Next, it should be the turn of the cottage! Because since this round of bull market, it has basically been the big cake that has been leading the trend. With the support of funds approved by ETF, the big money has been leading the trend. The cottage, even Ethereum, has not kept up with the pace. As a result, many cottage targets with good value have been hovering at the bottom for a long time. The sectors that need attention are: the MEME sector where VC and retail investors are in opposition due to the bull market that does not take over each other. You can focus on: PEOPLE PEPE FLOKI is relatively strong. Among them, PEOPLE should have greater hype value. First, its market value is relatively low. Second, it has the hype value of organized crowdfunding in the US election. Secondly, its market value is relatively low.
In addition, you can pay attention to BOME, which has a relatively low market value on the SOLNA chain. It has been in the bottom consolidation and accumulation stage for a long time since its listing. It has the opportunity to replicate the trend structure of PEPE. I went to Hong Kong to meet the project party of FLOKI, and I was not disappointed!

❗❗❗1.18 Cryptocurrency and US Stock Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Recent Market Review and Market Sentiment

The market has been performing well in the past few days, and investors are seeing good returns. However, the upcoming week is full of uncertainties, as US markets will be closed next Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday, while President Trump will hold his inauguration ceremony.

Cryptocurrency Trading Suggestions

- Operate based on the coin's price increase: For coins that have surged, like Doge, it is recommended to take profits at 70%; for those that haven't increased much, continue holding; Kaia has seen significant growth but hasn't reached resistance, so it can be held.
- Operate based on position: If in an all-in state, it is advised to exit 30% of the position, leaving 70% to avoid weekend pullbacks; if a pullback occurs, one can re-enter.

Impact of Trump's Presidency on the Market

- Impact on US Stocks: If Trump aggressively raises tariffs upon taking office, US stocks may decline. However, some Wall Street strategists previously believed that the stock market would see greater gains under Trump, with Morgan Stanley predicting the S&P 500 index could rise to 6,100 points by the end of the year.
- Impact on Cryptocurrency: During his campaign, Trump frequently expressed support for designating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for the US, vowing to make the US the 'cryptocurrency capital'. If his supportive policies for the crypto sector are implemented, cryptocurrency prices may rise; if not, prices may fall.

On-chain Data Interpretation

From on-chain data, BTC has been aggressively bought up by over 20,000 exchanges in recent days, with stablecoins continuously flowing in, indicating a generally optimistic situation. In the long term, BTC prices are expected to reach $150,000, although there will be twists and turns along the way; it is recommended to hold 70% of the position for the long term. #特朗普上任前风向分析

❗❗❗ Cryptocurrency Market Analysis and Outlook
This week, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant correction after a rebound, with a series of negative news following one after another: job vacancy data far exceeded expectations, and there are reports that the U.S. will sell $6.5 billion worth of BTC to crash the market. Non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, causing a surge in U.S. bond yields.

The crucial CPI data will be released on Wednesday at 9:30 PM, and it is expected that the cryptocurrency market will struggle to surge before the announcement. After the CPI is released, there may be two scenarios: first, if the bad news is fully priced in, a slight drop may occur followed by a rebound due to expectations of Trump returning to power; second, if the CPI is below expectations, it will directly benefit the cryptocurrency market, leading to a rebound, with the overall probability of rising greater than falling.

Expectations of Trump returning to power and the Federal Reserve slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts led to a short-term surge in the dollar after the non-farm data exceeded expectations on Friday. Current interest rate cut expectations have dropped to a freezing point, and the expectations for Trump’s tariff policy have been released. If subsequent data or policies reverse these expectations, BTC is likely to return to high levels. In terms of operations, it is recommended to be patient and not to lose bottom holdings.

On the morning of January 13, the price of Bitcoin first surged and then crashed sharply. From on-chain data, over 2,000 BTC flowed into Binance at 4 AM. It is reiterated that large funds will not act until the CPI data is released; when market confidence is insufficient or when the negative news has not been fully priced in, the market may rally, making it easy to get caught in a trap. Therefore, do not chase after a surge; wait for opportunities after the CPI announcement. There is still hope for a significant rebound this week, with a greater probability of rising than falling. #还有山寨季？

❗❗❗Analysis and Outlook of Cryptocurrency Market
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been constantly changing. A whale has withdrawn about 226,300 LINK from Binance in the past 17 days, worth $4.74 million, with an average price of $20.95. This operation has attracted the attention of the market. At the same time, in the past month, BTC has shown a net outflow, but large investors are hoarding coins. Some people believe that after January, Ethereum is expected to rise sharply in February and March. Just one hour ago, a whale withdrew 1,186 MKR and 1,987 AAVE from Binance.
At 21:30 tonight, the United States will announce the unemployment rate and seasonally adjusted non-agricultural employment data for December, which is crucial to the direction of the cryptocurrency market. Investors with funds are advised to place orders at specific points, such as 90507, 87900, 85700 of Btc, 3157, 2957 of Eth, 181, 176 of Sol. The orders are all long-term orders with more than 2 times the currency standard. I think that if you receive an order at this point, you will basically make money.

At present, the cryptocurrency market is facing two major negatives. First, the market is pessimistic about the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2025. The U.S. Treasury yields have risen and the U.S. dollar index has soared, which has put some pressure on the cryptocurrency market. However, the current market expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut are at their most pessimistic, and everyone generally predicts that the United States will not cut interest rates before July next year. If tonight's non-agricultural and unemployment data show negative news, it will only further strengthen this expectation, but things will turn around when they reach their extremes. When pessimism reaches its extreme, it may instead foreshadow a reversal of the future market. As long as inflation shows a downward trend, the cryptocurrency market is expected to regroup.

Secondly, there are rumors that the U.S. Department of Justice has approved the sale of a large amount of BTC, but the source of this news is only what the reporter heard from someone in the Department of Justice. The authenticity is questionable and it may be a story made up by dog ​​dealers. Moreover, Trump is about to take office. He has previously promised that the U.S. government cannot sell BTC, so this negative factor may not exist.

From the data on the chain, there are not many BTC flowing into the exchange, so it is recommended that you do not be too pessimistic. When BTC falls to around 92,000, you can consider buying the bottom. The recommended currencies for buying the bottom are BTC, ETzh, Uni, BNB, etc. In general, buying when rumors are negative and selling when the positive is realized is a more feasible trading strategy at present.#美国非农数据即将公布

❗❗❗US Department of Justice's Bitcoin Sale License Causes Market Volatility, Future Market Analysis

Recently, the US Department of Justice obtained a license to sell $6.5 billion worth of Bitcoin that was previously seized. As soon as this news broke, the market fell. However, it is likely to take more than a year from obtaining the license to the actual sale, so the current impact is limited. Once the market's panic dissipates, the price may regain upward momentum.

Currently, the forces of bulls and bears in the market are imbalanced, with short positions reaching $13 billion above, while long positions are only $3 billion below. Exchanges seek profit and will not risk big losses for small gains. If the market continues to hover at low levels, bears will take their profits, and exchanges will suffer heavy losses.

One possible scenario is to first break through the $3 billion long positions, and then attack the $13 billion short positions. In this battle between bulls and bears, retail investors often become victims. Therefore, investors need to have firm confidence and respond cautiously to market fluctuations. Brothers, hold on; to put it simply, the downside is limited, and the upside is unlimited #比特币价格走势分析

❗❗❗ Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics: Analysis of Whale Activities and BTC Trends

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been showcasing a series of exciting plots, with the frequent actions of whales and the price fluctuations of Bitcoin (BTC) capturing investors' attention.

Whales are buying, focusing on potential coins

A certain whale has spent 900 ETH in the past 8 hours, purchasing 826,423 VIRTUAL at an average price of $3.57. It is noteworthy that this coin has seen continuous purchases by whales, as it monopolizes the pump liquidity and users on the base, boasting solid competitive barriers. For investors optimistic about this sector, considering entry at lower prices may be advisable. Meanwhile, another whale made another move 12 hours ago, increasing their position by $7.14 million in PEPE, bringing the total holdings to 79.13 billion coins.

BTC price fluctuations, intertwined factors

Short-term volatility and market reactions: Last night, the BTC price dropped to a low of over $92,000, accompanied by a significant trading volume. Behind this, a large number of investors using leverage were forced to close their positions during the price plunge, exacerbating market turmoil. However, the ADP employment report, often referred to as the 'little non-farm', brought good news to the crypto circle. The private sector job growth in the U.S. last December was below expectations, and wage growth fell to its lowest level in nearly three and a half years, indicating a slowdown in labor market growth, thus creating favorable conditions for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Key data and future trends: The non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate to be released tomorrow night are crucial. If the employment data is disappointing, BTC could accelerate its rebound to $100,000; conversely, caution is needed for a pullback to $92,000. From a cost perspective, the average cost of BTC over the past two months is $96,000. Although there has been some outflow in the past two days, this may signal accumulation for a new phase. Additionally, the Governor of the Czech National Bank revealed considerations for purchasing a small amount of Bitcoin for foreign exchange reserve diversification. The expectation of various countries including BTC in their strategic reserves also supports BTC prices, limiting its downside risk. The current market is digesting the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut being less than expected. Once economic data shows a cooling of inflation, combined with new policies from Trump, BTC is very likely to break through the $120,000 mark. #市场调整策略

❗❗❗ Fixed investment strategy

Currently, the fixed investment focuses on Ethereum and Sol. Ethereum is fixed at 3327, 3300, 3279, and 3217. The medium-term long position is 10%; Sol is fixed at 195, 187, 187, and 179. The medium-term long position is 10%.

Market analysis

- Black swan events and impacts: Last night, the US job vacancy data exceeded expectations, causing the expectation of a cooling labor market to fall through. The market is pessimistic about the Fed's interest rate cuts, and the possibility of a rate cut before July next year has decreased, triggering a collapse in the currency circle.
- Trading volume: Binance's 4-hour trading volume reached the highest in 2 months, exceeding 1.2 billion US dollars, a significant increase from the previous two weeks when it fell to 91,000.
- On-chain data: After yesterday's sharp drop, 7,000 BTC flowed out of Coinbase, indicating that large investors may be bottom-fishing; stablecoins did not flow out and remained strong. Combining large trading volume and on-chain data, it is judged that the price drop may be nearing its end.
- Subsequent focus: Friday's non-agricultural and employment rate data are crucial. If the data is positive, the probability is 40%, and the currency price may rebound to 100,000 soon; if the data is negative, the probability is 60%, and the currency price may fall to 95,000, and then rebound to the high point around the time Trump took office. #DeFAI热点 #加密市场回调

❗❗❗Late January is an excellent time for building positions, leveraging the bull market to cross social classes

Late January is a great opportunity for position building and layout. In the bull market, capturing the main upward wave may yield returns exceeding a year's earnings. Currently, the altcoin market is slightly adjusting, approaching the bottom oscillation zone after the last significant drop, presenting a good buying opportunity.

Looking back at November, multiple currencies performed strongly, which can serve as a reference for the market from February to April:

- Gaming Sector: Gala rose from 17 to 66, an increase of 284%.
- Stablecoins: Usual rose from 0.22 to 1.65, an increase of 623%.
- Decentralized: COW rose from 0.33 to 1.73, an increase of 424% (the original text “1723” seems to be incorrect, corrected here).
- Ethereum Series: ENA rose from 0.32 to 1.33, an increase of 315%.
- Public Chain: Sui rose from 1.7 to 5.3, an increase of 225%.
- Meme Coin: Pepe rose from 0.000078 to 0.000283 (the original unit seems to be incorrect, corrected here), an increase of 263%.
- Oracles: Link rose from 10.46 to 30.94, an increase of 205%.
- Lending: AAve rose from 125 to 400, an increase of 220%.
- AI Sector: RENDER rose from 4.1 to 11.9, an increase of 190%.

Seize the opportunity, and you may achieve a leap across social classes in the bull market. #本轮牛市周期预期

❗❗❗Cryptocurrency Market Analysis: Current Situation and Outlook

Sui coin has pulled back more than 70% twice this year, and even strong altcoins often have a large wash. In late January last year, the cryptocurrency market saw a "golden pit", and it only went up after the Spring Festival. The market volatility is worrying as the year-end approaches.

On January 7, BTC broke through $102,000, and last week's prediction that it would break $100,000 this week was accurate. The current on-chain data is abnormal, with more than 5,000 BTC flowing out of Binance, and a large amount of stablecoins flowing into exchanges. MicroStrategy bought 1,070 bitcoins at the end of the year, with an average price of $94,004. At that time, many people were bearish, but whales bought the bottom.

It is expected that BTC will fluctuate and pull back in the near future, and then attack after accumulating strength. The altcoin is in a bad situation. The unemployment rate and non-agricultural data on Friday are key. The high unemployment rate and low employment are conducive to the Fed's interest rate cut. BTC and the currency circle will surge and usher in the altcoin season; otherwise, BTC will rise and the altcoin will pull back.

For long contracts, it is recommended to choose BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, and control the position; although altcoins sometimes seem to have a large increase, they often plummet, with only dead cat rebounds, so investment should be cautious. In addition, the co-founder of BitMEX predicts that the crypto market will peak in mid-March and then fall sharply. #本轮牛市周期预期

❗❗❗ January 6th Cryptocurrency Market: Multi-Currency Dynamics and Unlock Information

As the new week begins, last week saw a major rebound in the crypto market. Weekend on-chain data indicates a healthy market: BTC small outflow from exchanges, no increase in Binance, and no outflow of stablecoins. The December drop is part of a bull market continuation, with three weeks of adjustment showing continuous outflow of BTC and a stable status of stablecoins.

Last week, ETF inflows reached 900 million USD; this week traditional funds are making large purchases via ETFs, with BTC likely to return to 100,000 USD. Non-farm payrolls and unemployment rates will be announced on Friday; if employment is poor and unemployment high, BTC may accelerate its rise, coinciding with Trump’s election on January 20th, and Doge may also return to its high point.

Regarding various cryptocurrencies, Uni public chain had many news this week, with a short-term target price of 20 USD, mid-term 25 USD, and long-term over 30 USD; ETH is expected to reach 4000 USD but lacks momentum; BNB will challenge 800 USD this week; APT will unlock about 110 million USD next week.

In addition, Token Unlocks data shows that next week multiple tokens such as APT and MOVE will have significant unlocks. For example, on January 9th at 8 PM, Movement (MOVE) will unlock about 50 million tokens, valued at approximately 53 million USD; on January 11th at 8 PM, io.net (IO) will unlock about 3.22 million tokens, valued at approximately 11.8 million USD; on January 6th at 8 AM, Kaspa (KAS) will unlock about 182 million tokens, valued at approximately 22.7 million USD; on January 11th at 9:59 AM, Aptos (APT) will unlock about 11.31 million tokens, valued at approximately 110 million USD; on January 8th at 3 PM, Ethena (ENA) will unlock about 12.86 million tokens, valued at approximately 16.2 million USD. #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？

I would like to remind everyone to firmly hold the chips in hand and seize the opportunity to buy at the bottom. Today marks the moment of harvest. It has been proven that precise analysis aligns perfectly with market trends, and the cryptocurrency market has indeed begun a powerful counterattack.
Today, BTC mining has seen a surge in computing power, reaching a historical high of 1000 EH/s, which is actually twice the value from a year ago. The continuous rise in computing power indicates that the number of people participating in mining is increasing, and the cost for miners to acquire BTC is also rising significantly, which undoubtedly provides strong support for the increase in coin prices. According to accurate calculations from macromicro, the current cost for miners to acquire BTC is approximately $88,000.
When the price of BTC deviates significantly from the miners' cost, for example, when mining profit margins exceed 30% (current price around $113,000), BTC faces significant risks. Because miners are making substantial profits, they are likely to start selling their BTC.
Currently, BTC's MACD daily line has just formed a golden cross, which is just the beginning, and there is still enormous potential for further increases. Returning to historical highs is not difficult.
From a broader trend perspective, many favorable factors remain significant:
The Federal Reserve's interest rate reduction cycle continues, with an expected three rate cuts in 2025, possibly in March, June, and September.
Trump is about to take office. Although it is still uncertain whether the expectation of BTC being included in the national reserves will ultimately materialize, this expectation always exists.
From a long-term perspective, the consensus on BTC is continuously strengthening: on one hand, after Trump takes office, U.S. tariff policies will further exacerbate the trend of de-globalization, prompting other countries' central banks to consider buying BTC; on the other hand, the continuous expansion of debt pressure affects the credibility of the dollar, thereby highlighting the advantageous position of BTC.
I would like to remind everyone again to be patient and hold on, do not miss out, and do not short easily.
Trump will officially take office on January 20, 2025. Below are the coins related to the Trump sector:
RSR: New SEC Chairman Paul Atkins serves as an advisor to RSR.
ZRX and DYDX: New White House AI and crypto head Sachs serves as an advisor to ZRX, and his venture capital firm has invested in DYDX.
ENA, ONDO, LINK, AAVE, COW: Trump's world finance has acquired tokens such as ENA, ONDO, LINK, and AAVE through COW. DOGE: Government efficiency department Musk is expected to participate.

❗❗❗The rebound has begun, and the time to buy the bottom has come

After the New Year's Day holiday, the crypto market has a new trend. BTC took the lead in sounding the horn of counterattack. If it can stand firm at $97,000, it is likely to rise by 4% within a week, and the important psychological barrier of $100,000. Once it breaks through, media reports will follow up, and the drama of altcoins following the trend and rising sharply is expected to reappear.

In the current market atmosphere, many altcoins are already at the bottom. It is time to keep funds and wait for a big drop or enter the market around New Year's Eve. If you encounter a rapid decline, it is an excellent time to "pick up leaks". After all, the bull market trend is still there, and the current decline is likely to be the last drop.

It is worth noting that a giant whale spent $3.11 million in LINK to exchange for ENA, and continued to increase its holdings. Judging from this signal, ENA is undoubtedly the focus of attention. Once the market falls, it may be a good idea to buy ENA first, as well as potential currencies such as Gala and Arkm.

The flow of ETF funds has also changed. There was a net outflow for 5 consecutive days before, but an inflow of 80 million US dollars yesterday. On-chain data shows that BTC has been continuously flowing out of exchanges recently. Compared with the stock before the big drop in mid-December, the stock has decreased by 20,000, which means that when the big drop occurred, large funds entered the market to buy more than 20,000 BTC at the bottom, and the 60-day purchase cost also increased to more than 95,000 US dollars. At present, investors only need to hold the currency patiently and don't be easily thrown off by the shock. #币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #币安全球用户突破2.5亿

❗❗❗January 2025 Cryptocurrency Market Outlook

Leverage Focus on ETH

This month's leverage operations only select low long positions in ETH. Altcoins often cause investors to frequently stop-loss, resembling a bottomless pit with no controllability. However, ETH's risk is manageable. The logic is clear: when altcoins rise, ETH must rise; conversely, when ETH rises, altcoins may not follow. Most altcoins briefly surge at the end of a market cycle before fizzling out. By the end of January, consider gradually switching to 2x leverage dollar-cost averaging for leading altcoins in each sector.

ETH's Fluctuation Has Deep Meaning

Recently, ETH's price has been repeatedly “painting doors” and shaking out positions. There are two main objectives behind this: to clean up positions through severe volatility and to test the loyalty of remaining positions to prevent a large sell-off during future rises. Currently, trading volume of positions is sharply declining, while ETH ETF funds continue to flood in with frequent turnover; new incoming funds are not retail investors. It is anticipated that ETH in January 2025 will enter the final acceleration phase of a bull market, similar to February 2024, before tapering off.

BTC Prospect Analysis

From the perspective of capital flow, over 10,000 BTC flowed out from Coinbase yesterday, while 4,000 BTC flowed into Binance, indicating an overall outflow trend. Given that Coinbase is a key platform for American capital to bottom-fish, this suggests that large American capital is still bottom-fishing. Technical indicators are also signaling: a three-week adjustment has allowed some profits to be cleared, and BTC approaching the 60-day moving average means that the buyer's cost over the past two months is here; the daily MACD has formed a golden cross after dipping to the zero axis. The external environment is also favorable, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle continuing, and there may be three rate cuts in 2025. Under the expectation of Trump's return to power, the possibility of BTC being included in national reserves hangs in the air. In the long run, de-globalization due to intensified tariff policies and debt pressure impacting the dollar's credit are continuously enhancing BTC consensus, with BTC expected to break through 130,000 yuan in 2025.

Recommended Potential Coins

In addition to ETH and BTC, coins like BNB, Uni, FTM, CHR, AR, PENGU, and Kaia are performing well right now. Investors need to be patient with their holdings, avoid missing out, and be cautious about shorting. The trend of a significant rebound after New Year's has already begun; holding onto positions is crucial now. #SUI、OP大额解锁 #MicroStrategy增持BTC

❗❗❗Cryptocurrency Market Q1 Outlook

At the beginning of the new year, the cryptocurrency market is turbulent, with many key events and timelines outlining the investment landscape for Q1.

On the Ethereum side, ETH staking activities in January and the Prague upgrade in March, according to past patterns, tend to trigger market speculation in advance. Currently, Ethereum's price performance is strong compared to Bitcoin, which has tested the low of December 20. The potential for future explosive growth is even more anticipated, and it could even lead to a surge in altcoins.

Looking at the macro level, the Federal Reserve will hold a policy meeting on January 24, January 20 marks Trump's inauguration day, and Japan will also hold a policy meeting on January 29. The release of concentrated global policy signals will have a significant impact on market sentiment. However, February will enter a gap period for policy meetings, coinciding with the A-share market's closure. Historically, this period often gives rise to a strong upward trend, making it a “money-printing machine” period for bulls in Q1, not to be missed.

From Bitcoin's historical performance, except for the declines on January 1 in 2015 and 2018, most January 1st have generally ended with gains, adding a bit of optimistic expectation to the market. Opportunities in the cryptocurrency market for Q1 seem to be brewing and fermenting.

❗❗❗Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market Outlook and Position Planning

On December 31st, the significant drop after the U.S. stock market opened dragged down BTC, which is also a risk asset. However, on-chain data shows two major trends: first, stablecoins are flowing in for bottom-fishing, and second, over 5,000 BTC have flowed into Binance and Coinbase. Regarding ETFs, apart from BlackRock and FBTC data not being released, other ETFs have seen outflows of $200 million.

This correction mainly stems from two aspects: a normal pullback after a substantial prior increase and market fluctuations following the release of expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. However, from a broader trend perspective, there are many positive factors: first, the Federal Reserve is in a rate-cutting cycle, with a high probability of three rate cuts in 2025, likely in March, June, and September; second, Trump is about to take office, and the expectation of BTC being included in national reserves still exists; third, in the long term, BTC consensus continues to rise, and the tariff policies after Trump takes office will encourage other central banks to buy BTC, while the pressure of U.S. debt will also solidify BTC's position.

Currently, BTC is facing the 60-day moving average and has adjusted for three weeks. A significant rebound is expected after New Year's Day, with hopes of returning to $100,000.

In terms of position planning, allocate Ethereum and Solana spot, and low-leverage contracts in currency-based positions are also necessary. Focus on leading altcoins that align with the upcoming altcoin season, prioritizing coins related to U.S. institutions. The preferred altcoins include UNI, ENA, GALA, PEPE, AAVE, BONK, LINK, AVAX, RENDER, CRV.

As for entry points, first lay out 50% of the position, and for the remaining 50%, follow the principle of 'buy small on small dips, buy large on large dips, and do not buy when it does not dip.' Increase positions by 3 points for mainstream coins and by 5 points for altcoins on dips. In the worst-case scenario, fill the position before New Year's Eve. #币安MegadropSOLV #币安LaunchpoolBIO预测

❗❗❗BTC Market Outlook: Downward Momentum, Rebound Expected

Early on December 30, let me share something with everyone. Yesterday, we predicted that BTC would slightly drop and retest $93,000, and it indeed came true. Last week, the overseas market was quiet due to Christmas, but this week everyone is back to work, and the market is bound to be turbulent again, with greater fluctuations on the way.

Currently, the situation is not easy. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury is rising steadily, already hovering at a seven-month high; the U.S. dollar index is even more aggressive, climbing for four consecutive weeks, firmly standing above the critical level of 108. These two “big players” are putting considerable pressure on BTC.

However, on-chain data reveals something interesting. In the past couple of days, the BTC supply on the Binance platform has decreased, with a mysterious address pouring in $250 million to buy 2,400 BTC, bringing the supply back to the level of December 25. What does this indicate? Some funds have quietly positioned themselves.

As the old saying goes, "extreme situations lead to opposite outcomes," so now we wait for a turning point. As long as U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar index experience a pullback, and BTC trading volume is sufficient, along with continuous inflow of ETF funds, it’s not a dream for BTC to return to the $100,000 mark. By then, altcoins could also benefit, with many altcoins possibly seeing gains of over 20%.

Right now, the market is filled with buzz around topics like "When will Cow pump?" and "When will Trump's wallet buy coins?" Don't panic; the current decline is actually the market cleaning up leverage and shedding excess "burdens." Let’s be patient and wait for major news like Trump buying coins to break, and a new round of market activity may just begin.

❗❗❗December 29 Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
1. Ethereum Dynamics: BlackRock and Fidelity are bottom-fishing 100,000 Ethereum; many large holders are also buying, possibly to warm up for the upgrade in March next year, showing a trend of taking off. It is recommended to follow up with 2x Ethereum positions.
2. Market Trend: The Christmas holiday is almost over, and the market will improve. With the resumption of net inflows into ETFs, there is a high probability of a one-sided bullish trend; even if there is a major adjustment in January, there will be a rebound first during that period.
3. Potential of COW Coin: Trump and Vitalik Buterin frequently use COW for trading; with celebrities 'endorsing' it and no locked-up positions above, it’s bold to buy in, with hopes for a 5 to 10 times increase. It has been consistently highlighted recently, and the community has been reminding to stealthily accumulate at low positions! Congratulations on successfully enjoying the profits! #加密ETF申请热潮涌现 #币安Alpha公布第8批项目 #美国加密立法或将重启

❗❗❗ Ethereum and Grayscale Bottom Buying Key Points

Ethereum Market Trends

In the first quarter of Ethereum, except for the bear markets of 2018 and 2022, most of the time yields are considerable. The rising and falling trend in January is not obvious; in previous cases of decline, it has also been the last drop in January, with a high degree of certainty in the market concentrated in February and March. So don't exhaust your funds too early, and don't miss out on the subsequent upward trend.

Grayscale Bottom Buying Cryptocurrencies

Following Grayscale's layout can often lead to profits. Here are the recent cryptocurrencies bought at the bottom by Grayscale that have appreciated:

- Link: Bought 50,866 coins in the past month.
- Fil: Bought 106,686 coins in the past month.
- Sol: Bought 4,713 coins in the past month.
- Bch: Bought 7,579 coins in the past month.
- Ltc: Bought 33,110 coins in the past month.
- Zen: Bought 304,031 coins in the past month.
Xlm has been liquidating for the past week and is not listed!

❗❗❗ Cryptocurrency Investment Recent Key Points

Big Trend

It is now altcoin season, and the market is rotating. Bitcoin is fluctuating in the range of 92,500 - 99,500, with the 3-day MACD dead cross returning to the 0 axis, and the daily line has not shown a downward spike, making it difficult to reverse. Many altcoins are no longer following the drop, the bottom range is forming, and regardless of how it adjusts in January, it is a good opportunity to get in. Ethereum and altcoins are expected to perform well in 2025, especially in February to March. There are opportunities for bottom fishing related to Trump and Grayscale.

Potential Projects

- Trump-related: He bought AAVE, LINK, ENA, but ONDO is about to unlock a large amount, so don’t consider it.
- Grayscale-related: ZEN, ZEC, XLM, LPT are worth paying attention to.
- Sector Leaders: Render in the AI sector has pulled back to key support and can be dollar-cost averaged; GALA in the chain game sector has a daily MACD approaching a golden cross at the 0 axis; UNi in the decentralized field has speculative expectations; Pepe in the dog coin has Musk's endorsement and can be dollar-cost averaged.
- Popular Series: RAY in the SOL series has an upward trend.
- Ethereum Sector: Early allocation of ENA, SSV, ENS has its benefits.

Market Analysis

1. Capital Flow: The market is sluggish around Christmas, with ETF inflow for bottom fishing two days ago and outflow yesterday. Binance saw an inflow of 2,000 BTC, while Coinbase had an outflow of 10,000 BTC, indicating an overall outflow of BTC, but the supply of stablecoins is rebounding, showing stronger bottom fishing power.
2. Trend Judgment:
- Time: This round of adjustment is a continuation of the bull market, lasting about 10 days and nearing completion.
- Technical: Various indicators for BTC, such as MACD, WM, and RSI, have reached their lows and are expected to rebound.
- Capital: There are clear signs of bottom fishing.
- News: Trump's inauguration at the end of January will bring positive expectations to the cryptocurrency market. In the long term, BTC becoming a strategic reserve for multiple countries is only a matter of time, so there’s no need to worry too much about a major drop.

Investment Suggestions

DCA into RNDR, Pyth, Uni, ENA at lower prices; additionally, SSV has rebounded well recently and is also worth watching.

❗❗❗ Investment research news is here!

Now Trump's carefully selected projects are all pretty good:
- Holdings: AAVE holds 2.09 million US dollars, LINK holds 1.81 million US dollars, ENA holds 700,000 US dollars, and ONDO holds 200,000 US dollars.
- Market trends:
- The market may rise tonight, which will "explode" the short sellers. The coin price fluctuated in the afternoon and recovered quickly. It doesn't seem to fall. From the Binance transaction data, 30,845 ETH entered in one day. In addition, after the net outflow of BTC and Ethereum in the past few days, the net inflow in these two days was 475 million US dollars and 117 million US dollars respectively, so it is likely to be just a wash, and Ethereum is expected to take off with the altcoin.
- Key operation suggestions:
- Range and pattern: BTC oscillates between 92,500 and 99,500; ETH's one-hour line shows a round bottom reversal pattern, which is suitable for low-level longs. SOL stepped on the daily level EMA200, which is a good time to invest and buy the bottom.
- Fund flow: Stablecoins flow into exchanges, which is a bullish signal for the market.
- Popular currencies: Trump concept coins may be hyped on January 20, and AAVE and ENA can be bought at low prices; Ethereum upgrades and pledges will also be hyped in advance, and ENA, ENS, and ZK can be configured at low prices.
- Whale dynamics: In the past 48 hours, whales bought 90 million US dollars of DOGE and bought 15,332 ethers at low prices. A whale address bought 100,000 UNI at a price of 14.24 before 5:45 pm. In addition, BONK has a major positive, and 1.69 trillion BONKs will be destroyed. #加密市场调整