I'm too nervous; the results will be out tomorrow.
Is it Trump or Harris? Currently, the information we can access in the market is basically all fake news.
Both sides are constantly spreading rumors about each other, aiming to get voters to vote for themselves.
One moment Musk arrives in Beijing on a private jet, the next moment 60% of the wealthy have all arrived in Hong Kong to seek refuge.
It’s simply an epic palace drama.
As a person in the cryptocurrency world, I hope Trump gets elected; in fact, from the perspective of this country, Trump is also a better choice.
This place, completely controlled by capital and the so-called elite class, needs Trump to break the norm, instead of finding an average leader to continue the current state.
In terms of capabilities, Trump is indeed several streets ahead of Harris, but capital needs a compliant president, not a 'maverick' like Trump.
On one side, I have to manage everything: world peace, climate change, animal protection, and especially Israel...
Trump only talks about interests; if there are benefits, I will act, regardless of who you are; everything prioritizes America's interests.
The result of this approach is increased trade protection and tariffs; if tariffs increase, what will happen when the public's goods become more expensive? Just give out money.
Anyway, our money can be printed directly.
2,
Currently, Trump is slightly ahead in several swing states; who gets elected depends on the votes from these swing states.
However, the polls show Trump slightly behind; I heard Harris is already preparing the government team, looking confident.
If he doesn't get elected, wouldn't that be awkward?
From both the perspective of the cryptocurrency world and national interests, Trump's presidency may be more beneficial, as doing business with a businessman requires showing him the benefits of cooperation.
Harris is involved in too many areas; human rights, freedom, increasing zero down payment limits... the possibility of cooperation is almost gone.
If Harris is elected, in the short term, the market may experience a pullback, but no one can predict how much it will pull back.
Because such news with excessive influence is impossible to predict its impact on the market.
However, as long as everyone holds spot positions, they can almost rest easy.
Due to the two candidates being very evenly matched, there is currently almost no advantage for either side; we will see preliminary results tomorrow morning.
Although it may be delayed in announcement, based on Trump's personality, as soon as he reaches 270, he will definitely stand up and shout to the world.
So there is a high possibility of knowing the result tomorrow.
However, even if Trump is elected, the market is more likely to experience a pattern of rising first and then falling.
3,
While the election is in full swing, don't forget the interest rate decision on the 8th; this is also very important.
Last Friday, non-farm payrolls increased by only 12,000, a new low since 2020.
Given the current situation, a 25 basis point rate cut seems almost certain, and the rate cut cycle will continue.
This is also why thirteen dares to say that even if Harris is elected, the bull market process will still continue.
The overall environment is a period of quantitative easing; at this time, how can you tell me it's a bear market? So many years of excess in the market, are they going to pinch themselves?
This is impossible; investment will definitely be everywhere, and cryptocurrency will become one of the investment choices.
In the short term, fluctuations may be very severe; thirteen has mentioned this multiple times in articles; everyone should be mentally prepared and not cry for help when it falls.
Managing position risk and doing good position management is crucial.
4,
In terms of the market.
It is currently very difficult to judge the market.
Right now, we are completely being driven by the news of the election.
Good news for Trump will lead to a rise, while good news for Harris might lead to a fall.
As long as the market does not drop below 66,500, it belongs to the normal range; if it falls below, the subsequent market will be difficult; if it drops and quickly recovers, it can still be considered good news.
In recent days, smart investors have been observing rather than taking risks; after all, who can be elected is almost a 50-50 chance, nearly impossible to predict.
The entire market is waiting for the results of the election.
The range of severe fluctuations in the market may be between 66,000 and 72,000.
If we extend the time frame to after the election, then fluctuations may be between 60,000 and 80,000.
For the future, there is fear due to the unknown.
I hope everyone has less greed and more rationality; money can never be fully earned; survival is the key.
It is best for everyone to read today's article in conjunction with yesterday's article.