MicroStrategy spent another $1.1 billion to increase its holdings of 11,000 bitcoins, with an average purchase price of $101,191. Their shareholders also agreed to issue additional shares to continue buying. The boss of MicroStrategy even said that the United States may include Bitcoin in the national strategic reserve in 2025.

Senator Cynthia Loomis also discussed with Trump's son Eric Trump at the Capitol on how to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

MARA's CEO also said that he was ready to roll out the strategic Bitcoin reserve in all 50 states and at the federal level in the United States.

At present, it is indeed possible that the United States will introduce a Bitcoin strategic reserve bill. Now everyone is watching Trump's next move, looking forward to whether there will be good news for the crypto industry in his 200 bills. If Trump personally confirms the strategic reserve of Bitcoin, it may be the detonator of the next big market. This round of bull market can focus on AI, RWA, and SOL ecological projects related to Trump. The Shanzhai season is likely to rotate around these sectors. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？ #比特币行情聚焦 #BTC冲破9万

There are three things to watch out for. First, at 2:30 pm Beijing time on January 24, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold a monetary policy press conference to announce whether there will be an interest rate hike. At present, the probability of Japan raising interest rates is still relatively high. Be careful of risk aversion in the market, and liquidity may be further withdrawn. Secondly, Trump has officially and unconditionally pardoned Ross Ulbricht, the founder of "Silk Road".

Next, SEC Acting Chairman Mark Uyeda has established a cryptocurrency task force to prepare a more systematic and clear regulatory framework for crypto assets. This is a long-term positive for the crypto industry, and it also proves that Trump is fulfilling his promise at the Bitcoin Conference step by step. In addition, the SEC has also announced the spot ETF applications for TRUMP, SOL, XRP, DOGE and BONK, and it is very likely that 1-2 new spot ETFs will be approved this year. Moreover, perhaps stimulated by the news that the SEC has established a crypto task force, the recent issuance of USDC has also been fierce, with an additional 2.9 billion US dollars in one day. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？ #比特币行情聚焦 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ #牛回速归，晒晒你的持仓？

Most altcoins adjust with the market, but the AI agency sector ai16z, aixbt, and buzz have seen an逆势上涨, indicating that funds and attention have returned to this sector. The recent rise in the AI sector is closely related to Trump's announcement of significant investment in AI. Additionally, SoftBank, Oracle, and OpenAI announced a collaboration to establish a newly formed company 'Stargate.' They plan to invest $500 billion over the next four years to build new artificial intelligence infrastructure for OpenAI in the United States.

In response to this issue, I took a look at the Ai agency sector's Aixbt, and it is indeed quite impressive. The current support level is around 0.72, and if this is effectively broken, it could only drop to around 0.65. In short, there are two effective support levels, one at around 0.72 and another at around 0.65, so it depends on which one you choose to enter with a light position. From my perspective, Aixbt has potential.

【$btc】2025.1.23

①Why has Bitcoin started to plummet again? Why has there been no fluctuation since Trump took office? Will it go up again? Is it going to turn bearish? Can altcoins still make it? Dear, don't these few sentences strike a chord with you? Just yesterday I admitted I was wrong, and today I got validated. Yes, it is already on the path of adjustment, but it's just an adjustment, not necessarily a downturn. So let's set aside the bearish outlook and top-seeking mentality for now; it's still early. Like I said yesterday, if this round of adjustment comes to you, it is an opportunity. The target position for this adjustment is at least around 100300. If the bears are a bit more aggressive, then it could be【95000-97000】. It can't go any lower, or it will turn bearish. That's about right.

②So is the main strategy currently to short at highs? Yes. The first resistance position on the short term is around 3265; this is the watershed for determining the strength of the rebound. If we pass that position, can we consider it to be strengthening in the short term? Until we reach my designated target position, it is difficult for the short term to strengthen. The upper side is all resistance, there are horizontal pressures, trendline pressures, and pressures from moving averages. Of course, if the price returns to 3360, I would consider it to be strengthening again.

③Regarding whether altcoins can still strengthen, it mainly depends on two points. First, what state is Bitcoin, the main backbone, in? Clearly, it is currently in a state of adjustment. If Bitcoin doesn't strengthen + oscillates, altcoins will have no chance. Second, if Ethereum doesn't rise, altcoins won't rise. But Ethereum has a bit more time before it restarts its upward trend. So this month might just be like this; the easier ones to play with might be those altcoins with sufficient volatility to bet on rebounds and such. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？ #比特币行情聚焦 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？

【$eth】2025.1.22

①When will Auntie rise? Auntie still has a long way to go to rise. For Auntie, only when the price effectively breaks through 3500 can it usher in a sustained force. If not, then adjust in place, shake in place, and then ambush, and then wait until the price effectively breaks through 3500, take the fast train, and go straight to the previous high. So what is considered to be adjusted in place? Wait for the double needle to bottom out. Now the single needle has bottomed out to around 2900. If it comes again, it doesn't need to be so low, about 3100 and below. At that time, it will be the perfect time for us to ambush. At that time, you just have to promise not to be timid.

②How to operate in the short term? At present, the hourly adjustment, the target position is temporarily around 3265. In the rebound, you can stop the previous high and bet on a short order to see if the price can successfully fall to the position near 3265. The short-term strong pressure is [3365-3390]. If the price comes near strong pressure, an effective breakthrough is bullish, a failed breakthrough or a false breakthrough is bearish and a decline is expected. The feeling that Yi Tai currently gives me is that the adjustment is not in place, so the overall trend will be a bit bearish.

③ Finally, let’s talk about whether Yi Tai is useless or not. Yi Tai is not useless, it is just undergoing a high turnover. If Yi Tai does not rise, Shanzhai will not rise. Even if it rises, it is only partially manifested. In addition, this year must be the year of Yi Tai. Why? Chat with me privately, and I will tell you that a very important and very important piece of information told me that Yi Tai will definitely explode this year, absolutely. This information is not an upgrade of Yi Tai. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？ #比特币行情聚焦 #BTC重回10万 #AIAgent板块普涨

【$btc】2025.1.22

① Isn't it possible for Bitcoin to make a major adjustment? Why did it go up? This wave is indeed misjudged, so we should admit it. I have sorted it out again, but the same thing still applies: if a major adjustment occurs, it is an opportunity. Since it has not happened yet, let's analyze it based on the specific situation. First of all, there is an obvious pressure from above, which is around 107,000. If the position of 107,000 is eliminated today, the price will probably hit a new high. As for where it can reach, after the new high, 114,000 is a pressure position. What if the price falls sharply? It depends on the situation. Give a short-term long-short watershed price of 104,000. If the price can stop falling and stabilize at a position above 104,000, then the price will probably attack 107,000. Whether the attack will succeed or fail is unpredictable now. Anyway, if it fails, it will go down, and if it succeeds, it will go up. Once the price effectively falls below 104,000, it will be a little dangerous, and the pin will not count.

② Under what circumstances can we mainly short at highs? If the shorts continue to exert force during the decline and fall below 103,000, we can consider shorting at highs at this time. The current order-making idea is to mainly buy at lows. The high position should be as close to 107,000 as possible, and a stop loss must be set.

③ Trump has come to power, why hasn't the price risen sharply? For the subsequent market, from this moment on, if Trump makes any remarks about the encryption industry, it will be good news. If Trump has been busy with the main line, the market will be purely driven by emotions, and the rise and fall are all within the scope of the technical aspect. Is there any possibility of bad news? I can't imagine what bad news will look like. The bad news that can be foreseen at present is that the US judicial authorities have approved the sale of confiscated bitcoins. Will there be any next step here? Can Trump stick to his promise not to sell any bitcoin? In fact, there is no 100% statement. #币圈翻车日记:我的2024坑爹时刻 #比特币行情聚焦 #BTC重回10万

【$eth】2025.1.21

①Unexpectedly, this time, Auntie showed a certain resistance to falling. Looking back at eth/btc, that is, the exchange rate, we can see that the weekly line of the exchange rate has reached a support of about 0.031, and the lower [0.028-0.029] is a stronger support for the exchange rate, which is very hard. In view of this situation, Auntie may cause trouble soon. Of course, this is thanks to the support of the Trump team for Auntie. After all, it is real money and silver. Although the purchase volume is not large, the impact is very large. With such an impact, it is enough. The rest is to start hyping the upgrade narrative after March. Of course, Auntie will definitely not go up directly, but will fluctuate like this. As long as it is not a big pie drop, Auntie will plummet, we can accept it. Just mix it like this, accumulate strength, and wait for the day of explosion. This year, it depends on Auntie. In addition, if Auntie is competitive, Shanzhai can cause trouble. If you think that the auntie can fight back, there is no need to worry about the continuous decline of the cottage. Just find a low enough position to cover the position, lower your average price, and it is only a matter of time to get out of the trap.

② Where is the support below? The hard support is at [3145-3155]. There is an even harder support below, which is around 3090. If it falls through one after another, the auntie may have to take another shot down to revive. Therefore, I will wait for the signal of going long on the right side after the target position according to the situation. If it does not reach, then I will choose the opportunity to rebound and go short. The pressure position above is [3285-3310]. If this position is effectively broken, this rebound may turn to rise, and the pressure above is probably around 3350, but it is not very meaningful. #加密市场回调 #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？ #特朗普妻子发币 #比特币行情聚焦

There are reports that Trump is considering establishing a cryptocurrency reserve in the United States, potentially prioritizing tokens like Solana and XRP. This news is worth noting, but in the short term, it is highly unlikely that the U.S. strategic reserves will include any cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, mainly due to compliance issues. Currently, only Bitcoin and Ethereum are compliant cryptocurrencies. If other cryptocurrencies want to become part of the strategic reserve, compliance is the top requirement.

In the U.S., Texas, Wyoming, and Alaska have already begun to establish Bitcoin strategic reserve plans. Among them, Wyoming is progressing the fastest, having passed a series of legislations to support the legal status of digital assets, and plans to use Bitcoin as a financial reserve asset to enhance the state's financial resilience.

On December 18, 2024, the media exposed a draft of the presidential executive order on strategic Bitcoin reserves, which only needs to be signed by Trump on his first day in office to take effect. #BTC重回10万 #核心CPI回落 #特朗普上任前风向分析

①Yesterday, the price of the secondary wife peaked at 3473 before retreating.
②After the retreat, it hit a low of 3265.

It is recommended to look for opportunities to place small short positions in the range of 【3440-3500】, and to position for larger long positions in the range of 【3230-3270】. What do you say, is that ok? Hehe. #BTC重回10万 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ #币安Alpha上新 #核心CPI回落

【$eth】2025.1.17

①Why is Auntie so much weaker than Bitcoin? First, Auntie has fallen much more than Bitcoin. Second, this wave of narrative is mainly aimed at Bitcoin, and Auntie's narrative hype will take two months. At present, Auntie is one level behind Bitcoin in overcoming the barriers, but will it make up for the rise in the subsequent market? Yes, as long as the trend can be maintained, even if there are some adjustments in the middle, it will not be a big problem. Moreover, Auntie has been working hard to overcome the key pressure (strong pressure) of 4000. So it's still the same, and I am still optimistic about the development this month or even this year. If this wave keeps rising, as long as it approaches 4000, the next step is to accumulate power and explode.

②What about Auntie's pressure and support? Before 4000, there is still a strong pressure, which is about 3590. So I may see this short-term market first. This position is likely to cause Auntie to adjust significantly. The reason why it is difficult for Yitai to rise is mainly because there are too many locked-in shares, heavy pressure, and insufficient turnover, so it can only trade time for space. This is why Yitai is so slow to move. But is there any short-term pressure before 3590? Around 3460. In other words, only after an effective breakthrough of 3460 can we see 3590. And the 3460 line is likely to cause a small decline and adjustment of Yitai (not important). In addition, in terms of support, it is [3340-3350]. If it effectively falls below here, the short-term trend may be a bit ugly, but it doesn’t matter. Anyway, the bulls will only take a break and will not die immediately. #BTC重回10万 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ #XRP突破新高？

【$btc】2025.1.17

①Is the price going to be a one-way trip? Will we see a price starting with '8' again? First of all, yesterday it was clearly stated that if it surpasses 100950, the next target is 104000. Once the price exceeds 104000 and breaks the previous high, it may just be a matter of time. Therefore, it may really be difficult to go back. This price, even if there is a significant adjustment, will probably still give you another opportunity. Since the bulls have already gained momentum, we can only go with the flow and temporarily stop thinking about the '8' starting price; let's just let the bulls vent their energy. It seems that this energy cannot be underestimated, especially around the time when Trump took office.

②What good opportunities are there now? Currently, during the upward movement, the short-term upper resistance is at 【102800-103300】. This position can be used to try placing a small short position. Since this is counter-trend, if you decide to do so, be sure to set a stop loss. The strong support below is at 【99400-99800】. If the price falls below this range during a correction, the adjustment range faced in the short term will expand, so be mindful of this. In summary, this market will definitely touch 104000, and the probability of reaching a new high has basically risen to 75%. The remaining 25% accounts for unexpected negative news.

① The price adjusted last night, and the lowest price hit 97335, and then it started to rise all the way.
② 100950 is a strong pressure, so it faced a small adjustment. But after the adjustment, it continued to rise and has broken through 100950, so the next target position is 104000.

Yesterday's analysis asked whether it was okay or not? #BTC重回10万 #核心CPI回落 #特朗普上任前风向分析

Large investors in Dogecoin, often referred to as “whales,” have increased their holdings over the past week. Dogecoin whales holding between 10 million and 100 million DOGE have amassed 410 million DOGE, worth $140 million, over the past week. This group of whales now holds a total of 22.54 billion DOGE, the highest level of holdings since February 2016.

When large holders of an asset increase their token holdings, it signals confidence in its near-term potential. This buying activity reduces the circulating supply, which can create scarcity and push prices higher. Additionally, whale holdings like these also tend to attract retail investors, amplifying demand and supporting bullish price trends.

DOGE’s negative ratio of market value to realized value (MVRV) indicator, -1.76, suggests that DOGE is currently undervalued (the indicator measures whether an asset is undervalued or overvalued). Historically, negative MVRV ratios like this represent buy signals, when the asset is trading below its historical acquisition cost and may rebound. Therefore, they provide good buying opportunities for those who want to "buy the dip" and sell for profit.

Finally, let's talk about support and resistance. Strong support area, 0.348-0.357. If the price re-enters this area, consider entering the market in batches. First target, 0.395, second target, 0.435.#BTC重回10万 #XRP突破新高？ #哪些代币逆势上涨？ #比特币价格走势分析

"NUPL Indicator for Long-term Holders"

Indicator cycle high point:
2011-2015: 0.98.
2015-2018: 0.97.
2018-2022: 0.92.

The current value of this cycle is 0.77, and it has only been above 0.75 for 20 days, and above 0.75 is an extremely greedy area. As the saying goes, things will turn around when they reach their extremes. When this indicator runs above 0.75 or even higher for a long time, it is often the peak of the market. But obviously, it is far from this level at present. It just has a certain tendency. #BTC重回10万 #哪些代币逆势上涨？ #比特币价格走势分析

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that Canary Funds has submitted a revised Litecoin ETF S-1 application, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) seems to have responded to this, which may confirm the possibility of Litecoin becoming the next approved digital currency. However, the critical 19b-4 document, which will officially initiate the approval or rejection process, has not yet been submitted.

This information is likely the driving force behind LTC's short-term rise. LTC is currently facing strong resistance near the trend line (likely to break through), and if it goes up further, it will encounter resistance at 126.7 (likely to pull back). Support is at [107-112], which is the first position for low buying in batches. If it surpasses 126.7, it will see 139.7. With the support of this narrative, the issue of whether to set a stop-loss is not significant. #BTC重回10万 #哪些代币逆势上涨？ #比特币价格走势分析

【$eth】2025.1.16

① How far can Auntie rise? Auntie's first strong resistance is at 【3440-3500】. However, I don't believe Auntie will stop there; there is a considerable chance up to 【3640-3700】. But I think within the 【3440-3500】 range, there is a good possibility that Auntie will face some adjustments. So it is still possible to set up a position at some point within this range, and at that time, it will be about finding a low point to buy again.

② Will Auntie catch up? In fact, Auntie has already made a catch-up once. On the daily chart, Bitcoin has risen by about 4%, while Auntie has risen 7%, so Auntie has indeed made a strong move. This is relatively reasonable; if Auntie only falls and doesn't rise, I really cannot understand this, as it goes against my expectations. After all, I have been emphasizing that the narrative Auntie can produce this year is not less than Bitcoin's, and this year might even be Auntie's turn to shine. Therefore, Auntie must rise or at least hold its ground. Only by maintaining the price level at a certain height can Auntie create more upward space. For Auntie, it is not necessarily better to fall more; that would only cause more medium to long-term investors to lose confidence, leading them to sell off and switch to Bitcoin or Solana. However, institutions only want short-term speculators to relinquish their chips, so it's not the case that the more it drops, the larger the space becomes.

③ Where is Auntie's support? The key support below is mainly at 【3230-3270】. From here, you can start to gradually position your long orders. Of course, the specific situation will be analyzed at that time. If the bears exert more strength, this level may not hold. At that time, it might be linked to Bitcoin, and then we could see a wave of re-testing.

QCP analysis points to possible upside risks in the upcoming CPI data.

The market is adapting to the reality that the high interest rate environment continues, and some investors are even considering the possibility of raising interest rates. Caution is evident in the crypto market, with BTC options trading showing put options being adjusted below the key $90,000 support level. Meanwhile the fear index remained at 18.68, suggesting volatility may continue in January. Trump may sign executive orders on his first day in office that address “debanking” issues and roll back controversial cryptocurrency accounting policies. These moves could provide a boost to the market.

In addition, USDC achieved significant growth in 2024, with circulation increasing by 78% year-on-year and market capitalization increasing from US$42 billion to US$46 billion. At the same time, the USDT market cap fell from $140 billion to $137 billion. As of January 13, 2025, the stablecoin market cap was $189.1 billion, with a 30-day net change of just +0.56%, and liquidity inflows have slowed significantly, indicating that market momentum and speculative demand are stabilizing. #美国CPI数据即将公布 #哪些代币逆势上涨？ #比特币价格走势分析 #还有山寨季？

Judging from the current market sentiment, it is still unstable, and many people have not recovered. I noticed that many places are bearish and believe that Bitcoin may fall to 70,000 US dollars. It is not ruled out that the dealer may take advantage of this panic and have another contract explosion.

However, judging from the turnover of Bitcoin, there is no sign of panic, especially early investors are very calm, and there is no sign of a large reduction in holdings. The most exits are still short-term investors, especially investors who have bought the bottom in the past two days have the highest turnover rate.

Yesterday, MicroStrategy also announced that it had acquired 2,530 bitcoins for $243 million, with an average price of $95,972. This shows that it is mainly retail investors who are selling, while large investors are buying the bottom. Therefore, risks come from rising prices, and profits come from falling prices. #美国CPI数据即将公布 #市场反弹预测 #哪些代币逆势上涨？ #比特币价格走势分析