#TradeNTell Ever wonder what the essence of trading is?
In essence, the transaction is completed by the cooperation between the buyer and the seller
Therefore, all transactions are the consequences of inconsistent thinking.
If from the beginning, your investment logic is wrong
Then it will bring you more mistakes in the future. You must learn to think reversely and analyze carefully.
After the adoption of ETF, the market really stagnated. Those buyers turned into sellers, and the sellers kept buying in different places.
Now in the market, expectations for interest rate cuts are either in March or May, and they all believe that there will be a correction during this period.
However, this halving is around April, and the rise after the halving usually lags for a period of time, which may have smoothed the decline in interest rate cut expectations.
So there is no need to catch the so-called lows, be a firm trader on the right, invest and hold $BTC #ORDI
The price of Bitcoin has been below $70,000 for quite some time. Multiple attempts to break through have failed, and the upward momentum has not been maintained.
But in fact, most retail investors have not yet participated in the current Bitcoin market cycle and are afraid of the current market situation.
The realized profit level of short-term holders measured by SOPR has not yet exceeded the historical peak level seen at the top of the early cycle
The current market structure is mainly dominated by long-term holders, and the relative scarcity of short-term holders makes it less likely to immediately turn into a bear market
There is still potential for a sharp rise in prices before the top of the cycle is formed
The copycat is bearish, and the mainstream is bullish! Overall, it is still in the mid-term bull market! $BTC 😀
Is it going to fall? ! Despite the recent price drop, Bitcoin's market sentiment shows signs of a potential rebound, and key indicators like the Taker buy-sell ratio and exchange net flow indicate a shift in sentiment towards the bullish side, with increased buying pressure. The current price is around $66,360, with support at $65,000, while the relative strength index (RSI) indicates a bearish trend. On the other hand, Bitcoin is struggling to turn bullish amid selling pressure, with indicators like MACD, CMF, and RSI pointing to a bearish outlook. Miners selling their holdings and high net deposits on exchanges have led to negative sentiment, but despite this,
🤔🤔$ Bollinger Bands hint at a possible price recovery.
The U.S. first-time claims data has risen from 190,000 to 230,000 recently. Tonight's data has reached 240,000, close to the "threshold" of 250,000+ that should be reached during the interest rate cut cycle. The interest rate cut is getting closer and closer to us. The crypto market and other types of assets under the framework of the U.S. "recession" are about to be staged!
The last bull market peaked from October 20 to May 21, and the market came to an abrupt end... This bull market has been going on for more than half a year from October 23 to June now
If you are waiting for 519 at that time, I think you should be disappointed... Just like the violent wash from mid-2019 to 312, and the digestion from April to October 23
Different fundamentals and trend states will result in different market fluctuations
This time, it is also time to digest with more stable and boring fluctuations
The market is closely watching Friday's US PCE inflation data to predict the trend of Bitcoin (BTC). Some institutions said that stronger-than-expected consumer confidence and weak US Treasury sales put pressure on Bitcoin prices
If the inflation data is higher than expected, Bitcoin may fall back to $65,000, and in the worst case, it may fall to $60,000, which coincides with the 50-day moving average.
Inflation rose 2.7% year-on-year in March, and April data will be released at 20:30 on May 31
In addition, on-chain records show signs of renewed interest in Bitcoin (BTC) buyers. Long-term investors have started accumulating again for the first time since December 2023
Awesome! 160 times in 8 hours, the Kardashian family's "dog blood" cryptocurrency game is staged again
Just because Caitlyn posted a photo of shaking hands with Trump on social media, it immediately exploded, and the Jenner token soared 160 times in 8 hours.
The developer also immediately sold the token, and the price plummeted.
Caitlyn Jenner has 3.36 million followers. Although she denied that her account was stolen, the community even suspected that the video was fake
The celebrity effect is a double-edged sword. It can quickly accumulate traffic, but it is also easy to become a tool for cutting leeks.
Now the possibility of getting rich is decreasing. The prevalence of MEME culture has also made people question the core value of cryptocurrency, and truly disruptive applications are still hard to find. In this stimulating market, how to find truly potential projects is the most difficult problem.
The saturation of the cryptocurrency market has reached a sky-high level? How to choose from so many projects?
According to a report by Coingecko, there are more than 2.5 million tokens in 24 years, and the creation speed of new tokens is also very fast. By the beginning of April 24, more than 540,000 new tokens were created, with an average of 5,300 new tokens added every day.
What drives this saturation? It is estimated that one potential reason is the trend of imitating successful projects. Successful projects will spawn a large number of imitations, resulting in a large number of derivative tokens.
How to find potential altcoins in such a saturated market? Keep in mind five criteria: grand narrative, increasing user base, strong community, low bias bias and clear value.
From the structural problems in the Web3 ecosystem and the voting response of users’ funds
The answer is obvious
When trading platforms, market makers, venture capital, project parties and opinion leaders are making profits, while most ordinary users are losing money, this reveals the deep structural problems in the market and indicates that this situation cannot last.
Behind every "fancy loss of money", users may abandon Web3 products and VC tokens and embrace the fairer and grassroots Memecoins. This reflects the rebellious behavior of funds voting with their feet.
Before some Web3 ecological applications have achieved a closed value loop, ordinary users will face the dilemma of "nowhere to go".
Yesterday, the speech of the Fed officials stirred up waves in the financial market, the US dollar index rose, and the US stock market fell. His speech did not have any new ideas, but it can still affect the market.
In an interview with CNBC, Minneapolis Fed Chairman Kashkari said that we should wait for more evidence that inflation is cooling before cutting interest rates. If inflation fails to fall further, there is even a possibility of raising interest rates.
First, it "implies" that even if Friday's inflation data cools, it still won't change anything, and the Fed still doesn't have the confidence needed to cut interest rates; second, it does not rule out the possibility of further interest rate hikes.
Now the ETH spot ETF has been approved, and it will be possible to go online for trading in about three weeks. The liquidations have been completed, and the stockpiling is being stepped up.
Buying ETH at 3700 U seems to be safer than 78 U after the collapse during the mask period.
Tonight, rumors about interest rate cuts are spreading
Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in September and the second in December.
In fact, there are no major events that can affect the capital market this week. Investors now just want to know when the interest rate will be cut, and don't want to hear a lot of complicated things.
This is why the approval of ETFs did not drive the market's bullish sentiment, but instead triggered profit-taking by bankers
The biggest risk event next week is not economic data or speeches by Fed officials, but time - at the end of the month, the end of the quarter, and the end of the half year, some magical things will happen. In addition, a group of Fed officials will speak next week, and they come with new tasks.