Affected by yesterday's non-agricultural data, the market experienced a significant decline, falling by nearly 6,000 points in a short period of time.

The current support level of 52,000 points is facing greater pressure, and the market trend over the weekend is also relatively slow.

Although the currency price has corrected, the power of Duotou failed to form an effective breakthrough, the resistance above continued to increase, and the pressure level was still moving downward.

Therefore, it is not suitable to carry out bargain hunting operations at present, and we still need to pay attention to the downside. Today's operating strategy recommendation is to continue to maintain a bearish attitude after the price rebounds to highs.

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The violent fluctuations in the market this time once again highlight the strong resistance of BTC to decline.

From the four-hour chart, BTC has a rebound demand. If the rebound continues until the evening data is released and continues to rise, then the non-agricultural data may bring good news.

The main institutions usually get important news in advance, so there will often be a pin market before and after the release of non-agricultural data.

If the data is positive, the price may fall first and then rebound; if the data is unfavorable, the opposite may occur.

Therefore, the operation suggestion tonight is: try to pick up the pin at a low level, hold if you succeed, and wait and see if you fail.

Usually, the market fluctuations of large non-agricultural data will be more violent than those of small non-agricultural data.

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Big Pie: Today's opening is around 56000. At present, there is a gap in the technical daily line, and a rebound in the daytime is needed to repair the technical side.

The overall trend maintains a high-level bearish thinking. Focus on the pressure of 57300-58100 on the top. Look at 56000 first, then 54000 on the bottom, and continue to look at around 51500 in the short term.

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Today's market analysis: According to market practice, the space for a sharp rebound is usually around 3,000 points.

Yesterday, Bitcoin dropped to around 55,500, and then rebounded to 58,500 points, but then stagflation occurred, and it began to enter the adjustment phase after touching the 7-day moving average of the daily line.

The daily line closed below the 7-day moving average, and a small rebound occurred in the morning to touch the 7-day moving average of the daily line. At present, the overall trend has not destroyed the downward trend.

It is recommended to continue to maintain the high-level short-selling strategy in intraday operations.

Focus on the pressure of the 58,500-59,000 area above, and the extreme pressure level is around 60,000. Be alert to the price plugging to this position.

The support level below is first focused on 56,500, and the further support level is around 54,000.

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From the four-hour chart, the current price of the currency is in a volatile downward trend, and the Bollinger Bands are opening downward. The price of the currency fell to around 55555 in the morning, but failed to fall further.

In the short term, the price of Bitcoin has once again gained effective support, and the support level below needs to be focused on in the evening. If the support level is not broken, you can continue to be bullish; if the support level is broken, you need to wait and see.

The specific trend still needs to pay attention to the data of the next two days to see whether it can support a bullish rebound.

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Analysis of Bitcoin afternoon market on Wednesday, September 4

The current daily structure shows a clear downward trend of shocks, with lows continuously refreshed, and the short-term trend is obviously bearish.

The K-line chart shows a continuous negative line retracement trend, so the main direction is still bearish. At the same time, after the 4-hour chart has been oscillating downward, there has been an obvious breakout phenomenon, the coin price has continued to fall, the Bollinger band has opened downward, and the moving average has also adjusted accordingly. Under this weak structure, it is recommended to continue to maintain a bearish mindset.

It is recommended to short Bitcoin in the 56500-56800 range on Wednesday afternoon, with the target position focusing on the 55000-54500 line.

At the same time, it is recommended to short Ethereum in the 2390-2420 range, with the target position focusing on the 2300-2260 line.
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At the four-hour level, Bitcoin's pin just hit the expected range of $55,000 to $56,000, which also became the short-term intraday support level.

At the beginning of September, I mentioned that I would arrange short-term operations this month.

Today, Bitcoin's decline is not large. You need to pay attention to this support level during the day and observe the closing of the daily line.

If the real negative line continues to close today, it may mean that the market will weaken further, and you need to pay attention to risk control. The intraday resistance level can focus on the range of $57,000 to $57,500.

Ethereum has reached the $2,300 line in intraday performance. The current trend shows obvious weakness and is close to the previous low.

Today, the price just hit the support range of $2,280 to $2,320. It is recommended to continue to pay attention.

The intraday resistance level is in the range of $2,390 to $2,420. The previous support at this position has now turned into resistance.

The decline of altcoins today is not large. You need to pay attention to the trend in the afternoon and evening. The timing of short-term layout will be discussed today.

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At 21:45 and 22:00, there will be US manufacturing data, which is related to employment and the US economy. It can be used as a reference for Friday's non-agricultural data. The impact on the market should be small and may fluctuate.

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In the small-scale trend of BTC, an upper shadow line on the 1-hour chart indicates that there is a large selling pressure in the market, which means that the price is suppressed during the rise.

In this case, a pullback usually occurs. If the market performs strongly, the price may not fall below the support level of $59,000; but if it performs weakly, the price may fall back to the range of $58,800 to $58,500.

After that, the market is expected to start an upward trend again.

The current small-scale pullback does not mean that the market will hit a new low, but is to prepare for future rises.

Considering the large increase in prices yesterday, the pullback is normal, and this pullback is precisely to provide a more solid foundation for subsequent rises.

Overall, the market is still in the rebound stage.

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September 6th evening 20:30 US unemployment rate data (important) September 11th US CPI price index data (important) September interest rate cut + unemployment rate fell good + CPI fell good = big rise September interest rate cut + unemployment rate rose bad + CPI rose bad = big fall

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Big Cake: The weekly closing real big Yin line engulfed the big Yang line last week. The short-term bearish trend has been formed. The important upper barrier this week is at 60500.

At the daily level, yesterday continued to fluctuate and fall slightly. The gap between the K line and the moving average has been repaired. The overall closing of the real big Yang line has rebounded.

In terms of operation, the idea of ​​continuing to be bearish on the rebound is maintained. The upper focus of the day is 58100-58700 pressure, and the lower support focuses on 57500-56000.

Ten thousand point band operation, the short order at 59900 last Friday is still being held, and the market is expected to continue to weaken!

Second Cake: Last week, the weekly closing real big Yin line stopped at the weekly half-year line of 2400. It is currently in the third wave of the oscillating rebound and decline.

The overall bearish trend at the daily level is relatively stable. The K line is currently going down against the 7-day moving average. In terms of operation, the idea of ​​being bearish around the daily 7-day moving average can be used.

In terms of intraday operations, we will maintain the idea of ​​rebound bearishness. The upper side focuses on the pressure of 2470-2500, and the lower side focuses on the support of 2400-2370.

Shanzhai: Last Friday, we began to emphasize that Shanzhai will start to collectively dive on Sunday. The collective decline in the past two days exceeded 10%. We will continue to wait and see with empty positions, and we can appropriately short Shanzhai!

SATS: Yesterday, we gave a bearish view at 29-30. Yesterday, the highest rebound reached 302, with a decline of more than 10%. We will continue to be bearish during the day, and the upper side focuses on the pressure of 28-29.

PEOPLE: We will start to be bearish from 0.0735. The first target of 0.06 has been achieved. The next target is 0.05. The current decline has exceeded 20%.

Floki: We will start to be bearish from the highest point of 158. The second target of 120 has been achieved. The next target is 110. The current decline has exceeded 34%.

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BTC Analysis:
Currently, Bitcoin is still in a downward trend at the daily level. The recent slight rise is only a rebound, not a signal of a trend reversal.

The MACD indicator has been in a dead cross state, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still biased downward. Although the price has been up and down in recent days, this is mainly due to the market digesting technical indicators, but there is no possibility of a direct reversal at present.

Unless the market continues to fluctuate and digests technical indicators through sideways consolidation, a reversal is likely to occur.

Another possibility is that Bitcoin quickly recovers after a downward pin, in which case it can be regarded as a stop-loss reversal signal.

However, the more likely situation is a downward pin.

At the 4-hour level, although there is a divergence, the price continues to fall.

If the price forms a wedge pattern at the hourly level, there may be an opportunity for operation.

It is expected that the low point of this wave of decline may be in the range of 58,000-57,500 US dollars, which is a relatively cost-effective area for entering long orders.

Compared with the 15-minute level, the hourly wedge pattern will be more powerful.

If a rebound occurs, the target price can be around $61,000, which is about $3,000 in profit margin. For the time being, you can follow this idea.

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Big Cake: Yesterday I said that a big one was coming. It just happened that the first target mentioned yesterday, 58,000, rebounded. This big one will not be far away. According to the nature of the market, it is most likely to be early Sunday morning!

The monthly line will close today, below 60,000. The short-term downward target can be seen around 51,500 points.

From the weekly line, this week closed with a real negative line. Next week, which is the beginning of September, the market continues to fall in line with market demand and make room for a rebound for interest rate cuts.

The daily level is in an up-and-down pin-splitting oscillation market. The K line waits for the daily 7-day moving average to extend downward and walk out of a healthy downward pattern.

Intraday operations continue to be bearish. The upper focus is on the pressure of the 59,700-60,200 position. The lower support is still 58,000 points first, and then around 56,000 points.

Second Cake: The daily level is in an up-and-down pin-splitting oscillation market. The K line technical gap repair is basically completed, and the upper moving average continues to extend downward.

In terms of intraday operations, we will maintain a high-level bearish mindset. Focus on the 2550-2580 position pressure on the upper side. Continue to look at 2440 first and then 2400 on the lower side.

Shanzhai: After a week of continuous sharp decline, a small rebound began at the weekend. If the collective dive continues on Sunday, next week will be even darker. Everyone should stay rational and wait and see!

SATS: The first wave of this round of callback has been completed. After a small rebound at the weekend, the second wave of decline is yet to come out. Focus on the 305-315 position pressure during the day.

PEOPLE: The daily level is about to usher in a double top signal. Focus on the 74-76 position pressure on the upper side, waiting for a bearish signal.

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Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum morning market on August 31:

Yesterday, the overall market of Bitcoin showed a weak downward trend.

In the afternoon, the price fell back to around $58,600 and then rebounded, but fell again after touching the $60,000 mark. In the evening, it fell to the lowest level of $67,700 and then rose again. The current price has returned to the $59,200 level.

Since the rebound in the early morning, the price of the currency has entered a sideways consolidation stage.

Considering the rhythm of the weekend market, it is recommended to maintain a short-term participation strategy.

The overall market is weak at present, and the recent rebound has not been sustained. There was a slight rebound after three consecutive negatives on the daily chart, but the K line closed negative again.

This shows that the short-term rebound is only a correction after the decline, and the overall bearish trend will continue. Therefore, it is recommended to continue to focus on bearish thinking.

On the 4-hour chart, the market is in a volatile downward trend, and the lows are gradually refreshed, and the overall trend still follows the bearish trend.

Therefore, the main strategy for short-term operations should be rebound shorting.

Suggestions:
Bitcoin: short in the range of $59,500-60,000, with a target of $58,500-58,000.

Ethereum: short in the range of $2,530-2,550, with a target of $2,450-2,400.

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Focus on the US economic data in September:

September 6 20:30: US unemployment rate data (important) September 11: US CPI price index data (important)

Market reaction expectations:
September interest rate cut + unemployment rate drop + CPI drop: may bring a big market rise.

September interest rate cut + unemployment rate rise + CPI rise: may lead to a big market fall.

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XRP has staged a crucial rebound after falling to a low of $0.55, climbing back to around the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). This recovery is a positive sign, indicating that XRP is regaining momentum against previous bearish pressure.

The 50 EMA is an important technical indicator that is often used to identify resistance or support levels.

XRP’s re-reaching of this level suggests that bulls are stepping in to try to hold it up at a key price point.

Despite the overall poor performance of the market, XRP’s rebound from the low of $0.55 and retesting the 50 EMA shows the underlying strength of the market.

This rebound is crucial for XRP as it aims to stabilize and heat up further.

Especially when approaching key technical levels, a successful rebound from $0.55 suggests that buying interest remains strong.

If XRP can stay above the 50 EMA and surpass this level, it could open up new opportunities for gains and even return to previous highs.

However, the market remains cautious, and the short-term trend of XRP will depend on whether it can maintain

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After falling back in the morning, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently fluctuating slightly around $59,200.

From the hourly chart, the upper pressure is around $59,700, and the downward trend in the morning is expected to continue during the day. Stay tuned.

It is recommended to short in the $59,500-60,000 range, with a target of $58,000.

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Regarding whether DOGS, TON, and NOT can enter the market at the current prices and whether they have the potential to become the stars of this round:

I personally think it is not appropriate to enter the market at the moment. There are a large number of airdropped tokens, and such tokens usually experience a long wash cycle after the initial pull-up.

And from the perspective of market value, the current level is not low.

Technically, although the high point has fallen back and covered, the volume divergence is serious, so when it is close to 0.0015, the current position is not ideal.

As for NOT and TON, they seem to be close to the bottom in the short term.

The founder of TON has been temporarily released on bail. If TON has no further problems, its prospects may be more optimistic.

However, it is recommended to wait until the market stabilizes before considering such currencies, which will be safer.

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Falling while cutting interest rates?

Yesterday morning, the price of Bitcoin hit 57,900 and then slowly recovered. In the afternoon, it rose to 60,200, but then fell all the way, breaking through 58,000 again, and hitting a low of 57,800. It is currently fluctuating around 59,100.

The market showed a fluctuating correction trend in the morning. The price is currently under pressure and adjusted to around 59,000. The upper pressure is around 60,500, and the lower support is around 58,500.

Before breaking through this range, it is expected to fluctuate and consolidate in this range in the short term.

In terms of operation strategy, you can make arrangements around these key price levels.

The midday strategy is as follows:
Bitcoin: short in the 58,200-58,500 range, with a target of around 60,000.

Ethereum: short in the 2460-2480 range, with a target of around 2580.

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