traders understand market trends, price trends, and market sentiment to make more accurate trading decisions.
2. **Risk management:** Effective risk management is the key to successful spot trading. This includes techniques such as setting stop-loss and take-profit points, determining position size, and diversifying portfolios to minimize losses and protect investment funds.
3. **Order type:** Spot trading platforms usually offer a variety of order types, including market orders, limit orders, stop-loss orders, and take-profit orders. Traders need to understand the characteristics and applicable scenarios of each order type in order to choose the appropriate order type according to market conditions.
4. **Liquidity management:** The liquidity of the spot trading market is crucial for traders. Liquidity management includes selecting exchanges, trading hours, and trading pairs to ensure that transactions can be completed in a timely manner to avoid transaction delays or price slippage due to insufficient liquidity.
5. **Emotional control:** Emotional control is one of the most important skills in spot trading. Traders need to learn to control their emotions and avoid making impulsive trading decisions due to fear, greed or anxiety. Staying calm and rational is the key to success.
6. **Continuous learning:** The cryptocurrency market changes rapidly, and traders need to constantly learn and adapt to new market conditions and trading techniques. Continuous learning includes reading market analysis, participating in trading communities, exchanging experiences, etc. to improve their trading skills and knowledge level.
In summary, the core technologies of spot trading include market analysis, risk management, order types, liquidity management, emotional control and continuous learning. Only by continuously improving these technologies can we achieve better results in the spot trading market.

A 10% loss requires a 12% increase to recover the investment. A 20% loss requires a 25% increase to recover the investment. A 30% loss requires a 42.86% increase to recover the investment. A 40% loss requires a 66.67% increase to recover the investment. A 50% loss requires a 100% increase to recover the investment. A 60% loss requires a 150% increase to recover the investment. A 70% loss requires a 233.33% increase to recover the investment. A 80% loss requires a 400% increase to recover the investment. A 90% loss requires a 900% increase to recover the investment. How much increase do you need to recover the investment?

Binance has just obtained a license from Dubai regulator VARA for retail customers!

Compared with the Federal Reserve, the Bitcoin halving event has a greater impact

The market is there every day, and there are opportunities every day.
If you hold coins and wait for them to rise, then you should hold on to them.
If you play contracts, you should ambush accurately, and don’t let the price not change and your bullets run out. $BTC

#比特币减半 Bitcoin will see a price of 55,000 this time after the halving, and even 52,000 after a short while. Once the price holds up, you can enter the market in batches. $BTC

Life is realistic. Looking at plums will not quench your thirst, and drawing cakes will not satisfy your hunger.
You can get rich by buying big cakes in the cryptocurrency circle. $BTC

Binance Launchpool: BNB or FDUSD? How to choose between long-term and short-term strategies?

Under the short-term strategy, FDUSD has a higher rate of return and risk resistance; BNB mining is suitable for users who hold for a long time and do not make short-term transactions.
In the recent Binance new coin mining, only BNB and FDUSD can be used to participate. What is the difference in the rate of return between the two? Which is better, the long-term or short-term holding strategy?

Analyze the data of the past 12 periods to see the profit and loss situation under different strategies.
The short-term strategy refers to buying FDUSD/BNB at the beginning of the new coin mining and selling it at the end of the mining. The net profit or loss is the mining income minus the price difference before and after mining.

FDUSD data analysis
The figure below shows the relevant data of FDUSD in the past twelve periods, including the price changes before and after "Binance announced the new coin mining", the price changes at the beginning and end of the "new coin mining activity", and the corresponding rate of return and short-term strategy income.

12-period data deciphers Binance Launchpool: BNB or FDUSD? How to choose between long-term and short-term strategies?
After Launchpool was issued, the increase in FDUSD was relatively consistent, with an average of 0.3%;
During the period from the beginning to the end of mining, the decline in FDUSD was quite different, with an average of -0.4%. At the same time, it means that the discount rate of FDUSD is also relatively stable, and the long-term price difference is not large;
Similarly, the annualized yield of each period is also quite different, and the relative size between each period is basically the same as the BNB mining pool;
Using the holding profit and loss to superimpose the absolute return of mining, the absolute return under the short-term strategy, and then converting it into an annualized yield, the corresponding average annualized rate is 67%, and there is no negative value, that is, temporary purchases also have higher returns;
In addition, in the SAGA new coin mining period, FDUSD issued more than 1.1 billion US dollars, but the yield did not decline. Whether it can be maintained requires multiple periods of verification.

BNB data comparison
The statistical object is changed to BNB mining pool, and all statistical calibers remain unchanged. The specific data are shown in the following table.
12-period data deciphers Binance Launchpool: BNB or FDUSD? How to choose long-term and short-term strategies?
New coin mining has a significant boosting effect on BNB prices, with greater volatility;
Correspondingly, BNB price fluctuations before and after mining are also greater, and are most likely negative, with only 4 of the 12 periods being significantly positive. This means that if you buy BNB before mining and hold it until maturity, you will most likely have to endure a certain price drop;
The average mining yield of BNB is 136%, which is basically lower than the FDUSD mining pool (average 157%) before the issuance of FDUSD;
BNB's short-term mining strategy is extremely volatile, and the average annualized yield is almost the same as FDUSD, at 66% and 67% respectively, but it should be noted that it is mainly supported by the increase in BNB in ​​the two rounds of NFP and AEVO (the unit price of BNB has increased by more than 40 USDT).

Conclusion
If I want to buy temporarily and exit after mining, is FDUSD or BNB better?
For users who only want to obtain the mining income of new coins, the income of the two is close, but FDUSD is more stable, and for users with neutral strategies, there is no need to hedge BNB, and the yield is actually higher.
Therefore, FDUSD is a better choice for short-term strategies.
For long-term holders, which one is better?
Based on the data of the past 12 periods, FDUSD is only 15.4% higher than BNB in ​​annualized yield. This means that for users, if they believe that BNB can still rise by 15.4% on the current basis, then BNB's advantage is more obvious.
However, the above conclusion is from the perspective of pure currency holding. In fact, there are still operations such as mortgaging FDUSD to borrow ETH and other assets, conducting on-chain mining activities during the window period, and transferring back during the mining period. Therefore, it is necessary to make decisions based on the specific situation of the user.
How long is the mining window period?
From the start of ACE mining to the end of SAGA, there are a total of 118 days, while the mining period is 64 days and the window period is 54 days. Therefore, the average interval between each period is only 4.9 days.
So what is the yield of not participating in the mining strategy by buying BNB/FDUSD at the bottom after the mining is completed and selling it after the announcement?
For BNB, the absolute yield of the above operations is 2.44%, which is 1.8% higher than the absolute yield of mining. Calculated according to the 4.9-day window period, the annualized yield is 181.7%. However, reusing this strategy requires considering the risk of BNB falling from a high level;
For FDUSD, the yield of this operation is 0.3%, which is much lower than the 1.3% of mining income

$BNB $FDUSD

Many altcoins have stabilized slightly at the 1-hour level. Long-term positions can be appropriately covered, and short-term positions can be traded in waves. Pay attention to the recent pressure level of 63,000 and 64,500. .$BTC

The US's woolen knife has slashed from Europe to Asia-Pacific! Crazy US dollar index and aggressive interest rates! The Asia-Pacific stock and foreign exchange markets have suffered directly! Asian currency exchange rates have fallen sharply: The Japanese yen has continued to fall below the 154 integer mark against the US dollar, hitting a new low since 1990 for five consecutive trading days, a 34-year low! The Korean won fell to its lowest point against the US dollar since November 2022; the Indonesian rupiah fell to its lowest point in the past four years against the US dollar; the Vietnamese dong fell to a historical low against the US dollar! Do you feel the taste of 1997? At the same time, Asia-Pacific stock markets have also fallen, whether it is the Nikkei Index or the Korea Composite Index. When the currency depreciates faster, what should BTC do? $BTC

There are less than 3 days until BTC halving, and the market is experiencing frequent ups and downs. What do you think? $BTC

BTC market is in a tense situation. Although there is a rebound, the 62,000 level has not been broken through. The rebound is still a little weak. There are less than 2 days before the halving. Be cautious and wait and see. $BTC