MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings are once again in the spotlight.

As the end of 2024 approaches, the enterprise software company MicroStrategy seems to be making significant moves again. The company's executive chairman, Michael Saylor, recently posted on social media, hinting at the possibility of a final Bitcoin purchase this year, sparking strong speculation in the market. According to data from SaylorTracker, MicroStrategy's Bitcoin reserves have reached 444,262 coins, with a total purchase cost of approximately $27.7 billion and an average buying price of around $62,226.34. Since this holding has already exceeded the expected total output of 328,125 coins during the next Bitcoin halving cycle (2028-2032), external parties are starting to speculate on its next strategic intentions.

Since 2020, MicroStrategy has frequently increased its Bitcoin holdings, becoming one of the most representative institutional investors in the US stock market. According to previously disclosed information, the company bought another 5,262 Bitcoins on December 23, 2024, at an average transaction price of $106,662, with an investment amount reaching $561 million. This move not only demonstrates MicroStrategy's strong confidence in Bitcoin's prospects but also strengthens its 'win-win strategy': adding Bitcoin as a major asset in the company's financial statements while allowing shareholders to enjoy excess returns when Bitcoin is bullish.

What is the significance of holding more than the next halving output?

Bitcoin undergoes a halving approximately every four years. The block reward has gradually decreased from the initial 50 Bitcoins to 3.125 Bitcoins; the next halving will further reduce the block reward to 1.5625 Bitcoins. According to estimates, a total of 328,125 Bitcoins are expected to be mined during the 2028-2032 cycle. Now, with 444,262 Bitcoins held by MicroStrategy, it has already surpassed the entire 'newly born' coin volume for that cycle, highlighting the company's important position in the market supply and demand, and indirectly supporting the profound impact of large-scale institutional investment in crypto assets and liquidity.

In addition to the symbolic significance of the quantity itself, MicroStrategy's buying behavior is often seen in the market as 'institutional endorsement', which tends to drive Bitcoin prices positively in the short term. Although this move has also attracted some skepticism, arguing that the company's financial risks are overly concentrated on Bitcoin's volatility, founder Saylor regards Bitcoin as 'digital gold' and repeatedly emphasizes that it is an important hedge and long-term allocation target.

Will the year-end buying signal lead to a rise in Bitcoin prices?

Regarding Saylor's post at the end of December, the market has begun to circulate that MicroStrategy may complete its last Bitcoin purchase of the year on December 30. In the past, Saylor has frequently announced Bitcoin purchases shortly after posting related messages about 'SaylorTracker', so this operation seems to follow that pattern. Once the official news is released, whether the market will be stimulated again is worth close attention. Especially during a time of turmoil in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) movements and increasing uncertainty in the international economy, any positive signals in the crypto market could trigger large short-term fluctuations.

At the same time, analysts have emphasized that after a strong price increase for Bitcoin in the second half of 2024, there have been recent signs of a slight pullback. If MicroStrategy increases its holdings again, whether it can stimulate prices to rise again depends on the 'intensity' of this news in the minds of investors. After all, Bitcoin is currently hovering between $90,000 and $100,000, and while it has not reached an all-time high, there is still considerable room for volatility. Market observers remind retail investors to be cautious about this move: while MicroStrategy enjoys its substantial capital and market value advantages, individual investors may face higher leverage risks and challenges in capital management.

Divergent views on bullish and bearish sentiments make institutional layout key.

As 2025 approaches, MicroStrategy's actions symbolize a strong long-term belief in Bitcoin and the entire crypto market among institutions. The market is also looking forward to the next wave of major market opportunities, including further implementation of spot Bitcoin ETFs and other companies joining the purchasing ranks. At this time, whether MicroStrategy chooses to increase its holdings or not relates not only to its own investment success but also carries an endorsement effect on market trends.

Overall, MicroStrategy's holding of Bitcoin has surpassed the indicative significance of the next halving output, demonstrating its determination to embrace Bitcoin and its influence in the market. If Saylor announces another significant purchase before the end of the year, it may inject a force of 'bull market continuation' for Bitcoin when the new year begins, which could become the first test for the crypto market in 2025. For general investors, understanding, evaluating, and following these institutional operations amid turbulent markets remains a key issue that requires in-depth thought and careful assessment.

'MicroStrategy hints at a year-end purchase! Holding has exceeded the next halving output, sparking market discussions' was first published in 'Crypto City'.