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What is #黑天鹅 ?

🔍 Why (What does it have to do with me?)

The concept of black swan is very important for understanding the uncertainty of the world and predicting future events.

It reminds us to be cautious and prepared when facing unknown and unpredictable situations.

📚 What (definition, concept explanation, what can be done)

Black swan is a term in economics and finance that refers to those extremely rare, unpredictable and high-impact events.

These events can usually be explained and understood only after the fact, but are almost impossible to foresee at the time.

🛠️ How (step process method, and any subject content required for explanation. Including examples, metaphors, etc.)

1. Definition: Black swan events are those events that are beyond normal expectations. The probability of their occurrence is very low, but once they occur, they will have a huge impact on the market or society.

2. Example:

The global financial crisis in 2008: Before the crisis, few people foresaw it would happen, but it had a profound impact on the global economy.

The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: This is a typical black swan event, which not only changed people's lifestyles, but also had a significant impact on the global economy and society.

🏆 How good (what benefits and changes can be brought to the audience.)

Understanding the concept of black swan can help us:

Improve awareness of uncertainty and enhance risk management capabilities.

Take into account potential extreme situations when making decisions and avoid overconfidence.

Be prepared for emergencies and reduce losses.