With the approval of ETF, the current market has entered a new stage. Not to mention the past, the operating rules (contract) for the new stage (next 2 months):
1. Position control, do not take heavy positions; 2. Direction selection: focus on long orders and be cautious on short positions; 3. At the entry position, step back on the support to enter the market, and do not chase the high; 4. Stop profit and stop loss, 3:1, we have not really entered the bull market yet, mainly oscillation; 5. Section selection, web3, layer2, AI
The plunge will soon come as expected, from 69,000 to 59,000, but this is still not the bottom, so don’t rush to get on the train. My short order has not reached profit taking yet, and the lurking long order has not been placed. Don’t worry, this is the data week, and there is still a chance to take advantage. #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH
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$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
Bitcoin fell slightly, and many copycats immediately jumped into the market.
As you can see, the market sentiment is tight and everyone is afraid of the Bitcoin avalanche. Each one is running faster than the other. March will definitely be the emotional month and the needle month. All risks will be manifested and digested in the next month. Then we will welcome the halving in April, which will start the big trend.
Be aware of the risks, be aware of the risks, be aware of the risks.
When making a contract, you must not take a heavy position. For altcoins, it is recommended to take a light position and place a long position 15%-30% below the current price. Pay attention to the ratio of the Bitcoin price to your own margin. Do not fall in front of the bull market. This is the most important thing at the moment. thing.
Everyone is shouting for more, the greed and fear index has reached 82, everyone is saying that the bottom needle sucker will continue to pull, please stay calm!
Look at the chart, how much have BTC and ETH increased? Hardly a decent callback.
The essence of investment is a zero-sum game. It does not create wealth. If someone makes a profit, someone must lose. The object of investment is just a tool. The higher the price, the higher the risk of accumulation. The accumulation in the early stage can easily be wiped out as the price plummets. The wave is taking away, keep calm at all times, the current position is by no means the best position, chase higher with caution.
suggestion:
Radicals will directly open a short position, place a stop loss of 64500, and do not set a take profit yet;
Conservatives place good orders, leave about 20% of the space for copycats, 30% of the position, and add 30% to the 30% position #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH
Bitcoin fell slightly, and many copycats immediately jumped into the market.
As you can see, the market sentiment is tight and everyone is afraid of the Bitcoin avalanche. Each one is running faster than the other. March will definitely be the emotional month and the needle month. All risks will be manifested and digested in the next month. Then we will welcome the halving in April, which will start the big trend.
Be aware of the risks, be aware of the risks, be aware of the risks.
When making a contract, you must not take a heavy position. For altcoins, it is recommended to take a light position and place a long position 15%-30% below the current price. Pay attention to the ratio of the Bitcoin price to your own margin. Do not fall in front of the bull market. This is the most important thing at the moment. thing.
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH #热门话题 Brothers, do you think that with the current situation, how likely is it to have a major correction of more than 20% in March?
$BTC On the one-hour chart of BTC, the decline from small steps to large strides makes people feel vaguely uneasy. It seems to be looking for support. If so, the first support level below is around 50200, so stay tuned.
What does it mean to cut flesh with a dull knife? That’s what the inscription is! Go to hell, rubbish! Those who advise everyone to copy the bottom inscriptions, can you feel comfortable making this money?
Grayscale sells 10,000 Bitcoins every day. Will it take 2 months? Do you really believe Grayscale will liquidate?
We know that Grayscale is constantly selling Bitcoins. This is due to the continuous loss of customers. When customers sell their GBTC shares, Grayscale has to sell the corresponding BTC.
Why do customers want to sell GBTC shares? The main reasons are two points:
1. Everyone knows about the handling fee issue. Grayscale GBTC handling fee is 1.5%, which is much higher than the 0.2%-0.25% of other companies, causing customers to choose new ETFs such as BlackRock;
2. Grayscale GBTC’s perennial negative premium was finally smoothed out by the market after the ETF spot was approved. Based on the liquidity of GBTC, the existing GBTC holders are no longer the original investors. These later investors You can finally make arbitrage by buying GBTC at a 60-30% discount. How much is the arbitrage? Around 50%, if this interest rate difference is not smoothed out, it will not be the handling fee that decides whether to stay or leave. This is why Grayscale is not willing to lower the handling fee to retain customers, because it is of no use, at least at the moment. For eggs. You can also see that BlackRock's new ETF has a positive premium and Grayscale has returned to a negative premium. This gap is widening. Only when it is large enough will investors consider whether to change funds because of handling fees. This is the time when Grayscale considers how to retain customers.
Therefore, Grayscale will continue to deal with BTC, but it will never liquidate. After sufficient changes of hands, this turning point will appear and the market will enter a real bull market.
At present, the focus is to pay attention to the largest negative premium of GBTC in the past, as well as the current positive and negative premiums of various ETFs to judge the market's turning point timing.
The ETF has been approved, and BTC has officially become a member of the commodities club. The next step is to pay close attention to the Federal Reserve policy.
Whether an interest rate cut is good or bad is not absolute. Usually we understand that an interest rate cut will flood the water and benefit all investment targets, but this actually depends on the situation.
When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it is important to do so proactively or passively. Taking the initiative to cut interest rates and stimulate economic activity is a huge benefit to investment, and I can get a piece of the pie with BTC. Passive interest rate cuts, the economic situation has become so bad that interest rates must be cut to save it. This kind of interest rate cut is a precursor to an economic crisis. We all remember 312 in 2020. At that time, US stocks and Bitcoin plummeted, especially Bitcoin, and this scene is Occurs during the Fed's rate-cutting cycle. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates too slowly and the market could not hold back. The Federal Reserve had to directly cut interest rates to 0 and began to enter the quantitative easing phase significantly, thus saving the US stock market and bringing about the BTC bull market.
At the moment, for BTC contract trading, I still insist on the view of going long when stepping back on support and being cautious about shorting. At the same time, we must focus on the general economic environment, be careful of the occurrence of black swan events, pay more attention to US stocks and US bonds, and leave the back to the bull market. , keep your eyes on U.S. stocks and stay vigilant.
Brothers, don’t panic, BTC has fallen to around 44700, step back, the current bullish momentum is healthy, you can increase your position appropriately.