Let's talk about the follow-up market trends. When the market fell the other day, it was originally expected to start rising around January 18, but it actually happened two days earlier.

This year is expected to be a prosperous year, but after this wave of increases ends, we may face an epic crash, with Bitcoin (BTC) conservatively estimated to drop 30% - 50% from its peak, and altcoins expected to decline around 60% - 80%.

Of course, the current upward trend has not yet ended. When the market drops, there will be opportunities in the on-chain primary market, with chances in projects like inscriptions and meme coins.

Currently, the bull market is basically halfway through, and those trading contracts are likely to end up losing everything. Speaking of inscriptions, you can pay attention to the waxn and oraa inscriptions from the ok wallet, as their total supply is only a few thousand, launched by an ok subsidiary. I have a feeling they will become leaders in the inscription field in the future.

After all, ok has always valued its wallet business and is the initiator of inscriptions, whereas projects like sats and rats are too large and require huge amounts of capital.

So, long-time fans can try to grab some waxn and oraa chips, which are currently in the testing stage with test orders, and the chip holders are mostly internal personnel.

Operating in the primary market often allows for doubling back on investments, with a relatively high win rate.

In the cryptocurrency world, if you want to achieve wealth quickly, the key lies in two core elements:

First, having capital, and second, being patient while waiting.

If you have capital on hand, when you encounter a market situation that is lukewarm and has little volatility, do not rush to try to operate or trade, because such market conditions often lead to capital depletion.

At this point, you should patiently wait until the K-line trend becomes clearer, and market sentiment falls into a downturn before entering the market heavily.

Even if you need to wait several months without coming across a suitable opportunity, that’s fine; just continue to wait patiently.

However, if you don’t have any capital reserves, even when a fantastic opportunity presents itself, you can only sigh in regret and suffer the pain of missed chances.

So it is essential to remember this: in the cryptocurrency world, the only way to make money is to hold capital in hand and have enough patience to wait for the right moment to appear.

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Let's take a look back at the development of DOGE (Dogecoin).

In 2017, Dogecoin first saw a growth of 212%, but then it experienced a drop of 40%. However, it soon began an amazing rise, increasing by as much as 5000%.

By 2021, Dogecoin initially achieved a growth rate of 476%, but then experienced a drop of 56%. Yet, it quickly rallied again, reaching a staggering increase of 12000%.

As of 2024, Dogecoin has already risen by 440%, but then there was a subsequent drop of 46%...

What will happen next? If history repeats itself with a similar trend, it can indeed be quite frightening! !!!!!!

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From now until the weekend, the market of Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to fluctuate, and its price fluctuation range is expected to be between 97,000 and 102,000.

If you choose to short, it is more suitable for short-term operations; if you go long, you can try to hold it for a long time.

In terms of setting stop loss, the stop loss price of long orders can be set to 103,000, and the stop loss price of short orders can be set to 96,000.

Trump's coming to power next week may trigger major market changes. However, before the market reaches a key transition node, do not easily enter the market. You should strictly control the stop loss and wait patiently for the market to change before making a decision.

You must know that the cryptocurrency market itself has a high degree of uncertainty and there are great risks, so everyone must act cautiously when investing.

If you want to delve deeper into the cryptocurrency world, but can't find a clue, and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it is a contract or spot, you can 👉 Learn more in my profile #SOLV收益预测 #莱特币ETF通过预期 #特朗普上任前风向分析

STX
When the current price is around 1.67, consider entering the market to purchase some spot, and be prepared for long-term holding. The short-term target price is initially set towards 2.8 USD.

Analyzing from the daily level, its price correction phase has ended, and the upward channel is about to open. At this time, after choosing to enter, you just need to patiently wait for a significant bullish candle (commonly referred to as "pillar") to appear.

However, it is important to note that there is uncertainty in the investment market, and one should carefully assess risks when operating.

If you want to delve deep into the crypto space but can't find a clue, and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 check my profile for more information #莱特币ETF通过预期 #核心CPI回落

According to Bloomberg News, U.S. President-elect Trump plans to issue an executive order that designates cryptocurrency as a national priority, and establishes a cryptocurrency advisory committee within the government to advocate for policies in the industry.

Insiders indicate that this order aims to guide government agencies in collaborating with the cryptocurrency industry, highlighting its strategic significance.

At the same time, the Trump team is also discussing halting federal-level lawsuits related to cryptocurrencies to promote the industry's development.

Trump's nominee for Treasury Secretary, Bentsen, stated that if successfully elected as Treasury Secretary, he would work with Congress to eliminate the debt ceiling, ensuring the U.S. avoids a debt default, and reiterated his opposition to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).

He supports restoring a 100% research and development tax credit for businesses, disagrees with the “Pillar Two” global minimum tax, and advocates for increasing sanctions against Russia to promote negotiations.

He warns that if tax reduction policies are not continued, the tax burden on the middle class will increase, emphasizing that adjusting federal spending and tax policies is crucial for economic recovery, believing that Trump’s policies could reduce inflation to 2%.

Additionally, he acknowledges that the Federal Reserve should remain independent and supports using carbon tariffs to improve the overall tariff plan.#币安Alpha上新 #AIXBT涨势强劲

January 17 (Friday) Market Analysis

In yesterday's morning session, the publicly given viewpoint was to first look for a price pullback during the day, and the trading during the session was relatively smooth, successfully capturing a profit of 1300 points.

In the afternoon, the price entered a state of continuous fluctuation, until the U.S. trading session when a second pullback occurred.

Although there was a rally in the early morning hours, it never managed to break through the previous high point.

As the weekend approaches, regarding today's market, it can continue to be treated as a fluctuating market.

If a pullback occurs, when the price falls to the 97300 - 96800 range, one can consider going long on Bitcoin;

As for Ethereum, when the price falls to the 3230 - 3300 range, one can also consider going long.

If you want to delve deeper into the cryptocurrency space but can't find a clue, and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 check out more in my profile #AIXBT涨势强劲 #莱特币ETF通过预期

During yesterday's daytime trading, the price remained in a relatively narrow range, oscillating with very small fluctuations.

However, by evening, the market suddenly changed, experiencing a significant downturn, with the price dipping to the 97300 area. Fortunately, the market quickly rebounded after hitting the bottom.

In fact, just yesterday, Xinyan had already reminded everyone in advance that the 97000 area is a key support level. If a pullback occurs, it would be an excellent opportunity to enter long positions.

As expected, Bitcoin (commonly referred to as 'big cake' in the text) made a strong return in the early hours, with the price rising again above 100000, and the long positions that Xinyan had previously established successfully generated a profit of 3000 points.

From the current market situation, after Bitcoin regained the 100000 mark, it has entered another phase of high-level consolidation.

At this moment, market sentiment is high, and the bullish momentum is showing a continuously strengthening trend.

Moreover, with Trump soon to take office, this situation will undoubtedly add more uncertainty to the market. Based on this, it is expected that Bitcoin's trend will continue to develop towards a sustained upward breakthrough.

Analyzing the four-hour candlestick chart, it can be observed that Bitcoin is exhibiting a characteristic of oscillating upwards, with the overall market mainly trending upwards and continuously closing with bullish candles, currently showing no obvious signs of a pullback.

Even if occasional price drops occur, they are merely short-term adjustments after price surges, with the decline being very limited.

Therefore, it is essential to focus on the pressure level formed at the 102000 mark.

Regarding trading strategies, it is recommended to maintain a mindset of buying on dips to better capture this upward trend.

The morning trading suggestions are as follows:

When Bitcoin pulls back to the 99000 - 98000 range, consider going long, with target prices set in the 102000 - 103000 range.

For long-term investors, it is essential to steadfastly adhere to your investment principles:

First, the safety of the principal must be the top priority.

It is important to understand that in the long journey of investing, which is akin to a prolonged war, ensuring your survival is the most crucial point.

After all, only by protecting the principal can you continue to participate in subsequent market changes and generate profits.

Secondly, the path of investment is fraught with uncertainties, much like being in a fog, making it difficult to clearly perceive the situation ahead.

Rather than expending enormous energy trying to predict tomorrow's market trends, it is better to steadily grasp the cyclical dividends brought about by the alternating bull and bear markets.

The transition between bull and bear markets is an inherent law of market operation; those who are adept at capturing and utilizing this law often reap significant rewards in long-term investments.

Finally, one must not blindly chase every minor change in the market. It is important to cultivate the ability to accurately grasp the timing of buying and selling, restrain one's greed during the investment process, and learn to be content and happy.

Because only by controlling one's desires and making the right buying and selling decisions at the appropriate times can one truly emerge victorious in the market as a skilled investor.

If you want to delve deeply into the cryptocurrency space but cannot find a clue, and wish to quickly understand the information gap, whether it is contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #币安Alpha上新 #BTC重回10万

#BTC重回10万 1. Yesterday, the Bitcoin spot ETF in the United States received a net inflow of $754.79 million, while the Ethereum spot ETF also achieved a net inflow of $59.12 million.

2. A senator from Texas has proposed a bill aimed at establishing the first state-level Bitcoin strategic reserve in the United States, which may have significant implications for local Bitcoin-related affairs.

3. An address holding over 50.25 million USDT has been frozen, drawing considerable attention within the industry.

4. Over the past three months, the number of scams in Telegram groups has shown a sharp increase, with a growth rate exceeding 2000%, even surpassing the harm caused by traditional phishing.

5. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has accused Ripple, claiming that it has been trying for years to boost market demand for XRP through public statements to drive up its price.

6. Coinbase set a historical record for Day1 listings in 2024, with an increase of about 65% compared to 2023, demonstrating strong growth momentum.

7. An early whale reportedly achieved returns as high as 4500 times on AIXBT, and just five hours ago, this whale deposited 3 million AIXBT into the Binance platform, sparking various speculations in the market.

8. A whale with a segment win rate of 83.3% executed a profit-taking operation 10 hours ago on a small position that held 1029.78 Ethereum (ETH), indicating its precise timing in the market.

9. A former core researcher from the Ethereum Foundation spoke out, stating that Aya, the Executive Director of the Ethereum Foundation (EF), has made numerous contributions to the development of Ethereum, urging everyone not to casually defame her.

10. On the Deribit platform, there have been trading operations involving large Ethereum (ETH) options, with someone buying put options expiring at the end of February with a strike price of $3400 while selling call options with a strike price of $3800, which may reflect the trader's specific expectations for Ethereum's price movement at that time.

There is a prophecy that states: when the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches 100,000 or higher, a significant price fluctuation is bound to occur.

Looking at the long-term development trend, its price is expected to fall back to the range of 70,000 to 73,000, and it is anticipated that this situation will not take long to arise.

Afterwards, Bitcoin may once again challenge the 100,000 price level, thereby forming a large double top price pattern.

The entire cycle may last five to six months, or possibly even shorter.

Subsequently, it will enter a long bear market phase, lasting approximately three to five years, during which Bitcoin's price will experience a sharp decline of 70 to 80%, ultimately stabilizing within the range of 20,000 to 50,000.

If you want to dig deep into the crypto space but can't find a clue, and wish to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #AIXBT涨势强劲 #BTC重回10万

As expected, the price has successfully broken through the important threshold of 100,000 again, just as I predicted earlier.

The entire process has been quite smooth, first stabilizing firmly at the 96,000 price level, then gradually rising to the 98,000 level, and finally breaking through the 100,000 mark in one go.

However, although the price has now surpassed 100,000, it remains uncertain whether the bulls can continue to push the price further at this level.

After all, above this threshold, there are many pressures to contend with. There have been several instances of breaking through this level before, but each time after a breakthrough, the price has seen significant pullbacks.

It is worth paying particular attention to the previous high of 103,000, as the resistance at this point should not be underestimated.

In terms of short-term trading, it is still advisable to observe the continuation of the price trend for now.

If there is a pullback during the day, when the price falls back to the 98,800 - 99,000 range, it may be worth considering going long, with target price levels looking towards the 101,000 - 102,000 range. #XRP突破新高？ #BTC重回10万

According to relevant data, there is a piece of "smart money" that has successfully profited 4.92 million dollars by making swing trades using PEPE over the past six months.

Recently, this fund liquidated as much as 58.82 billion PEPE, which, based on the market value at that time, was approximately 10.99 million dollars. This liquidation operation also earned an additional profit of 1.053 million dollars.

It is reported that this address began accumulating positions in batches as early as December 20, 2024, with an average acquisition cost of 0.0000169 dollars per PEPE.

Afterward, taking advantage of the favorable timing of the market recovery, they decisively chose to liquidate, with the selling price being approximately 0.00001869 dollars per PEPE.

As of now, through swing trading on PEPE, this fund has cumulatively profited 5.97 million dollars. #DeFAI热点 #市场反弹预测

Data shows that the current price of AGLD is $2.06, with a short-term increase of over 7%; the current quote for CBK is $1.09, with a short-term increase of over 4%;

HPO is currently at a price of $0.07358, with a short-term increase of over 9%.

The prices of many altcoins have already fallen back to their previous low points, or have retreated to the starting point of the price surge in October.

From the perspective of risk-reward ratio, these price levels can be considered relatively low-risk buying opportunities.

Taking IMX as an example, it has previously shown oversold signals four times, and each time this signal appeared, its price rebounded to varying degrees.

Given that prices have historically responded to oversold signals, the possibility of a rebound when the fifth oversold signal appears is also quite high.

However, the key focus should still be on those altcoins with stronger trends, as well as those with clear trend patterns, as they tend to have more investment reference value.

The price of BTC (Bitcoin) is exhibiting a volatile upward trend or possibly a volatile downward trend thereafter, which may become a new common scenario. Meanwhile, the altcoin market will continuously experience alternating bull and bear markets during the volatility of Bitcoin.

Technical Analysis
1. The upward trend that started from the price level of 89257 is showing a driving pattern, and this upward trend has not yet ended.

2. The downward movement that has emerged from the highest point has a possibility of having ended.

3. Currently facing pressure from a small-level trend line, a slight pullback at this point is reasonable; however, I will not rashly place bets.

The larger resistance level is approximately around 105000.

4. From the daily candlestick perspective, this drop below the MA60 moving average has lasted for 6 days. According to conventional judgment, the upward trend at this level is considered to be broken.

If we expand the level to the 3-day MA30 trend (refer to related diagrams), the next adjustment might face the daily MA120 level, and the adjustment could even be deeper.

5. If a new upward trend is initiated, Ethereum ($ETH) and Solana (SOL) need to significantly outperform Bitcoin in this rally for the entire market to become active.

If they merely follow Bitcoin's rise, only a few popular coins or specific projects on certain chains might have a brief surge.

Therefore, during this round of following Bitcoin's rise, once I determine that Bitcoin has reached my expected price level, I will choose to synchronize taking profits on those relatively underperforming coins (as these coins often see a rebound after Bitcoin peaks).

If you want to delve deeply into the cryptocurrency space but can't find a direction, and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #微策略持续增持BTC #美国PPI温和上涨

Should I add to my position in Dogecoin (DOGE) now? Let's analyze its advantages:

Advantages
1. Musk moved into the White House on January 20, and his political influence increased. Because of his close relationship with Dogecoin, it may indirectly benefit Dogecoin.

2. Musk is the director of the U.S. Government Effectiveness Commission and may introduce relevant policies to benefit the development of Dogecoin.

3. The "LOGE" logo of Dogecoin is highly recognizable, which can enhance brand recognition and attract more attention and participation.

4. Musk is a political and business giant with his own traffic and attention, which can promote the attention of Dogecoin and enhance its influence.

5. If X100 million users switch to Dogecoin platform coins, it will increase its demand and drive up prices.

Summary
These factors may increase the demand and attention of Dogecoin, which is beneficial to its growth potential, but cryptocurrencies are highly uncertain and risky, so investment should be cautious. #美国PPI温和上涨 #微策略持续增持BTC

In the altcoin market, there exists a logical relationship: attention equates to traffic, and traffic equates to funds, which ultimately translates into price increases.

For altcoins, fundamental analysis often plays a limited role, much like how it is difficult to delve into the exact reasons why a social media influencer suddenly becomes popular across the internet; it is hard to clearly analyze using conventional, rational logic.

If one must find a reason for the popularity of altcoins, it might be attributed to the fact that there are many people in this world who, while perhaps lacking some rational thought in investment, still possess a certain amount of funds.

However, the market has its own adjustment mechanisms, which will always gradually recapture these dispersed investments in altcoins through means such as traffic and speculative behavior, thereby allowing the entire market to return to a relatively balanced state.

If you want to delve deep into the crypto space but can’t find a clue, and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #核心CPI回落 #BTC重回10万

XRP Recent Performance and Future Outlook:

Recent Trends
XRP is stronger than Bitcoin and Ethereum, with K-line oscillating upwards and a bullish arrangement. The bulls dominate, and after a pullback, it quickly returns to high levels, demonstrating strong resilience and rebound power, reflecting market support.

Technical Indicators
Volatility adjustment is nearing the end, prices are stabilizing, and indicators show signs of a golden cross, suggesting a potential rise in the future.

Political Factors
With Trump in office, the cryptocurrency industry may undergo transformation. During Biden's administration, XRP faced lawsuits and pressure, while Trump supports cryptocurrencies, which is expected to lead to friendlier and more relaxed regulations, benefiting XRP in the long term, aiding its stable development and attracting investments, etc.

Reminder: The cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain and risky; investors should make decisions cautiously.

If you want to delve deeper into the crypto space but can't find a direction, and wish to quickly understand information gaps, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #币安Alpha上新 #美国PPI温和上涨

Since I started trading cryptocurrencies, I really miss that time in 2023.

In 2023, people still paid attention to the fundamentals while trading cryptocurrencies, and many would seriously analyze the information contained in the fundamentals.

For example, projects like SSV and RPL, which were in the staking sector, were considered to be undervalued at that time; and projects like magic and camelot, as leading projects in the Arbitrum (arb) ecosystem, were also deeply discussed regarding their development prospects;

Moreover, perpetual decentralized exchanges (perp dex) like GMX and GNS were carefully studied for their profit indicators and other situations.

Back then, choosing cryptocurrencies involved first selecting promising sectors and then identifying leading projects within those sectors. The entire process was logical and well-founded, appearing orderly.

But now, the situation is very different. The logic of trading cryptocurrencies seems to have become quite singular; apart from chasing those 'meme coins' driven by online popularity and emotions, there is hardly anything else.

Many people blindly shout for bullish trends, and this market atmosphere truly makes one feel a bit exhausted and helpless.

If you want to delve deeply into the cryptocurrency world but can't find a clue and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it’s contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #比特币价格走势分析 #美国PPI温和上涨