Finance军师
@tiansnagp
公众号同名：Finance军师.曾经任职头部孵化机构项目经理，做过VC，专业的宏观分析师，金融规划师，深研究币圈体系，擅长:现货，低倍杠杆合约中长期布局。
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This week's token unlock overview:
Movement (MOVE) will unlock approximately 50 million tokens at 8 PM Beijing time on January 9, accounting for 2.22% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 53 million USD;
io.net (IO) will unlock approximately 3.22 million tokens at 8 PM Beijing time on January 11, accounting for 2.50% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 11.8 million USD;
Kaspa (KAS) will unlock approximately 182 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 6, accounting for 0.72% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 22.7 million USD;
Axie Infinity (AXS) will unlock approximately 815 thousand tokens at 9:10 PM Beijing time on January 12, accounting for 0.52% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 5.6 million USD;
Aptos (APT) will unlock approximately 11.31 million tokens at 9:59 AM Beijing time on January 11, accounting for 2.03% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 110 million USD;
Ethena (ENA) will unlock approximately 12.86 million tokens at 3 PM Beijing time on January 8, accounting for 0.42% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 16.2 million USD;
Optimism (OP) will unlock approximately 4.47 million tokens at 4 AM Beijing time on January 10, accounting for 0.33% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 9.3 million USD;
Delysium (AGI) will unlock approximately 33.59 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 6, accounting for 2.45% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 5 million USD;
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) will unlock approximately 1.29 million tokens at 3 AM Beijing time on January 8, accounting for 0.61% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 5.2 million USD.
Movement (MOVE) will unlock approximately 50 million tokens at 8 PM Beijing time on January 9, accounting for 2.22% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 53 million USD;
io.net (IO) will unlock approximately 3.22 million tokens at 8 PM Beijing time on January 11, accounting for 2.50% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 11.8 million USD;
Kaspa (KAS) will unlock approximately 182 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 6, accounting for 0.72% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 22.7 million USD;
Axie Infinity (AXS) will unlock approximately 815 thousand tokens at 9:10 PM Beijing time on January 12, accounting for 0.52% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 5.6 million USD;
Aptos (APT) will unlock approximately 11.31 million tokens at 9:59 AM Beijing time on January 11, accounting for 2.03% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 110 million USD;
Ethena (ENA) will unlock approximately 12.86 million tokens at 3 PM Beijing time on January 8, accounting for 0.42% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 16.2 million USD;
Optimism (OP) will unlock approximately 4.47 million tokens at 4 AM Beijing time on January 10, accounting for 0.33% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 9.3 million USD;
Delysium (AGI) will unlock approximately 33.59 million tokens at 8 AM Beijing time on January 6, accounting for 2.45% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 5 million USD;
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) will unlock approximately 1.29 million tokens at 3 AM Beijing time on January 8, accounting for 0.61% of the current circulation, valued at approximately 5.2 million USD.
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She is still pretty after all these years and still works.
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Military Advisor Market Analysis: (Issue 163)
Review of Issue 162 Clearing Chart: From the perspective of the clearing chart, this wave of market has been a one-sided clearing of short positions from 91500, with few remaining short positions clustered around 98500. A large amount of long liquidity has accumulated at 96000/94100/93300 below.
Let's see if it will push up to 99000 tonight to clear the short positions above before turning around to clear the long positions.
Last night, the price peaked at 98940, sweeping up all the short positions. This morning, a new wave of short sellers has entered, with the clearing price around 99500. Therefore, from the perspective of the clearing chart, 99500 is likely the final price, clearing the long positions down to 97200/94500.
Review of Bitcoin's K-line: From the K-line perspective, this position seems a bit high at the moment, not suitable for chasing positions, and it's easy to get trapped. Those who want to operate should either wait to short when it goes up or buy the dip when it falls. This position is quite awkward; consider shorting around 99000 and going long around 93500.
The short positions at 99000 are still a bit short, with the price peaking at 98940, and this morning's pullback price.
Today's trading idea: consider shorting between 99000-99500 with proper stop-loss.
Bitcoin ETF: The second day of the new year performed much stronger than the first day, with a net inflow of 907 million.
FBTC Fidelity bought 357 million, while BlackRock and ARKB bought 252 million and 223 million, respectively.
Foreigners are back from the New Year. They are starting their investment life with strong purchasing power.
Yesterday was Friday, the last trading day of the week. With this performance, the purchasing power expectations for next week are strong.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday's net inflow was 58 million. Compared to the enthusiasm for Bitcoin, it is indeed a bit lacking. We need to wait for some of the enthusiasm for Bitcoin to fade before it flows into ETH. The long-term outlook still does not affect Ethereum's height this year; patiently wait for the era of Ethereum.
Summary: The tone of the new year feels better for the market. As the saying goes, if you haven't gotten in, don't rush; wait for opportunities. For those who have entered, reduce positions in batches. If everyone gets excited and rushes in, a pullback is likely to come. There will always be opportunities to get in; don't FOMO.
Review of Issue 162 Clearing Chart: From the perspective of the clearing chart, this wave of market has been a one-sided clearing of short positions from 91500, with few remaining short positions clustered around 98500. A large amount of long liquidity has accumulated at 96000/94100/93300 below.
Let's see if it will push up to 99000 tonight to clear the short positions above before turning around to clear the long positions.
Last night, the price peaked at 98940, sweeping up all the short positions. This morning, a new wave of short sellers has entered, with the clearing price around 99500. Therefore, from the perspective of the clearing chart, 99500 is likely the final price, clearing the long positions down to 97200/94500.
Review of Bitcoin's K-line: From the K-line perspective, this position seems a bit high at the moment, not suitable for chasing positions, and it's easy to get trapped. Those who want to operate should either wait to short when it goes up or buy the dip when it falls. This position is quite awkward; consider shorting around 99000 and going long around 93500.
The short positions at 99000 are still a bit short, with the price peaking at 98940, and this morning's pullback price.
Today's trading idea: consider shorting between 99000-99500 with proper stop-loss.
Bitcoin ETF: The second day of the new year performed much stronger than the first day, with a net inflow of 907 million.
FBTC Fidelity bought 357 million, while BlackRock and ARKB bought 252 million and 223 million, respectively.
Foreigners are back from the New Year. They are starting their investment life with strong purchasing power.
Yesterday was Friday, the last trading day of the week. With this performance, the purchasing power expectations for next week are strong.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday's net inflow was 58 million. Compared to the enthusiasm for Bitcoin, it is indeed a bit lacking. We need to wait for some of the enthusiasm for Bitcoin to fade before it flows into ETH. The long-term outlook still does not affect Ethereum's height this year; patiently wait for the era of Ethereum.
Summary: The tone of the new year feels better for the market. As the saying goes, if you haven't gotten in, don't rush; wait for opportunities. For those who have entered, reduce positions in batches. If everyone gets excited and rushes in, a pullback is likely to come. There will always be opportunities to get in; don't FOMO.
Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 162)
Liquidation Chart: From the perspective of the liquidation chart, this wave of market has been unilaterally clearing short orders from 91500, and there are few short orders left, gathered near 98500. A large amount of long liquidity is accumulated at 96000/94100/93300 below.
Let's see if it will rush up to 99000 tonight to clear the short orders above, and then turn around to clear the longs.
Bitcoin K-line: From the perspective of the K-line, the current position is a bit high, not suitable for chasing orders, and it is easy to be trapped. Friends who want to operate either wait to go short or buy the bottom when it falls. This position is very awkward.
Operational ideas: You can consider shorting near 99000, and long near 93500.
Bitcoin ETF: The first trading day of the new year was a bit rough. BlackRock directly sold $331 million, with a net outflow of $246.2 million.
Ethereum ETF: Net outflow of $77.5 million yesterday.
At this stage, the probability of a unilateral move is not high, and it will still fluctuate up and down. The market will continue at least until the end of the month, and it will continue to be a pain.
Liquidation Chart: From the perspective of the liquidation chart, this wave of market has been unilaterally clearing short orders from 91500, and there are few short orders left, gathered near 98500. A large amount of long liquidity is accumulated at 96000/94100/93300 below.
Let's see if it will rush up to 99000 tonight to clear the short orders above, and then turn around to clear the longs.
Bitcoin K-line: From the perspective of the K-line, the current position is a bit high, not suitable for chasing orders, and it is easy to be trapped. Friends who want to operate either wait to go short or buy the bottom when it falls. This position is very awkward.
Operational ideas: You can consider shorting near 99000, and long near 93500.
Bitcoin ETF: The first trading day of the new year was a bit rough. BlackRock directly sold $331 million, with a net outflow of $246.2 million.
Ethereum ETF: Net outflow of $77.5 million yesterday.
At this stage, the probability of a unilateral move is not high, and it will still fluctuate up and down. The market will continue at least until the end of the month, and it will continue to be a pain.
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Military Advisor's Late Night Analysis: (No. 53)
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
BTC
Last night: The market rose steadily. If it breaks through, we will first look at 97500/99000. Only if it effectively stands at 100,000+ can it be considered that this decline has ended and a new period of rising market has begun.
During the day, it reached a high of 97820 and began to move in a downward channel, which was not much different from the predicted 97500.
Tonight's operation ideas: The oscillating downward channel is still relatively weak, and there is a probability of breaking through.
ETH: The pressure level above Ethereum is 3550. It must effectively stand above 3550+ to be considered that the decline has ended. If it cannot break through, it will still fluctuate in the range of 3200-3550.
The price of ETH tonight is very strong and is preparing to break through the oscillation range.
Operation ideas: First look at 3650/3710 upwards. 3710 is a more comfortable position for shorting.
SOL: It is very strong and keeps pulling up. Look up to see if the price can break through 225. This position can be used as a defensive position. Don't chase it if you haven't got on the train. 200 is now a strong support.
DOGE: Dogecoin can break through the 0.365 position, and look up to the 0.4 pressure level.
0.4 is a position that can defend short selling.
Summary: Don’t chase too much if you haven’t bought the bottom, it’s easy to get stuck. Wait for the opportunity to step back before getting on the train. If you have a position to buy the bottom, you can get it to the expected position to reduce your position. Now it is mainly oscillating, and it’s not yet a one-way time!
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
BTC
Last night: The market rose steadily. If it breaks through, we will first look at 97500/99000. Only if it effectively stands at 100,000+ can it be considered that this decline has ended and a new period of rising market has begun.
During the day, it reached a high of 97820 and began to move in a downward channel, which was not much different from the predicted 97500.
Tonight's operation ideas: The oscillating downward channel is still relatively weak, and there is a probability of breaking through.
ETH: The pressure level above Ethereum is 3550. It must effectively stand above 3550+ to be considered that the decline has ended. If it cannot break through, it will still fluctuate in the range of 3200-3550.
The price of ETH tonight is very strong and is preparing to break through the oscillation range.
Operation ideas: First look at 3650/3710 upwards. 3710 is a more comfortable position for shorting.
SOL: It is very strong and keeps pulling up. Look up to see if the price can break through 225. This position can be used as a defensive position. Don't chase it if you haven't got on the train. 200 is now a strong support.
DOGE: Dogecoin can break through the 0.365 position, and look up to the 0.4 pressure level.
0.4 is a position that can defend short selling.
Summary: Don’t chase too much if you haven’t bought the bottom, it’s easy to get stuck. Wait for the opportunity to step back before getting on the train. If you have a position to buy the bottom, you can get it to the expected position to reduce your position. Now it is mainly oscillating, and it’s not yet a one-way time!
Military Advisor's Late Night Analysis: (Issue 52)
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is the first trading day of the New Year, happy New Year brothers! !
The market is good, a new beginning, a violent bull market is on the way, and copycats are on the way!
Let's look at Bitcoin:
The market is rising steadily. If it breaks through, we will first look at 97500/99000. Only if it effectively stands at 100,000+ can it be considered that this decline has ended and a new upward trend has begun.
If it fails to break through 100,000, it will still fluctuate in the range.
ETH: The pressure level above Ethereum is 3550. It must effectively stand at 3550+ to be considered that the decline has ended. If it fails to break through, it will still fluctuate in the range of 3200-3550.
SOL: SOL is the best performer today. Before, the military advisor called on everyone to buy the bottom at 180, which is very cost-effective. Now SOL has a great chance to break through the downward trend.
Look at 211 first. If the price effectively stands at 220+, it will be considered that the decline has ended.
DOGE: Dogecoin also performed well. It only fell to 0.26 for the first time and has not broken 0.3 since then. If it goes up, we will first look at 0.35. If it effectively stands above 0.365, the decline will be considered over.
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is the first trading day of the New Year, happy New Year brothers! !
The market is good, a new beginning, a violent bull market is on the way, and copycats are on the way!
Let's look at Bitcoin:
The market is rising steadily. If it breaks through, we will first look at 97500/99000. Only if it effectively stands at 100,000+ can it be considered that this decline has ended and a new upward trend has begun.
If it fails to break through 100,000, it will still fluctuate in the range.
ETH: The pressure level above Ethereum is 3550. It must effectively stand at 3550+ to be considered that the decline has ended. If it fails to break through, it will still fluctuate in the range of 3200-3550.
SOL: SOL is the best performer today. Before, the military advisor called on everyone to buy the bottom at 180, which is very cost-effective. Now SOL has a great chance to break through the downward trend.
Look at 211 first. If the price effectively stands at 220+, it will be considered that the decline has ended.
DOGE: Dogecoin also performed well. It only fell to 0.26 for the first time and has not broken 0.3 since then. If it goes up, we will first look at 0.35. If it effectively stands above 0.365, the decline will be considered over.
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ULTI price has dropped to shit!
Voting process for futures contracts on Binance now!
The price is right now, just get on board and bet on the expectation of listing on Binance!
If you bet, you will get rich instantly! !
Voting process for futures contracts on Binance now!
The price is right now, just get on board and bet on the expectation of listing on Binance!
If you bet, you will get rich instantly! !
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Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 162)
Liquidation Chart: From the perspective of the liquidation chart, this wave of market has been unilaterally clearing short orders from 91500, and there are few short orders left, gathered near 98500. A large amount of long liquidity is accumulated at 96000/94100/93300 below.
Let's see if it will rush up to 99000 tonight to clear the short orders above, and then turn around to clear the longs.
Bitcoin K-line: From the perspective of the K-line, the current position is a bit high, not suitable for chasing orders, and it is easy to be trapped. Friends who want to operate either wait to go short or buy the bottom when it falls. This position is very awkward.
Operational ideas: You can consider shorting near 99000, and long near 93500.
Bitcoin ETF: The first trading day of the new year was a bit rough. BlackRock directly sold $331 million, with a net outflow of $246.2 million.
Ethereum ETF: Net outflow of $77.5 million yesterday.
At this stage, the probability of a unilateral move is not high, and it will still fluctuate up and down. The market will continue at least until the end of the month, and it will continue to be a pain.
Liquidation Chart: From the perspective of the liquidation chart, this wave of market has been unilaterally clearing short orders from 91500, and there are few short orders left, gathered near 98500. A large amount of long liquidity is accumulated at 96000/94100/93300 below.
Let's see if it will rush up to 99000 tonight to clear the short orders above, and then turn around to clear the longs.
Bitcoin K-line: From the perspective of the K-line, the current position is a bit high, not suitable for chasing orders, and it is easy to be trapped. Friends who want to operate either wait to go short or buy the bottom when it falls. This position is very awkward.
Operational ideas: You can consider shorting near 99000, and long near 93500.
Bitcoin ETF: The first trading day of the new year was a bit rough. BlackRock directly sold $331 million, with a net outflow of $246.2 million.
Ethereum ETF: Net outflow of $77.5 million yesterday.
At this stage, the probability of a unilateral move is not high, and it will still fluctuate up and down. The market will continue at least until the end of the month, and it will continue to be a pain.
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Military Advisor's Late Night Analysis: (Issue 52)
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is the first trading day of the New Year, happy New Year brothers! !
The market is good, a new beginning, a violent bull market is on the way, and copycats are on the way!
Let's look at Bitcoin:
The market is rising steadily. If it breaks through, we will first look at 97500/99000. Only if it effectively stands at 100,000+ can it be considered that this decline has ended and a new upward trend has begun.
If it fails to break through 100,000, it will still fluctuate in the range.
ETH: The pressure level above Ethereum is 3550. It must effectively stand at 3550+ to be considered that the decline has ended. If it fails to break through, it will still fluctuate in the range of 3200-3550.
SOL: SOL is the best performer today. Before, the military advisor called on everyone to buy the bottom at 180, which is very cost-effective. Now SOL has a great chance to break through the downward trend.
Look at 211 first. If the price effectively stands at 220+, it will be considered that the decline has ended.
DOGE: Dogecoin also performed well. It only fell to 0.26 for the first time and has not broken 0.3 since then. If it goes up, we will first look at 0.35. If it effectively stands above 0.365, the decline will be considered over.
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is the first trading day of the New Year, happy New Year brothers! !
The market is good, a new beginning, a violent bull market is on the way, and copycats are on the way!
Let's look at Bitcoin:
The market is rising steadily. If it breaks through, we will first look at 97500/99000. Only if it effectively stands at 100,000+ can it be considered that this decline has ended and a new upward trend has begun.
If it fails to break through 100,000, it will still fluctuate in the range.
ETH: The pressure level above Ethereum is 3550. It must effectively stand at 3550+ to be considered that the decline has ended. If it fails to break through, it will still fluctuate in the range of 3200-3550.
SOL: SOL is the best performer today. Before, the military advisor called on everyone to buy the bottom at 180, which is very cost-effective. Now SOL has a great chance to break through the downward trend.
Look at 211 first. If the price effectively stands at 220+, it will be considered that the decline has ended.
DOGE: Dogecoin also performed well. It only fell to 0.26 for the first time and has not broken 0.3 since then. If it goes up, we will first look at 0.35. If it effectively stands above 0.365, the decline will be considered over.
Military Advisor's Late Night Analysis: (Issue 51)
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is Christmas Eve and I will work half a day. Tomorrow is Christmas Day and the liquidity is relatively poor.
There is basically no trading. The market will most likely start at the end of the month or the beginning of the month.
BTC is currently the weakest. Foreigners, companies and institutions have to recover funds during the Chinese New Year. There has been a net outflow for three consecutive trading days, and 11,950 bitcoins have been sold.
For the current market situation, the price has been sideways below, and there must be a lot of longs buying the bottom.
Trading ideas: Wait for an opportunity around 90,000-91,000. There should be a needle drop to break up the chips before the official launch.
Ethereum: It is very hard at the moment. Military Advisor previously arranged a bottom-hunting position of 3,200.
You can eat two waves in the past few days, 3200-3500 3220-3450.
Trading ideas: Don't force it if you haven't entered the market yet, and continue to wait for opportunities below 3,300.
SOL: The 180 bottom-fishing arranged by the military advisor before is also the standard two waves of 180-200/180-193. Those who bravely fished for the bottom have made money, and the same is true for those who did not get on the train. Wait for the opportunity.
Operational ideas: Wait for the opportunity to get on the train below 180. If it is sideways here, you can't control it and rush in directly. It is not ruled out that it will continue to bottom out.
DOGE: The bottom-fishing is 0.29, the lowest is 0.26, a little worse. At present, according to the K-line
0.29 is also an excellent opportunity, rebounding to 0.35.
Operational ideas: It is recommended to wait for opportunities below 0.3.
Summary: The price has been sideways here. It is unrealistic to wait for everyone to get on the train. Don't be excited if you don't get on the train at a low level. The military advisor believes that there will be a standard bottom-fishing before the rise comes to sweep away the bottom-fishing before it goes up.
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is Christmas Eve and I will work half a day. Tomorrow is Christmas Day and the liquidity is relatively poor.
There is basically no trading. The market will most likely start at the end of the month or the beginning of the month.
BTC is currently the weakest. Foreigners, companies and institutions have to recover funds during the Chinese New Year. There has been a net outflow for three consecutive trading days, and 11,950 bitcoins have been sold.
For the current market situation, the price has been sideways below, and there must be a lot of longs buying the bottom.
Trading ideas: Wait for an opportunity around 90,000-91,000. There should be a needle drop to break up the chips before the official launch.
Ethereum: It is very hard at the moment. Military Advisor previously arranged a bottom-hunting position of 3,200.
You can eat two waves in the past few days, 3200-3500 3220-3450.
Trading ideas: Don't force it if you haven't entered the market yet, and continue to wait for opportunities below 3,300.
SOL: The 180 bottom-fishing arranged by the military advisor before is also the standard two waves of 180-200/180-193. Those who bravely fished for the bottom have made money, and the same is true for those who did not get on the train. Wait for the opportunity.
Operational ideas: Wait for the opportunity to get on the train below 180. If it is sideways here, you can't control it and rush in directly. It is not ruled out that it will continue to bottom out.
DOGE: The bottom-fishing is 0.29, the lowest is 0.26, a little worse. At present, according to the K-line
0.29 is also an excellent opportunity, rebounding to 0.35.
Operational ideas: It is recommended to wait for opportunities below 0.3.
Summary: The price has been sideways here. It is unrealistic to wait for everyone to get on the train. Don't be excited if you don't get on the train at a low level. The military advisor believes that there will be a standard bottom-fishing before the rise comes to sweep away the bottom-fishing before it goes up.
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Grayscale Research Update Q1 2025 TOP 20 Focus Assets.
Newly added HYPE, ENA, VIRTUAL, JUP, JTO, and GRASS.
Newly added HYPE, ENA, VIRTUAL, JUP, JTO, and GRASS.
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The Vice Dean of the School of Business and Management at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Huang Hao, suggested that Mainland China transfer 190,000 bitcoins to the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government to support Hong Kong in becoming a cryptocurrency hub.
What do you think? It would really help Hong Kong stand up😁
What do you think? It would really help Hong Kong stand up😁
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Advisor Market Analysis: (Issue 161)
Settlement Chart: Last Saturday, the advisor mentioned that the market is oscillating with both bulls and bears suffering losses. Let's take a look at the predictions at that time: today is a day of sideways movement, we see the settlement chart with shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place their bets, and it's highly likely they will both fall.
From Saturday until now, Bitcoin first went to 95600 and cleared a wave of shorts, and this morning it dropped down to 92900 and cleared a wave of long positions. Both bulls and bears are falling together.
Where to go next?
Having just cleared downwards, the shorts are first looking at 94500/96000 limits, and then at 97500.
Bitcoin Candlestick Chart: Based on the current pattern, I firmly see oscillation. The advisor has outlined the oscillation range, with a low of 92900 and a high of 98000.
Within this range of 92900-94000, one can go long when the price is low, and one can go short above 96500, just focusing on short positions without a broader strategy. Protect the high and low points and set stop losses well!
Spot Bitcoin ETF Week 51 Net Flow: -379 million USD
This week, only 2 ETFs had small inflows: $BTC 990,000, $HODL 100,000
Fidelity had an outflow of 183 million USD, and BlackRock had an outflow of 22.7 million USD.
The fourth quarter Bitcoin ETF remains the best-performing quarter this year, with inflows reaching 16.8 billion USD.
Spot Ethereum ETF: This week saw inflows of 349.3 million USD, with no day of net outflow.
Only Grayscale sold a mini position once at 1859, key point: no other ETFs have sold a single Ethereum, the future is promising and requires no further words from me.
Summary: The overall direction remains unchanged, the short-term market is still unclear, those holding spot should just hold tight, and those trading contracts should follow the above strategy for short positions.
Settlement Chart: Last Saturday, the advisor mentioned that the market is oscillating with both bulls and bears suffering losses. Let's take a look at the predictions at that time: today is a day of sideways movement, we see the settlement chart with shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place their bets, and it's highly likely they will both fall.
From Saturday until now, Bitcoin first went to 95600 and cleared a wave of shorts, and this morning it dropped down to 92900 and cleared a wave of long positions. Both bulls and bears are falling together.
Where to go next?
Having just cleared downwards, the shorts are first looking at 94500/96000 limits, and then at 97500.
Bitcoin Candlestick Chart: Based on the current pattern, I firmly see oscillation. The advisor has outlined the oscillation range, with a low of 92900 and a high of 98000.
Within this range of 92900-94000, one can go long when the price is low, and one can go short above 96500, just focusing on short positions without a broader strategy. Protect the high and low points and set stop losses well!
Spot Bitcoin ETF Week 51 Net Flow: -379 million USD
This week, only 2 ETFs had small inflows: $BTC 990,000, $HODL 100,000
Fidelity had an outflow of 183 million USD, and BlackRock had an outflow of 22.7 million USD.
The fourth quarter Bitcoin ETF remains the best-performing quarter this year, with inflows reaching 16.8 billion USD.
Spot Ethereum ETF: This week saw inflows of 349.3 million USD, with no day of net outflow.
Only Grayscale sold a mini position once at 1859, key point: no other ETFs have sold a single Ethereum, the future is promising and requires no further words from me.
Summary: The overall direction remains unchanged, the short-term market is still unclear, those holding spot should just hold tight, and those trading contracts should follow the above strategy for short positions.
Strategist's Market Analysis: (Issue 160)
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
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Crypto Weekly Highlights (Important Events)
Headline preview:
(Market in Crypto-Assets (MiCA)) will take effect on December 30;
Optimism (OP) will unlock approximately 31.34 million tokens at 8:00 AM on December 31, 2024 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.32% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $58.6 million;
ai16z will announce a new token economics proposal around January 1;
Sui (SUI) will unlock approximately 64.19 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.19% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $270 million;
ZetaChain (ZETA) will unlock approximately 53.89 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 9.35% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $32 million;
(Market in Crypto-Assets (MiCA)) will take effect on December 30;
Optimism (OP) will unlock approximately 31.34 million tokens at 8:00 AM on December 31, 2024 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.32% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $58.6 million;
ai16z will announce a new token economics proposal around January 1;
Sui (SUI) will unlock approximately 64.19 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.19% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $270 million;
ZetaChain (ZETA) will unlock approximately 53.89 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 9.35% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $32 million;
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The Philosophy of Happiness in Crypto Investment: Don't Wait Until Financial Freedom to Start Living Well
"If you haven't used that money to change your life and the lives of those you love, then that money cannot truly change lives."
In the cryptocurrency space, retirement and achieving 'financial freedom' are almost everyone's core goals — after all, this industry has become the best stage for going from nothing to wealth freedom, sometimes even creating generational wealth overnight.
However, behind this rapid wealth accumulation are some concerns that cannot be overlooked:
Long-term obsession with high-risk, gambling-like investment behavior, hard to escape from.
In the cryptocurrency space, retirement and achieving 'financial freedom' are almost everyone's core goals — after all, this industry has become the best stage for going from nothing to wealth freedom, sometimes even creating generational wealth overnight.
However, behind this rapid wealth accumulation are some concerns that cannot be overlooked:
Long-term obsession with high-risk, gambling-like investment behavior, hard to escape from.
See original
Strategist's Market Analysis: (Issue 160)
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 159)
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
See original
James Fickel, the biggest whale of ETH/BTC exchange rate bulls, fell today! He sold his ETH/BTC exchange rate long position that he had held for a year in tears.
4 hours ago, he sold 6429 ETH ($21.45M) in exchange for 227 WBTC to pay off all WBTC, with a cumulative loss of $68.84 million (20,632 ETH):
In the first half of the year, he borrowed 2,987 WBTC through Aave at an exchange rate of 0.054 and sold them in exchange for 55,315 ETH to go long on the ETH/BTC exchange rate;
Since August, he has sold ETH to buy back WBTC to repay the loan, spending a total of 75,947 ETH to buy back 2,987 WBTC at an exchange rate of 0.0393 to repay the loan;
This giant is also a heavy follower of ETH, and finally ended his one-year position with a floating loss of 68.84 million US dollars.
Conclusion: Leveraged cryptocurrency trading is not feasible, no matter how big the giants are, they are all finished!!
With the giants gone, is Ethereum about to take off?
The last time when the bottom was bought at 2400, many ancient whales could not hold on and took off!!
4 hours ago, he sold 6429 ETH ($21.45M) in exchange for 227 WBTC to pay off all WBTC, with a cumulative loss of $68.84 million (20,632 ETH):
In the first half of the year, he borrowed 2,987 WBTC through Aave at an exchange rate of 0.054 and sold them in exchange for 55,315 ETH to go long on the ETH/BTC exchange rate;
Since August, he has sold ETH to buy back WBTC to repay the loan, spending a total of 75,947 ETH to buy back 2,987 WBTC at an exchange rate of 0.0393 to repay the loan;
This giant is also a heavy follower of ETH, and finally ended his one-year position with a floating loss of 68.84 million US dollars.
Conclusion: Leveraged cryptocurrency trading is not feasible, no matter how big the giants are, they are all finished!!
With the giants gone, is Ethereum about to take off?
The last time when the bottom was bought at 2400, many ancient whales could not hold on and took off!!
See original
The three top-tier institutional selection projects that have recently exploded across the internet!
The more concentrated, intersecting, and overlapping they are, the more attention is needed!
Wealth code is given away for free!
The more concentrated, intersecting, and overlapping they are, the more attention is needed!
Wealth code is given away for free!
See original
A whale address withdrew 15,332 ETH ($51.77M) from Binance 20 minutes ago.
Then he deposited 7,500 ETH into StakeStone and exchanged it for beraSTONE, and then combined it with 7,830 ETH to form liquidity in Uniswap V3.
The big investors are optimistic about the subsequent market, and they use ETH to pledge and earn U flexibly.
Then he deposited 7,500 ETH into StakeStone and exchanged it for beraSTONE, and then combined it with 7,830 ETH to form liquidity in Uniswap V3.
The big investors are optimistic about the subsequent market, and they use ETH to pledge and earn U flexibly.
See original
Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 159)
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
Master's Market Analysis: (Issue 158)
Let's take a look at the liquidation chart: last night saw a direct surge in short positions, the master was previously inclined to first liquidate the long positions at 91500 before moving up, and indeed the market has a strong bearish sentiment.
89000/85000/83000 are all possible levels, even down to 79000, but currently, this does not seem likely unless there is a black swan event later.
Our liquidation targets are upward at 99600/101000.
Bitcoin K-line: The significant rise last night with that large bullish candle was indeed unexpected, and the master currently cannot make sense of it without basis. Yesterday, institutions sold a lot of ETF. Besides the futures driving up to liquidate short contracts, I can't think of any reason; if it really wants to rise, it must stabilize above 100,000 and break through 103,000.
The market was very weak yesterday, and the sudden surge at night did not give me much sense of security. Personally, I feel there is a high probability of being misled, and it might return the same way.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday, there was a net outflow of 340 million USD, and BlackRock sold 190 million... This part the master has mentioned before, naturally, bonuses need to be distributed during the New Year, both individuals and companies need to celebrate, continuous selling will have to wait until after the New Year. By the end of the month, foreigners will be enjoying their New Year.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday, there was a net inflow of 54.5 million USD. From the two ETF charts, I believe everyone can see the issue clearly; institutions are optimistic about the future appreciation of Ethereum.
Basically, there is very little selling, just follow the institutions' lead; the more it drops, the more you buy and hold onto it; the next wave of highs can reach 4800 without much problem.
Summary: The recent market has not yet established a trend; the bottom position is confirmed. If the spot price drops, buy it; be cautious with contracts, especially high-leverage contracts, and it's not impossible for altcoins to drop further by tens.
Let's take a look at the liquidation chart: last night saw a direct surge in short positions, the master was previously inclined to first liquidate the long positions at 91500 before moving up, and indeed the market has a strong bearish sentiment.
89000/85000/83000 are all possible levels, even down to 79000, but currently, this does not seem likely unless there is a black swan event later.
Our liquidation targets are upward at 99600/101000.
Bitcoin K-line: The significant rise last night with that large bullish candle was indeed unexpected, and the master currently cannot make sense of it without basis. Yesterday, institutions sold a lot of ETF. Besides the futures driving up to liquidate short contracts, I can't think of any reason; if it really wants to rise, it must stabilize above 100,000 and break through 103,000.
The market was very weak yesterday, and the sudden surge at night did not give me much sense of security. Personally, I feel there is a high probability of being misled, and it might return the same way.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday, there was a net outflow of 340 million USD, and BlackRock sold 190 million... This part the master has mentioned before, naturally, bonuses need to be distributed during the New Year, both individuals and companies need to celebrate, continuous selling will have to wait until after the New Year. By the end of the month, foreigners will be enjoying their New Year.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday, there was a net inflow of 54.5 million USD. From the two ETF charts, I believe everyone can see the issue clearly; institutions are optimistic about the future appreciation of Ethereum.
Basically, there is very little selling, just follow the institutions' lead; the more it drops, the more you buy and hold onto it; the next wave of highs can reach 4800 without much problem.
Summary: The recent market has not yet established a trend; the bottom position is confirmed. If the spot price drops, buy it; be cautious with contracts, especially high-leverage contracts, and it's not impossible for altcoins to drop further by tens.
See original
Forbes' 2025 Crypto Predictions: More Major Powers Embrace Bitcoin Reserves, Total Crypto Market Value Exceeds $8 Trillion
2024 marks a historic turning point for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. This year, the first Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs will launch, marking true institutional adoption. Bitcoin will first break the $100,000 mark, while stablecoins continue to solidify the dollar's dominance globally. To further propel this momentum, the winning presidential candidate in the U.S. will make support for Bitcoin a central pillar of their campaign.
Overall, these milestones solidify 2024 as a year for the crypto industry to prove itself as an unstoppable force on the global stage. As the industry shifts focus to 2025, here are seven predictions for significant events that may occur next year.
Overall, these milestones solidify 2024 as a year for the crypto industry to prove itself as an unstoppable force on the global stage. As the industry shifts focus to 2025, here are seven predictions for significant events that may occur next year.