Sol takes profit at the speed of light. When the next wave reaches around 230, take profit at 25% and keep the remaining 5%. In case you sell out, at least you still have some position to comfort yourself. Hahahahahaha

Sol is so strong, I will take another 20% profit near 218. I will let go of my greed and take profit at the right time. I am so happy. I hope there will be a chance to get on the train when the market is pulled back, otherwise I will feel bad if I miss out.

Sol has taken half of the profit at this position, and will take most of the profit near 230, and wait for an opportunity to enter again. At present, it is a large range of fluctuations. I will do range trading. I hope the main rising wave of the cottage can wait for me.

Pure Technical Analysis
Bitcoin has just closed the monthly line, with a small bearish candle. There may be a pullback this month, likely leading to range-bound fluctuations. The weekly chart shows that bearish strength is weakening; currently, it appears to be in a large range-bound pattern.
For altcoins, taking Solana as an example, the monthly chart shows a medium bearish candle, which is more than half of last month's bullish candle. Over the past two months, it seems to be in a large range-bound pattern. The weekly chart shows a small bullish candle, which is contrary to Bitcoin's bearish trend, indicating that altcoins are at a phase of bottoming out. The daily chart shows a large triangle converging, which basically confirms the daily bottom.

Currently, I hold a large position in Solana, planning to sell half near 209 during a rebound, and will reassess the market conditions afterward.

Today, reflecting on the pain, I listened to a brother's suggestion in yesterday's comment section: it's true that I can't always catch the bottom, so I will gradually add to my positions. I have indeed been too greedy; both catching the bottom and trying to escape at the top are manifestations of greed. It's better to capture profits that suit my abilities.

Currently, I am only trading SOL, as having too many coins spreads my focus too thin.

There have been several large bearish candles on the weekly chart. Last week closed bullish, and the larger range is basically set. I have a significant position and will exit completely upon a rebound. If the V-shaped recovery breaks the previous high, I will wait for a pullback to re-enter. If it drops back, I will still buy around the current price. If it breaks down further, I will hold on and wait for a rebound to exit at the breakeven price.

This time, I will strictly follow my strategy and cannot act on whims anymore.

What am I panicking about? It's clearly a good position, the daily chart has diverged, just hold on honestly, don't move, I can't keep staring at the big pie.

Let's adjust the position to 60%, I was hasty just now, let's add to the position at the recent low.

Thinking about it, I've still reduced most of my positions, and now I only have a profit of over 10,000 US dollars left. Let's be more cautious.

It seems that I will still go in the worst direction I predicted some time ago, and I will have to bear floating losses for a period of time.

The probability of Bitcoin is still going to go to the range of 80,000 to 90,000. The consolidation should be similar to the decline adjustment in early January. Shanzhai still has a 10 to 20% correction at the current price, but 90% of my positions are already in place, and I also follow my own exit rules. If Bitcoin closes in a cross or a small negative line on the monthly line, I will consider running early. If it closes in a larger negative line or a positive line, I will hold it and I will fill the full position when it goes down.

According to the current situation, the consolidation may last until Trump takes office. Recently, Bitcoin should fall back first and then fluctuate upward. Shanzhai will make a double bottom on the weekly line, and then start to rise around the New Year.

I have to wait and see. I have been reading books recently.

Bitcoin weekly small downtrend, bearish strength is weakening, but still holds the upper hand. It hasn't broken the lower edge of the range, still in a large range of fluctuations, but the expected monthly outlook is not very good, possibly heading to the 80,000 range.
Altcoin large range triangle convergence, it may directly break upwards or may break down to the low point of the previous two weeks, and then go up again.

Currently, it is a conflicting range between Bitcoin and altcoins, let's wait quietly.

The altcoin weekly seems to be much stronger than Bitcoin, suddenly I feel that altcoins are about to rise again, giving me the confidence to hold on a bit longer.

If the monthly line closes like this, I'm a bit afraid to play.

It just fell very fast, and I added back the 10% that I had reduced my position. This time, I can feel that the altcoin is a little tougher than Bitcoin. If nothing unexpected happens, a big one may really come, but for now, we still have to watch the consolidation. I hope Bitcoin can close with a good-looking monthly line, otherwise I’m really a little panicked 🥹

I just looked at the monthly chart of Bitcoin, and there are 6 days left for the close. If the bull trend is still in play, it’s best to close with a bullish candle, ideally with a closing price higher than the previous high. Next month may see a significant increase. If it closes with a small bearish candle or a doji, I will be very concerned, as there is a possibility that spot trading will all run away. If it closes with a large bearish candle, I will hold on, as it could be a monthly level fluctuation.

From my current perspective, the bullish candle's body is quite small, indicating a significant weakening of the bullish momentum. If there isn’t a strong bullish force forming a robust monthly candle body in the coming days, it is highly likely that most of my spot trading will also exit next month.

The most optimistic prediction right now is a slow oscillation and rise from now until the end of the month, closing with a decent monthly candle. Currently, this seems quite possible. A double bottom is forming on the 4-hour chart, and the current consolidation is likely to move upwards. It all depends on how strong the monthly candle can close, as this will determine how long I hold my spot trading.

There isn't much market activity, so I’m making some of my own predictions. The outcome will likely be clear next month.

All positions of the altcoins have reduced by 10%, this time I am stable

If you can't understand the current market at a small level, don't do it. In fact, it is very simple. The weekly chart shows that there will be fluctuations in the next few weeks. Short-term contracts are low and high, and they are traded according to the range. I haven't done short-term trading recently. I have been struggling with when to enter the spot altcoin.

In fact, it really tests human nature. You can feel how entangled I am by looking at my posts. I am trading in real time. I also want to make money, but I am afraid that there will be further declines. In the end, I made a decision based on my own situation.

This morning, I had a full position in the altcoin. If it rebounds to 0.618 and 0.382, I will reduce my position by 10-20%, leaving some funds to enter again if the altcoin falls back to the support level. If it goes up directly (it is highly unlikely), I will put it in financial management

Let me explain why I am fully invested in this wave.

First of all, Bitcoin has strong support between 85,000 and 90,000. I was hesitant to take a large position earlier because altcoins showed no signs of stopping their decline. While Bitcoin experienced a slight drop, altcoins were crashing. Currently, altcoins have rebounded significantly.

Second, if this wave resembles the pullback adjustment from earlier this year, altcoins likely won't drop too much in this period. So if Bitcoin falls back to the 85,000 to 90,000 range, my spot investment would only be about a 15% loss, which is preferable to missing out entirely. If Bitcoin undergoes sideways consolidation, altcoins will likely be at their bottom, making this position a reasonable choice, hence my full investment.

Third, Bitcoin is currently showing bottom divergence on the 8-hour and 6-hour charts. Although it may continue to drop, this indicates that this wave is nearing its end, with strong support around 85,000 to 90,000. This serves as my last line of defense, and if the daily candlestick breaks below, I may choose to stop-loss on my spot investment.

Fourth, I expect this Bitcoin adjustment to last another 2 to 3 weeks, which coincides with Trump's time in office. I anticipate emotional and policy-driven rallies, so it's a good time to enter. Conservative friends can place limit orders near the current bottom of altcoins; there is a high probability of further range-bound fluctuations.

If this wave takes off, it could be the largest one in 2025. This time, I've learned from the previous wave's lesson to take profits in a timely manner, abandon fantasies, secure profits, and move forward steadily.

After thinking for a long time, I have fully invested in this position. There may be a better position later, but I don’t want to miss it. If there is a pullback, a floating loss of about 20% of the full position is acceptable.

Bitcoin's 6-hour and 8-hour MACD have both shown bullish divergence. If it’s not the bottom now, it’s not far from it, so altcoins are becoming stronger.

Bitcoin increased its position to 65%, altcoins increased to 80%, and the total position is currently around 70%. If there is further decline, we may enter again, or wait for Bitcoin to build a bottom on the daily chart before entering on the right side.

The weekly chart has closed, and currently, the bullish strength is weakening. It is expected to have a large range fluctuation in the coming weeks, with the bottom currently seen around 90,000.

Yesterday, some brothers were worried that I was bottom fishing at halfway up the mountain. I would also like to mention that my total position in Bitcoin is 18%, and in altcoins, it is 24%. My position is a maximum of 60% in Bitcoin and 40% in altcoins. Based on the current situation, with altcoins dropping 50%, I am only down 12%, which is acceptable for me.

In this market, I suggest everyone control their position ratios well. Firstly, the bullish targets on the weekly and monthly charts have not been achieved yet, so it will definitely go up. The weekly chart is currently in a large range fluctuation, so the best strategy is to enter at lower prices. I will enter the next wave around 90,000 in Bitcoin.