After the ETF passes, there is a high probability that it will return to around 50,000 to 52,000. This position is suitable for selling spot goods, and then wait for a big correction, maybe 20%, 30%, or 40%. Let’s talk about the reasons for buying the bottom in batches!
1: U.S. stocks with high correlation with cryptocurrencies such as Coinbase began to fall from December 12 to 29, but at that time BTC reached a new stage high of 45,800. Why? The reason is that it takes time to withdraw stocks. A stock like Mujie is too big, and the tail of the last fish will be trampled if it is forced to eat.
2: The new high of US stocks is already in the top range. Today's non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations again, and the market's dream of an early interest rate cut in March was shattered. The Federal Reserve is considering exiting its balance sheet reduction, and overnight reverse repurchases will be exhausted in the next few months, and the liquidity test is coming.
3: The expectations of ETFs have been going on for three months since the fake news on 10.16. It can be found that since the 40-44k range, any relevant good news in the market cannot trigger price increases. Only ETFs can trigger increases through this period. thing. As for the pins a few days ago, I cleared the spot at 44800 and bought it back at the bottom at 42000. Why does the market react so much to a fake news? It’s very simple. The market explodes and leverage is required, but retail investors are highly nervous and are all raising their eyebrows. With frightened ears, a little bit of news will make them click buy/sell. Close skirt power: JQCZ0192
4: After the ETF is approved, it will definitely not be issued immediately. The normal issuance time is between half a month and a month. Yesterday’s article specifically mentioned that if you want to know more, you can check it out. After the issuance, funds will not flow in the next second. When the good news comes true, many retail investors will reach the stage of selling. I have said before that at the 40-44 position, the main forces are divided and funds are leaving the market. After the gold ETF passed the adjustment, it fell 10% in seven months, and the cryptocurrency adjustment time will be longer. Shorter and larger in amplitude.
5: There is nothing to say about the strong selling pressure of 48,000.
6: It’s time to admit that the initial stage of this round of Mavericks/Big Bulls is a game of stock funds. Many retail investors have not yet boarded the car. After passing, we may leave a window period for them and leave them with care and attention on the roof of the car for a period of time. . Only interest rate cuts will bring about increases, and existing stocks will only be cut off from each other.
7: The mood of the currency circle, smart money has left/is leaving the market, liquidity in a large area of Inscription has returned to zero, and it has reached the stage of buying whatever you want to return to zero. There are an endless stream of airdrops in the market, and the market often ends quietly at this time.
