When playing with altcoins or meme coins, grasping trends comes with many difficulties:

First, early trends are hard to detect. Initial price increases and fluctuations can easily be masked by other sectors, and by the time one notices, the leading coin may have already multiplied several times.

Second, there is an overflow of imitators. After the leading coin appears, a large number of imitative or conceptual coins will emerge, making it difficult to study each one in depth due to their overwhelming numbers.

Third, capital flows are chaotic. Capital rushes in frantically, and those who miss the opportunity tend to cluster around chasing imitations, causing market confusion and obscuring real trends.

Fourth, trends are not linear. The development of trends is not smooth; there are often pullbacks that may lead one to mistakenly believe the market is about to collapse.

Fifth, influenced by market makers. Operations by market makers like WinterMute can easily lead one to question their own judgment, causing a psychological imbalance.

Sixth, timing is difficult. Not every emerging concept attracts capital favor; it may take a long time to enter mainstream, and if one misjudges and positions too early, they may face significant pullbacks.

Seventh, the market is complex. When the market is hot, various track traders will take action, and the overlapping fluctuations make it hard to distinguish the true trend.

Eighth, trends have strengths and weaknesses. Even if one captures a trend, it may only be a minor trend, requiring significant effort but yielding little return, leading to a perception that effort and reward are disproportionate.

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