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CryptoMirc
@CryptoMirc
Slacker Genius / Crypto since 2016 / On-Chain Data Analysis / Blockchain Researcher /Technical Analysis/ Fundamental Analysis
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In February of last year, 2023, I explained the following to my Team:
Economic data confirming a recession typically follows a rise in the unemployment rate. Historically, official announcements of a recession are significantly delayed, often occurring when the recession is nearing its end. This delay means that the markets have often already begun to experience a downturn, similar to the sharp declines witnessed during the COVID-19 pandemic. Such market corrections present a prime opportunity for investors to accumulate assets across various markets.
I believe we have now reached the stage I discussed, after more than a year and a half of waiting.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
#MarketDownturn
Economic data confirming a recession typically follows a rise in the unemployment rate. Historically, official announcements of a recession are significantly delayed, often occurring when the recession is nearing its end. This delay means that the markets have often already begun to experience a downturn, similar to the sharp declines witnessed during the COVID-19 pandemic. Such market corrections present a prime opportunity for investors to accumulate assets across various markets.
I believe we have now reached the stage I discussed, after more than a year and a half of waiting.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
#MarketDownturn
PINNED
$BTC
When Bitcoin reached $25,000, I charted out a roadmap for Bitcoin, dividing each cycle into stages, each with its own rules and conditions. While the explanation is extensive, the chart speaks for itself.
Having experienced two seasons of volatility in digital currencies, I understand the strong price fluctuations that often do not reflect the project's size or value. Price manipulation is easily achievable in the crypto world.
Doubt creeps into your mind, making you hesitant to trust a project due to its declining market value. Consequently, all investors exit the project, allowing market makers to hoard the majority of coins, leading to significant price hikes. It's a journey that's far from easy, contrary to popular belief.
When Bitcoin reached $25,000, I charted out a roadmap for Bitcoin, dividing each cycle into stages, each with its own rules and conditions. While the explanation is extensive, the chart speaks for itself.
Having experienced two seasons of volatility in digital currencies, I understand the strong price fluctuations that often do not reflect the project's size or value. Price manipulation is easily achievable in the crypto world.
Doubt creeps into your mind, making you hesitant to trust a project due to its declining market value. Consequently, all investors exit the project, allowing market makers to hoard the majority of coins, leading to significant price hikes. It's a journey that's far from easy, contrary to popular belief.
Strategic Patience in the Final Stage of the Bull Run:
At this final stage of the bull run, it’s wise to accumulate during every significant dip or correction. There’s no need for excessive trading. While you might profit from short-term trades, patience is what brings the greatest rewards. Almost all market coins are rising, even scam projects, despite 99.99% of them being worthless. Therefore, it’s better to hold on and avoid jumping between coins. Corrections are healthy and normal for achieving new highs.
Between March, April, and May, each coin will reach its peak at different times. My advice is to avoid greed—once your targets are reached, sell and exit the market. I will guide you on when to officially exit based on indicators such as Bitcoin and Tether dominance, as well as altcoin market dominance and other metrics.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
At this final stage of the bull run, it’s wise to accumulate during every significant dip or correction. There’s no need for excessive trading. While you might profit from short-term trades, patience is what brings the greatest rewards. Almost all market coins are rising, even scam projects, despite 99.99% of them being worthless. Therefore, it’s better to hold on and avoid jumping between coins. Corrections are healthy and normal for achieving new highs.
Between March, April, and May, each coin will reach its peak at different times. My advice is to avoid greed—once your targets are reached, sell and exit the market. I will guide you on when to officially exit based on indicators such as Bitcoin and Tether dominance, as well as altcoin market dominance and other metrics.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
Market Sentiment Amid Russia-Ukraine Escalation: A Perspective on Price Movements
In light of the recent escalation between Russia and Ukraine, which saw a series of drone and missile attacks resulting in casualties and damage to critical infrastructure, it is worth noting that negative news often coincides with market bottoms, not tops. If we were truly at a market peak, positive news would dominate the narrative to attract new investors and capitalize on greed.
From my perspective, the current phase suggests the potential for further upward movement to higher price levels. Once positive news becomes the prevailing trend, it might be time to consider exiting the market. For now, I see no reason to do so. Moreover, news does not directly drive price movements; it merely reflects the state of market indicators, such as overbought or oversold conditions.
Market Sentiment Amid Russia-Ukraine Escalation: A Perspective on Price Movements
In light of the recent escalation between Russia and Ukraine, which saw a series of drone and missile attacks resulting in casualties and damage to critical infrastructure, it is worth noting that negative news often coincides with market bottoms, not tops. If we were truly at a market peak, positive news would dominate the narrative to attract new investors and capitalize on greed.
From my perspective, the current phase suggests the potential for further upward movement to higher price levels. Once positive news becomes the prevailing trend, it might be time to consider exiting the market. For now, I see no reason to do so. Moreover, news does not directly drive price movements; it merely reflects the state of market indicators, such as overbought or oversold conditions.
Dot Crypto Bubble
$BTC #cryptobubble2025
Introduction
The Dot Com Bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s represented an era of tremendous market expansion followed by a severe contraction, particularly in technology stocks listed on the Nasdaq. During this time, the market capitalization of Nasdaq peaked at approximately $5.5 to $6 trillion before experiencing a dramatic collapse. This was followed by a prolonged bear market that spanned roughly 3,283 days, nearly nine years, before a new bull market began.
In
Introduction
The Dot Com Bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s represented an era of tremendous market expansion followed by a severe contraction, particularly in technology stocks listed on the Nasdaq. During this time, the market capitalization of Nasdaq peaked at approximately $5.5 to $6 trillion before experiencing a dramatic collapse. This was followed by a prolonged bear market that spanned roughly 3,283 days, nearly nine years, before a new bull market began.
In
$PEPE $AVAX $DOGE
I am personally not a fan of meme coins, but I recognize the significant opportunities they present in the market. However, it is intriguing that we have yet to see any meme coins listed on the Avalanche network. This raises questions about potential developments in this space. Given the growing trend of meme coins, it is possible that Avalanche-based meme coins might emerge soon. For enthusiasts of this niche, it may be worth exploring potential candidates, such as '$Husky.'
Who knows what could happen next?
I am personally not a fan of meme coins, but I recognize the significant opportunities they present in the market. However, it is intriguing that we have yet to see any meme coins listed on the Avalanche network. This raises questions about potential developments in this space. Given the growing trend of meme coins, it is possible that Avalanche-based meme coins might emerge soon. For enthusiasts of this niche, it may be worth exploring potential candidates, such as '$Husky.'
Who knows what could happen next?
again and again RIP Shorters 🤣🤣
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
😎RIP Shorters 😎
In July 2023, I conducted a comprehensive investment analysis for Bitcoin and charted a roadmap based on the analysis of various indicators, cycle calculations, and other relevant factors. I am genuinely impressed by the accuracy of this roadmap over the past year.
Those who exhibit patience and understand the market dynamics need not fear. For those who do not yet grasp the nuances, I invite you to follow along as I continue to explain further analyses and realistic forecasts in a logical manner, free from emotion, fear, and greed.
😎RIP Shorters 😎
In July 2023, I conducted a comprehensive investment analysis for Bitcoin and charted a roadmap based on the analysis of various indicators, cycle calculations, and other relevant factors. I am genuinely impressed by the accuracy of this roadmap over the past year.
Those who exhibit patience and understand the market dynamics need not fear. For those who do not yet grasp the nuances, I invite you to follow along as I continue to explain further analyses and realistic forecasts in a logical manner, free from emotion, fear, and greed.
Weekly Dollar Index Analysis and Implications for the Crypto Market
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently reached a significant resistance zone on the weekly timeframe, indicating a potential point of reversal. Historically, movements in the dollar have shown an inverse correlation with risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies. Given that we are currently in the final stages of the bull run, typically spanning 4-7 months from the point when the previous peak is officially breached, we can anticipate this phase extending into April to June 2025.
If the dollar index experiences a decline from this level, it would align well with the anticipated final upward leg of the crypto market's bull run. This convergence suggests a potentially strong upward momentum for cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, as it approaches and potentially surpasses its previous all-time high. It is important to note that sustained altcoin movements generally follow Bitcoin's breakout of its prior peak.
Strategic Consideration:
Crypto investors should closely monitor the DXY's movement and Bitcoin's performance. A sustained dollar pullback could serve as a catalyst for the altcoin market, signaling a potential rally and a critical phase in this bull cycle.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently reached a significant resistance zone on the weekly timeframe, indicating a potential point of reversal. Historically, movements in the dollar have shown an inverse correlation with risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies. Given that we are currently in the final stages of the bull run, typically spanning 4-7 months from the point when the previous peak is officially breached, we can anticipate this phase extending into April to June 2025.
If the dollar index experiences a decline from this level, it would align well with the anticipated final upward leg of the crypto market's bull run. This convergence suggests a potentially strong upward momentum for cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, as it approaches and potentially surpasses its previous all-time high. It is important to note that sustained altcoin movements generally follow Bitcoin's breakout of its prior peak.
Strategic Consideration:
Crypto investors should closely monitor the DXY's movement and Bitcoin's performance. A sustained dollar pullback could serve as a catalyst for the altcoin market, signaling a potential rally and a critical phase in this bull cycle.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis: Preparing for the Next Bull Market Peak
In my detailed Bitcoin market analysis, I have identified that we are currently navigating through Phase 5 of the bull run cycle. This phase marks the last segment of the upward trend within the broader market cycle, signaling an important period for long-term crypto investors and traders.
Cycle Insights: Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated distinct cyclical patterns, and by analyzing past market data, I project that the peak of this bull market cycle is likely to occur around April to May 2025.
This projection aligns with market dynamics, on-chain data, and cyclical behavior that the crypto space has followed in previous cycles.
Strategic Recommendations for Investors:
Prepare Your Strategy: Now is the critical moment to solidify your exit strategy. Identify key targets for your holdings and set alerts for market movements as we approach the anticipated top.
Market Sentiment & Data Tracking: Monitor sentiment closely; as we approach cycle peaks, irrational exuberance often takes hold. Combining technical indicators with on-chain data will help pinpoint optimal selling windows.
Manage Risk: Avoid getting caught in the frenzy. Ensure you have a disciplined approach to profit-taking and risk management as market volatility is expected to rise.
Next Steps: We still have time to observe the final leg of this bull market. Being proactive in understanding the cycle's behavior will be the key to optimizing returns.
Whether you are a long-term holder or a short-term trader, planning your moves ahead will differentiate strategic success from missed opportunities.
Let's keep our eyes on the charts and prepare our sell strategies accordingly to maximize this cycle's potential gains.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
#BTCNear82k #EducateYourself
In my detailed Bitcoin market analysis, I have identified that we are currently navigating through Phase 5 of the bull run cycle. This phase marks the last segment of the upward trend within the broader market cycle, signaling an important period for long-term crypto investors and traders.
Cycle Insights: Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated distinct cyclical patterns, and by analyzing past market data, I project that the peak of this bull market cycle is likely to occur around April to May 2025.
This projection aligns with market dynamics, on-chain data, and cyclical behavior that the crypto space has followed in previous cycles.
Strategic Recommendations for Investors:
Prepare Your Strategy: Now is the critical moment to solidify your exit strategy. Identify key targets for your holdings and set alerts for market movements as we approach the anticipated top.
Market Sentiment & Data Tracking: Monitor sentiment closely; as we approach cycle peaks, irrational exuberance often takes hold. Combining technical indicators with on-chain data will help pinpoint optimal selling windows.
Manage Risk: Avoid getting caught in the frenzy. Ensure you have a disciplined approach to profit-taking and risk management as market volatility is expected to rise.
Next Steps: We still have time to observe the final leg of this bull market. Being proactive in understanding the cycle's behavior will be the key to optimizing returns.
Whether you are a long-term holder or a short-term trader, planning your moves ahead will differentiate strategic success from missed opportunities.
Let's keep our eyes on the charts and prepare our sell strategies accordingly to maximize this cycle's potential gains.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
#BTCNear82k #EducateYourself
$BTC
When Bitcoin reached $25,000, I charted out a roadmap for Bitcoin, dividing each cycle into stages, each with its own rules and conditions. While the explanation is extensive, the chart speaks for itself.
Having experienced two seasons of volatility in digital currencies, I understand the strong price fluctuations that often do not reflect the project's size or value. Price manipulation is easily achievable in the crypto world.
Doubt creeps into your mind, making you hesitant to trust a project due to its declining market value. Consequently, all investors exit the project, allowing market makers to hoard the majority of coins, leading to significant price hikes. It's a journey that's far from easy, contrary to popular belief.
When Bitcoin reached $25,000, I charted out a roadmap for Bitcoin, dividing each cycle into stages, each with its own rules and conditions. While the explanation is extensive, the chart speaks for itself.
Having experienced two seasons of volatility in digital currencies, I understand the strong price fluctuations that often do not reflect the project's size or value. Price manipulation is easily achievable in the crypto world.
Doubt creeps into your mind, making you hesitant to trust a project due to its declining market value. Consequently, all investors exit the project, allowing market makers to hoard the majority of coins, leading to significant price hikes. It's a journey that's far from easy, contrary to popular belief.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
😎RIP Shorters 😎
In July 2023, I conducted a comprehensive investment analysis for Bitcoin and charted a roadmap based on the analysis of various indicators, cycle calculations, and other relevant factors. I am genuinely impressed by the accuracy of this roadmap over the past year.
Those who exhibit patience and understand the market dynamics need not fear. For those who do not yet grasp the nuances, I invite you to follow along as I continue to explain further analyses and realistic forecasts in a logical manner, free from emotion, fear, and greed.
😎RIP Shorters 😎
In July 2023, I conducted a comprehensive investment analysis for Bitcoin and charted a roadmap based on the analysis of various indicators, cycle calculations, and other relevant factors. I am genuinely impressed by the accuracy of this roadmap over the past year.
Those who exhibit patience and understand the market dynamics need not fear. For those who do not yet grasp the nuances, I invite you to follow along as I continue to explain further analyses and realistic forecasts in a logical manner, free from emotion, fear, and greed.
$BTC
When Bitcoin reached $25,000, I charted out a roadmap for Bitcoin, dividing each cycle into stages, each with its own rules and conditions. While the explanation is extensive, the chart speaks for itself.
Having experienced two seasons of volatility in digital currencies, I understand the strong price fluctuations that often do not reflect the project's size or value. Price manipulation is easily achievable in the crypto world.
Doubt creeps into your mind, making you hesitant to trust a project due to its declining market value. Consequently, all investors exit the project, allowing market makers to hoard the majority of coins, leading to significant price hikes. It's a journey that's far from easy, contrary to popular belief.
When Bitcoin reached $25,000, I charted out a roadmap for Bitcoin, dividing each cycle into stages, each with its own rules and conditions. While the explanation is extensive, the chart speaks for itself.
Having experienced two seasons of volatility in digital currencies, I understand the strong price fluctuations that often do not reflect the project's size or value. Price manipulation is easily achievable in the crypto world.
Doubt creeps into your mind, making you hesitant to trust a project due to its declining market value. Consequently, all investors exit the project, allowing market makers to hoard the majority of coins, leading to significant price hikes. It's a journey that's far from easy, contrary to popular belief.
and here we go $BTC $AVAX $ZRO
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
RIP Shorters
In the current market phase, most traders have become accustomed to expecting a drop after every rise. This behavioral pattern creates an ideal setup for a trap, as many will likely sell during this recent upward movement. Once retail investors finish their selling spree, the market is primed for a strong, rapid surge—an aggressive "pump" that won’t allow time for hesitation and will leave sellers caught off-guard.
As for those holding short positions, it’s fair to say they’ll face significant losses.
RIP Shorters
In the current market phase, most traders have become accustomed to expecting a drop after every rise. This behavioral pattern creates an ideal setup for a trap, as many will likely sell during this recent upward movement. Once retail investors finish their selling spree, the market is primed for a strong, rapid surge—an aggressive "pump" that won’t allow time for hesitation and will leave sellers caught off-guard.
As for those holding short positions, it’s fair to say they’ll face significant losses.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
RIP Shorters
In the current market phase, most traders have become accustomed to expecting a drop after every rise. This behavioral pattern creates an ideal setup for a trap, as many will likely sell during this recent upward movement. Once retail investors finish their selling spree, the market is primed for a strong, rapid surge—an aggressive "pump" that won’t allow time for hesitation and will leave sellers caught off-guard.
As for those holding short positions, it’s fair to say they’ll face significant losses.
RIP Shorters
In the current market phase, most traders have become accustomed to expecting a drop after every rise. This behavioral pattern creates an ideal setup for a trap, as many will likely sell during this recent upward movement. Once retail investors finish their selling spree, the market is primed for a strong, rapid surge—an aggressive "pump" that won’t allow time for hesitation and will leave sellers caught off-guard.
As for those holding short positions, it’s fair to say they’ll face significant losses.
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
Analysis of the Bitcoin Price Cycle.
Invalidity of the Monthly Box Reference
The use of the monthly box shown in the chart as a reference to predict Bitcoin prices is illogical in my view. This is because it does not align with the four-year Bitcoin market cycle, which alternates between bear markets and bull runs. Given that we are currently entering the fifth phase of the cycle, I believe this reference point is inaccurate.
Comparison with May 2017
At this stage of the cycle, I consider our current position to be similar to May 2017, which marked the final upward phase leading to the peak of the bull run. I anticipate that we will witness price surges similar to those seen between May and December 2017.
Forecasting the Bull Run's End
Assuming that May 2017 corresponds to October 2024 in the current cycle, we can expect the bull run to conclude in approximately six months. This suggests that Bitcoin may reach its peak by April 2025, followed by a significant decline.
#BTCPredictedNewATH
#BTCUptober
#LearnTogether
#InvestSmartly
Analysis of the Bitcoin Price Cycle.
Invalidity of the Monthly Box Reference
The use of the monthly box shown in the chart as a reference to predict Bitcoin prices is illogical in my view. This is because it does not align with the four-year Bitcoin market cycle, which alternates between bear markets and bull runs. Given that we are currently entering the fifth phase of the cycle, I believe this reference point is inaccurate.
Comparison with May 2017
At this stage of the cycle, I consider our current position to be similar to May 2017, which marked the final upward phase leading to the peak of the bull run. I anticipate that we will witness price surges similar to those seen between May and December 2017.
Forecasting the Bull Run's End
Assuming that May 2017 corresponds to October 2024 in the current cycle, we can expect the bull run to conclude in approximately six months. This suggests that Bitcoin may reach its peak by April 2025, followed by a significant decline.
#BTCPredictedNewATH
#BTCUptober
#LearnTogether
#InvestSmartly
$BTC #bitcoin☀️
In this analysis of the BTC/USDT chart on the 3-day timeframe, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on key technical indicators:
50 MA Breakout: The price has recently approached the 50-period moving average (MA), which acts as a significant dynamic resistance level. If the price successfully breaks above the 50 MA and sustains this level on a 3-day close, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward bullish market sentiment. Historically, moving average crossovers often lead to substantial price movements, particularly in larger timeframes like this one.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart incorporates Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly focusing on the 0.236 level at approximately $63,294. A clean break and hold above this level would reinforce bullish momentum, as this retracement zone often serves as a critical resistance point after a market pullback. Breaking this level could signal that the correction phase is over, with the bulls regaining control.
Potential Upside to $74K: Once the price clears the 0.236 Fibo level, the next significant resistance would likely come from the previous all-time highs near $74,000. A breakout from current levels could generate enough bullish momentum to push the price toward these highs. The yellow arrow illustrates this expected price hike, assuming the necessary breakout occurs.
In summary, if the price confirms a breakout above the 50 MA and 0.236 Fibo level on the 3-day chart, the path toward $74K could open up. This potential rally is contingent on market sentiment remaining positive and the breakout being sustained.
In this analysis of the BTC/USDT chart on the 3-day timeframe, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on key technical indicators:
50 MA Breakout: The price has recently approached the 50-period moving average (MA), which acts as a significant dynamic resistance level. If the price successfully breaks above the 50 MA and sustains this level on a 3-day close, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward bullish market sentiment. Historically, moving average crossovers often lead to substantial price movements, particularly in larger timeframes like this one.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart incorporates Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly focusing on the 0.236 level at approximately $63,294. A clean break and hold above this level would reinforce bullish momentum, as this retracement zone often serves as a critical resistance point after a market pullback. Breaking this level could signal that the correction phase is over, with the bulls regaining control.
Potential Upside to $74K: Once the price clears the 0.236 Fibo level, the next significant resistance would likely come from the previous all-time highs near $74,000. A breakout from current levels could generate enough bullish momentum to push the price toward these highs. The yellow arrow illustrates this expected price hike, assuming the necessary breakout occurs.
In summary, if the price confirms a breakout above the 50 MA and 0.236 Fibo level on the 3-day chart, the path toward $74K could open up. This potential rally is contingent on market sentiment remaining positive and the breakout being sustained.
Fed did this ...For the first time in history
$btc #bitcoin
Many investors are currently anticipating a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), and there is a prevailing belief that such a move will lead to a significant market downturn. Historically, over the past 100 years, whenever the Fed has cut rates, it has typically been followed by a sharp decline in the markets. This pattern is well-documented, and past data supports this reaction.
However, it is crucial to recognize that this time could be different. The market’s reaction to a potential rate cut is likely to deviate from historical patterns, and in fact, we may witness a market surge in the short term. Why is this?
Historical Context: Rate Cuts and Recessions
In the past, every time the Fed cut rates, it was in response to economic conditions such as rising unemployment and the official declaration of a recession. In those cases, inflation was at its peak, and as the economy weakened, the markets followed suit by declining. Lowering interest rates was a tool to combat recession, but it came at a time when market sentiment was already bearish, and inflation had started to fall along with the markets.
The Current Situation: A Unique Scenario
Today, we are in uncharted territory. Inflation has been declining without the onset of a recession, something that has not happened in the past 100 years. The reason for this unique outcome lies in the aggressive actions taken by the Fed, which raised interest rates from near zero to 5.5% in a relatively short period—a historic increase of over 2200%. This has allowed the Fed to bring inflation down successfully without triggering a recession.
This is a significant deviation from historical precedent. In previous inflationary periods, the economy would often slide into recession as a natural outcome of rate hikes. However, the Fed’s unprecedented approach in this cycle has managed to tame inflation while keeping the economy from contracting into a recession.
The Implication for Markets
Given that the Fed has managed to lower inflation without inducing a recession, this time around, a rate cut could have the opposite effect on markets compared to what we’ve seen in the last century. Instead of signaling an economic slowdown or recession, a rate cut now could serve as a positive catalyst for markets in the short term. Investors may interpret this as a sign of stabilization rather than panic, causing a rally rather than a crash.
This insight comes after conducting deep research into 100 years of historical data, including a thorough comparison of recession rates, the strength of the dollar, interest rate changes, and market behavior. Leveraging artificial intelligence and options data, this analysis reveals how this current economic scenario is unlike anything we’ve seen before.
For the first time in history, inflation has dropped without the economy going into recession—a unique development that will likely impact investor sentiment and market movements in ways not seen in the past 100 years.
Many investors are currently anticipating a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), and there is a prevailing belief that such a move will lead to a significant market downturn. Historically, over the past 100 years, whenever the Fed has cut rates, it has typically been followed by a sharp decline in the markets. This pattern is well-documented, and past data supports this reaction.
However, it is crucial to recognize that this time could be different. The market’s reaction to a potential rate cut is likely to deviate from historical patterns, and in fact, we may witness a market surge in the short term. Why is this?
Historical Context: Rate Cuts and Recessions
In the past, every time the Fed cut rates, it was in response to economic conditions such as rising unemployment and the official declaration of a recession. In those cases, inflation was at its peak, and as the economy weakened, the markets followed suit by declining. Lowering interest rates was a tool to combat recession, but it came at a time when market sentiment was already bearish, and inflation had started to fall along with the markets.
The Current Situation: A Unique Scenario
Today, we are in uncharted territory. Inflation has been declining without the onset of a recession, something that has not happened in the past 100 years. The reason for this unique outcome lies in the aggressive actions taken by the Fed, which raised interest rates from near zero to 5.5% in a relatively short period—a historic increase of over 2200%. This has allowed the Fed to bring inflation down successfully without triggering a recession.
This is a significant deviation from historical precedent. In previous inflationary periods, the economy would often slide into recession as a natural outcome of rate hikes. However, the Fed’s unprecedented approach in this cycle has managed to tame inflation while keeping the economy from contracting into a recession.
The Implication for Markets
Given that the Fed has managed to lower inflation without inducing a recession, this time around, a rate cut could have the opposite effect on markets compared to what we’ve seen in the last century. Instead of signaling an economic slowdown or recession, a rate cut now could serve as a positive catalyst for markets in the short term. Investors may interpret this as a sign of stabilization rather than panic, causing a rally rather than a crash.
This insight comes after conducting deep research into 100 years of historical data, including a thorough comparison of recession rates, the strength of the dollar, interest rate changes, and market behavior. Leveraging artificial intelligence and options data, this analysis reveals how this current economic scenario is unlike anything we’ve seen before.
For the first time in history, inflation has dropped without the economy going into recession—a unique development that will likely impact investor sentiment and market movements in ways not seen in the past 100 years.
$BTC $BNB 🥳🥳
🚨 Urgent: According to the official website of the U.S. Federal Bureau of Prisons, the founder of Binance platform (@cz_binance) will be released from prison next week on September 29, 2024.
🚨 Urgent: According to the official website of the U.S. Federal Bureau of Prisons, the founder of Binance platform (@cz_binance) will be released from prison next week on September 29, 2024.
#Bitcoin $BTC between September and October above 75k for new all time highs ...!!
Remember me 🤗
#Cryptomirc
Remember me 🤗
#Cryptomirc
$BTC $AVAX $ZRO
I've witnessed China banning mining, yet I'm still here.
I’ve endured the global pandemic lockdown, and I'm still here.
I’ve survived the FTX disaster, and I'm still here.
I’ve seen Tesla halt Bitcoin payments, and I'm still here.
I’ve watched inflation soar to 9%, yet I'm still here.
I’ve seen banks fall like dominoes, and I’m still here.
I’ve experienced a historic 2000% surge in interest rates, from 0% to 5.5%, the biggest Federal Reserve hike ever—and yet, I'm still here.
Through every storm, every market shake, and every disaster, Bitcoin remains standing—and so do I.
And now, as I stand at the edge of the next wave, I'm patiently waiting for what could be the last, massive altcoin bull run.
I've witnessed China banning mining, yet I'm still here.
I’ve endured the global pandemic lockdown, and I'm still here.
I’ve survived the FTX disaster, and I'm still here.
I’ve seen Tesla halt Bitcoin payments, and I'm still here.
I’ve watched inflation soar to 9%, yet I'm still here.
I’ve seen banks fall like dominoes, and I’m still here.
I’ve experienced a historic 2000% surge in interest rates, from 0% to 5.5%, the biggest Federal Reserve hike ever—and yet, I'm still here.
Through every storm, every market shake, and every disaster, Bitcoin remains standing—and so do I.
And now, as I stand at the edge of the next wave, I'm patiently waiting for what could be the last, massive altcoin bull run.
Gold peak Vs $BTC last bull run phase
Gold Price Analysis and Future Projection
This chart compares gold prices with another relevant market index, highlighting key inflection points where significant changes in the price direction occurred. The analysis focuses on the following key points:
Gold Peak Identification:
The chart shows a well-defined gold peak around August 2020 (highlighted in yellow). Historically, these peaks represent moments when gold reaches its highest value before a market correction begins. The drop in prices from this peak aligns with other market trends, indicating an overbought condition.
Price Action Correlation:
By examining historical data, it becomes evident that gold prices follow a repetitive cycle of reaching a peak and then correcting downward. This pattern suggests that gold has periodic peaks followed by corrections, which are visually represented by the downward yellow arrows.
Current Positioning:
As of the present moment, the chart indicates that we are looking for a new gold peak. The sharp upward movement in the blue trendline suggests that the price of gold may once again test higher levels. This could potentially mark a new peak similar to the one seen in 2020.
Future Projections:
The analysis predicts that gold may experience another upward surge, as indicated by the green arrows, but is expected to face a correction once again. This projection suggests that gold could potentially rise to new highs in the near term before retracing back to a long-term support level, shown by the ascending green trendline at the bottom of the chart.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The green trendlines provide a clear indication of the long-term support and resistance levels for gold. The lower trendline suggests that any downward movement will likely find support around the $2,000 mark, while the upper line signals resistance, possibly leading to a breakout if conditions align.
Gold Price Analysis and Future Projection
This chart compares gold prices with another relevant market index, highlighting key inflection points where significant changes in the price direction occurred. The analysis focuses on the following key points:
Gold Peak Identification:
The chart shows a well-defined gold peak around August 2020 (highlighted in yellow). Historically, these peaks represent moments when gold reaches its highest value before a market correction begins. The drop in prices from this peak aligns with other market trends, indicating an overbought condition.
Price Action Correlation:
By examining historical data, it becomes evident that gold prices follow a repetitive cycle of reaching a peak and then correcting downward. This pattern suggests that gold has periodic peaks followed by corrections, which are visually represented by the downward yellow arrows.
Current Positioning:
As of the present moment, the chart indicates that we are looking for a new gold peak. The sharp upward movement in the blue trendline suggests that the price of gold may once again test higher levels. This could potentially mark a new peak similar to the one seen in 2020.
Future Projections:
The analysis predicts that gold may experience another upward surge, as indicated by the green arrows, but is expected to face a correction once again. This projection suggests that gold could potentially rise to new highs in the near term before retracing back to a long-term support level, shown by the ascending green trendline at the bottom of the chart.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The green trendlines provide a clear indication of the long-term support and resistance levels for gold. The lower trendline suggests that any downward movement will likely find support around the $2,000 mark, while the upper line signals resistance, possibly leading to a breakout if conditions align.
Fed did this ...For the first time in history
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Many investors are currently anticipating a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), and there is a prevailing belief that such a move will lead to a significant market downturn. Historically, over the past 100 years, whenever the Fed has cut rates, it has typically been followed by a sharp decline in the markets. This pattern is well-documented, and past data supports this reaction.
However, it is crucial to recognize that this time could be different. The market’s reaction to a
Many investors are currently anticipating a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), and there is a prevailing belief that such a move will lead to a significant market downturn. Historically, over the past 100 years, whenever the Fed has cut rates, it has typically been followed by a sharp decline in the markets. This pattern is well-documented, and past data supports this reaction.
However, it is crucial to recognize that this time could be different. The market’s reaction to a