道长谈比特币
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中长线分析判断比特币走势，仅供娱乐。
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Major corrections on the three-day line since the beginning of this bull market
First, let’s state the conclusion
Without exception, all directly start a major correction after hitting a new high
Figure one
After reaching a new high of 25100, it directly corrects to 19500, a rapid correction in twenty days, a decline of 22%
Figure two
After reaching a new high of 31000, a major correction begins directly, with a slow correction lasting a month and a half to 24800, a decline of 20%
Figure three
After reaching a new high of 48900, a major correction starts immediately, with a rapid correction dropping back to the lower bound of the three-day line at 38500 in thirteen days, a decline of 21%
Figure four
After reaching a new high of 73700, a major correction begins, with a slow correction taking nearly two months to drop to 56500, a decline of 23%
Okay, don't think that there won't be a major correction in a bull market
Without exception, all directly start a major correction after hitting a new high
Figure one
After reaching a new high of 25100, it directly corrects to 19500, a rapid correction in twenty days, a decline of 22%
Figure two
After reaching a new high of 31000, a major correction begins directly, with a slow correction lasting a month and a half to 24800, a decline of 20%
Figure three
After reaching a new high of 48900, a major correction starts immediately, with a rapid correction dropping back to the lower bound of the three-day line at 38500 in thirteen days, a decline of 21%
Figure four
After reaching a new high of 73700, a major correction begins, with a slow correction taking nearly two months to drop to 56500, a decline of 23%
Okay, don't think that there won't be a major correction in a bull market
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Monthly Qimen Trend Analysis for December 6 (Super Training Enhanced Version)
The following is the monthly Qimen trend analysis made by the trained AI
Compared to the previous untrained version, it is more refined and complete
It may also be more accurate.
It should be noted that Qimen can only serve as a reference and is for entertainment purposes.
Act accordingly at your own risk; consequences are your own responsibility.
The optimized version looks roughly at this month, summarized as follows:
Early in the month, there is a slight downward adjustment, followed by a significant rise in the middle of the month until a peak before Christmas, estimated to be around 110,000. After that, there will be repeated fluctuations at a high level until early January.
The following is a detailed analysis:
Analysis: Bitcoin trend from December 6, 2024, to January 5, 2025 (Qimen Dunjia analysis)
Compared to the previous untrained version, it is more refined and complete
It may also be more accurate.
It should be noted that Qimen can only serve as a reference and is for entertainment purposes.
Act accordingly at your own risk; consequences are your own responsibility.
The optimized version looks roughly at this month, summarized as follows:
Early in the month, there is a slight downward adjustment, followed by a significant rise in the middle of the month until a peak before Christmas, estimated to be around 110,000. After that, there will be repeated fluctuations at a high level until early January.
The following is a detailed analysis:
Analysis: Bitcoin trend from December 6, 2024, to January 5, 2025 (Qimen Dunjia analysis)
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The short line is not doing well
It has already broken below the two-hour lower band
Still, let's hold for two more days
No rush
ma111 is often at the lower band of the three-day line
At the end of January, it's probably around 85
So it's nothing much
It won't drop too much
$BTC
It has already broken below the two-hour lower band
Still, let's hold for two more days
No rush
ma111 is often at the lower band of the three-day line
At the end of January, it's probably around 85
So it's nothing much
It won't drop too much
$BTC
See original
Short-term
Retracement to the lower track of 978 in one hour
It will almost converge in two hours tonight
After the US stock market opens
It is expected to have a big positive trend in two trading days
So don't rush
Wait for two more days
Run away on Saturday morning
That's all!
$BTC
Retracement to the lower track of 978 in one hour
It will almost converge in two hours tonight
After the US stock market opens
It is expected to have a big positive trend in two trading days
So don't rush
Wait for two more days
Run away on Saturday morning
That's all!
$BTC
See original
Everyone take a look if it will drop again in January
This is also the pattern for each round
Especially since it is still relatively high at the moment
$BTC
This is also the pattern for each round
Especially since it is still relatively high at the moment
$BTC
CryptoChan
--
【Indicator Update】251 days have passed
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The number of fans has surpassed 10k! 🤪
On the day after this Christmas
🎉🎉🎉
Thank you all for your support and encouragement
Accompanying the master on a new journey
Recently, Binance has been giving preferential treatment
The master is instead a bit anxious
This means being targeted 🤪
I don’t want to be the early bird 🙄
This is everyone’s safe harbor
Also everyone’s warm home
Come by more often when you have time
Interact and communicate
Learn the correct investment logic
I think
The goal will be achieved
Thank you once again, everyone!
🎉🎉🎉
On the day after this Christmas
🎉🎉🎉
Thank you all for your support and encouragement
Accompanying the master on a new journey
Recently, Binance has been giving preferential treatment
The master is instead a bit anxious
This means being targeted 🤪
I don’t want to be the early bird 🙄
This is everyone’s safe harbor
Also everyone’s warm home
Come by more often when you have time
Interact and communicate
Learn the correct investment logic
I think
The goal will be achieved
Thank you once again, everyone!
🎉🎉🎉
See original
About Withdrawals
You can also have a US account
to withdraw US dollars directly
avoiding RMB freezing
You can also have a US account on Wise
You can also have a US account
to withdraw US dollars directly
avoiding RMB freezing
You can also have a US account on Wise
See original
Be patient for another two days
The current trend hasn't deteriorated
Breaking through is just a matter of two days
Don't rush
If you can't hold a large position, you can reduce a bit
Then you can hold on
$BTC
The current trend hasn't deteriorated
Breaking through is just a matter of two days
Don't rush
If you can't hold a large position, you can reduce a bit
Then you can hold on
$BTC
See original
Historical three-day line pullback
The following statistics show the three-day line callbacks in history after 17 years.
There were few bull markets in the past
These two rounds
Especially this round, there are many
The shortest decline period is more than ten to twenty days
Up to two months
Remove the longest and shortest samples
The average is 20 days
Do you understand? 🤪
There is no rebound pattern in the three-day line pullback
The best thing is to wait for the three-day line to bottom out
Make advance
The dog village may not be hit by
Sometimes hanging a little
That's it!
$BTC
There were few bull markets in the past
These two rounds
Especially this round, there are many
The shortest decline period is more than ten to twenty days
Up to two months
Remove the longest and shortest samples
The average is 20 days
Do you understand? 🤪
There is no rebound pattern in the three-day line pullback
The best thing is to wait for the three-day line to bottom out
Make advance
The dog village may not be hit by
Sometimes hanging a little
That's it!
$BTC
See original
Currently a 30-minute lower track rebound
No need to rush
It's going quite well
Since it started to drop on January 5th for twenty days
Around January 25th, it will reach a major bottom
So the time left for the main force is no more than about a week
In this time, it is impossible to reach 120,000
Even reaching the previous high of 108 is difficult
The best scenario is still to touch the upper track of the daily line at 106 and then fluctuate repeatedly
Then start a major pullback
Of course, if it can't go that high
102 is also acceptable
Note ⚠️
Above!
$BTC
No need to rush
It's going quite well
Since it started to drop on January 5th for twenty days
Around January 25th, it will reach a major bottom
So the time left for the main force is no more than about a week
In this time, it is impossible to reach 120,000
Even reaching the previous high of 108 is difficult
The best scenario is still to touch the upper track of the daily line at 106 and then fluctuate repeatedly
Then start a major pullback
Of course, if it can't go that high
102 is also acceptable
Note ⚠️
Above!
$BTC
See original
Today we won't talk about Qimen
Let's talk purely about the Bollinger Band trend
Looking at the daily K-line
It has hit the middle band twice
Historically, there have been very few cases where it hit the middle band and then went down directly
Less than 20%
Another 50% involves repeated fluctuations hitting the upper band, or directly hitting the upper band within a few days
The difference lies in the high points
There is also a 30% probability of a false breakout at the middle band, but failing to hit the upper band, leading to a big drop after a few days of consolidation
Therefore, regardless, the probability of a direct big drop from the middle band here is very low
It’s worth a shot
Have you
Learned it all?🤪
$BTC
Let's talk purely about the Bollinger Band trend
Looking at the daily K-line
It has hit the middle band twice
Historically, there have been very few cases where it hit the middle band and then went down directly
Less than 20%
Another 50% involves repeated fluctuations hitting the upper band, or directly hitting the upper band within a few days
The difference lies in the high points
There is also a 30% probability of a false breakout at the middle band, but failing to hit the upper band, leading to a big drop after a few days of consolidation
Therefore, regardless, the probability of a direct big drop from the middle band here is very low
It’s worth a shot
Have you
Learned it all?🤪
$BTC
See original
Continue to hold firmly
Only two strong bullish candles are needed to go up
Use floating profits for something worthwhile
Currently, most people don't understand or are bearish
This is a good thing
Get to the US stock market close on the 28th
$BTC
Only two strong bullish candles are needed to go up
Use floating profits for something worthwhile
Currently, most people don't understand or are bearish
This is a good thing
Get to the US stock market close on the 28th
$BTC
See original
Only 99?
At least let's aim for 999 in six hours.
Arriving tonight.
What does everyone think?
Breakthrough 995.
Then it won't just be 995.
And it won't just be 999.
Continue to hold for three more days as originally planned.
Above!
$BTC
At least let's aim for 999 in six hours.
Arriving tonight.
What does everyone think?
Breakthrough 995.
Then it won't just be 995.
And it won't just be 999.
Continue to hold for three more days as originally planned.
Above!
$BTC
See original
Micro Strategy has been deleted
I guess Binance does not allow US stocks to compete in the bitcoin market
No way
Current market
975 stopped?
It's too early
Since the rise has started
It will not be a matter of one or two days
At least three or four days
The target daily upper track is 105
If you can't hold it, look at what I said
$BTC
I guess Binance does not allow US stocks to compete in the bitcoin market
No way
Current market
975 stopped?
It's too early
Since the rise has started
It will not be a matter of one or two days
At least three or four days
The target daily upper track is 105
If you can't hold it, look at what I said
$BTC
See original
Don't be sad
Don't be discouraged
There's no need to be upset
After last Christmas
It took three days to get back on track
It's not like it hasn't happened before
$BTC
Don't be discouraged
There's no need to be upset
After last Christmas
It took three days to get back on track
It's not like it hasn't happened before
$BTC
See original
Waves of the floating world,
Rises and falls have their ways.
Do not ask the heart about gains and losses,
Who reflects the myriad phenomena?
The moon hides in the cold frost wind,
The stars appear while the sky is still high.
The day of Christmas is approaching,
Wishing for a bountiful year’s return.
Gold and silver, smiling in dreams,
The heart of the way accompanies through the cold night.
Wishing you a year full of abundance,
Together enjoying the east wind blooming in the spring morning.
Merry christmas!
Rises and falls have their ways.
Do not ask the heart about gains and losses,
Who reflects the myriad phenomena?
The moon hides in the cold frost wind,
The stars appear while the sky is still high.
The day of Christmas is approaching,
Wishing for a bountiful year’s return.
Gold and silver, smiling in dreams,
The heart of the way accompanies through the cold night.
Wishing you a year full of abundance,
Together enjoying the east wind blooming in the spring morning.
Merry christmas!
See original
The recent event that has been making a lot of noise
is the news of several YouTubers publicly launching a token
In fact, they did not organize or plan well
Without collaborating with market makers to maintain market value
it is very difficult to successfully develop a token
Moreover, such a token has no intrinsic value
It merely relies on consensus within a small circle
Ultimately, it is very likely to fail
So, why do we say that 99% of tokens will fail?
What is betrayed is everyone's trust
In fact,
there are many ways to make money
One of them is to pay more attention to Daoist masters 🤪
Making money through one's own abilities
is lasting and reliable
and will not harm anyone
That's it!
$BTC
is the news of several YouTubers publicly launching a token
In fact, they did not organize or plan well
Without collaborating with market makers to maintain market value
it is very difficult to successfully develop a token
Moreover, such a token has no intrinsic value
It merely relies on consensus within a small circle
Ultimately, it is very likely to fail
So, why do we say that 99% of tokens will fail?
What is betrayed is everyone's trust
In fact,
there are many ways to make money
One of them is to pay more attention to Daoist masters 🤪
Making money through one's own abilities
is lasting and reliable
and will not harm anyone
That's it!
$BTC
See original
About Nvidia
The upper rail of the daily line at 145 has to be run
Preventing a drop in January along with it
Re-enter by the end of January
The best entry around the lower rail of the weekly line near 100
Let's see if it gives
If not, I'll buy MicroStrategy instead 🤪
The upper rail of the daily line at 145 has to be run
Preventing a drop in January along with it
Re-enter by the end of January
The best entry around the lower rail of the weekly line near 100
Let's see if it gives
If not, I'll buy MicroStrategy instead 🤪
See original
Big rebound?
After three o'clock in the morning
Tianxin opens
Expected to directly reach 99
Remember this time
$BTC
After three o'clock in the morning
Tianxin opens
Expected to directly reach 99
Remember this time
$BTC
See original
The pancake currently has multiple peak scenarios
At the end of January, it fell back to the lower track of the three-day line at 83
In two, three, and four months, it will rise to around 130,000
In five and six months, it will continue to undergo a three-day line or even a weekly line pullback, with the target still being over 80,000 to 90,000
In seven, eight, nine, and ten months, it will double and end
Final target around 180,000
Above!
$BTC
At the end of January, it fell back to the lower track of the three-day line at 83
In two, three, and four months, it will rise to around 130,000
In five and six months, it will continue to undergo a three-day line or even a weekly line pullback, with the target still being over 80,000 to 90,000
In seven, eight, nine, and ten months, it will double and end
Final target around 180,000
Above!
$BTC