In 2024, Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, had a relatively lackluster performance compared to Bitcoin and other altcoins. As 2025 commences, Ethereum is showing signs of a potential recovery, with a quick 10% gain within a week. This positive start has sparked optimism among investors and analysts, hinting at a promising year ahead.
Renowned analyst Maartunn recently provided data showcasing a prevalent trend of aggressive shorting in Ethereum markets. According to Maartunn, taker sellers have been dominating the market, surpassing taker buyers by over $350 million on a daily basis. This aggressive shorting might have contributed to Ethereum’s underwhelming performance in 2024, as constant selling pressure likely hindered any upward momentum.
With the renewed hope for the new year, many anticipate a shift in this shorting trend, creating a favorable environment for Ethereum to potentially regain its market leadership position. As Ethereum faces and overcomes challenges, the upcoming weeks will be crucial in determining if this early surge marks the beginning of a sustained upward trajectory. Investors are closely monitoring Ethereum, hopeful that a reversal of the prevailing bearish trends could pave the way for a remarkable 2025 for the network.
Ethereum Emerges Amid Growing Shorting Activity
Ethereum is striving to surpass its 2024 peak, yet a definitive breakthrough remains uncertain. Recent price movements suggest the possibility of a rally, with Ethereum displaying early gains in 2025. Nonetheless, the road ahead is complex, as significant selling pressures persistently weigh down on the leading altcoin.
Leading analyst Maartunn recently shared enlightening data from CryptoQuant, highlighting the current market dynamics. The data indicates a prevalence of aggressive shorting in Ethereum, with taker sellers dictating trading activities. Daily records show over $350 million more selling pressure than buying activity, creating a challenging environment for Ethereum to break free from its existing range.
Although this trend may temporarily suppress prices, it is unlikely to endure indefinitely. Market cycles often witness such aggressive shorting as a precursor to a reversal, as selling momentum diminishes and buying pressure builds up. Long-term investors are reportedly viewing this phase as an opportunity, positioning themselves to capitalize on Ethereum’s comparatively lower prices.
As Ethereum navigates through these market dynamics, the next few weeks are critical. A decisive breakout above last year’s high could signal the commencement of a broader rally, rekindling interest and potentially reversing the ongoing shorting trend. Presently, Ethereum stands at a pivotal juncture.
Testing Critical Price Levels
At $3,650, Ethereum is trading strongly in 2025, gaining considerable momentum early in the year. Recent price action saw it surpass the 4-hour 200 EMA with notable strength, a crucial technical indicator for long-term trends. Currently, ETH is testing the 200 MA on the same timeframe, a level that could validate the bullish trend if reclaimed and upheld as support.
A solid daily close above the 200 MA would confirm Ethereum’s upward trajectory, potentially opening doors for a substantial rally to challenge and surpass last year’s peaks. Such a move could reenergize market sentiment and attract additional buying interest, propelling Ethereum to new heights in the short term.
Nevertheless, the bullish outlook comes with its share of risks. Failure to maintain the 200 MA as support could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure in the market. This might push ETH towards lower levels, eroding recent gains and prolonging the struggle to regain upward momentum.
Image credit: Dall-E, chart courtesy of TradingView
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