Never expected this to be the lowest point in the past few days.

A downturn is suitable for changing positions; the withdrawn liquidity will affect the vast majority of CEX tokens, ignoring the fundamentals of any project, with very few new coins not considered.

Before the decline, you need to have a personal watchlist of coins you can buy. Swap out those that decline less with low volatility for those with more expected rebounds. Before any rebound, no one knows which ones will have high rebound expectations, but generally, there are still a few main lines in the market.

Defi, especially WLFI-related Defi and Grayscale's Defi index.

New coins, trading actively with quick rebounds.

Choose those with expectations and potential announcements; choose those you have confidence in holding after buying; choose those that others will buy after you.

Go where fewer people are, buy coins that others dare not buy.

Expectations should be compared to the overall positions that have not changed rather than the coins with the best rebounds in the market.

What if you change incorrectly? Let the bullets fly for a while! Give yourself confidence!

#加密市场反弹 #PCE通胀降温 #USUAL走势分析 #比特币市场波动观察 #比特币战略储备

Next January's second exploration is the last chance for market adjustment. If there is a pullback, boldly buy the dip, and don't miss the opportunity to wash the盘. The bulls have been cleaned up.

The altcoin season is on the way, and BTC's market cap ratio on the daily chart has already reached the top. This is a precursor to the rise of Ethereum's altcoins, with Ethereum leading the altcoins to gradually strengthen.

1: Bitcoin had a net outflow of $204 million last night, while Ethereum had a net inflow of $28 million last night, indicating that funds are starting to return to Ethereum.
2: The current rebound may be a B-wave rebound, and it is expected that after a rebound near 100,000, there will be another decline 📉. This decline is also the last adjustment, expected in January.
3: Pay more attention to which coins Grayscale is increasing its holdings in, and position yourself in advance, like yesterday's Zen, as Grayscale has been buying continuously.

#加密市场反弹 #PCE通胀降温 #USUAL走势分析 #比特币市场波动观察 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC

In recent days, the market has plummeted alongside Bitcoin, almost like a merciless meat grinder. As early as December 17th, I warned everyone that the market might need to adjust, and technically there were signs of decline. I also advised everyone not to open contracts. Those who took this advice should have avoided this major drop. So, what will happen next in the market? Let me briefly share my thoughts; if you're interested, take a look. This is just my personal opinion and not investment advice!!

This significant drop has many reasons. Over at the Federal Reserve, old Powell said that they can't buy Bitcoin and don't want to change the laws, which has doused the market with cold water. Also, those who made money before now want to withdraw their funds and secure their profits. Additionally, we can't rule out the possibility of large holders deliberately suppressing small retail investors. But to be honest, even though this drop was sharp, going from 108,000 to 92,280 is still less than a 15% decline, which is relatively mild. Many altcoins have been halved, like Dogecoin $DOGE, which fell from 0.48 all the way down to 0.262, and that is truly devastating, a drop of 45%! Just think about the last adjustment when Bitcoin dropped from 73,777 to 49,000; that was a heart-stopping decline, and that extent was frightening.

Now, Bitcoin seems to have stabilized a bit, rebounding to around 97,000. I estimate that over the weekend, the market will fluctuate back and forth around this level, consolidating a bit. At this time, it's not suitable to make random moves, but if you think the price is right, buying some spot to hold could also be a good choice.

$BNB has also dropped significantly, falling from a high of 793 to around 620, a decline of about 21%. However, as a mainstream coin, it has shown good resilience. If you are good at spot quantitative trading, operating back and forth at this time might still yield some profits.

The steps to launch a project:

1. A few people come together to discuss a concept
2. Fundraising begins to attract people to the platform
3. Create a false prosperity in the supply chain
4. Launch tokens to attract users for buying in
5. Sell off, exchange for yachts, luxury homes, villas
6. The remaining tokens are gradually unlocked over several years to collect welfare
7. Change the concept and do it again
8. Once the selling is completed, on-chain active users are in double digits
9. Occasionally come out to brainwash you: our project's goal is to change the world, in the end, the investors find that the world has not changed, only the wallets of the big players have changed, while we have indeed emptied our wallets for their so-called 'dreams' of change.

When coming to the crypto space, don’t talk to me about changing the world; if you hear that phrase, you can block them.

We are here to make money, not to change the world. The things that truly change the world will not happen in the crypto space, like Musk's Starlink, brain-machine interfaces, and catgirl robots.

We just want a relatively fair asset issuance method and protocol. Although I know there is no absolute fairness, at least you should show us a relative 'fairness', right? Even if you don't support it, there's no need to suppress it, right?

POW, BRC20, and RUNES are the few protocols I currently find to be the fairest. One represented by Bitcoin as POW, and two represented by BTC native assets: BRC20 and the RUNES protocol.

The preaching has been going on for a long time. Now about half of the people basically despise VC tokens, and very few new users will buy them, even if you keep pushing. Because everyone knows what the ultimate fate is.

If three years later someone suddenly brings up that there was a person on Twitter continuously advising everyone not to buy VC tokens, always talking about what a fair launch protocol is, I wonder how that person is doing now. That would be enough for me...

DOGE:

Attention Dogecoin fans! Is Dogecoin about to become 'scarce'? One of the founders of Dogecoin, Billy Markus, has made a statement that has shaken the entire cryptocurrency space! We need to talk about the story behind this.

'Scarce' sounds quite mysterious, but simply put, it means that Dogecoin is going to become rare. Billy Markus has proposed a plan to make the supply of Dogecoin no longer as 'generous' as it is now. First, those big-name programmers need to tweak some settings on GitHub. Then, the community members and miners need to come to a consensus, after all, Dogecoin is something we all play with together.

Currently, the total amount of Dogecoin is as high as 100 billion, and 5 billion will be added each year. Although the new amount is fixed, in relation to the total supply, the proportion will slowly decrease. This is different from Bitcoin, which has a total cap, while Dogecoin can theoretically continue to increase indefinitely. However, Billy Markus also mentioned that the rules for Bitcoin can be changed too; these blockchain things are quite flexible. He even predicted that the design of Dogecoin might be more reliable than government-issued currency in the future!

Imagine if Dogecoin really becomes scarce; the Dogecoin we hold could become more precious. Of course, whether this plan can succeed depends on whether the community and miners agree. But in any case, this is a topic worth our attention.

What do you think about the future of Dogecoin? Are you optimistic about its transformation into scarcity, or do you think it's just an unattainable dream? Come and share your thoughts in the comments! Don't forget to like and comment, keep up with my pace, and let's explore the world of cryptocurrency together!

#PCE通胀降温 #比特币市场波动观察 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #圣诞行情预测 #灰度SUI信托基金

Many people have lost money in the past few months. There are three main reasons:
1. BTC has been shorted all the way, and the position has been blown up or there is serious resistance to orders
2. All positions are in garbage altcoins, and several waves of switching have been slapped in the face, and multiple stop losses
3. Heavy positions are rushed into memes, especially some new meme coins, and several waves of 70% meat cuts
Buffett once said that if you don’t want to hold a stock for ten years, then don’t hold it for a day. If a coin has no logic for long-term holding, it is very likely to be cut by short-term participation in the game. If you make long-term investments, these coins are far inferior to Bitcoin and Ethereum, and are not as good as the leaders of major sectors. Therefore, some garbage altcoins have no investment and trading value. It is the best choice not to touch them for a long time, otherwise there will be a risk of missing the bull market#比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC

This wave of BTC dropped from 100,000 to 92,000. The bears are those who missed the opportunity between 70,000 and 100,000. A 10,000 USD pullback does not have much appeal for this group of people who missed out. If BTC can reach 80,000 USD, the biggest possibility is a bear market. Hold onto your chips while in the vehicle. The BTC weekly chart is consolidating after a wave; everything is adjusting within a reasonable range.
Continue to ignore these idiots doing short analyses; they will only disrupt your confidence in holding.
Trading sentiment cycle: bullish wait-and-see period, FOMO chasing high period. This really tests human nature. We are not yet in the FOMO chasing high period, so don’t rush to sell your cheap chips; #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #USUAL走势分析 #圣诞行情预测

In a floating profit position, always close the position at the cost level as soon as possible, take partial profits nearby, and then think about the overall strategy. This way, sometimes the profit-taking point may not be reached, and the floating profit can quickly turn into a floating loss. Generally, I take profits in batches every day here, with a small interval, aiming to secure profits timely. The profit-taking point is usually locked at three, also referencing short-term resistance. I do not intentionally emphasize short-selling, as some people might see the words 'short-selling' and make it their main strategy, which can lead to disastrous consequences in a bull market. I have mentioned a method multiple times: use short-selling as a secondary strategy, and for every 3,000 points rise above 100,000, you can short 2% each time, accumulating to a position of 8-10%, with the average price also in a high position advantage range. This ensures that there will be a decent pullback providing profit-taking opportunities; this is the best hedging strategy. In a bull market, rely on nurturing the short position, nurturing it for ten days, and take profits for a moment. Thinking about shorting after a decline to the mid-bottom is meaningless and carries high risks.

If I were the one in charge:
A bull market is imminent, it can't drop
If it really crashes, it will just send out chips, the buying pressure is too strong
Leverage hasn't cleared, what to do?
If I were the trader, I would just take a shot💉
And then instantly push it up high.
A big drop is unlikely, brothers, pay attention to the risks of taking a shot
Try to stick to spot trading, maximize the margin on contract positions #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析

Secondary Trading:
1. Do not touch contracts, do not touch contracts, do not touch contracts! Unless your secondary trading master gives the nod, or you have complete experience in bull and bear markets, otherwise do not touch contracts. 🚫
2. Do you know why there is a 1? The so-called bull market is when you hold spot assets and can still reach a market that makes you question your life. 💹
3. The cycle is the greatest force, and trends are irresistible tides. The essence of many get-rich-quick myths in the crypto world is the influx of high liquidity into low liquidity assets. You should make money by following the trend and exploring the money brought by the essence of this circle. 💯
4. No matter when, you should always have 20% of your position untouched; this is your life-saving money. The remaining 80% of your position, when fully invested, should keep BTC at 50% to 60%, and only 20% to 30% can be altcoins. This is a rule that must be followed in cryptocurrency position management. #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察 #PCE通胀降温

The current rebound is also caused by the fourth downward oversold after three sideways trading. The short-term short-sellers here are obviously suppressed. It is just a rebound after the downward jump, not a sustainable pull-up. The chips received by the second support level in the previous article are currently profitable. It is recommended to sell first. After the new chips and other internal levels are repeated twice, they will go out of the bottom pattern or the second new low before entering.
Short-term support 3261~3216 (watch the market, fast in and fast out), second support 3004~2928, short-term suppression 3468~3527, neckline suppression 3686~3603 (the first time to the vicinity, the chips that were locked in the early stage should be sold first), #比特币战略储备 #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温

Tonight's PCE and core PCE data both fell short of expectations, especially the core PCE month-on-month rate of 0.1%, which is far below the previous value of 0.3%, alleviating some market concerns about a persistent rebound in inflation. It reminds me of the ISM non-manufacturing data on August 5th at 8:30 PM, when the PMI data exceeded both the previous value and expectations, pulling the market back from a tumultuous state.

If you really don't know how to cut losses, you can follow my judgment method. See the video for details (34/100).
We pay close attention to three aspects:
One is the trend;
One is the support and resistance levels.
One is setting the best time to cut losses, which is at the moment you enter the market. During this wave, many people face liquidation and can’t cut losses in time. Those who are overly invested are reluctant to take the loss, caught in a dilemma.
We know that trends are composed of a series of highs and lows: here the high points are resistance and the low points are support. For a trend to continue, it must break through (or fall below) the previous resistance (support). We should cut losses immediately after the breakout (or breakdown). 👇👇#圣诞行情预测 #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察

The currency circle "slow rise and sharp fall", how will it usually go in the future?
Generally, it appears in the rebound or trend reversal rising stage, which is a typical bull market wash-out technique.
A coin has finally risen for a few days, and suddenly fell sharply in one day. The rise of a few days is not enough to fall in one day. In this way, most novices and those with poor tolerance will obediently hand over their chips;
After the decline stops and stabilizes, it will start to rise slowly. Generally, the stock price will hit a new high again. When it reaches a certain height and there are many follow-up orders, the main funds will repeat the old trick again and kill the car on the way up. Generally, this kind of decline is characterized by fast speed and short time.
Sometimes in just a few days, the market will fall by 5%-10%, and sometimes it will be 15%-20% for a long time; but generally it will be adjusted to the maximum limit with important support lines.
Finally: Do you have anything to say to Powell? #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析 #币安Alpha项目公布

Around 100,000 is a watershed.
The demand control on the left side of 100,000 is very strong, rising steadily, without extremely fast V-reversals
There are no frequent pins.
On the right side of 100,000, there are frequent AV reversals, and then large high-level pins at the 4-hour level
The V-reversal here is to cultivate the inertial thinking of leeks to take the plunge.
They will be complacent and think that they have copied the bottom.
They are accurate, the god of trading, calling the wind and rain, and enjoying the praise of leeks.
And now there is a smothering kill, and I find that why the V can't go up~#比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析

1. The altcoins that fell the most when BTC plummeted are usually the ones with the "worst consensus" (avoid these assets)
2. After the BTC plummeted and the altcoins plummeted, the ones that rebounded the most are usually the ones with the "strongest consensus" (choose these assets)
3. Don't be greedy when choosing assets, the strong will always be strong. (Unless there is a change in the underlying logic that changes the consensus that "this altcoin is strong", then you have to rethink your position configuration. For example, the inscriptions ordi and sats in the BTC ecosystem were originally the "strongest consensus" in Binance altcoins. After this wave of on-chain funds were transferred to sol meme, the inscriptions became the "weakest consensus")

#币安Alpha项目公布 #比特币市场波动观察 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #灰度SUI信托基金

This wave of squirrels should have educated many newcomers, and the three kings also taught the leeks a thorough lesson. Fortunately, I never bought the bottom again after the retail investors' climax. This month, the secondary large position was empty for more than half a month, and only the small position on the chain was wild. I don’t know how many people listened to it.

Next, you just need to find opportunities to make a small profit on the chain. I personally predict that the secondary liquidity will not be back until February. Continue to maintain the unity of knowledge and action. Pay more attention to the opportunities on the chain next, and I will try to share more opportunities on the chain

#USUAL持续飙升 #加密市场回调

Don't act rashly...
The coins on the layout map will all rise.
What you need to do is not to switch to coins that are rising.
Instead, hold on tight to those that haven't risen.
My investment mentality is very stable: the worst outcome is zero.
If I can accept this, who in the crypto world can hurt me?
What is human nature?
Human nature is that in a bear market, people think Bitcoin is too expensive, feeling it won't rise several times, and then they turn around and buy altcoins.
When they see Bitcoin skyrocketing, they regret not putting all their funds into Bitcoin and question the altcoin season.
Later, when they sell altcoins, all kinds of altcoins dance wildly...

To succeed in investing, you must understand human nature and also go against it.
No one can casually succeed in investing; even the simplest strategy of holding steady is something few can stick to for 4 years.
Which will rise next? Which will fall? Only heaven knows, but definitely don't keep switching back and forth, and absolutely don't chase rises or panic sell, it's a major taboo! Those who violate it will be mercilessly punished! (by the market)
Investing requires a certain level of self-discipline.
As long as your discipline is strong, even Satoshi Nakamoto has to listen to you.
In the end: hold on tightly, don't switch if it doesn't rise! The altcoin season is coming soon!
#USUAL持续飙升 #加密市场回调 #比特币战略储备 #灰度SUI信托基金

vana: Let's see if we can find a bottom here. The market sentiment and market conditions are not good now. We can only wait for a definite opportunity to enter.
doge: After breaking below 0.34 in the short term, 0.26 below is the big support. It is not suitable for the time being in the process of adjustment.
kaia: 0.2 is a short-term support. If the chips are at a low position, you can hold it.
pepe: 14-15 is the support point of the daily rising trend. The probability of stabilizing at this position in the later period is relatively high. #USUAL持续飙升 #比特币市场波动观察 #比特币战略储备 #灰度SUI信托基金 #市场调整後的机会？