美国经济
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📊【U.S. employment data update and analysis】
🔹 Non-farm employment was revised downward: The total number of non-farm employment in June and July was revised downward by 86,000, from 179,000 to 118,000 in June and from 114,000 to 89,000 in July. This indicates that the pace of economic recovery may not be as fast as expected and companies are less willing to recruit.
🔹 August employment data: The seasonally adjusted non-agricultural employment population in August was 142,000. Although it was lower than the expected 160,000, it was significantly higher than the previous value of 89,000. This shows that the job market is still recovering, and the market has responded positively to this, indicating that investors are optimistic about the economic outlook.
🔹 Changes in unemployment rate: The unemployment rate was 4.2% in August, in line with expectations, and the previous value was 4.3%. Although the unemployment rate fell slightly, the performance of the overall job market still needs to be watched.
comprehensive analysis
Although August's non-farm payrolls data fell short of expectations, the significant improvement from the previous value satisfied the market, reflecting the resilience of the economic recovery. A pick-up in business hiring could boost consumer confidence and boost economic growth.
trading strategy
The non-agricultural data is bullish. It is recommended to buy at the current price of 56,400 and set the stop loss at 55,000.
#美国经济 #就业数据 #交易策略 #非农数据 #非农就业数据即将公布
$BTC $ETH
🔹 Non-farm employment was revised downward: The total number of non-farm employment in June and July was revised downward by 86,000, from 179,000 to 118,000 in June and from 114,000 to 89,000 in July. This indicates that the pace of economic recovery may not be as fast as expected and companies are less willing to recruit.
🔹 August employment data: The seasonally adjusted non-agricultural employment population in August was 142,000. Although it was lower than the expected 160,000, it was significantly higher than the previous value of 89,000. This shows that the job market is still recovering, and the market has responded positively to this, indicating that investors are optimistic about the economic outlook.
🔹 Changes in unemployment rate: The unemployment rate was 4.2% in August, in line with expectations, and the previous value was 4.3%. Although the unemployment rate fell slightly, the performance of the overall job market still needs to be watched.
comprehensive analysis
Although August's non-farm payrolls data fell short of expectations, the significant improvement from the previous value satisfied the market, reflecting the resilience of the economic recovery. A pick-up in business hiring could boost consumer confidence and boost economic growth.
trading strategy
The non-agricultural data is bullish. It is recommended to buy at the current price of 56,400 and set the stop loss at 55,000.
#美国经济 #就业数据 #交易策略 #非农数据 #非农就业数据即将公布
$BTC $ETH
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Cryptocurrency evening summary
1. The United States proposed a ceasefire between#Hezbollahand #Israel, but the details are still unclear. Due to concerns about the expansion of the conflict, Hezbollah and Israel are drafting a ceasefire proposal with the support of the United States and its allies. Countries supporting the plan include the United States, the European Union and#SaudiArabia. Previously, Israel attacked the leader of Hezbollah's drones in Beirut. Israel launched a precision airstrike against Hezbollah's drone commander in Beirut. Fierce fighting with Iranian-backed organizations continues. Hezbollah fired 45 rockets into northern Israel, which brought a brief calm to northern Israel.
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Cathie Wood supports a crypto-friendly president and is bullish on its impact on the U.S. economy
Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood recently publicly stated that she will vote for Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential election because she believes Trump is most beneficial to the development of the US economy.
Wood made the comments at a seminar for millionaires in Las Vegas, where he emphasized his stance on the economy among voters.
Cathie Wood's Economic Position
"On the economy, I'm going to make my choice as an economic voter, and I'm going to vote for the person who has done the most for our economy, and based on that, I'm going to support Trump," Wood said at a seminar for millionaires in Las Vegas last weekend.
Wood made the comments at a seminar for millionaires in Las Vegas, where he emphasized his stance on the economy among voters.
Cathie Wood's Economic Position
"On the economy, I'm going to make my choice as an economic voter, and I'm going to vote for the person who has done the most for our economy, and based on that, I'm going to support Trump," Wood said at a seminar for millionaires in Las Vegas last weekend.
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💼💥【US non-farm payrolls surged in May: market expectations were greatly exceeded! 】💥💼
US non-farm payrolls surged in May, increasing by 272,000!
📈Exceeding market expectations by 180,000, the largest increase since March this year! The job market is turbulent, and the economic recovery is strong! #非农就业数据 #就业市场 #美国经济
#非农就业人数高于预期
US non-farm payrolls surged in May, increasing by 272,000!
📈Exceeding market expectations by 180,000, the largest increase since March this year! The job market is turbulent, and the economic recovery is strong! #非农就业数据 #就业市场 #美国经济
#非农就业人数高于预期
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📉 Exceeding expectations: The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points in a single move, the first in four years!
On September 19, the Fed announced a 50 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.75%-5.00%, the first rate cut since March 2020.
Previously, the Fed raised interest rates 11 times in a row from March 2022 to July 2023, with a cumulative rate hike of 525 basis points, keeping interest rates at a 23-year high of 5.25% to 5.5%.
The Fed's FOMC statement pointed out that inflation has made progress toward the 2% target, but is still slightly higher. The risks to employment and inflation targets are in balance. The median of the dot plot shows that the federal funds rate is expected to be 4.4% at the end of 2024, lower than the 5.1% expected in June.
At the same time, Fed Chairman Powell emphasized at a press conference that the Fed will flexibly adjust the pace of interest rate cuts based on economic conditions. He said that if the economy remains robust, interest rate cuts can be slowed down; if the labor market deteriorates, the Fed will respond accordingly. Powell also mentioned that if the July non-farm payrolls report is seen in advance, the first interest rate cut may be made at the July meeting.
Powell reiterated that the Fed is committed to maintaining a strong economy and the strength of the labor market. Although the current reduction in employment has led to an increase in the unemployment rate, the demand and supply relationship in the overall labor market is becoming more balanced, so changes in the labor market are not the main factor causing inflationary pressure. Therefore, the Fed continues to maintain strong confidence in the labor market.
🗣 Viewpoint:
Overall, the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and Powell's speech convey a message. That is, in the current complex economic environment, the Fed will maintain policy flexibility and adaptability to support stable economic growth and the continued health of the labor market.
At the same time, the Fed's decision and Powell's remarks convey a cautious and optimistic attitude towards the economic outlook. It is expected that the federal funds rate will gradually fall back to a more neutral level in the next few years.
💬 What do you think of Fed Chairman Powell's remarks on policy flexibility? Will the Fed's interest rate cut decision affect your financial planning? See the comments section!
#美联储降息 #鲍威尔新闻发布会 #美国经济 #金融市场
On September 19, the Fed announced a 50 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.75%-5.00%, the first rate cut since March 2020.
Previously, the Fed raised interest rates 11 times in a row from March 2022 to July 2023, with a cumulative rate hike of 525 basis points, keeping interest rates at a 23-year high of 5.25% to 5.5%.
The Fed's FOMC statement pointed out that inflation has made progress toward the 2% target, but is still slightly higher. The risks to employment and inflation targets are in balance. The median of the dot plot shows that the federal funds rate is expected to be 4.4% at the end of 2024, lower than the 5.1% expected in June.
At the same time, Fed Chairman Powell emphasized at a press conference that the Fed will flexibly adjust the pace of interest rate cuts based on economic conditions. He said that if the economy remains robust, interest rate cuts can be slowed down; if the labor market deteriorates, the Fed will respond accordingly. Powell also mentioned that if the July non-farm payrolls report is seen in advance, the first interest rate cut may be made at the July meeting.
Powell reiterated that the Fed is committed to maintaining a strong economy and the strength of the labor market. Although the current reduction in employment has led to an increase in the unemployment rate, the demand and supply relationship in the overall labor market is becoming more balanced, so changes in the labor market are not the main factor causing inflationary pressure. Therefore, the Fed continues to maintain strong confidence in the labor market.
🗣 Viewpoint:
Overall, the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and Powell's speech convey a message. That is, in the current complex economic environment, the Fed will maintain policy flexibility and adaptability to support stable economic growth and the continued health of the labor market.
At the same time, the Fed's decision and Powell's remarks convey a cautious and optimistic attitude towards the economic outlook. It is expected that the federal funds rate will gradually fall back to a more neutral level in the next few years.
💬 What do you think of Fed Chairman Powell's remarks on policy flexibility? Will the Fed's interest rate cut decision affect your financial planning? See the comments section!
#美联储降息 #鲍威尔新闻发布会 #美国经济 #金融市场
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"Lao Bai's Notes" - a review of recent thoughts March 23, 2024
There have been few updates recently, but I haven’t been idle, sorting out market information for the next step 🏊♂️
1. Overall environment:
1. Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 2007 and announced the cancellation of YCC, which had a certain impact on market confidence. However, by continuing to purchase government bonds at roughly the same amount as before, this policy currently has little impact on the Japanese economy and will not affect the global economy too much (Japan’s stock market reform is remarkable). The currency circle is currently part of the U.S. dollar system. , but also depends on the U.S. economy;
2. Views of various parties in the U.S. economy: 🇺🇸
1. Overall environment:
1. Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 2007 and announced the cancellation of YCC, which had a certain impact on market confidence. However, by continuing to purchase government bonds at roughly the same amount as before, this policy currently has little impact on the Japanese economy and will not affect the global economy too much (Japan’s stock market reform is remarkable). The currency circle is currently part of the U.S. dollar system. , but also depends on the U.S. economy;
2. Views of various parties in the U.S. economy: 🇺🇸
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Cryptocurrency evening summary
1. On Sunday, Israeli airstrikes killed at least 31 Palestinians in Gaza, including 13 in northern areas such as Beit Lahia and Jabaliya, and health officials reported a tank fire near Kamel Adwan Hospital, injuring a child.
2. The Israeli Air Force launched an airstrike in the Sudan Yah area in southern Lebanon, killing Riad Ridda Ghazawi, the commander of the anti-tank missile unit of the Radwan Force of Hezbollah. It was reported that the operation was carried out based on intelligence from the Military Intelligence Agency.
3. China is considering a bill to raise the local government debt ceiling to replace hidden debts and reduce the fiscal burden that affects economic growth. The proposed debt swap plan can solve China's real estate downturn and heavy debt burden. It is expected that more than 10 trillion yuan of new bond issuance announcements will be released on Friday.
2. The Israeli Air Force launched an airstrike in the Sudan Yah area in southern Lebanon, killing Riad Ridda Ghazawi, the commander of the anti-tank missile unit of the Radwan Force of Hezbollah. It was reported that the operation was carried out based on intelligence from the Military Intelligence Agency.
3. China is considering a bill to raise the local government debt ceiling to replace hidden debts and reduce the fiscal burden that affects economic growth. The proposed debt swap plan can solve China's real estate downturn and heavy debt burden. It is expected that more than 10 trillion yuan of new bond issuance announcements will be released on Friday.
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After returning from a personal experience in the United States, I witnessed the true face of the other side of the economy and its impact on crypto
Let me tell you about the real economic situation on the other side of the ocean:
Inflationary pressure is significant and the working class has a heavy burden:
Traveling through the streets of New York and chatting with many Uber drivers, I generally felt the pressure of life brought by soaring prices. Many people have to work multiple jobs to make a living. The once "middle-class" dream has now faded into a realistic portrayal of unremitting struggle to escape poverty. Under high inflation, although the job market seems to be prosperous, it actually reveals the hardship and helplessness of people's lives.
Real estate market polarized, rents soared:
Inflationary pressure is significant and the working class has a heavy burden:
Traveling through the streets of New York and chatting with many Uber drivers, I generally felt the pressure of life brought by soaring prices. Many people have to work multiple jobs to make a living. The once "middle-class" dream has now faded into a realistic portrayal of unremitting struggle to escape poverty. Under high inflation, although the job market seems to be prosperous, it actually reveals the hardship and helplessness of people's lives.
Real estate market polarized, rents soared: