How is the recent market situation? The decline seems to have stopped, showing signs of rebound. However, based on data analysis, a substantial rise in the short term is unlikely. I believe Bitcoin may oscillate between 94,500 and 99,800. Although there's a small rise, the increase is limited, and trading volume is insufficient; now is not the time to shout that the bull market has returned.
Speaking of BNB, I believe it will continue to oscillate in the range of 685 to 730. Also, MEGADROP is coming soon, and those who want to receive rewards need to either complete tasks or hold BNB regular products.
Next, let's talk about Ethereum (ETH), which appears slightly stronger than Bitcoin, expected to fluctuate between 3400 and 3700. Now let's examine today's technical analysis of BTC: from the K-line perspective, the 1-hour level shows a downtrend, while the 4-hour level is up but may consolidate or decline; both the 12-hour and daily levels are rising. Today's resistance is at $99,800, and support is at $95,200.
Now, let's take a look at the situation of altcoins.
SOL has recently risen to 217 dollars, while altcoins generally have about a 10% increase. It is noteworthy that the possibility of SOL's spot ETF being approved is gradually increasing, so everyone might want to pay attention to January 25th as a key date. On the prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of SOL's spot ETF approval has risen to 86%.
This might mean someone got early access to certain information and laid out plans ahead of time, which could be one reason why SOL has been performing so strongly lately. Our group has also been continuously bottom-fishing SOL, to see if any surprises will emerge next. Currently, there are four main spot ETFs, ranked by expected approval probability from high to low: SOL, XRP, LTC, and DOGE.
BIO opened last night, and Xianxian also reminded yesterday.
BIO opened with such a high market cap, half of the coins donated in the early phase have already entered circulation, while the other half is locked. In my view, this is not a suitable time to take over; it's better to wait until the market undergoes a cleansing before considering.
Now let's take a look at PNUT:
After the pullback of PNUT, most retail investors were washed out. This wave of increase has directly reached the 0.8 position. It was mentioned on the 2nd that it had broken through resistance, and since yesterday, it has been surging in volume. Now we just need to see if it can break directly to the 1 dollar position.
Retail investors should not complain; when it’s time to rise, retail investors will continue to flood in. Although they complain endlessly, they are actually still willing to buy.
NEIRO made a small profit of 25%!
Winter transferred over 1.8 million large NEIRO at 2 AM; I happened to sell around 54, which felt great, and this round of profit was 25%.
ZAILGO conducted airdrop operations yesterday.
This move directly raised the community's goodwill to the maximum, attracting many retail investors. However, today it suddenly entered a downtrend, without giving any buffer time. Nevertheless, I believe this project is not that simple. For those looking to bottom-fish, don't rush to act; its market cap is still over 40 million. I missed this project the first time, so I don't mind missing it again.
Adhering to the principle that the more it falls, the stronger it rises, let it continue to drop for a while, and consider entering once a consolidation range appears.
Recently, a bit more attention can be paid to on-chain projects, as the money-making opportunities on-chain are quite good, and many promising projects are continuously emerging.
buzz, a project dedicated to the integration of AI and DeFi. Its developer jsonhedman won first place in the Microsoft Generative AI Hackathon. The project's market cap skyrocketed to 40 million in just a few hours, knowing that it was only 4 million when I first saw its code. The market has once again entered a stage of 'get on the bus first and study later.' If you missed the chance to get on this ride, you'll have to wait for the next opportunity.
sandy, focused on AI video rendering. This is also a highly promising big milk concept meme that just launched yesterday, with a peak FDV reaching 33 million, currently at 24 million. asym, engaged in the trading AI field, also took off strongly today, with FDV instantly jumping to 20 million.
The leaders behind the three projects swarms, zailgo, and mcs are the same person, and their gains are nearly synchronized. swarms' FDV has surged to 200 million, up from only 20 million just a week ago, quickly growing into a small blue chip. As a framework protocol project, zailgo is still undergoing abstract promotion on Twitter, doubling today, with FDV currently reaching 64 million.
Previously, I discussed AI Agents in the group, and today analyzed internally why Binance only launched the contracts for AI Agents. Many projects have FDVs larger than pool liquidity. Projects like AI16z and virtual, which have market caps in the hundreds of millions, will only be launched by Binance after gathering enough chips.
In contrast, I actually think that AI memes like goat, which have been continuously declining on Binance futures, might go live on the spot market sooner. High-quality AI Agents with FDVs ranging from 50 million to 500 million have a chance to appear on the Binance spot market in the future.
I have carefully compiled a list of high-quality coins related to AI, here are a few I have carefully selected (these projects are likely to go live on Binance in the future):
1. Virtual series: aixbt, game, luna, vader, trust.
2. AI16z ecosystem: Eliza, degenai, fxn, metav, aimonica.
3. Three small ecosystems: vvaifu, hat, CreatorBid; from these three, just pick the strongest leading coin.
4. Independent ecosystem projects: griffain, zerebro, fai, arc, zailgo, alch, swarms, snai, trisig, etc.
Fan Q&A
Is it a good time to enter ORDI and SATS?
Ordi and Sats have been washed out for almost a year, and many people have lost confidence. Some exited early, while others are still stuck. However, I did manage to buy some ORDI, just a small amount. As the saying goes, buy when no one cares, and don't keep your hands empty. I mainly think they have been consolidating for a long time, and it's about time for them to move!
The most ideal price range is roughly between 10 million and 20 million. Too cheap a project can easily go to zero, lacking security; while an overly expensive project lacks cost-effectiveness, with high entry costs and greater risks.
Projects like ACT, ai16z, SWARMS, and ARC, which can be considered as god-tier projects, can generally be bought at market caps around 10 million to 20 million. At this time, it is unlikely for the market makers to easily sell off. To achieve this state, a significant investment must have been made in advance, and this is an excellent opportunity for retail investors to build their positions.
