$PNUT Sit tight and hold on, the villa is by the sea

1 PNUT Fundamental Analysis:

On December 11th, PNUT was included in the CB's roadmap, briefly benefiting and rising to 1.4U (fluctuation of 39.32%), having retreated 57.4% from the last positive event, nearing the bottom range.

Spot can be gradually entered at the support level, waiting for the official announcement on CB and Trump's inauguration to see subsequent market operations, anticipating a significant upward movement again.

2 Technical Analysis:

4-hour support level: 0.55-0.59U

Daily support level: 0.418-0.44U

Short-term support and rebound:

1. The current price is supported at 0.5963 USDT and rebounded to 0.6113 USDT.

Moving average positions:

1. EMA(5) = 0.6108 and EMA(10) = 0.6139 indicate that the short-term moving averages are close to the price, but a clear upward signal has not yet formed.

2. EMA(21), EMA(34), and EMA(55) show that mid-term resistance is significant, indicating that short-term increases may face resistance.

Volume changes:

1. Volume increased during the support rebound, indicating buying strength entering the market, but then retreated. It is necessary to observe whether the volume can continue to expand.

MACD and RSI indicators:

1. MACD: DIF and DEA values are very close to the zero axis, and the MACD histogram's negative values are shrinking, showing a weakening of downward momentum, but a golden cross has not yet formed.

2. RSI: RSI(6) = 40.45, RSI(14) = 37.20, RSI(22) = 38.62, all in a weak area but showing some rebound momentum after being oversold.

Conditions for confirming the short-term bottom:

If the price can continue to stay above the support level of 0.5963, accompanied by an increase in volume, and if EMA(5) crosses above EMA(10), it will more strongly confirm the short-term bottom.

3 Market Sentiment Analysis

1. Funding rate: 0.005%, at a low level

2. Greed and Fear Index: 72

3. Aggregate Long-Short Ratio: 0.8255

4 Operation Suggestions

$PNUT Spot entry range 0.418-0.61U, set three target prices for bottom fishing, can initially enter 30% to build a foundational position, to avoid missing opportunities.

Use contracts to hedge against spot positions, opening 5x leverage, and after making a profit, bring the spot cost to 0; if the situation is not right, open a short hedge.

Position management suggestions: Assuming a budget of 10,000 U

5,000 U for buying spot (50%) + 3,000 U for opening 5x contracts (30%) + 2,000 U as reserve funds (20%)

Assuming the direction is correct, after opening 5x long contracts and making a profit of 5,000 U, close the position to bring the spot cost to 0, avoid greed.

Assuming the direction is wrong, open a short position in the opposite direction, take profit, and buy spot to lower costs, using the remaining U to open long in the opposite direction.