降息预期

Trump: Powell should lower interest rates! The probability of a rate cut in June is extremely low! The ADP employment number in the US for May represents the smallest increase since March 2023! btc eth sol bnb fil sui doge xrp#降息预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL

I don't know if it's because of Brother Hyper, but it is still grinding at the short-term bottom. Recently, a lot of funds have entered the cryptocurrency market. Let's see when it rises; maybe it will go up when Powell starts cutting interest rates.
#降息预期

Interest rate cuts are almost out of the question before September
Trump meets with Powell
This meeting seems to indicate a thaw in their relationship.
However, Federal Reserve officials are still sending hawkish signals.
Federal Reserve Governor Bowman clearly stated that now is not the time to lower interest rates; premature rate cuts could lead to a rebound in inflationary pressures.
If inflation remains high, rate hikes are not out of the question.
Tonight, the market's focus is undoubtedly on the core PCE data.
This is the inflation indicator most favored by the Federal Reserve; if the data shows cooling inflation, it may be good news for the market, allowing for a breather and even a rebound!
Currently, market sentiment is nearing freezing point. The opportunity for a rebound from oversold conditions is quietly brewing, as both the RSI and MACD indicators show signs of short-term overbought status.
This means that the market could experience a correction at any moment.
The key support level is currently in the range of 105,000 - 107,000.
If it breaks below, the market may further decline.
Meanwhile, the upper resistance level is clearly between 110,000 and 112,000.
Previous attempts to break through have failed.
Follow Wei Jie; tonight, I'll share the direction at the first opportunity~
#BTC #降息预期

According to CME's "FedWatch": #降息预期

• The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 97.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.2%.

• The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 77.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 22%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.5%.

#比特币2025大会 #美国加征关税 #降息预期

Interesting things will happen in early June. Those with empty positions will witness a magnificent wave, while those who have already entered the market will face a bloody storm.

I advise everyone, if your conviction is not strong, take this opportunity to exit; but if you are prepared to face death, please persist in the direction you believe in.

Now, altcoins are indeed more difficult to operate than the wave in 2024-2023. In the past, if you randomly entered a mid-to-low market cap coin and held it firmly, you would likely see an increase of over 400%. This is the reality. Now it’s different because some coins often enter the observation zone, but some coins will raise their prices only after entering the observation zone, gaining attention and popularity. There are also some coins that enter the observation zone and then crash, like AMB which plummeted dozens of times, while others may increase 5-8 times after entering the observation zone. It really is like a roller coaster. High market cap coins are too heavy, and the overly high market cap has already determined the limited increase. After all, there are too many retail investors. So will you become that lucky one in the third and fourth quarters of this year? The answer is: only those who persevere will have this lucky bonus and an endless supply of 'bullets' to experiment with.

Trump has been calling for interest rate cuts, and Powell said the inflation rate has not reached that number yet. Now it has, and Powell says we need to observe for a few more months; this number might not be a common occurrence. 🌝 Trump said: You lagging old Powell, so slow.

Yesterday, U.S. stocks plummeted, with the Nasdaq losing more than 10 points in two days, but the cryptocurrency market remained exceptionally strong.
Firstly, hedge funds are liquidating their Bitcoin short positions to cover margin calls on U.S. stocks.
Secondly, the Federal Reserve is really close to cutting interest rates. Right now, whether in the stock market or the crypto market, it's a bargain hunting situation, with many cryptocurrencies having already dropped by 90%.

Interest rate futures indicate that the Federal Reserve may cut rates by 100 basis points by the end of the year.
When everyone is very pessimistic, maybe a bull market is about to quietly emerge.

Will interest rates be cut in June 2025? This answer directly determines whether your wallet in the crypto world is full or empty!

Once interest rates are cut, the cost of borrowing money in the market decreases, and everyone feels financially comfortable enough to invest boldly. In such a popular field as crypto, a large amount of capital will naturally flow in, and cryptocurrency prices could soar. At the same time, as the dollar depreciates, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin become a hedge against inflation, and a large number of investors will follow suit to buy in order to preserve value. Moreover, the trends in the U.S. stock market and the crypto world are becoming increasingly similar; if the stock market skyrockets after a rate cut, the crypto market will also join in the celebration. DeFi and lending platforms could also have their shining moments, as traditional financial interest rates decrease, the high-yield products of DeFi will instantly become highly sought after.

If interest rates are not cut, the crypto world may face some difficulties. Borrowing costs rise, and the flow of funds into crypto decreases, making everyone more inclined to buy bonds or similar risk-free products. With a strong dollar, funds in the crypto world will flow out significantly, and cryptocurrency prices are likely to fall. However, if the economic situation is too poor, cryptocurrencies may also be viewed as safe-haven assets. If the market has already anticipated this, the announcement of the policy may have little impact; if there is a belief that there will be further rate cuts in the future, some may position themselves in advance for price increases. Additionally, with continuous advancements in blockchain technology and an increase in application scenarios, the crypto market could attract a considerable amount of new funds.

Want to stay updated on the latest trends in the crypto world? Be sure to follow me! Share your thoughts in the comments, and if you find this useful, forward it to the crypto players around you!

The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points beyond expectations
$BTC
$ETH
The Fed's interest rate decision exceeded expectations by cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. This rate cut may lead to risk aversion among investors.
For the bull market, the subsequent momentum is guaranteed. The current price has fallen after reaching 62,500. If the price cannot stabilize above 60,000, there may be a large wash down to 50,000.
Intraday operation:
At the current price of 62,000-625,000, you can try to enter a short order, with a target of 60,500. Stop loss 62,800
#新币挖矿HMSTR #token2049 #降息预期

#降息预期 $MUBARAK this might be the big guy! It can be a key focus!

#杰克逊霍尔年会
Fed: If inflation continues to fall, it will support rate cuts !!!

Fed Governor Bowman said she remains cautious about the policy shift because there are still upside risks to inflation, but if price growth continues to slow, it would be appropriate for the central bank to begin to gradually lower interest rates.

Under the current policy stance, inflation should continue to fall, and if future data continue to show that inflation is continuing to move toward our 2% target, it would be appropriate to gradually lower the federal funds rate to prevent monetary policy from becoming too restrictive.

Bowman believes that "further progress has been made in reducing inflation" in recent months, but upside risks remain due to "increased geopolitical tensions, additional fiscal stimulus measures, and increased housing demand caused by immigration."

It is worth noting that on Wednesday, Eastern Time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the preliminary report on the non-farm employment and wage census for the first quarter of 2024. Economists at JPMorgan Chase expect that the non-farm downward revision for this year will be about 360,000, but Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo expect at least 600,000 downward revisions.

If the downward revision of employment exceeds 501,000, it will be the largest in 15 years, indicating that the cooling of the labor market will take longer and may be more severe than previously thought. The data may also affect the tone of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. #美联储何时降息？ #降息预期 #新币挖矿DOGS

Interest rate cuts are definitely coming, the key is whether you can wait for them? #降息预期

#降息预期 From the data just released, the Fed will definitely cut interest rates in May-June! The big one may really be coming! $BTC
$ETH
$SOL

The Fed's September rate cut is a foregone conclusion, President Powell has spoken!!!

As the comments of Fed officials have solidified expectations of a September rate cut in the United States, investors have flocked to gold as a safe-haven asset, and spot gold has hit a record high. Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, said: "Now the probability of a September rate cut by the Fed has reached 100%, and Fed Chairman Powell's comments yesterday are driving the gold market up." Phillip Streible, chief investment strategist at Blue Line Futures, also said, "We will see two rate cuts (this year), one in September and one in December, because expectations for a September rate cut have risen to 100%.#美联储何时降息？ #降息预期 #降息9月至11月 #山寨季何时到来？ #以太坊ETF批准预期

Day7 90.49→94.1 3.98% 2024-09-14 (1/2)
Missed the rally…Tangled heart
Next target 103.51
…
This growth was actually done after closing the order last night. I placed four or five long orders with retracements before going to bed, but none of them were opened. When I woke up, $BTC stood above 60k, and $ETH also reached a maximum of 2460, as if the sky had fallen.
I woke up at 11 o'clock in the morning, and I was very entangled: In fact, I said the point of entanglement a few days ago: I made the right direction, but the pace of profit-taking was too short, especially in recent days, after being tossed by the retracement that day, my mentality became even more timid.
…
But for now, I still don't plan to adjust the strategy, and slightly increase the profit-taking amplitude to 0.6%. Do not increase the leverage. Slightly increase the opening position.
As a veteran in the cryptocurrency industry, I deeply understand these commonplace issues:
1. Profits and risks coexist
2. K-line summarizes the past but does not predict the future
Take a classic example:
A certain target rises from 5,000 to 8,000, and you take profit. At the same time, you think it will pull back to 6,500 next. Then you have two choices at this time
1. Open a short at 8,000, wait until 6,500 to take profit and then open a long at 6,500
2. Clear the position and wait for the market, wait until 6,500 and then open a long at 6,500
In fact, 6,500 is just your guess. The former may earn more, but it also bears the risk of continued market rise. Any news may break your guess.
…
The market will reach a peak and then retreat on a large scale on the 19th, because the expectation of interest rate cut will be realized.
I may close the position in those days, because I just want stable growth, not ups and downs, or even liquidation.
#50u挑战2000wRMB
#降息预期

❤️Yesterday, May 28, the Nasdaq index closed above 17,000 points for the first time. Nvidia's stock price exceeded $111 billion, with a total market value of $2.8 trillion, only $100 billion less than Apple. Goldman Sachs data shows that the so-called seven sisters of the US stock market currently account for about 20.7% of the total net exposure of hedge funds to single stocks.
European Central Bank Governing Council member Knott said: According to the forecast in March, the ideal situation is to cut interest rates 3-4 times this year; Holzmann said: Up to three times.
#降息预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB