⚠️ Market risk aversion is rising, today's decline is highly likely!

📅 Key events:

1️⃣ Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (tonight)

The focus is not on rate cuts, but on the “dot plot” and Powell's speech.

Market concerns:

The Federal Reserve may only cut rates 2-4 times by 2025; if interest rates remain high, black swan risks increase, and the market will worry about a delay in easing policies. Investors are experiencing heightened risk aversion ahead of important meetings, selling off assets.

2️⃣ Japan's interest rate decision (December 19)

The market is watching whether Japan will adjust its monetary policy; although the probability of a rate hike is low, the market tends to hedge in advance.

📉 Market interpretation:

Investors choose to exit early under dual uncertainties, triggering market sell-offs. The decisions of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan could have a chain reaction on the market, leading to cautious market sentiment.

💡 Operational advice:

Short-term strategy:

Avoid heavy positions to prevent strong liquidations caused by large fluctuations.

Focus on Bitcoin support level at $95,000; if it breaks, it may further decline in the short term.

Medium-term strategy:

Observe Powell's speech and the hints from the dot plot; if interest rates exceed expectations in 2025, the market may continue to face pressure.

Long-term strategy:

Look for long-term potential assets on dips, especially high-quality targets like ETH and XRP, waiting for the market to digest policy uncertainties.

🚨 Conclusion:

The market is in a phase of high uncertainty, and investors are hedging in advance, making today's decline highly likely. Focus on the Federal Reserve's dot plot and Powell's speech, as this will determine future market risk sentiment. Manage risks and patiently await market clarity!