降息期待
243,436 views
59 Discussing
Hot
Latest
See original
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are not a panacea. In fact, only the common people hope for rate cuts; those in power have completely changed their minds from wanting them to not wanting them at all. If the U.S. cuts rates and assets around the world start to soar, but our assets remain poor, how will we justify this?
Next, the pace of our monetary easing will definitely accelerate, and in order to maintain relative stability in the exchange rate, the free circulation of the yuan will have to be tightened further — but this has side effects; it will make us more of an isolated island in the world. Think about it this way: if there is a currency that seems stable but is actually only possible to enter and not exit, would you play with it? Anyone with sense would not, and this currency then becomes an internal circulation. In today's globalized world, this internal circulation is a path to ruin and will eventually deplete.
Once the Federal Reserve starts cutting rates, it will lower interest to the position of 'maximum policy flexibility', from 0% to 5.5%. It should choose a relatively middle value, such as between 3% and 4%, and the faster this happens, the better. Ideally, it should drop to a defensible interest level before the market even reacts. So how does this relate to ordinary people? Of course, it matters, because this is a period with relatively high certainty of making money. Yes, it's right now.
Once we reach the interest rate target the U.S. wants, the future will become unclear, and then it will be a matter of luck, looking at the performance of U.S. data as well as global data. You'll find it difficult to find another period as high in value and certainty as this one.
Next, the pace of our monetary easing will definitely accelerate, and in order to maintain relative stability in the exchange rate, the free circulation of the yuan will have to be tightened further — but this has side effects; it will make us more of an isolated island in the world. Think about it this way: if there is a currency that seems stable but is actually only possible to enter and not exit, would you play with it? Anyone with sense would not, and this currency then becomes an internal circulation. In today's globalized world, this internal circulation is a path to ruin and will eventually deplete.
Once the Federal Reserve starts cutting rates, it will lower interest to the position of 'maximum policy flexibility', from 0% to 5.5%. It should choose a relatively middle value, such as between 3% and 4%, and the faster this happens, the better. Ideally, it should drop to a defensible interest level before the market even reacts. So how does this relate to ordinary people? Of course, it matters, because this is a period with relatively high certainty of making money. Yes, it's right now.
Once we reach the interest rate target the U.S. wants, the future will become unclear, and then it will be a matter of luck, looking at the performance of U.S. data as well as global data. You'll find it difficult to find another period as high in value and certainty as this one.
Square-Creator-a5c90258339bf72590d5:
放心我们会统计局会统计涨的比他们多的多！
See original
#降息期待
$BTC
Many positions have been used, and Yuzu does not recommend using them multiple times
Enter with long orders, enter and exit quickly near the previous low of 65200
Long orders near 64300, 63200
Short orders near 67600, 68350, 70400
You can consider placing orders before going to bed, and place stop loss and take profit at the same time
If there is a big pullback, long orders near 63200 and 62180 can be used
These two points are particularly important positions
Finally, I would like to give a suggestion. Since the interest rate cut data is about to be announced, don’t touch the copycat without my advice. If you do it, try to refer to the big cake
$BTC
Many positions have been used, and Yuzu does not recommend using them multiple times
Enter with long orders, enter and exit quickly near the previous low of 65200
Long orders near 64300, 63200
Short orders near 67600, 68350, 70400
You can consider placing orders before going to bed, and place stop loss and take profit at the same time
If there is a big pullback, long orders near 63200 and 62180 can be used
These two points are particularly important positions
Finally, I would like to give a suggestion. Since the interest rate cut data is about to be announced, don’t touch the copycat without my advice. If you do it, try to refer to the big cake
See original
The most discussed independent event in the market recently is the interest rate cut, but I see that many brothers do not quite understand the triggering conditions of the interest rate cut, and the reaction of the entire risk market after the interest rate cut and a normal link including the closed loop.
Let's talk about the triggering conditions of the interest rate cut first. It is not necessarily that there will be an interest rate cut only in a recession. One is that the national economy is doing well when the interest rate is high, which can make the inflation rate return to a low level, and then the interest rate will start to cut, the liquidity of funds will start to rise, and more new funds will be introduced into the market. The other is the unemployment rate problem I mentioned earlier, which is also a triggering condition.
After the interest rate cut, it does not mean that the market will definitely start to improve immediately. In my opinion, the first one or two months before the interest rate cut are really good days. After all, this is a good independent event that is enough to stimulate and attract external funds for the market.
On the contrary, the market reaction after the first interest rate cut may be disappointing. In fact, for those who think that as long as the interest rate cut is announced, I will rush in immediately, it is probably not a perfect choice. It is true that interest rate cuts are equal to loosening the money supply, but at the same time it is also a big mistake. Loosening the money supply does not appear immediately. There is a time lag. We have overlooked a problem that we may face a short-term recession after the interest rate cut.
The second recession in history may occur in the inversion of this wave of interest rates. I said that there may be another high point after this year's interest rate cut and the election, which is the high point that we must leave. Remember the problem mentioned above. One to two months before the interest rate cut, the market will be stimulated by this independent market and there will be a wave of madness. After all, if there is a recession before the stimulus of news or the consideration of institutions to realize before the market recession, it is worth the market to go crazy.
Some brothers may feel very contradictory when they see this. In fact, there is no contradiction at all in essence. They are talking about the speculation of the trend before and after the interest rate cut. So if there is a long bear market after the interest rate cut, it is not the case. Just like the previous speculation whether there will be a recession, if it comes, then the trigger conditions for the subsequent release of water will appear.
It does not mean that there will be no bull market without interest rate cuts, but interest rate cuts and water releases will definitely lead to a big bull market. In fact, I think this wave of market is likely to be such a trend, and it will usher in a high point again, but it is definitely not the end of the past few years. As for the price, don't let me predict it. I don't know. In my eyes, those who predict the price are all charlatans. Take one step at a time. When it reaches a peak later, I will try my best to make a reminder within my cognition.
By the way, the time point for loosening money supply may appear about half a year after the interest rate cut. Of course, this is just my guess. No one dares to say that they are completely sure about this market. Everything is within their expectations. Oh, I am so tired. I haven't read it smoothly after writing it. Please forgive me if there are any contradictions in the text.
It's a habit I developed when I was in school. I remember that the thing that parents and teachers emphasized the most was that you must check the time after finishing the test paper. But I have never had this habit since I was a child. The final result is that I only remembered that I could have done the question correctly after handing in the paper, but I got it wrong in the end.
#BTC走势分析 #降息期待 #放水 #以太坊ETF批准预期
Let's talk about the triggering conditions of the interest rate cut first. It is not necessarily that there will be an interest rate cut only in a recession. One is that the national economy is doing well when the interest rate is high, which can make the inflation rate return to a low level, and then the interest rate will start to cut, the liquidity of funds will start to rise, and more new funds will be introduced into the market. The other is the unemployment rate problem I mentioned earlier, which is also a triggering condition.
After the interest rate cut, it does not mean that the market will definitely start to improve immediately. In my opinion, the first one or two months before the interest rate cut are really good days. After all, this is a good independent event that is enough to stimulate and attract external funds for the market.
On the contrary, the market reaction after the first interest rate cut may be disappointing. In fact, for those who think that as long as the interest rate cut is announced, I will rush in immediately, it is probably not a perfect choice. It is true that interest rate cuts are equal to loosening the money supply, but at the same time it is also a big mistake. Loosening the money supply does not appear immediately. There is a time lag. We have overlooked a problem that we may face a short-term recession after the interest rate cut.
The second recession in history may occur in the inversion of this wave of interest rates. I said that there may be another high point after this year's interest rate cut and the election, which is the high point that we must leave. Remember the problem mentioned above. One to two months before the interest rate cut, the market will be stimulated by this independent market and there will be a wave of madness. After all, if there is a recession before the stimulus of news or the consideration of institutions to realize before the market recession, it is worth the market to go crazy.
Some brothers may feel very contradictory when they see this. In fact, there is no contradiction at all in essence. They are talking about the speculation of the trend before and after the interest rate cut. So if there is a long bear market after the interest rate cut, it is not the case. Just like the previous speculation whether there will be a recession, if it comes, then the trigger conditions for the subsequent release of water will appear.
It does not mean that there will be no bull market without interest rate cuts, but interest rate cuts and water releases will definitely lead to a big bull market. In fact, I think this wave of market is likely to be such a trend, and it will usher in a high point again, but it is definitely not the end of the past few years. As for the price, don't let me predict it. I don't know. In my eyes, those who predict the price are all charlatans. Take one step at a time. When it reaches a peak later, I will try my best to make a reminder within my cognition.
By the way, the time point for loosening money supply may appear about half a year after the interest rate cut. Of course, this is just my guess. No one dares to say that they are completely sure about this market. Everything is within their expectations. Oh, I am so tired. I haven't read it smoothly after writing it. Please forgive me if there are any contradictions in the text.
It's a habit I developed when I was in school. I remember that the thing that parents and teachers emphasized the most was that you must check the time after finishing the test paper. But I have never had this habit since I was a child. The final result is that I only remembered that I could have done the question correctly after handing in the paper, but I got it wrong in the end.
#BTC走势分析 #降息期待 #放水 #以太坊ETF批准预期
See original
Talk about the short-term impact of interest rate cuts on the cryptocurrency industry
#降息 #降息预期 #降息期待
The short-term impact of this interest rate cut on cryptocurrency, especially in the current complex global economic environment, may bring about the following significant changes:
Liquidity increases, funds flow into the crypto market: interest rate cuts mean lower yields in traditional financial markets, investors may seek higher-yielding assets, and the cryptocurrency market becomes one of the targets of capital inflows. In this case, major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to gain more capital favor, driving their prices to rebound in the short term.
Increased safe-haven demand under inflationary pressure: interest rate cuts are usually accompanied by monetary easing policies, which often trigger rising inflation expectations. Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, are often seen as assets that hedge against inflation. In this context, investors may regard Bitcoin as "digital gold", which will drive up demand and prices will also be supported in the short term.
The short-term impact of this interest rate cut on cryptocurrency, especially in the current complex global economic environment, may bring about the following significant changes:
Liquidity increases, funds flow into the crypto market: interest rate cuts mean lower yields in traditional financial markets, investors may seek higher-yielding assets, and the cryptocurrency market becomes one of the targets of capital inflows. In this case, major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to gain more capital favor, driving their prices to rebound in the short term.
Increased safe-haven demand under inflationary pressure: interest rate cuts are usually accompanied by monetary easing policies, which often trigger rising inflation expectations. Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, are often seen as assets that hedge against inflation. In this context, investors may regard Bitcoin as "digital gold", which will drive up demand and prices will also be supported in the short term.
See original
The bull market view remains unchanged! Don't be afraid!
Let's talk about the basic logic. The violent waterfall-style wash tonight should not happen again in the short term.
It can be seen that although the big cake has only fallen by 4 points, the copycat pins are inserted very deeply, 15-30 points are very common, and a large part of them are inserted to the low point of 414.
You can take a look again. There are very few long contract explosion maps of the copycat. So this decline is still to wash the long leverage on a large scale
But I personally think that early June will still be difficult. It will repeatedly touch the lowest point tonight. Even if you want to create a strong panic, you may continue to insert pins slightly downward.
The market is expected to reverse in late June. From the monthly line, June should be bearish.
Then think in reverse. If you want to get out of the monthly bullish K line, you can pull up a few hundred points in May and then distribute chips, but it didn't.
Instead, you choose to make a bearish monthly K line to cooperate with the wash. But from a big perspective, the bull market will not end here.
This is also very likely to be the last chance to get on board when the bull market or cottage season comes. #非农就业人数高于预期 #瀑布 #降息期待 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Let's talk about the basic logic. The violent waterfall-style wash tonight should not happen again in the short term.
It can be seen that although the big cake has only fallen by 4 points, the copycat pins are inserted very deeply, 15-30 points are very common, and a large part of them are inserted to the low point of 414.
You can take a look again. There are very few long contract explosion maps of the copycat. So this decline is still to wash the long leverage on a large scale
But I personally think that early June will still be difficult. It will repeatedly touch the lowest point tonight. Even if you want to create a strong panic, you may continue to insert pins slightly downward.
The market is expected to reverse in late June. From the monthly line, June should be bearish.
Then think in reverse. If you want to get out of the monthly bullish K line, you can pull up a few hundred points in May and then distribute chips, but it didn't.
Instead, you choose to make a bearish monthly K line to cooperate with the wash. But from a big perspective, the bull market will not end here.
This is also very likely to be the last chance to get on board when the bull market or cottage season comes. #非农就业人数高于预期 #瀑布 #降息期待 $BTC $ETH $SOL
See original
"Finally, the interest rate will be cut! Are good days coming?"
Just now, Powell finally said that the time for policy adjustment has come, and what is rare is that he is no longer playing Tai Chi as before, but always taking a dovish tone. There is a high probability that interest rates will be cut in September! Suddenly, Master Bao looks much more handsome!
Here are some key points of the speech - the "strongest voice" for interest rate cuts
1. Interest rate guidance: The time for policy adjustment has come, and the direction of policy is clear. The timing and pace of interest rate cuts will depend on the balance of data, prospects and risks.
2. Inflation outlook: Confidence in the return of inflation to 2% has increased.
3. Job market: The labor market seems unlikely to be a source of rising inflationary pressure in the short term; further cooling of the labor market is not sought or welcomed.
4. Risk balance: The upside risk of inflation has weakened, and the downside risk of employment is also increasing.
5. Market impact: The market regards Powell's remarks as "the strongest signal of interest rate cuts so far." Spot gold's 15-minute short-term volatility reached $20, and the U.S. dollar index DXY fell below 101.
Market impact:
Market sentiment has clearly risen, $BTC broke 62,000, and U.S. stocks opened higher. However, I would like to remind everyone that this does not mean that the water in the market will rise immediately, this is just an expected change. In particular, we must be wary of the dealer taking advantage of the high sentiment of the whole market, so it is not recommended that you directly use large leverage to chase high prices.
#杰克逊霍尔年会 #降息期待 #美联储何时降息？
Just now, Powell finally said that the time for policy adjustment has come, and what is rare is that he is no longer playing Tai Chi as before, but always taking a dovish tone. There is a high probability that interest rates will be cut in September! Suddenly, Master Bao looks much more handsome!
Here are some key points of the speech - the "strongest voice" for interest rate cuts
1. Interest rate guidance: The time for policy adjustment has come, and the direction of policy is clear. The timing and pace of interest rate cuts will depend on the balance of data, prospects and risks.
2. Inflation outlook: Confidence in the return of inflation to 2% has increased.
3. Job market: The labor market seems unlikely to be a source of rising inflationary pressure in the short term; further cooling of the labor market is not sought or welcomed.
4. Risk balance: The upside risk of inflation has weakened, and the downside risk of employment is also increasing.
5. Market impact: The market regards Powell's remarks as "the strongest signal of interest rate cuts so far." Spot gold's 15-minute short-term volatility reached $20, and the U.S. dollar index DXY fell below 101.
Market impact:
Market sentiment has clearly risen, $BTC broke 62,000, and U.S. stocks opened higher. However, I would like to remind everyone that this does not mean that the water in the market will rise immediately, this is just an expected change. In particular, we must be wary of the dealer taking advantage of the high sentiment of the whole market, so it is not recommended that you directly use large leverage to chase high prices.
#杰克逊霍尔年会 #降息期待 #美联储何时降息？
See original
Powell speaks, the cryptocurrency world is shaking!!
Powell's statement, the cryptocurrency world's expectations of interest rate cuts are dashed?
After the Fed's interest rate decision in June, it said that this year's inflation data was insufficient for it to cut interest rates, and it would make decisions based on more data, economic outlook, etc. Monetary policy is restrictive, and it will focus on labor and inflation when affecting demand. The current possibility of interest rate cuts is small, which makes the cryptocurrency world and investors more cautious.
#非农就业数据即将公布 #ASI代币合并计划 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #降息 #降息期待
$BNX $PEPE $SOL
Powell's statement, the cryptocurrency world's expectations of interest rate cuts are dashed?
After the Fed's interest rate decision in June, it said that this year's inflation data was insufficient for it to cut interest rates, and it would make decisions based on more data, economic outlook, etc. Monetary policy is restrictive, and it will focus on labor and inflation when affecting demand. The current possibility of interest rate cuts is small, which makes the cryptocurrency world and investors more cautious.
#非农就业数据即将公布 #ASI代币合并计划 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #降息 #降息期待
$BNX $PEPE $SOL
See original
Latest news: The Bank of England may cut interest rates in August and November
If Europe and the UK cut interest rates one after another, the US will most likely do the same soon
For the cryptocurrency community, this may be a time to reassess and adjust investment strategies.
Interest rate cuts mean lower investment costs, which may stimulate more funds to flow into the market, including the cryptocurrency market.
However, investors should also be wary of the macroeconomic uncertainties that may be brought about by interest rate cuts, as well as the possible impact on virtual currency regulatory policies.
In this volatile financial environment, cryptocurrency investors need to be more prudent, pay close attention to market dynamics, and reasonably diversify risks to cope with possible market fluctuations.
#消息面 #降息期待 #美联储何时降息？
If Europe and the UK cut interest rates one after another, the US will most likely do the same soon
For the cryptocurrency community, this may be a time to reassess and adjust investment strategies.
Interest rate cuts mean lower investment costs, which may stimulate more funds to flow into the market, including the cryptocurrency market.
However, investors should also be wary of the macroeconomic uncertainties that may be brought about by interest rate cuts, as well as the possible impact on virtual currency regulatory policies.
In this volatile financial environment, cryptocurrency investors need to be more prudent, pay close attention to market dynamics, and reasonably diversify risks to cope with possible market fluctuations.
#消息面 #降息期待 #美联储何时降息？
See original
#crv又要面临清算 #降息期待 $NOT $IO $CRV
In the ocean of digital currencies, it is undoubtedly a pursuit to find those currencies that can multiply dozens or even hundreds of times. After all, this field is full of infinite possibilities and is a holy land for investors who dare to take risks and seek miracles.
However, we must clearly realize that such investment is not achieved overnight. It requires patience and a protracted war mentality, which may require us to hold these currencies for several years. In this process, we will inevitably experience the ups and downs of the market and go through the conversion of bulls and bears.
In this process, we must also be wary of various potential minefields. These minefields may be hidden in various factors, and once triggered, they may cause the value of the currency we invest in to return to zero directly. This is a cruel but realistic risk and a challenge we must face when investing.
Therefore, although the existence of 100-fold coins provides us with huge imagination space, the risk of zero coins cannot be ignored. This is the rule of the digital currency market: the greater the profit, the greater the risk. Only by understanding this can we remain cautious and rational while pursuing high returns.
In the ocean of digital currencies, it is undoubtedly a pursuit to find those currencies that can multiply dozens or even hundreds of times. After all, this field is full of infinite possibilities and is a holy land for investors who dare to take risks and seek miracles.
However, we must clearly realize that such investment is not achieved overnight. It requires patience and a protracted war mentality, which may require us to hold these currencies for several years. In this process, we will inevitably experience the ups and downs of the market and go through the conversion of bulls and bears.
In this process, we must also be wary of various potential minefields. These minefields may be hidden in various factors, and once triggered, they may cause the value of the currency we invest in to return to zero directly. This is a cruel but realistic risk and a challenge we must face when investing.
Therefore, although the existence of 100-fold coins provides us with huge imagination space, the risk of zero coins cannot be ignored. This is the rule of the digital currency market: the greater the profit, the greater the risk. Only by understanding this can we remain cautious and rational while pursuing high returns.
See original
9.17 How will the cryptocurrency market perform during the interest rate cut cycle?
1. From QT to QE, the most important thing is the reduction of capital cost, which has two very important impacts on the liquidity-dominated currency circle. The first is that BTC.D will peak, and funds will flow from conservative BTC to radical altcoins. The second is that QE will bring about a real violent bull market.
2. However, in the process from QT to QE, the US stock market has experienced a sharp drop in history. Institutions need to obtain chips at a lower price before the arrival of QE. This sharp drop usually occurs around the second and third interest rate hikes.
3. I am cautiously optimistic about the current market, bullish on September and October, but cautious about November and December
2. However, in the process from QT to QE, the US stock market has experienced a sharp drop in history. Institutions need to obtain chips at a lower price before the arrival of QE. This sharp drop usually occurs around the second and third interest rate hikes.
3. I am cautiously optimistic about the current market, bullish on September and October, but cautious about November and December
See original
#今日数据有助于比特币突破65000阻力位
Today's data is closely related to the US macro-economy, mainly including economic indicators such as unemployment benefits, GDP growth, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). The impact of the release of these data on the crypto market can be understood from the following aspects:
Unemployment benefits: If the actual data is higher than expected, it indicates that the US labor market is weak and may affect the Fed's decision to raise interest rates. Loose monetary policies (such as interest rate cuts or pauses in interest rate hikes) are generally good for the crypto market because low interest rates make risky assets more attractive.
GDP growth: This is an important indicator of economic health. If the actual growth rate meets or exceeds expectations (3%), the market may believe that economic growth is robust, which helps to support confidence in financial markets. A robust economic environment has a neutral or positive impact on crypto assets.
PCE price index: This is the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve pays the most attention to. If inflation is mild (in line with expectations or lower than the expected 2.8%), it means that the Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates significantly, which is good for the cryptocurrency market, and investors may increase their holdings in inflation-resistant assets such as Bitcoin.
If the data is robust and the inflation and unemployment data are in line with or lower than expectations, it may support the bullish sentiment in the crypto market in the short term.
If the data is good, be careful of downward pinning to induce shorting and then bursting! #降息周期 #降息预测 #降息期待 $BTC
Today's data is closely related to the US macro-economy, mainly including economic indicators such as unemployment benefits, GDP growth, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). The impact of the release of these data on the crypto market can be understood from the following aspects:
Unemployment benefits: If the actual data is higher than expected, it indicates that the US labor market is weak and may affect the Fed's decision to raise interest rates. Loose monetary policies (such as interest rate cuts or pauses in interest rate hikes) are generally good for the crypto market because low interest rates make risky assets more attractive.
GDP growth: This is an important indicator of economic health. If the actual growth rate meets or exceeds expectations (3%), the market may believe that economic growth is robust, which helps to support confidence in financial markets. A robust economic environment has a neutral or positive impact on crypto assets.
PCE price index: This is the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve pays the most attention to. If inflation is mild (in line with expectations or lower than the expected 2.8%), it means that the Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates significantly, which is good for the cryptocurrency market, and investors may increase their holdings in inflation-resistant assets such as Bitcoin.
If the data is robust and the inflation and unemployment data are in line with or lower than expectations, it may support the bullish sentiment in the crypto market in the short term.
If the data is good, be careful of downward pinning to induce shorting and then bursting! #降息周期 #降息预测 #降息期待 $BTC
See original
---
💥【The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut at 2 a.m., and the market turning point has arrived! 】💥
Interest rates will be cut by a cumulative 100 basis points before the end of 2024. The interest rate cut is finally here! This cycle is really painful, but the hard days are about to pass, so you must hold on to the coins in your hands now! 💪
If the market pulls back, this will be the last best chance to get on board. Historical data tells us that at the beginning of every interest rate cut cycle, the market will have a correction. Please beware of Bitcoin falling back after a short-term surge! 📉
Although a 50 basis point interest rate cut is a good thing, there is no need to be too FOMO. It is wise to wait patiently for the final bottom. If you are frightened by the short sellers' recession theory again at this point in time, you will definitely regret it later and shoot yourself off! 😤
Remember, a bear market does not fall to its peak in one day, and a bull market does not reach its peak overnight. Seize this opportunity, follow the trend, and the opportunity to achieve instant wealth is right in front of you! 🚀
Another important reminder is that November 1st is the birthday of Musk’s dog Marvin. This day may become a special opportunity for the market, so don’t forget to pay attention! 🎂🐕
#降息期待 #牛市到来 #币安上线NEIRO #marvin #新币挖矿HMSTR $ETH $BNB $SOL
---
Such a version combines the Fed's rate cut with Marvin's birthday, both emphasizing the market trend and mentioning a potentially important moment. hope
💥【The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut at 2 a.m., and the market turning point has arrived! 】💥
Interest rates will be cut by a cumulative 100 basis points before the end of 2024. The interest rate cut is finally here! This cycle is really painful, but the hard days are about to pass, so you must hold on to the coins in your hands now! 💪
If the market pulls back, this will be the last best chance to get on board. Historical data tells us that at the beginning of every interest rate cut cycle, the market will have a correction. Please beware of Bitcoin falling back after a short-term surge! 📉
Although a 50 basis point interest rate cut is a good thing, there is no need to be too FOMO. It is wise to wait patiently for the final bottom. If you are frightened by the short sellers' recession theory again at this point in time, you will definitely regret it later and shoot yourself off! 😤
Remember, a bear market does not fall to its peak in one day, and a bull market does not reach its peak overnight. Seize this opportunity, follow the trend, and the opportunity to achieve instant wealth is right in front of you! 🚀
Another important reminder is that November 1st is the birthday of Musk’s dog Marvin. This day may become a special opportunity for the market, so don’t forget to pay attention! 🎂🐕
#降息期待 #牛市到来 #币安上线NEIRO #marvin #新币挖矿HMSTR $ETH $BNB $SOL
---
Such a version combines the Fed's rate cut with Marvin's birthday, both emphasizing the market trend and mentioning a potentially important moment. hope
See original
Bitcoin is now hovering around $62,000, and the market sentiment is a bit cautious as everyone awaits the upcoming US economic data. With the Fed minutes coming up, Bitcoin is also seeing little volatility, with most traders on the sidelines to see how much of an impact these macro data will have on the market.
The Fed unexpectedly cut rates by 0.5% in September, and there will be more important data to be released in the next few days, such as CPI, PPI, and unemployment, which could be key to market movements, especially the GDP and PCE data at the end of the month, which could determine the next big direction.
Bitcoin is currently likely to test the $61,850 support level, with the market fluctuating widely as it awaits the release of these data. Meanwhile, demand for Bitcoin in the US appears to have fallen, with the Coinbase Premium Index showing weaker buyer interest, the lowest in two months.
It is expected that the market could see a new price trend later this week and after the end-of-month data is released. #降息期待 #美国CPI数据 #PPI $BTC #美国经济软着陆？
The Fed unexpectedly cut rates by 0.5% in September, and there will be more important data to be released in the next few days, such as CPI, PPI, and unemployment, which could be key to market movements, especially the GDP and PCE data at the end of the month, which could determine the next big direction.
Bitcoin is currently likely to test the $61,850 support level, with the market fluctuating widely as it awaits the release of these data. Meanwhile, demand for Bitcoin in the US appears to have fallen, with the Coinbase Premium Index showing weaker buyer interest, the lowest in two months.
It is expected that the market could see a new price trend later this week and after the end-of-month data is released. #降息期待 #美国CPI数据 #PPI $BTC #美国经济软着陆？
See original
The non-farm data basically meets expectations, with little fluctuation, which is quite good. The worrying spike did not occur, so the weekend meme stocks can take off again. Our harvest season is about to come!
If you have been watching my content for a long time and are willing to support me, you can share the invitation link below with your friends around you.
Invitation code: 815187403
#比特币回升至97K #BTC☀ #热门话题 #降息期待 $BTC
If you have been watching my content for a long time and are willing to support me, you can share the invitation link below with your friends around you.
Invitation code: 815187403
#比特币回升至97K #BTC☀ #热门话题 #降息期待 $BTC
See original
What impact will the Euro rate cut on June 6 have on our currency circle?
1. A new round of world currency war is about to start. Europe is cutting interest rates dramatically. The US dollar is appreciating at this time. In the first interval, we may see that the capital market is under pressure for a period of time. The liquidity released by the Eurozone may continue to run to the big beautiful.
So there will be two major time zones in the future. The first stage is the Euro rate cut and the US dollar is stable. The second stage is the Euro and the US dollar cut interest rates at the same time. No matter which time it is, it is the end of the global interest rate hike. Historical experience has proved that often in this period of time, whether it is the global currency market or geopolitics, it is turbulent;
2. Once the interest rate cut cycle begins, enterprises will also regain vitality. The interest rate cut may release part of the market liquidity, and part of the funds will begin to flow into the market. The economy will begin to recover further, and the operating rate of enterprises will further increase.
At this time, the demand of the people for commodities and enterprises for commodities is often pushed up, so recently, the Federal Reserve's Federal Reserve Company also stated that they do not need to wait until inflation is close to 2% before they can start the interest rate cut cycle;
3. What do we mean by interest rate cuts?
Whether it is the US market or the European market, interest rate cuts. Once the interest rate cut cycle begins, market liquidity begins to increase, and non-US markets begin to gradually become active.
#降息期待
1. A new round of world currency war is about to start. Europe is cutting interest rates dramatically. The US dollar is appreciating at this time. In the first interval, we may see that the capital market is under pressure for a period of time. The liquidity released by the Eurozone may continue to run to the big beautiful.
So there will be two major time zones in the future. The first stage is the Euro rate cut and the US dollar is stable. The second stage is the Euro and the US dollar cut interest rates at the same time. No matter which time it is, it is the end of the global interest rate hike. Historical experience has proved that often in this period of time, whether it is the global currency market or geopolitics, it is turbulent;
2. Once the interest rate cut cycle begins, enterprises will also regain vitality. The interest rate cut may release part of the market liquidity, and part of the funds will begin to flow into the market. The economy will begin to recover further, and the operating rate of enterprises will further increase.
At this time, the demand of the people for commodities and enterprises for commodities is often pushed up, so recently, the Federal Reserve's Federal Reserve Company also stated that they do not need to wait until inflation is close to 2% before they can start the interest rate cut cycle;
3. What do we mean by interest rate cuts?
Whether it is the US market or the European market, interest rate cuts. Once the interest rate cut cycle begins, market liquidity begins to increase, and non-US markets begin to gradually become active.
#降息期待
See original
Fed Governor Bowman is hawkish: If inflation stagnates or rebounds, future interest rate hikes are imminent
With global financial markets closely watching the Fed's monetary policy trends, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman recently made a striking statement. According to Jinshi Data, Bowman made it clear when talking about the current inflation situation that although his basic view is that inflation will fall further and the policy interest rate will remain stable, once the data shows that inflation progress has stagnated or reversed, he did not hesitate to express his willingness to consider raising interest rates at future meetings.
This statement undoubtedly brought new shocks to the market. At a time when the inflation problem is still severe, the Fed's monetary policy trends affect the nerves of the global economy. Bowman's remarks undoubtedly poured cold water on investors who expect the Fed to continue to maintain an accommodative monetary policy.
As one of the important officials of the Fed, Bowman's remarks are naturally authoritative and influential. His statement this time not only shows his deep understanding and high attention to the inflation problem, but also reflects his careful consideration of the direction of the Fed's monetary policy.
It is worth noting that Bowman's remarks are not groundless. Recently released US inflation data show that although the overall inflation level has declined, the core inflation rate remains high. This means that even if the overall inflation rate falls, inflationary pressure still exists, and the Fed needs to remain vigilant.
In addition, Bowman also emphasized the importance of data. He said that he would pay close attention to the upcoming economic data to assess the inflation situation and policy effects. This statement also shows the data dependence and scientific nature of the Fed's monetary policy decision-making.
In general, Bowman's statement has brought new uncertainties to the market. Although his basic view is that inflation will fall further and the policy interest rate will remain stable, he is ready to take action once the data changes unfavorably. This also reminds investors that in the current market environment, they need to remain vigilant and rational and pay close attention to the Fed's monetary policy trends and changes in economic data.
#美联储何时降息？ #降息期待
With global financial markets closely watching the Fed's monetary policy trends, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman recently made a striking statement. According to Jinshi Data, Bowman made it clear when talking about the current inflation situation that although his basic view is that inflation will fall further and the policy interest rate will remain stable, once the data shows that inflation progress has stagnated or reversed, he did not hesitate to express his willingness to consider raising interest rates at future meetings.
This statement undoubtedly brought new shocks to the market. At a time when the inflation problem is still severe, the Fed's monetary policy trends affect the nerves of the global economy. Bowman's remarks undoubtedly poured cold water on investors who expect the Fed to continue to maintain an accommodative monetary policy.
As one of the important officials of the Fed, Bowman's remarks are naturally authoritative and influential. His statement this time not only shows his deep understanding and high attention to the inflation problem, but also reflects his careful consideration of the direction of the Fed's monetary policy.
It is worth noting that Bowman's remarks are not groundless. Recently released US inflation data show that although the overall inflation level has declined, the core inflation rate remains high. This means that even if the overall inflation rate falls, inflationary pressure still exists, and the Fed needs to remain vigilant.
In addition, Bowman also emphasized the importance of data. He said that he would pay close attention to the upcoming economic data to assess the inflation situation and policy effects. This statement also shows the data dependence and scientific nature of the Fed's monetary policy decision-making.
In general, Bowman's statement has brought new uncertainties to the market. Although his basic view is that inflation will fall further and the policy interest rate will remain stable, he is ready to take action once the data changes unfavorably. This also reminds investors that in the current market environment, they need to remain vigilant and rational and pay close attention to the Fed's monetary policy trends and changes in economic data.
#美联储何时降息？ #降息期待
See original
Interest rate cuts are favorable, the decline last night scared off many long positions, but after a quick rebound, it has stabilized, waiting for a breakthrough #BTC突破7万大关
#降息预期 #降息期待
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book shows that the overall U.S. economy remains stable but faces some challenges. Below is a summary and analysis of the key points:
Economic Activity: Economic activity has not changed much in most regions, with only two regions showing moderate growth. Manufacturing activity has declined, but respondents remain optimistic about the long-term outlook.
Consumer Spending: Consumer spending reports are mixed, indicating a shift towards cheaper alternatives, which may affect the overall vitality of the consumer market.
Real Estate Market: Real estate activity is stable, housing inventory has increased, home prices remain stable or have slightly risen, while rents have slightly decreased, indicating a moderate adjustment in the market.
Employment Situation: Employment numbers have increased slightly, wages have risen moderately overall, but wages in certain sectors (such as the tech industry) are growing faster than average, indicating tightness in the labor market in specific industries.
Inflation Situation: Inflation levels are moderate, with prices rising slightly or moderately, but certain food prices have risen significantly, and the pressure on healthcare and insurance costs has increased, showcasing challenges to corporate profitability.
Other Factors: Natural disasters have impacted crops, and business activity and tourism in the Southeast have been hit, while energy sector activity has remained flat or has slightly declined.
Analysis:
The content of the Beige Book conveys a “dovish” signal, with the market generally expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November and December. This could promote economic activity, especially in manufacturing and consumer spending. Despite overall economic stability, changes in manufacturing and consumption patterns suggest a possible economic slowdown, and future policy adjustments will be crucial in addressing these challenges. Inflation pressures are significant in certain industries and goods, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decisions, so keeping an eye on these dynamics will help assess the future direction of monetary policy.
Overall, the market's expectations for interest rate cuts are strengthening, which could drive positive reactions in the stock and cryptocurrency markets.
$BTC
#降息预期 #降息期待
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book shows that the overall U.S. economy remains stable but faces some challenges. Below is a summary and analysis of the key points:
Economic Activity: Economic activity has not changed much in most regions, with only two regions showing moderate growth. Manufacturing activity has declined, but respondents remain optimistic about the long-term outlook.
Consumer Spending: Consumer spending reports are mixed, indicating a shift towards cheaper alternatives, which may affect the overall vitality of the consumer market.
Real Estate Market: Real estate activity is stable, housing inventory has increased, home prices remain stable or have slightly risen, while rents have slightly decreased, indicating a moderate adjustment in the market.
Employment Situation: Employment numbers have increased slightly, wages have risen moderately overall, but wages in certain sectors (such as the tech industry) are growing faster than average, indicating tightness in the labor market in specific industries.
Inflation Situation: Inflation levels are moderate, with prices rising slightly or moderately, but certain food prices have risen significantly, and the pressure on healthcare and insurance costs has increased, showcasing challenges to corporate profitability.
Other Factors: Natural disasters have impacted crops, and business activity and tourism in the Southeast have been hit, while energy sector activity has remained flat or has slightly declined.
Analysis:
The content of the Beige Book conveys a “dovish” signal, with the market generally expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November and December. This could promote economic activity, especially in manufacturing and consumer spending. Despite overall economic stability, changes in manufacturing and consumption patterns suggest a possible economic slowdown, and future policy adjustments will be crucial in addressing these challenges. Inflation pressures are significant in certain industries and goods, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decisions, so keeping an eye on these dynamics will help assess the future direction of monetary policy.
Overall, the market's expectations for interest rate cuts are strengthening, which could drive positive reactions in the stock and cryptocurrency markets.
$BTC