The current market may make many people a little schizophrenic:
Bitcoin is at a new high, this is a bull market rhythm,
At the same time, a number of altcoins including ETH plummeted back to the pre-liberation period, not to mention the altcoin season, this is the rhythm of the bear market!
In fact, the last tweet also said that there may be a black swan event brewing. Now let’s see:
Big Goose threatened to use nuclear weapons to clean up the ground;
Little Wu said I don’t believe you have the courage;
The American said I will run first as a respect, you can disbelieve in the character of the American, but you can’t disbelieve in its information collection ability;
Now there are more than 30 countries in a state of war, but the two big guys, China and the United States, have not ended, so the feeling of war3 is not strong, but the volcanic eruption is brewing...
Back to the currency circle: Bitcoin has completed true decentralization when Satoshi Nakamoto disappeared, and the instability of the world may make it a safe-haven asset. This attribute has been repeatedly proven;
But what are other altcoins? What is the difference with centralized assets in the real world? Why don’t you plummet when a black swan breaks out?
This is the main logic of the current market. Bitcoin may continue to rise to $100,000, but altcoins are like delicate water plants and need a stable environment.

Let's talk about PEPE;
From a technical perspective: After five months, it has once again created a historical new high, but is constrained by the pressure levels of 0.000018-0.000024; however, after the weekly volume broke the new high, the market sentiment has already picked up, and if Bitcoin stabilizes, there is an opportunity for further upward movement.
Top prediction (next 3 months): Currently, PEPE's main target to catch up with is SHIB. If it catches up to SHIB's market value, there is still a potential increase of 75%; if the goal is to enter the top ten, there is still a potential increase of 107%. Of course, if the entire market follows Bitcoin's surge, then this increase could be even higher.
Suitable investor group: Suitable for investors with assets in the A6—A7 range, as the overall increase has already been quite high and carries certain risks.
Comprehensive recommendation index: 3 stars⭐️, the risk-reward ratio is relatively poor.

Bitcoin hits a new high, while other altcoins plummet. If nothing unexpected happens, there is a high probability that some major event that affects the market will break out, and it is a black swan event with bad results. The main force sells altcoins for risk aversion. The bull market is clear, but the main force will use all means to wash you out of the car. The best operation is to buy when the price drops. The medium operation is to buy and hold the currency. The worst operation is to chase the rise and kill the fall. Then please leave after buying.

The official Bitcoin Twitter account posted a picture of Bitcoin Coke. Will there be a BTC-coke meme coin that will increase 10,000 times?

What do you think the meme coin will be called?

Trolls break through the bottom of the monthly level. Musk helps Comrade Jianguo win the election. One person's success brings prosperity to everyone.

Bitcoin has broken through $90,000 and is only one step away from the $100,000 mark. It was previously predicted that it would break through $100,000 before the end of this year (December 31), which is very optimistic.
I have to say
Bitcoin is really awesome, and altcoins are really lagging behind

Just finished speaking, the callback came so quickly;
The biggest problem with the current market is that Bitcoin is violently rising alone, and most of the altcoins follow the symbolic rise, and then when Bitcoin slightly pulls back, other altcoins will plummet;
The main reason is that there is too little money in the market and insufficient liquidity. The money that comes in from the Bitcoin spot ETF is basically deposited in Bitcoin itself, and rarely overflows. Bitcoin is going to be $90,000 this round, and ETH, the vane of altcoins, has not reached the height of March this year, let alone other currencies;
But this is the case in the early stage of the bull market. Bitcoin must first be allowed to rise comfortably. Only when it rises to the point where there is no more room for growth will there be overflow funds to pull up altcoins. Now only a small part of the money from the interest rate cut has flowed into the currency circle. This money is mainly optimistic about Bitcoin and can only support Bitcoin's rise. So if you mainly hold altcoins, you can only be patient. The big bull market is behind and will come soon.
Now there are two things to do: 1. Work hard and earn more principal; 2. Use various channels to find high-quality currencies and act quickly.
If you have a good currency, please leave a message to tell me. Let's see how good it is? What is the upper limit? How to pull up and wash the market later? When to stop profit?

The recent rise of Bitcoin has been unexpectedly strong, bringing up all the altcoins in hand, which is certainly a very happy thing.
However, after calling for a bottom for more than two months, it’s time to say: beware of risks.
The upcoming market trend will mainly be upward at least until August or September next year, but significant corrections will follow each rise.
The correction range for this round of Bitcoin halving bull market may be around 15-20%, while the correction range for altcoins may be around 30-50%; pay attention to the size of altcoins, including the top 10, 20, 50, 100, or even the top 200 by market capitalization, the expected multiple of investment and the expected correction for each ranking segment are completely different. There will be an opportunity to write a long article specifically about this later;
If you can't judge when to reach the top and how much to correct before buying in, then just be a bit more laid-back. In fact, in the end, laid-back people can often make more money.
Additionally, most altcoins will only surge once in a bull market, so don’t develop blind faith; sell after a surge and look at other currencies. Don’t brainwash yourself; understand one thing: all the manipulation by the 'dog' is for the final goal of offloading and cutting retail investors.

Both positive factors have been realized: Trump’s victory and the interest rate cut in November;
Next, the positive factors will unfold, the time for a pullback has come, and this is the last opportunity for those who haven't entered the market to buy at the bottom.
The timeline for the upcoming events is:
January 20, 2025, Trump will officially take the oath of office;
Before that, there will be another Federal Reserve meeting (December 17-18, 2024);
And just over a week after Trump’s inauguration, there will be another Federal Reserve meeting (January 28-29, 2025);
The door to the fourth halving bull market has finally been completely opened.

At 3:00 a.m. today, which is 3:00 a.m. tomorrow (now using winter time: starting from the first Sunday of November and ending on the second Sunday of March of the following year), the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, which is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. This is the first interest rate meeting after the interest rate cut in September, and the penultimate interest rate meeting in 2024.
It is said that Trump's coming to power will force the Federal Reserve to speed up the pace of interest rate cuts. This is the basic logic of this round of increases, so tonight is the touchstone.
I have been calling for bottom-fishing for a long time, and those who are still reading my articles should have already built positions in batches. If you have a new bullet, you might as well wait a while.
At present, Trump has only won the election. There are other processes to go through, such as:
From November 6 to December 11, the states will certify the election results;
On December 17, the Electoral College will meet to cast official votes;
On January 6, 2025, the U.S. Congress will hold a meeting to count and certify the electoral votes;

Until January 20, 2025, Trump will be officially sworn in, and then urge the Federal Reserve to speed up interest rate cuts, and then liquidity will be implemented. The fourth round of halving will be violent. The current rise is mainly emotional fomo. Don't be blinded by the current situation. Don't chase the rise, especially with leverage. The current market is still the most important to seek stability. Only by living longer can you eat "big meat".

Trump won, pinning time is here
At 2 AM on Friday, the Federal Reserve will announce the results of its second-to-last monetary policy meeting of the year.
As mentioned in the previous tweet, the positive news may turn negative, leading to a double explosion in long and short positions.
Trump will only be inaugurated as president on January 20, then urge the Federal Reserve to accelerate interest rate cuts, and after that, liquidity will hit the market and the bull will run wildly. The current rise is mainly driven by FOMO emotions.
Don't be blinded, don't chase the rise, especially not with leverage. This market is merciless; it devours people without spitting out the bones. Right now, staying alive is the most important thing.

Trump is only one step away from being elected
Now that the rise is complete in advance, is it good news turning into bad news?
Once confirmed elected, it will start to drop, a pin in the sky, both long and short explode

Bitcoin has broken its historical high again. Do you feel like you've missed out?
In fact, the liquidity hasn't fully come alive yet; it's just a bull market for Bitcoin alone, or we could say it's the time for institutions and users above A8 and A9.

Most altcoins are still at the calf level; for us small investors, we've just been served the cold dishes, and the hot dishes haven't been served yet.

#美国大选后涨或跌？
Actually, who the president is doesn't matter. As mentioned in a previous tweet: half-price bull markets are all a given.
2017 was driven by the Federal Reserve's low interest rates + CBOE/CEM launching Bitcoin futures trading;
2020-2021 was driven by the Federal Reserve's 0% interest rates + unlimited QE.
This bull market is driven by Bitcoin spot ETFs + the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle; the ETF is the fuse, and the rate cuts are the powder keg.
When Trump took office, there might be a short-term initial rise followed by a fall, a pin bar pattern, then a consolidation to find direction before rising again;
When Harris takes office, there might be a short-term initial fall followed by a rise, still a pin bar pattern followed by consolidation, but the consolidation period will be a bit longer, though it won't affect the subsequent rise and the unfolding bull market;
Today's election situation mainly affects contract traders, with little impact on spot trading; now when opening contracts, it's essential to set strict take-profit and stop-loss levels, take-profit should be quick, and stop-loss should be decisive. Holding onto positions is like seeking death.

US Presidential Election Schedule
Set up the benches, place the watermelons
Prepare the bullets
Wait patiently for the results

Bitcoin began to rebound. Could it be that Trump is ahead of Haha Sister again?
It is said that Comrade Chuan Jianguo's election is a positive, while Haha Sister's election is a negative;
In fact, no matter who is elected, it will not have much impact, especially on the arrival of the fourth round of halving bull market.
It was originally said in the article: 大牛市从来都是明牌, the super bull market in 2017 was spawned by the low interest rate of the Federal Reserve + CBOE/CEM's online Bitcoin futures trading; the super bull market in 2020-2021 was driven by the Federal Reserve's zero interest rate + unlimited QE.
This round of bull market is the Bitcoin spot ETF + the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle. The ETF is the fuse, and the interest rate cut is the powder keg, but the powder keg is a distance away from the fuse. Now the fuse is almost burned out and will explode immediately.
When Trump comes to power, he will use various means to urge the Federal Reserve to speed up the rate cuts. The fourth round of halving bull market will come faster and more violently, but the duration will be shorter, which is more conducive to mainstream currencies such as Bitcoin, ETH, SOL, BNB and leading currencies of various concepts;
When Sister Haha comes to power, the rate cuts will be carried out step by step. The fourth round of halving bull market will come in the form of a slow bull market, which will last longer and be conducive to the outbreak of altcoins;
So, no matter what the election results are today, how will the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on the 8th be? They all affect short-term rises and falls. The big bull's cards have been played. Take a long-term view and don't be blinded by the gains and losses of a certain time and place. #美国大选后涨或跌？

Let me give another praise to pixel. I have praised it three times in the past half month. I just asked an old colleague to buy it at the current price on Monday. Because from a technical point of view, the bottom pattern is really good. Gamefi has always been one of the tracks I am most optimistic about in this round of market. At present, this coin is still in the bottom start-up stage. It is worth buying and waiting.

Nearly three months later, Bitcoin breaks $70,000 again
Currently, it is only a little over $2,000 away from its historical peak, a 3% increase;
but other altcoins are basically still halfway up the mountain or at the bottom: even ETH is still 46% away from its historical high.
SOL is at 30%, BNB is at 16%, while popular coins from the last bull market like DOGE, SHIB, ADA, ICP, FIL, DOT, etc. are still down 70% or even 90%;
From this perspective, we can only say that it is Bitcoin's bull market for now, and of course, bull markets start with Bitcoin rising first;
The market liquidity has not yet picked up, and cannot support a broad rally. Currently, it may be quite difficult to see other altcoins surge alongside Bitcoin; it would be good if 20% of altcoins ultimately have a greater increase than Bitcoin;
Next, there are a few major events to pay attention to in November to prevent black swan occurrences:
November 1: U.S. Non-farm Payroll Night;
November 5: U.S. Election;
November 7: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision;
Currently, one should have about half of their positions, but don't rush to go all in; it’s best to wait until these three events settle and decide on your investment strategy based on the market fundamentals at that time.

In this round of sharp decline, Bitcoin has actually not dropped much, currently not even breaking the low point of the 23rd;
Only altcoins are bleeding heavily, just as predicted last week (see image 3);
The reason for this can be attributed to Israel's strike on Iran, with some smart money seeking refuge, selling altcoins, and buying Bitcoin, leading to the plummet of altcoins.
At the moment, most altcoins are in the hype phase, but Bitcoin has real safe-haven attributes and institutional big players represented by Wall Street are buying and holding it with actual money.
As mentioned previously in articles, events like the Iranian-Iraqi conflict and the Russia-Ukraine war are black swan events that, in the short term, will definitely lead to negative declines because large funds' basic mindset is to seek 'stability';
After a crisis breaks out and it is proven to be within a controllable range, and the crisis may instead create new opportunities and application scenarios for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, a rebound will soon follow, with Bitcoin leading the way, while many altcoins may struggle to recover.
From an internal perspective, the main force is currently using all factors to push down and wash out positions. Before the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path is fully clarified, and before the liquidity from the interest rate cut is fully realized, this operation will continue. If retail investors do not give up their chips, how will the market rise later?
However, the washout phase is now also entering its later stage. Previously observed information indicates that the amount of Bitcoin held by big players has reached an all-time high, suggesting that retail investors are nearly done giving up their chips.
This round of decline has not yet ended. If you really want to bottom fish, you can start by buying a small percentage in batches. If you want to be more cautious, you can wait for the Bitcoin price to reach the level mentioned earlier.