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PhyrexNi
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Manta Price Prediction
I just saw that the 45th issue is online again. Although it is indeed a little more frequent, I followed the clue and found the tweets when I first breastfed #BNB. It was still in March 2023. Although the price of BNB has been falling since then, It even almost fell below 200 US dollars, but I have never given up on hoarding the currency standard. Although NFP and AI have caused me a little pain in recent issues, XAI, which continues the pattern, is still making good profits. 18:00 pm Beijing time on January 18th is the time when MANTA will go online. Don’t tell me, I thought that starting from $AI to XAI, I have been slapped in the face, but the intermittent trend of AI is not without opportunities, but Although I didn't try to "buy the bottom" like NFP and AI in XAI, the pattern has reached this point and I have successfully obtained a 2% income, which is much better than selling immediately, and it has basically been implemented that LaunchPool can maintain a 2% income. possible. No more nonsense, although I may be slapped in the face, I still want to continue to predict the price of $Manta. Before that, I heard that Manta will have a lot of airdrops. Many friends are not too optimistic about the price maintenance. Off-site The price seems to be around 2-3 US dollars, and many friends think that the probability of Manta exceeding 5 US dollars is unlikely. So let’s follow my usual approach and look at Manta’s price from a rate of return perspective. The last time XAI opened #BNB, the return on staking was 1%, so this time we will start with the 1% return. Manta can get 0.033 coins per hour by staking on BNB, and about 48 hours of mining can be mined. 1.6 pieces. If calculated based on the return rate of 1%, then the output value of 1 BNB should be 0.01 BNB, which is 3.1 US dollars. Then the price of one Manta is nearly 1.9 US dollars. 1% is already a low rate of return in the history of #Binacne. This rate of return means that almost all borrowing and staking is a loss. Although the last XAI was still 1% in a short period of time, it still rose after being slightly stable. It has reached about 2%, so from here I personally estimate that 2 US dollars should be a lower price, so the price corresponding to the opening of Manta is likely to be around 1.5 US dollars to 2.5 US dollars. And this is under the least ideal circumstances. If it opens below $1.50, I'll probably look to see if there's an opportunity, and if it's below $1, I'll definitely buy some on the dip.If Manta's layout can achieve the level of AI, that is, a 2% return rate, then the price will be nearly 3.8 US dollars. This level is basically achievable by most projects except for the opening of XAI, and even XAI is in a large number of It also reached this level after the selling pressure ended, so there should be a chance of $3.8, but whether it can reach $3.8 at the opening is another matter. In other words, the lower the opening price, the greater the selling pressure. Then after the selling pressure ends, The probability of pulling it to $4 is also greater. Then I am a little unsure whether I can reach the 3% income level of NFP or even ACE at the opening of the market. In fact, before AI, it was very normal for project income to remain at 3%, but this time because of the project It’s indeed a bit much, so users’ emotions are basically to sell first, and the selling pressure at the beginning of Manta is not small. The 3% profit is 5.7 US dollars. It’s so wonderful that I can’t imagine it, but it doesn’t mean it’s impossible. , but compared to the 1% and 2% yields, 3% or even higher makes me a little bit hesitant to think about it. As for whether it is a pattern, my personal opinion still depends on the price. If the opening price is above 4 US dollars, then I really don’t dare to make a pattern, but I can try to make half of the profit after it falls below 1.5 US dollars (if possible). Repurchase, and the remaining half will be repurchased if it falls below $1, but if the opening price is below $2, then I will follow the previous thinking pattern and buy the bottom according to the situation. Of course, this is my personal plan and cannot be used as investment advice. , nor accept rights protection. Finally, everyone knows the situation of the Manta project, so I won’t go into details. Basically, it was converted from the Polkadot project to ZK+L2. It has been through a relatively long time, and it has already been capitalized during the Polkadot stage. Look good, the pledges made some time ago have been milked by many big guys again, the milk should be sufficient, and the amount of funds is not small. Next, it depends on what the project party plans to do.
111
LIVE币圈潜力挖掘者
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Bullish
Among the new generation of public chain troika sol avax ftm, only ftm has not increased significantly. ftm will launch a new sub-second mainnet early next year, with top-level technical strength.
I am optimistic about the ftm ecology. The leading dex recommends Spookyswap (BOO), a potential stock called Spiritswap (market value is only more than 2 million). Compared with joe RAY, the ftm ecology project has a hundred times the potential.
$SOL $OP $AVAX
I am optimistic about the ftm ecology. The leading dex recommends Spookyswap (BOO), a potential stock called Spiritswap (market value is only more than 2 million). Compared with joe RAY, the ftm ecology project has a hundred times the potential.
$SOL $OP $AVAX
111
LIVECrypto晴天
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Looking for the next big golden dog of the public chain: $Pory, can it surpass Silly?
The market rose today, $btc returned to the daily line, and $eth made up for the increase. L2's $metis, $op, $arb, defi's ldo, $pendle, etc. followed suit, and the last weak sectors also began to make up for the increase. The target $rdnt mentioned by Qingtian also increased.
Metis is essentially a fork and upgrade of op. It is a Canadian Chinese project. Op is more flexible than eth, and metis is more flexible than op.
BSV has surged. BSV has surged 50% in two days, and market speculation has been halved. BSV is the altcoin with the largest trading volume in the Korean market, surpassing BTC.
The $xpet and $bpet of social games have surged. xpet is the governance token and bpet is gas. The xpet economic model is similar to running shoes. Currently, upgrading and gold mining requires bpet, and bpet enters deflation.
Metis is essentially a fork and upgrade of op. It is a Canadian Chinese project. Op is more flexible than eth, and metis is more flexible than op.
BSV has surged. BSV has surged 50% in two days, and market speculation has been halved. BSV is the altcoin with the largest trading volume in the Korean market, surpassing BTC.
The $xpet and $bpet of social games have surged. xpet is the governance token and bpet is gas. The xpet economic model is similar to running shoes. Currently, upgrading and gold mining requires bpet, and bpet enters deflation.
#GAS 转发
LIVE颜驰Bit
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Bullish
Please refer to the article quoted below to continue the review.
The previous view was to take a large butterfly pattern, but the butterfly pattern still holds true.
The lowest point this morning was 7.77, which is not very far from the potential reversal zone at 6.6.
Of course, you can make concessions on your own and start entering positions in batches in advance to avoid short positions and avoid overweight positions all at once.
Then look at the trend of the chart. The previous view was that after falling below this short-term trend line, we will continue to explore again.
In line with expectations, the current price is suppressed by the short-term trend line, and after a small-level breakthrough, it is still declining along the trend line.
If you still want to test the previous low position, you can also consider entering some short-term positions to see if the price pulls back and is blocked near 9.5.
We will continue to track gas trends in the future.
Like and follow Don’t Get Lost, follow Brother Chi, and share more transaction content.
#GAS #FTT
The previous view was to take a large butterfly pattern, but the butterfly pattern still holds true.
The lowest point this morning was 7.77, which is not very far from the potential reversal zone at 6.6.
Of course, you can make concessions on your own and start entering positions in batches in advance to avoid short positions and avoid overweight positions all at once.
Then look at the trend of the chart. The previous view was that after falling below this short-term trend line, we will continue to explore again.
In line with expectations, the current price is suppressed by the short-term trend line, and after a small-level breakthrough, it is still declining along the trend line.
If you still want to test the previous low position, you can also consider entering some short-term positions to see if the price pulls back and is blocked near 9.5.
We will continue to track gas trends in the future.
Like and follow Don’t Get Lost, follow Brother Chi, and share more transaction content.
#GAS #FTT
1
LIVE颜驰Bit
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Bearish
Today’s focus is on gas, both in the comment area and in the live broadcast room, everyone is wailing.
The short-sellers said hey, it was a pity that we closed out early, and we don’t dare to pursue it now.
Those who are long say hey, they entered the market early, and now they are still resisting. They don’t know how to hold the position.
I'll tell you what I like to hear about short selling, and I'll also tell you what I like to hear about going long.
Judging from the current chart, it is a large butterfly pattern. The two potential reversal areas are around $6.6 and $4.2 respectively.
It is definitely impossible for the market to move because of my opinions. Since this form is temporarily established, it has not failed.
Then there is this expectation.
Therefore, the most important point in the short term is the trend line at the arrow. If it can hold up here, it may start a horizontal consolidation and then look at the follow-up, which is the hope of the bulls.
If this trend line falls below, it will increase the probability of the butterfly pattern being established. This is the expectation of the bears.
Believe it or not, don’t let my subjectivity affect your position. The contents of this article will continue to be reviewed regardless of the market outlook.
To be more pertinent, whether the market outlook is a slap in the face or whether it is in line with expectations, technical analysis and technical communication, except for the banker and the market, everything else is open at 55!
#GAS #TRB
The short-sellers said hey, it was a pity that we closed out early, and we don’t dare to pursue it now.
Those who are long say hey, they entered the market early, and now they are still resisting. They don’t know how to hold the position.
I'll tell you what I like to hear about short selling, and I'll also tell you what I like to hear about going long.
Judging from the current chart, it is a large butterfly pattern. The two potential reversal areas are around $6.6 and $4.2 respectively.
It is definitely impossible for the market to move because of my opinions. Since this form is temporarily established, it has not failed.
Then there is this expectation.
Therefore, the most important point in the short term is the trend line at the arrow. If it can hold up here, it may start a horizontal consolidation and then look at the follow-up, which is the hope of the bulls.
If this trend line falls below, it will increase the probability of the butterfly pattern being established. This is the expectation of the bears.
Believe it or not, don’t let my subjectivity affect your position. The contents of this article will continue to be reviewed regardless of the market outlook.
To be more pertinent, whether the market outlook is a slap in the face or whether it is in line with expectations, technical analysis and technical communication, except for the banker and the market, everything else is open at 55!
#GAS #TRB
1
LIVEBTC猎鹰
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I saw an article about how to predict the end of the fishtail market for coins such as trb, gas, loom, ygg, polyx, and hifi that have exploded several times. It’s very good. Share it with everyone and learn together! (Reprinted from Chuan Mu)
From the changes in futures and spot prices, we analyze whether the market makers are closing long positions and establishing short orders, and are preparing to end the sell-off. Still think from the banker’s perspective.
The dealer's closing of long orders and placing short orders are both selling actions, but the volume of the dealer's long orders and short orders must be extremely large. If the number of orders held is not enough, there is a probability of losses in the market. When the inverted pyramid collapses There may not necessarily be many people taking his chips.
Since his order volume is extremely large, there will be two unusually obvious changes in the position data and futures prices, supplemented by an auxiliary change on the chain.
1. Contract positions first drop sharply and then rise again, because this is a process of closing long orders and opening new short orders.
2. Because closing long positions and establishing short orders are both selling operations, the dealer wants to perfectly close such a large order and open a short order at the same time. The only way to do this is to continue to frantically pull in spot stocks to encourage retail investors. Seeing the huge price difference, continue to buy futures to provide yourself with buying orders for short selling of futures, so that your short position can be successfully completed. Just like yesterday's gas, I went crazy and sold long positions in futures. This period of rising currency prices will produce a huge price difference, which may be more than 30%. Previously, the price difference reached 50% for ygg, 40% for polyx, and 30% for loom at this stage.
A very interesting price change will occur during this period. I have observed it on loom and polyx. The spot price of loom that day (at 21:00 on October 15th) reached a maximum of 0.5. The futures price was 0.41 during this period, and then the futures price hit 0.2796 within an hour, and the futures price reached 0.366. It would be more interesting to use the 1-minute line to see the changes during this period. Interested friends can look at the K-line for comparison. This definitely covers a huge amount of long and short orders. The buying orders of retail investors and the order volume of market makers cannot support the order volume of market makers in such a short period of time, which will naturally result in a huge futures and spot price difference.
In the next few hours, the loom futures price actually tied the spot price. Spot starts from 0.36 only rose 10% to 0.4, and the futures price actually pulled from 0.29 to 0.3866. This is definitely the bloodiest trading. Even if many players predict correctly from the huge price difference between futures and cash that the dealer should be shorting or the price of loom should rise to the end and participate in short selling, this counter-draw before death can still kill the smart funds here.
After the huge spot difference occurred, the counter-attack to kill short orders before the currency price died also happened on hifi and polyx. The magnitude may not be so exaggerated, but it is still fatal enough. The price of hifi has basically reached its peak on the day when the contract was launched. Futures prices continued to fall, but the spot remained motionless. The dealers used a small amount of money to hold back the spot, and then sold the futures, so that retail investors saw the price difference and felt that the funding rate was incompatible with the price. The price difference is profitable, so that the dealer can provide a closing price and complete the position opening operation. In a few hours, the futures price of hifi dropped from 2.6 dollars to 1.3 dollars. During this period, the spot price was still 2 dollars. Smart money must have judged that this was a fishtail, but it was still killed in the next five hours. The futures price The counter-draw of $2 equaled the spot price, killing this wave of smart money, and then the real plunge started just like loom. The same goes for polyx. If you are interested, you can read the K-line yourself.
The same scene happened to Gas last night. If you are interested, you can check the K-line to study it.
3. As an auxiliary point, the third point is that the changes in the actions on the chain may be helpful in judging the end of the real trb market. trb kept withdrawing currency from outside Binance, which caused the currency price to rise due to scarcity, and the same was true for loom at the time. But these operations will stop before the dealer hits the market.
Next, let’s think about it, if the dealer takes away the chips he buys every time, how can he smash the market without recharging the chips back to the exchange?
First of all, the chain will definitely be monitored by countless people. Once you transfer to the exchange, retail investors will move faster than you. This is definitely not what the banker wants to see. How can you operate ahead of me when you are making my money?
So as a banker, the most correct operation is to stop withdrawing coins from the exchange a few days or ten hours before preparing to smash the market, and at the same time, significantly increase the amount of chips used to smash the market. It can even be like this, the banker buys Of the 1 million US dollars coins, only 100,000 were offered to confuse retail investors.The external characteristic is that the changes we can see as retail investors are that prices are still rising faster than ever before, but there are very few moves on the chain. This is the last supper of retail investors before death.
To put it simply, when the currency price rises the fastest, the movement on the chain disappears or is very small. It can also be used as an aid to judge whether a fishtail market has appeared and whether a crash is about to begin.
Of course, the final right of interpretation lies with the banker, who can always choose not to end the pull, if the banker's funds are large enough, or the operation process is very profitable. Never go short in the crypto market. I hope the above will be helpful to your spot selling and profit taking operations. I don’t want to use it for contract transactions. #ETH #BTC
From the changes in futures and spot prices, we analyze whether the market makers are closing long positions and establishing short orders, and are preparing to end the sell-off. Still think from the banker’s perspective.
The dealer's closing of long orders and placing short orders are both selling actions, but the volume of the dealer's long orders and short orders must be extremely large. If the number of orders held is not enough, there is a probability of losses in the market. When the inverted pyramid collapses There may not necessarily be many people taking his chips.
Since his order volume is extremely large, there will be two unusually obvious changes in the position data and futures prices, supplemented by an auxiliary change on the chain.
1. Contract positions first drop sharply and then rise again, because this is a process of closing long orders and opening new short orders.
2. Because closing long positions and establishing short orders are both selling operations, the dealer wants to perfectly close such a large order and open a short order at the same time. The only way to do this is to continue to frantically pull in spot stocks to encourage retail investors. Seeing the huge price difference, continue to buy futures to provide yourself with buying orders for short selling of futures, so that your short position can be successfully completed. Just like yesterday's gas, I went crazy and sold long positions in futures. This period of rising currency prices will produce a huge price difference, which may be more than 30%. Previously, the price difference reached 50% for ygg, 40% for polyx, and 30% for loom at this stage.
A very interesting price change will occur during this period. I have observed it on loom and polyx. The spot price of loom that day (at 21:00 on October 15th) reached a maximum of 0.5. The futures price was 0.41 during this period, and then the futures price hit 0.2796 within an hour, and the futures price reached 0.366. It would be more interesting to use the 1-minute line to see the changes during this period. Interested friends can look at the K-line for comparison. This definitely covers a huge amount of long and short orders. The buying orders of retail investors and the order volume of market makers cannot support the order volume of market makers in such a short period of time, which will naturally result in a huge futures and spot price difference.
In the next few hours, the loom futures price actually tied the spot price. Spot starts from 0.36 only rose 10% to 0.4, and the futures price actually pulled from 0.29 to 0.3866. This is definitely the bloodiest trading. Even if many players predict correctly from the huge price difference between futures and cash that the dealer should be shorting or the price of loom should rise to the end and participate in short selling, this counter-draw before death can still kill the smart funds here.
After the huge spot difference occurred, the counter-attack to kill short orders before the currency price died also happened on hifi and polyx. The magnitude may not be so exaggerated, but it is still fatal enough. The price of hifi has basically reached its peak on the day when the contract was launched. Futures prices continued to fall, but the spot remained motionless. The dealers used a small amount of money to hold back the spot, and then sold the futures, so that retail investors saw the price difference and felt that the funding rate was incompatible with the price. The price difference is profitable, so that the dealer can provide a closing price and complete the position opening operation. In a few hours, the futures price of hifi dropped from 2.6 dollars to 1.3 dollars. During this period, the spot price was still 2 dollars. Smart money must have judged that this was a fishtail, but it was still killed in the next five hours. The futures price The counter-draw of $2 equaled the spot price, killing this wave of smart money, and then the real plunge started just like loom. The same goes for polyx. If you are interested, you can read the K-line yourself.
The same scene happened to Gas last night. If you are interested, you can check the K-line to study it.
3. As an auxiliary point, the third point is that the changes in the actions on the chain may be helpful in judging the end of the real trb market. trb kept withdrawing currency from outside Binance, which caused the currency price to rise due to scarcity, and the same was true for loom at the time. But these operations will stop before the dealer hits the market.
Next, let’s think about it, if the dealer takes away the chips he buys every time, how can he smash the market without recharging the chips back to the exchange?
First of all, the chain will definitely be monitored by countless people. Once you transfer to the exchange, retail investors will move faster than you. This is definitely not what the banker wants to see. How can you operate ahead of me when you are making my money?
So as a banker, the most correct operation is to stop withdrawing coins from the exchange a few days or ten hours before preparing to smash the market, and at the same time, significantly increase the amount of chips used to smash the market. It can even be like this, the banker buys Of the 1 million US dollars coins, only 100,000 were offered to confuse retail investors.The external characteristic is that the changes we can see as retail investors are that prices are still rising faster than ever before, but there are very few moves on the chain. This is the last supper of retail investors before death.
To put it simply, when the currency price rises the fastest, the movement on the chain disappears or is very small. It can also be used as an aid to judge whether a fishtail market has appeared and whether a crash is about to begin.
Of course, the final right of interpretation lies with the banker, who can always choose not to end the pull, if the banker's funds are large enough, or the operation process is very profitable. Never go short in the crypto market. I hope the above will be helpful to your spot selling and profit taking operations. I don’t want to use it for contract transactions. #ETH #BTC
