财经东晨
@A666666
公众号：（ 峰哥加密圈 ）
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CZ's self-report - my principles and life
Principles of CZ
1 General principles
1.1 Fairness
This is a broad principle that covers many aspects of life, including personal relationships, relationships with colleagues, and business transactions. I believe in treating people fairly. Don't take advantage of others, and don't let others take advantage of you. If you can't grasp this balance, you won't achieve much in your life. However, many things are easier said than done. Everyone is subjective and slightly biased. We need to resist this thinking and remain as objective as possible.
1 General principles
1.1 Fairness
This is a broad principle that covers many aspects of life, including personal relationships, relationships with colleagues, and business transactions. I believe in treating people fairly. Don't take advantage of others, and don't let others take advantage of you. If you can't grasp this balance, you won't achieve much in your life. However, many things are easier said than done. Everyone is subjective and slightly biased. We need to resist this thinking and remain as objective as possible.
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In January, with Trump back in power, Ethereum's staking feature is expected to officially launch, and staking applications will begin. So far, approximately $385 million in funds are ready to enter the market. This move is expected to further enhance the value of the Ethereum ecosystem. At the same time, Ethereum will also welcome the Prague upgrade, with a specific release date expected in January. Although it is currently impossible to clearly predict the specific pros and cons that this upgrade will bring, based on the performance of past Ethereum network upgrades, it generally brings positive effects. Therefore, these two favorable pieces of news are expected to drive up the price of ETH in January. #ETH
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In 2025, a general rise in the market will occur, but there will be severe differentiation in market structure, with the gap between strong hot spots and less popular projects possibly reaching several times.
Meme coins will welcome a strong cycle, which might be the most intense wave in the past two years. There will be many opportunities on-chain, at least one or two projects with a thousandfold return, but there will also be more cryptocurrencies that may go to zero, making it quite challenging for novice investors.
New star projects will emerge in the secondary market, similar to running shoes and other types of assets, which are worth paying attention to.
Subsequent speculation will tend to concentrate, with concepts like AI, RWA, Trump, BlackRock, and Grayscale becoming mainstream.
When investing, one should not solely rely on market capitalization concepts; do not assume that large market caps have no room for growth, and small market caps may not necessarily offer great opportunities.
I believe that the current market structure differentiation is very obvious, and those neglected projects may become the last wave of highlights, but overall, this will be the tail end of the entire cycle.
When this round ends, the altcoin market will be in disarray, paving the way for the next major reshuffling.
Meme coins will welcome a strong cycle, which might be the most intense wave in the past two years. There will be many opportunities on-chain, at least one or two projects with a thousandfold return, but there will also be more cryptocurrencies that may go to zero, making it quite challenging for novice investors.
New star projects will emerge in the secondary market, similar to running shoes and other types of assets, which are worth paying attention to.
Subsequent speculation will tend to concentrate, with concepts like AI, RWA, Trump, BlackRock, and Grayscale becoming mainstream.
When investing, one should not solely rely on market capitalization concepts; do not assume that large market caps have no room for growth, and small market caps may not necessarily offer great opportunities.
I believe that the current market structure differentiation is very obvious, and those neglected projects may become the last wave of highlights, but overall, this will be the tail end of the entire cycle.
When this round ends, the altcoin market will be in disarray, paving the way for the next major reshuffling.
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Altcoins 2025: How to Seize Explosive Opportunities and Achieve Tenfold Wealth Growth!
For participants in the crypto market, 2025 is destined to be an extraordinary year!
From historical data, the cryptocurrency market often operates on a 'four-year cycle' principle, and this cycle usually peaks during a bull market. This year, the following major trends are likely to emerge again:
Breakthrough growth in Bitcoin prices
Comprehensive rebound of mainstream altcoins
Explosive growth of AI and MEME-type tokens
These trends suggest that seasoned investors' portfolios may reach a new high every four years. However, at the same time, new market entrants may experience rapid and severe losses if they lack experience. Just as there is no essential difference in timing within the market, setting goals and reflecting on plans at the beginning of the year is something worth taking seriously.
From historical data, the cryptocurrency market often operates on a 'four-year cycle' principle, and this cycle usually peaks during a bull market. This year, the following major trends are likely to emerge again:
Breakthrough growth in Bitcoin prices
Comprehensive rebound of mainstream altcoins
Explosive growth of AI and MEME-type tokens
These trends suggest that seasoned investors' portfolios may reach a new high every four years. However, at the same time, new market entrants may experience rapid and severe losses if they lack experience. Just as there is no essential difference in timing within the market, setting goals and reflecting on plans at the beginning of the year is something worth taking seriously.
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Expect a surge in altcoins in the first quarter! Seize the moment and catch the doubling opportunity!
1. Overall market trends and opportunities
Before January 20, the market trend should be relatively stable, and a major decline is unlikely. Therefore, now is a good time, especially for some small coins, which may see several times increase in the first quarter, worth planning in advance.
2. Capital inflow and market sentiment
Recently, market funds have been active; for example, the increase in USDT issuance was significant yesterday, indicating that a lot of capital is preparing to enter the market and 'buy the dip'. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs have attracted a lot of capital inflow:
Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of $908 million yesterday;
Before January 20, the market trend should be relatively stable, and a major decline is unlikely. Therefore, now is a good time, especially for some small coins, which may see several times increase in the first quarter, worth planning in advance.
2. Capital inflow and market sentiment
Recently, market funds have been active; for example, the increase in USDT issuance was significant yesterday, indicating that a lot of capital is preparing to enter the market and 'buy the dip'. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs have attracted a lot of capital inflow:
Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of $908 million yesterday;
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Views on this year's altcoin market:
High market cap, low circulation new coins and newly launched coins: These types of coins occupy the majority of the market, with 99.19% of them struggling to break through historical highs, so it is important to avoid viewing all new coins as potential stocks.
Market time cycle: It is expected that the altcoin market will unfold in the first half of the year and gradually end in the second half.
Differences between strong and weak altcoins: There is a huge gap between the gains of strong altcoins and weak coins. Only by capturing projects that can explode like "lottery coins" can significant returns be obtained, so expectations for the market should be adjusted appropriately.
Ethereum's upward potential: The upward potential for Ethereum is expected to be at most 3 times, and potential beyond this range is not easy to see.
High market cap, low circulation new coins and newly launched coins: These types of coins occupy the majority of the market, with 99.19% of them struggling to break through historical highs, so it is important to avoid viewing all new coins as potential stocks.
Market time cycle: It is expected that the altcoin market will unfold in the first half of the year and gradually end in the second half.
Differences between strong and weak altcoins: There is a huge gap between the gains of strong altcoins and weak coins. Only by capturing projects that can explode like "lottery coins" can significant returns be obtained, so expectations for the market should be adjusted appropriately.
Ethereum's upward potential: The upward potential for Ethereum is expected to be at most 3 times, and potential beyond this range is not easy to see.
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Bitcoin's 4-hour level continues to adjust, with the short-term position of 92,000 being a key level. If it falls below this, it will directly break around 90,000. This scenario is not frightening; I have mentioned that Bitcoin will not experience a significant drop, and the downside is very limited. What is concerning is the altcoins; if they follow the trend, then users trading contracts in the short term will be at risk.
Although on-chain AI is crazy, the best strategy is to double your initial investment, then the remaining amount becomes free chips. Make sure to hold on to them for a long time; that way, you can make big profits. Keep exchanging your capital for free chips.
On-chain AI market continues to be crazy, and some meme coins on CEX have completed their bottoming out. Overall, everything is an opportunity.
Although on-chain AI is crazy, the best strategy is to double your initial investment, then the remaining amount becomes free chips. Make sure to hold on to them for a long time; that way, you can make big profits. Keep exchanging your capital for free chips.
On-chain AI market continues to be crazy, and some meme coins on CEX have completed their bottoming out. Overall, everything is an opportunity.
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This round of the bull market will undoubtedly be led by AI, with hopes of repeating the last DeFi market. Below is a summary of token classifications related to AI, which are worth paying close attention to:
AI Proxy Public Chain: Near, CHR, HBAR, FET, TAO, IO, Flux, BICO
AI Proxy Payment: REQ
AI Proxy Meme: GOAT
AI + Video: Theta, LPT
AI Data: VANA, ARKM, VIDT, DATA
AI Storage: FIL, aAR
AI Proxy + TEE: PHA, SCRT, POND, ROSE
AI Proxy Public Chain: Near, CHR, HBAR, FET, TAO, IO, Flux, BICO
AI Proxy Payment: REQ
AI Proxy Meme: GOAT
AI + Video: Theta, LPT
AI Data: VANA, ARKM, VIDT, DATA
AI Storage: FIL, aAR
AI Proxy + TEE: PHA, SCRT, POND, ROSE
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Currently, the market presents two different viewpoints:
First, some believe that the market has bottomed out, and one can start to gradually increase positions, waiting for the rise of altcoins, with the expectation that Bitcoin will rise to 120,000.
Second, others believe that Bitcoin may fall to the range of 88,000 to 85,000, and only after hitting the bottom and rebounding will the market experience a reversal.
Which viewpoint do you tend to agree with more?
First, some believe that the market has bottomed out, and one can start to gradually increase positions, waiting for the rise of altcoins, with the expectation that Bitcoin will rise to 120,000.
Second, others believe that Bitcoin may fall to the range of 88,000 to 85,000, and only after hitting the bottom and rebounding will the market experience a reversal.
Which viewpoint do you tend to agree with more?
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Before a significant rise, many retail investors frequently switch coins and even rush to cut losses at the slightest floating loss, causing their principal to shrink from hundreds of thousands to tens of thousands.
Those who can truly make money in a bull market are those who remain optimistic about the sector and hold their investments for the long term. As the rotation among sectors progresses, the opportunity will eventually arrive.
Behind a bull market is the accumulation of capital. When a large amount of capital continuously flows into the market, and the buying pressure far exceeds the selling pressure, a rising trend will naturally form.
Those who can truly make money in a bull market are those who remain optimistic about the sector and hold their investments for the long term. As the rotation among sectors progresses, the opportunity will eventually arrive.
Behind a bull market is the accumulation of capital. When a large amount of capital continuously flows into the market, and the buying pressure far exceeds the selling pressure, a rising trend will naturally form.
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Through in-depth observation of the trends of some quality altcoins, you will find that they have a common characteristic:
Most of them started to rebound around the phase low point on November 6, gradually rising until around December 6 before declining.
The bullish cycles in the crypto market are usually short, while the bearish and volatile markets last much longer. It's not that there was no rise; in fact, by November, many were blooming, with even many 'century-old iron trees' flowering!
Therefore, it cannot be said that there are no opportunities in the crypto market, but why do many people end up losing money during bullish trends?
The key lies in their failure to make the right trading strategies at the right time. Many people remain stuck in past thinking, believing that as long as prices rise, they will continue to rise, assuming that without a tenfold or hundredfold increase, it does not count as a real rise. This mindset leads to frequent 'roller coaster' fluctuations.
In fact, if one puts in the effort for investment research and carefully analyzes the essence of candlestick patterns, many rules can still be discovered. We should not be limited to the so-called 'bull and bear' cycles but should pay more attention to the thinking patterns of 'phase markets.' Different phases require different trading strategies, while the rest should be left to time for validation.
Most of them started to rebound around the phase low point on November 6, gradually rising until around December 6 before declining.
The bullish cycles in the crypto market are usually short, while the bearish and volatile markets last much longer. It's not that there was no rise; in fact, by November, many were blooming, with even many 'century-old iron trees' flowering!
Therefore, it cannot be said that there are no opportunities in the crypto market, but why do many people end up losing money during bullish trends?
The key lies in their failure to make the right trading strategies at the right time. Many people remain stuck in past thinking, believing that as long as prices rise, they will continue to rise, assuming that without a tenfold or hundredfold increase, it does not count as a real rise. This mindset leads to frequent 'roller coaster' fluctuations.
In fact, if one puts in the effort for investment research and carefully analyzes the essence of candlestick patterns, many rules can still be discovered. We should not be limited to the so-called 'bull and bear' cycles but should pay more attention to the thinking patterns of 'phase markets.' Different phases require different trading strategies, while the rest should be left to time for validation.
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This round of altcoin market is mainly concentrated in the hot season.
What is the hot season?
Not all altcoins will soar.
Only 1 to 3 sectors will explode in turn.
In each secondary hot season, the increase of hot coins can usually reach 3 to 5 times.
When Bitcoin is in a volatile period, it is the best time for hot altcoins to perform.
It is normal to rise and fall.
Those sectors that are generally optimistic may explode later, while those neglected sectors may explode in advance.
In this bull market, the rhythm of making money should be steady. Once you pursue quick profits, you may miss the real opportunity.
What is the hot season?
Not all altcoins will soar.
Only 1 to 3 sectors will explode in turn.
In each secondary hot season, the increase of hot coins can usually reach 3 to 5 times.
When Bitcoin is in a volatile period, it is the best time for hot altcoins to perform.
It is normal to rise and fall.
Those sectors that are generally optimistic may explode later, while those neglected sectors may explode in advance.
In this bull market, the rhythm of making money should be steady. Once you pursue quick profits, you may miss the real opportunity.
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How to play the band and make money easily?
1. Rebound shipment: Some narratives may only have one rebound opportunity. Don’t wait until the last wave, exit in advance and lock in profits!
2. Large market value band: The heat is the highest in the first two days of breaking the new high, so hurry up and ship!
3. Cyclical adjustment: When the currency adjusts, it may be a signal of the next wave of rise. You can test the water with a small position when it fluctuates at a low level!
Band operation, fast in and fast out, accurate grasp!
1. Rebound shipment: Some narratives may only have one rebound opportunity. Don’t wait until the last wave, exit in advance and lock in profits!
2. Large market value band: The heat is the highest in the first two days of breaking the new high, so hurry up and ship!
3. Cyclical adjustment: When the currency adjusts, it may be a signal of the next wave of rise. You can test the water with a small position when it fluctuates at a low level!
Band operation, fast in and fast out, accurate grasp!
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The currencies that performed strongly some time ago have weakened significantly in the past two days, and the rebound will not be followed for the time being.
Next, you can start to pay attention to the tokens of the Ethereum ecosystem, such as $SSV, $ETHFI, $UNI, $ENA, etc.
These tokens have fallen from their previous highs, and now there is a 30-40% correction.
From the perspective of cost performance, it is still very attractive.
Previously, currencies such as $ZEN, $COW, $USUAL, and $LPT, which have seen a large increase, have experienced a round of increases, and I already have some bottom positions in my hands.
You can withdraw the profits and part of the margin and switch to Ethereum series tokens.
Choose some of the above tokens, enter the market in batches, and slowly increase your positions.
When ETH rises to around 4,000, consider large-scale profit-taking.
Next, you can start to pay attention to the tokens of the Ethereum ecosystem, such as $SSV, $ETHFI, $UNI, $ENA, etc.
These tokens have fallen from their previous highs, and now there is a 30-40% correction.
From the perspective of cost performance, it is still very attractive.
Previously, currencies such as $ZEN, $COW, $USUAL, and $LPT, which have seen a large increase, have experienced a round of increases, and I already have some bottom positions in my hands.
You can withdraw the profits and part of the margin and switch to Ethereum series tokens.
Choose some of the above tokens, enter the market in batches, and slowly increase your positions.
When ETH rises to around 4,000, consider large-scale profit-taking.
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Are altcoins no longer viable? Choosing the right currency is the key! DeFi, RWA, AI, and L1 sectors are booming!
If Bitcoin rises in 2025 and altcoins fluctuate, and only a few sectors or currencies will follow the rise, then coin selection becomes very critical. Choosing the wrong coin may make you miss the opportunity of this bull market.
Active portfolios will outperform passive portfolios in this cycle. In other words, be selective with your coins.
The hottest coins may not continue to rise, the most important thing is the narrative behind them. The market has its own rules, and we cannot just randomly pull up some unrealistic concepts, such as aliens or spaceships. Investors will not buy into those stories that are not grounded.
Active portfolios will outperform passive portfolios in this cycle. In other words, be selective with your coins.
The hottest coins may not continue to rise, the most important thing is the narrative behind them. The market has its own rules, and we cannot just randomly pull up some unrealistic concepts, such as aliens or spaceships. Investors will not buy into those stories that are not grounded.
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Bitcoin is showing a back-and-forth movement on the 4-hour level, with the short-term support around 92,000 being crucial. If this position is lost, it will take longer for further fluctuations and adjustments. Currently, the short-term trend is mainly focused on fluctuations and adjustments.
In terms of altcoins, the performance is mixed. DESCI has some hotspots, but lacks sustained driving force. AI has hotspots and also sustained driving force, so everyone should pay more attention to this sector. Countless AI projects are emerging daily, providing many opportunities, but of course, the risks can also be significant.
In terms of altcoins, the performance is mixed. DESCI has some hotspots, but lacks sustained driving force. AI has hotspots and also sustained driving force, so everyone should pay more attention to this sector. Countless AI projects are emerging daily, providing many opportunities, but of course, the risks can also be significant.
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In this bull market, projects in the DeFi sector will show significant differentiation, and the market will not present a pattern of widespread increases. Below are the projects related to different institutions:
Projects related to Trump: LINK, AAVE, ONDO
Projects related to BlackRock: ONDO, CRV, APT
Projects related to Grayscale: ZEN, ZEC, XLM, LPT
In the current bull market, altcoins will show significant differentiation in their trends, and the likelihood of a widespread increase is low. It is advisable to focus on those currencies that have a clear narrative and strong performance, as the strong tend to remain strong. Funds, energy, and time can be concentrated on these promising projects to enhance profit opportunities.
Projects related to Trump: LINK, AAVE, ONDO
Projects related to BlackRock: ONDO, CRV, APT
Projects related to Grayscale: ZEN, ZEC, XLM, LPT
In the current bull market, altcoins will show significant differentiation in their trends, and the likelihood of a widespread increase is low. It is advisable to focus on those currencies that have a clear narrative and strong performance, as the strong tend to remain strong. Funds, energy, and time can be concentrated on these promising projects to enhance profit opportunities.
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Market sentiment and confidence are gradually improving, with Bitcoin fluctuating around 100,000, and altcoins have begun to welcome opportunities for growth.
In centralized exchanges (CEX), the performance of altcoins mainly revolves around Grayscale's carefully selected assets, such as ZEN, LPT, and BAT projects. Additionally, new coins on Binance are also starting to show rebound potential, such as MOVE and ME.
On-chain funding's focus is primarily concentrated on AI concepts, which will become an important narrative in the market next year. Therefore, keeping an eye on the dynamics of AI development will be key to future investment decisions.
In centralized exchanges (CEX), the performance of altcoins mainly revolves around Grayscale's carefully selected assets, such as ZEN, LPT, and BAT projects. Additionally, new coins on Binance are also starting to show rebound potential, such as MOVE and ME.
On-chain funding's focus is primarily concentrated on AI concepts, which will become an important narrative in the market next year. Therefore, keeping an eye on the dynamics of AI development will be key to future investment decisions.
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The rebound of altcoins is unstoppable! How to seize the upcoming opportunities of altcoin season?
The recent market rebound gives people a feeling of “as if a spring breeze has suddenly come overnight,” especially under the shadow of the sharp decline of altcoins a few days ago. The entire market quickly recovered, showing strong vitality. The hallmark of this rebound is that altcoins stopped falling and began to rise first, while Bitcoin has also shown signs of stabilization and rebound recently. Combined with historical trends and the current stage of the bull market, it seems to herald the approach of “altcoin season.”
During this major market drop, I also took the opportunity to buy a lot of bottom altcoins. Looking at the current market environment, I am optimistic about altcoins for three main reasons:
During this major market drop, I also took the opportunity to buy a lot of bottom altcoins. Looking at the current market environment, I am optimistic about altcoins for three main reasons:
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Currently, the trend of Bitcoin has slowed down, and this wave of the market has not led to a comprehensive explosion of altcoins as expected.
Looking back at historical bull markets, which round did not see Bitcoin and altcoins take off together? So we can wait patiently; this bull market will not end so soon.
Next, during the Christmas period, I will continue to pay attention to SOL, LINK, and AAVE. #山寨币季节 #sol
Looking back at historical bull markets, which round did not see Bitcoin and altcoins take off together? So we can wait patiently; this bull market will not end so soon.
Next, during the Christmas period, I will continue to pay attention to SOL, LINK, and AAVE. #山寨币季节 #sol