LIVE
比特币走势
@Square-Creator-88888888
中长线分析判断比特币走势，仅供娱乐。
Following
Followers
Liked
Shared
See original
PINNED
Will this time be an exception to the trend after liquidity drying up in history?
1. The top of the Mavericks in June 2019
The data in the chart is not recorded, but it was exhausted at that time, and then a weekly downward correction was made. It matches the line.
2. The peak of the calf in February 2020
Regardless of the tight capital situation, the market was forced to the peak. However, the outbreak of the epidemic led to a sharp correction below the 312-week line.
3. The bull peak in February 21
As the epidemic began, the Federal Reserve flooded the market with money, and Bitcoin rose to 58. At this time, liquidity dried up again, and then it fell back to the lower track of the 519-week line.
Fourth, the second top in November 21
This time the liquidity was not used up, which was related to the tightening of the Federal Reserve's policy. After that, the bull market was interrupted and entered a bear market, repeatedly falling below the lower track of the weekly line.
The data in the chart is not recorded, but it was exhausted at that time, and then a weekly downward correction was made. It matches the line.
2. The peak of the calf in February 2020
Regardless of the tight capital situation, the market was forced to the peak. However, the outbreak of the epidemic led to a sharp correction below the 312-week line.
3. The bull peak in February 21
As the epidemic began, the Federal Reserve flooded the market with money, and Bitcoin rose to 58. At this time, liquidity dried up again, and then it fell back to the lower track of the 519-week line.
Fourth, the second top in November 21
This time the liquidity was not used up, which was related to the tightening of the Federal Reserve's policy. After that, the bull market was interrupted and entered a bear market, repeatedly falling below the lower track of the weekly line.
See original
PINNED
The follow-up trend after this round of doubling market.
One, from 15 to 31, underwent a weekly-level pullback.
Just right for a double increase.
Two, from 25 to 49, followed by a three-day level pullback.
The increase is nearly close to double.
Three, from 385 to 737, followed by repeated weekly-level pullbacks.
This time the increase is not double, falling short by more than three thousand points.
Four, from 49 to the current 88, unsure if it's a peak, but it's almost there, at most reaching 93 or 94, then at least a repeated oscillation downwards, making a three-day line pullback.
Due to decreasing gains, there will not be another increase of more than double, and liquidity is insufficient, so proportionally, it might finally reach around 93? Currently in a peak state.
Just right for a double increase.
Two, from 25 to 49, followed by a three-day level pullback.
The increase is nearly close to double.
Three, from 385 to 737, followed by repeated weekly-level pullbacks.
This time the increase is not double, falling short by more than three thousand points.
Four, from 49 to the current 88, unsure if it's a peak, but it's almost there, at most reaching 93 or 94, then at least a repeated oscillation downwards, making a three-day line pullback.
Due to decreasing gains, there will not be another increase of more than double, and liquidity is insufficient, so proportionally, it might finally reach around 93? Currently in a peak state.
See original
Daily chart shows
the bottom is rising quickly
Pullback to the lower track
is estimated to be above eighty thousand
No matter what
just participate in the rebound at a low position
The earliest will be around December 7th
$BTC
the bottom is rising quickly
Pullback to the lower track
is estimated to be above eighty thousand
No matter what
just participate in the rebound at a low position
The earliest will be around December 7th
$BTC
See original
So many people are bottom fishing?
That's bad
The four-hour chart is almost breaking down
Due to the eight-hour rebound
Here, the four-hour chart is the last checkpoint
If it can't hold, then it's a daily pullback
Attention ⚠️
The bottom line of 955 cannot be broken
$BTC
That's bad
The four-hour chart is almost breaking down
Due to the eight-hour rebound
Here, the four-hour chart is the last checkpoint
If it can't hold, then it's a daily pullback
Attention ⚠️
The bottom line of 955 cannot be broken
$BTC
See original
Short-term bottom fishing is just betting on a rebound
Exit near the previous high
Still looking at a downward adjustment in the medium term
I still remember in April when it was 67
Bottom fishing at the four-hour lower band
Entered with three times leverage
Then got trapped alive 🤪
Everyone pay attention to safety
$BTC
Exit near the previous high
Still looking at a downward adjustment in the medium term
I still remember in April when it was 67
Bottom fishing at the four-hour lower band
Entered with three times leverage
Then got trapped alive 🤪
Everyone pay attention to safety
$BTC
See original
Short-term
Finally in place in four hours
Can try to rebound
I am quite entangled with this position
I still hold the short position
Pay attention to stop loss when buying at the bottom, and run when you make a profit
Just try to rebound on Monday and Tuesday
That's all! $BTC
Finally in place in four hours
Can try to rebound
I am quite entangled with this position
I still hold the short position
Pay attention to stop loss when buying at the bottom, and run when you make a profit
Just try to rebound on Monday and Tuesday
That's all! $BTC
See original
Some people question why to short Bitcoin?
The Daoist will answer you
First, there has never been a situation where there is only an increase without a decrease; this has been the case since Bitcoin's inception.
The current upward cycle is about over, it should take a break, and the overall environment has not fundamentally improved.
Second, shorting is just a light play, not betting one's entire fortune; if the situation is not right, just admit defeat, nothing to worry about, the losses are not big and manageable.
Third, compared to other altcoins that can multiply several times, shorting Bitcoin is relatively safer, even though it is very strong and will not 📉 drop too much.
In summary, it’s just for fun to short it.
Remember, when it drops to the right level, still buy the dip to go long; I am not a die-hard bear 🤪
That's all! $BTC
The Daoist will answer you
First, there has never been a situation where there is only an increase without a decrease; this has been the case since Bitcoin's inception.
The current upward cycle is about over, it should take a break, and the overall environment has not fundamentally improved.
Second, shorting is just a light play, not betting one's entire fortune; if the situation is not right, just admit defeat, nothing to worry about, the losses are not big and manageable.
Third, compared to other altcoins that can multiply several times, shorting Bitcoin is relatively safer, even though it is very strong and will not 📉 drop too much.
In summary, it’s just for fun to short it.
Remember, when it drops to the right level, still buy the dip to go long; I am not a die-hard bear 🤪
That's all! $BTC
See original
Just arrived and the golden snake's luck has ended
Next year will be exactly 2025, the Year of the Snake
The people's livelihood in the country is bleak
Various industries are not thriving
Incidents occur one after another in various places
Recently, there is a tendency to escalate
With Trump taking office
This situation will further intensify
Ultimately forcing a change in the political system
So how to respond?
Everyone should try to hold onto Bitcoin
As a store of value
If that doesn't work
You should also hold onto USDT
This is the best way for ordinary people to resist
In the midst of a major shift in the times!
That's all!
$BTC
Next year will be exactly 2025, the Year of the Snake
The people's livelihood in the country is bleak
Various industries are not thriving
Incidents occur one after another in various places
Recently, there is a tendency to escalate
With Trump taking office
This situation will further intensify
Ultimately forcing a change in the political system
So how to respond?
Everyone should try to hold onto Bitcoin
As a store of value
If that doesn't work
You should also hold onto USDT
This is the best way for ordinary people to resist
In the midst of a major shift in the times!
That's all!
$BTC
See original
The bull market has about a year left
The foreseeable top is around two hundred thousand
So
There will be repeated washouts and fluctuations in between
Because we are already close to one hundred thousand
There is only about double the space upwards
One must have a clear positioning and understanding of the current situation
To avoid getting overly excited
And being too fomo
Remember, a doubling market only takes two to three months to be sufficient
$BTC
The foreseeable top is around two hundred thousand
So
There will be repeated washouts and fluctuations in between
Because we are already close to one hundred thousand
There is only about double the space upwards
One must have a clear positioning and understanding of the current situation
To avoid getting overly excited
And being too fomo
Remember, a doubling market only takes two to three months to be sufficient
$BTC
See original
Although I do not recommend knockoffs
But you can't just buy in after the rise
Once Bitcoin breaks 93
Quickly buy Doge Ada Uni Eth
Diversify and buy a little of each
This way, while Bitcoin is consolidating at a high level waiting for them to catch up
You can run away
Instead of chasing now
I'm done 🤪
$ADA
$DOGE
But you can't just buy in after the rise
Once Bitcoin breaks 93
Quickly buy Doge Ada Uni Eth
Diversify and buy a little of each
This way, while Bitcoin is consolidating at a high level waiting for them to catch up
You can run away
Instead of chasing now
I'm done 🤪
$ADA
$DOGE
See original
Let's talk about the funding situation tonight
1. US Stock ETF Funds
Continuous net inflow, ranging from hundreds of millions to billions every day
However, US stock funds involve both institutions and retail investors, and I generally believe they are not the main players
More like the leeks left for the main players to harvest
This can be seen from the previous six months of wash trading
Buying high and selling low
How long can we ride this wave this time?
2. Funds Entering Exchanges
Recently, there has been a continuous inflow of several billion US dollars into exchanges
There may be an opportunity for chasing the rise
Waiting for a big drop to buy the dip? I don't think that's very likely
Especially since a large amount of Bitcoin has recently been withdrawn from exchanges
It cannot be ruled out that these US dollars are responsible
Are these funds the actions of the main players?
I think not necessarily
If the main players want to manipulate the market, they wouldn't make such obvious moves
They would have been prepared long ago
It wouldn't be something done in a rush at the last minute 🤪
3. On-chain Whale Behavior
In the past few days
Small, medium, and large holders have been continuously selling
Whales have been consistently buying
The amount of holdings has reached a historical high
Especially for new entering whales
They account for 60%
It cannot be ruled out that they have jointly mastered the pricing power
In turn, putting pressure on the old whales
However, similarly, whether this is the action of the main players is unknown
If the main players' holdings are dispersed across small and medium addresses
And the whales cannot jointly control the market
They will also be unable to avoid the fate of being harvested by the main players
Comparing price trends and the amount of whale holdings, we can see
Although near the top of the bull market, as the price rises
Whales will also offload
But with each major drop
Whales will also sell
Therefore,
Not all whales are main players
That's all! $BTC
1. US Stock ETF Funds
Continuous net inflow, ranging from hundreds of millions to billions every day
However, US stock funds involve both institutions and retail investors, and I generally believe they are not the main players
More like the leeks left for the main players to harvest
This can be seen from the previous six months of wash trading
Buying high and selling low
How long can we ride this wave this time?
2. Funds Entering Exchanges
Recently, there has been a continuous inflow of several billion US dollars into exchanges
There may be an opportunity for chasing the rise
Waiting for a big drop to buy the dip? I don't think that's very likely
Especially since a large amount of Bitcoin has recently been withdrawn from exchanges
It cannot be ruled out that these US dollars are responsible
Are these funds the actions of the main players?
I think not necessarily
If the main players want to manipulate the market, they wouldn't make such obvious moves
They would have been prepared long ago
It wouldn't be something done in a rush at the last minute 🤪
3. On-chain Whale Behavior
In the past few days
Small, medium, and large holders have been continuously selling
Whales have been consistently buying
The amount of holdings has reached a historical high
Especially for new entering whales
They account for 60%
It cannot be ruled out that they have jointly mastered the pricing power
In turn, putting pressure on the old whales
However, similarly, whether this is the action of the main players is unknown
If the main players' holdings are dispersed across small and medium addresses
And the whales cannot jointly control the market
They will also be unable to avoid the fate of being harvested by the main players
Comparing price trends and the amount of whale holdings, we can see
Although near the top of the bull market, as the price rises
Whales will also offload
But with each major drop
Whales will also sell
Therefore,
Not all whales are main players
That's all! $BTC
See original
When the market reaches a certain stage
I will always have a clear bullish or bearish view
Unlike others, who may think it will drop
or may think it will rise
not excluding a sideways movement
I will be bullish at a certain position
and bearish if it breaks a certain position
Big names often analyze like this
But at this stage
I am clearly still bearish
Daily line pullback, rebound, then another daily line pullback, followed by a big rebound
So it's inevitable to offend many bulls
In fact, when I am strongly bullish, I will also offend many bears🤪
So, the position determines your attitude
I won't indulge you
Who gives a fuck🤪
My attitude is this clear, my style is like this
That's all!
$BTC
I will always have a clear bullish or bearish view
Unlike others, who may think it will drop
or may think it will rise
not excluding a sideways movement
I will be bullish at a certain position
and bearish if it breaks a certain position
Big names often analyze like this
But at this stage
I am clearly still bearish
Daily line pullback, rebound, then another daily line pullback, followed by a big rebound
So it's inevitable to offend many bulls
In fact, when I am strongly bullish, I will also offend many bears🤪
So, the position determines your attitude
I won't indulge you
Who gives a fuck🤪
My attitude is this clear, my style is like this
That's all!
$BTC
See original
1125 Weekly Qimen Trend Forecast Analysis
Please note that Qimen is only a reference and cannot be used as a basis for trading.
Just treat it as entertainment
The following is a trend analysis automatically generated by AI based on the next week's Qimen market, which may not be accurate
On the whole, next week will be a period of shock consolidation.
The following is a specific analysis:
According to the analysis of Qimen Dunjia at 0:00 on November 25, 2024, based on the Yin Dun Five Bureaus, combined with the Nine Palaces, Three Wonders and Six Instruments, Eight Gates, Nine Stars, Eight Gods, etc., the prediction of Bitcoin's weekly trend is as follows:
1. Overview of the overall situation
• Value symbol: Tian Peng Star, representing risk and speculation.
• On Duty: Xiu Men, responsible for rest and slow progress.
Just treat it as entertainment
The following is a trend analysis automatically generated by AI based on the next week's Qimen market, which may not be accurate
On the whole, next week will be a period of shock consolidation.
The following is a specific analysis:
According to the analysis of Qimen Dunjia at 0:00 on November 25, 2024, based on the Yin Dun Five Bureaus, combined with the Nine Palaces, Three Wonders and Six Instruments, Eight Gates, Nine Stars, Eight Gods, etc., the prediction of Bitcoin's weekly trend is as follows:
1. Overview of the overall situation
• Value symbol: Tian Peng Star, representing risk and speculation.
• On Duty: Xiu Men, responsible for rest and slow progress.
See original
If the middle track hits the daily line next weekend
The middle track will also be around 90
At that time, the lower track will also be around 75
The bottom is rising very quickly
So do not measure the bottom based on the current position
$BTC
The middle track will also be around 90
At that time, the lower track will also be around 75
The bottom is rising very quickly
So do not measure the bottom based on the current position
$BTC
See original
Just got home
Still hasn't broken 100,000
Quickly break it
There are over a thousand large pancakes pressing the order
Looks impressive
In reality, as long as the main force withdraws their order
It can go up instantly
Whales eat thousands every day
Can't even get on this?
Then there must be something fishy 🤪
Continue to lie flat
Wait for time
$BTC
Still hasn't broken 100,000
Quickly break it
There are over a thousand large pancakes pressing the order
Looks impressive
In reality, as long as the main force withdraws their order
It can go up instantly
Whales eat thousands every day
Can't even get on this?
Then there must be something fishy 🤪
Continue to lie flat
Wait for time
$BTC
See original
Short-term
Drop to position in one hour
Those willing to chase more can do so with a small position
Just be careful of breaking the stop loss
Just this little
I won't enter 🤪
$BTC
Drop to position in one hour
Those willing to chase more can do so with a small position
Just be careful of breaking the stop loss
Just this little
I won't enter 🤪
$BTC
See original
How can friends stop losses?
It's very simple
If the price reaches the upper line of the daily chart at 104 (currently, it is still on the rise)
If the next day it still chooses to break through
Then it's time to admit defeat and stop losses
It should be around one hundred ten thousand
At that time, the Daoist will also admit defeat
Don't clash head-on with the main force
Thirty years later
The Daoist will still be a good man🤪
That's all!
$BTC
It's very simple
If the price reaches the upper line of the daily chart at 104 (currently, it is still on the rise)
If the next day it still chooses to break through
Then it's time to admit defeat and stop losses
It should be around one hundred ten thousand
At that time, the Daoist will also admit defeat
Don't clash head-on with the main force
Thirty years later
The Daoist will still be a good man🤪
That's all!
$BTC
See original
1122 Weekly Trading Review
Selling spot goods is just thinking about shorting
This is true.
Just like I won’t think of shorting when I hold spot goods🤪
Last week I held a short position
Last night, 989 continued to fill in some gaps
Average price 89, forced liquidation 300,000
Plan to stop loss when it breaks through 110,000
I don't play with the main force anymore🤪
Do you understand? If you short a large position, you will definitely die.
It is also uncomfortable to hold a light position, because this round of top-touching is not as easy as before.
85 looks like the top, reserve 95 for strong pull
The result is still pulling
And in March, we saw 64 peak
Only 737
It ended before it even touched the daily upper limit🤪
So, don't short sell anything.
Taoist priest tests the law
This is true.
Just like I won’t think of shorting when I hold spot goods🤪
Last week I held a short position
Last night, 989 continued to fill in some gaps
Average price 89, forced liquidation 300,000
Plan to stop loss when it breaks through 110,000
I don't play with the main force anymore🤪
Do you understand? If you short a large position, you will definitely die.
It is also uncomfortable to hold a light position, because this round of top-touching is not as easy as before.
85 looks like the top, reserve 95 for strong pull
The result is still pulling
And in March, we saw 64 peak
Only 737
It ended before it even touched the daily upper limit🤪
So, don't short sell anything.
Taoist priest tests the law