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叼毛资本
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Wyckoff 理论践行者,早期玩家,非永赚博主只强调交易逻辑。
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$BTC Market analysis -#BTC$BTC 1. The bull flag rising channel on the daily line has not been broken. This is the key point to determine whether the subsequent rise can continue. Time needs to be exchanged for space. The pin yesterday night was a normal phenomenon; but from the perspective of volume, yesterday's volume did not increase accordingly. The price stopped behaving. It is not suitable to chase more here again in the medium term 2. The 30-minute level has basically recovered the decline. Personally, I tend to ignore the surge and plunge caused by emotions. At present, it continues to move up along the rising channel. The short-term defense price is 66730 3. Do less swings and don't do it back and forth. This is the core requirement in recent days. Otherwise, it will be difficult to get it back after selling it.
$BTC
Market analysis -#BTC$BTC
1. The bull flag rising channel on the daily line has not been broken. This is the key point to determine whether the subsequent rise can continue. Time needs to be exchanged for space. The pin yesterday night was a normal phenomenon; but from the perspective of volume, yesterday's volume did not increase accordingly. The price stopped behaving. It is not suitable to chase more here again in the medium term
2. The 30-minute level has basically recovered the decline. Personally, I tend to ignore the surge and plunge caused by emotions. At present, it continues to move up along the rising channel. The short-term defense price is 66730
3. Do less swings and don't do it back and forth. This is the core requirement in recent days. Otherwise, it will be difficult to get it back after selling it.
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$BTC Daily Sweep -#btc$btc 1. The flag pattern on the daily line still exists. This is the only form in which there is hope for the bull market. Funds are also relatively patient. They have been washing the market from March to 7.3W. If it falls below, it is necessary to reduce positions in time. However, there is no signal on the right side. It is only recommended to do intraday trading and not to predict how long it will take to rise. 2. The panic selling and the second bottoming stage have been completed in 30 minutes. Next, wait for the three lines to diverge before entering the market. Pay attention to the 6.2 support below.
$BTC
Daily Sweep -#btc$btc
1. The flag pattern on the daily line still exists. This is the only form in which there is hope for the bull market. Funds are also relatively patient. They have been washing the market from March to 7.3W. If it falls below, it is necessary to reduce positions in time. However, there is no signal on the right side. It is only recommended to do intraday trading and not to predict how long it will take to rise.
2. The panic selling and the second bottoming stage have been completed in 30 minutes. Next, wait for the three lines to diverge before entering the market. Pay attention to the 6.2 support below.
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$BTC Daily Analysis - #BTC The continued popularity of A-shares will have a certain siphon effect on the currency circle. The back-and-forth pins on the hourly line also prove that it is currently in a stock game market. The three EMA lines on the daily line have not diverged yet, so there will be no mid-term trend before it stands above 65,500 this week. Pay attention to the trend line shown in the figure below, and change the short-term short-term thinking in time after breaking it. Overall, there is no big problem with the market for the time being, so hold on.
$BTC
Daily Analysis - #BTC
The continued popularity of A-shares will have a certain siphon effect on the currency circle. The back-and-forth pins on the hourly line also prove that it is currently in a stock game market.
The three EMA lines on the daily line have not diverged yet, so there will be no mid-term trend before it stands above 65,500 this week.
Pay attention to the trend line shown in the figure below, and change the short-term short-term thinking in time after breaking it. Overall, there is no big problem with the market for the time being, so hold on.
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$BTC Adding positions will lead to death from callbacks, not adding positions will lead to death from wear and tear, trends will lead to death from shocks, shocks will lead to death from unilateralism, how can we keep profits in the long run? In my opinion, the future is uncertain, and everything is possible in the future. If you want to make a profit, you have to open a position, and opening a position means risk exposure. Since there is risk exposure, there is a possibility that you will die. Therefore, the field of speculative trading will flourish, and each theory will have room to survive, because we have no way to objectively, clearly, and 100% prove that a certain set of methods will continue to make profits in the future. If it can be proved, then trading will become a decryption game... In this case, what do we traders rely on to persist here? It depends on your trading beliefs. The so-called trading beliefs are the ultimate choices you make on trading subjectively. You believe that the trading system you insist on will definitely have positive returns in the future. You believe that the path you take must be right
$BTC
Adding positions will lead to death from callbacks, not adding positions will lead to death from wear and tear, trends will lead to death from shocks, shocks will lead to death from unilateralism, how can we keep profits in the long run?
In my opinion, the future is uncertain, and everything is possible in the future. If you want to make a profit, you have to open a position, and opening a position means risk exposure. Since there is risk exposure, there is a possibility that you will die.
Therefore, the field of speculative trading will flourish, and each theory will have room to survive, because we have no way to objectively, clearly, and 100% prove that a certain set of methods will continue to make profits in the future. If it can be proved, then trading will become a decryption game...
In this case, what do we traders rely on to persist here?
It depends on your trading beliefs.
The so-called trading beliefs are the ultimate choices you make on trading subjectively. You believe that the trading system you insist on will definitely have positive returns in the future. You believe that the path you take must be right
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Daily analysis——#BTC☀ #威科夫供需量价 Daily line: 1. It is most likely a structure of re-accumulation. Most of the real distribution will fluctuate horizontally, and the rise will shrink while the fall will increase. The current structure does not meet the requirements, and EMA has formed a long-term bonding pattern again. Yesterday's retracement did not increase the volume. It is expected that there will still be opportunities after the holidays. But it is also necessary to pay attention to the long-short dividing point of 57553 below Hourly line: Converging triangle waiting for a break. At present, it has reached the last two stages of the hourly structure accumulation model. There are two subsequent situations: directly increase the volume after the triangle breaks, or shake the warehouse and then increase it. Trial and error are inevitable, and do not hold orders.
Daily analysis——#BTC☀ #威科夫供需量价
Daily line: 1. It is most likely a structure of re-accumulation. Most of the real distribution will fluctuate horizontally, and the rise will shrink while the fall will increase. The current structure does not meet the requirements, and EMA has formed a long-term bonding pattern again. Yesterday's retracement did not increase the volume. It is expected that there will still be opportunities after the holidays. But it is also necessary to pay attention to the long-short dividing point of 57553 below
Hourly line: Converging triangle waiting for a break. At present, it has reached the last two stages of the hourly structure accumulation model. There are two subsequent situations: directly increase the volume after the triangle breaks, or shake the warehouse and then increase it. Trial and error are inevitable, and do not hold orders.
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Daily Analysis - #ETH 1. The weekly line indicated risk last week. The trading volume did not match the K-line entity. The efforts were fruitless. The risk of falling this week is still large. It has been verified that the key support below is 2236 2. The hourly line entered a short position arrangement across the board. It broke through the key support of 2414-2424 in the early morning. Today, this range will be converted into a pressure point, and it is in the middle of SOW. This range can be used as the main short-selling point and enter the market according to the minute level 3. The three-line confluence point of the big cake fell below but closed with a cross star. The supply did not increase, so it will have a different trend from Ethereum. It is recommended not to short at the same time
Daily Analysis - #ETH
1. The weekly line indicated risk last week. The trading volume did not match the K-line entity. The efforts were fruitless. The risk of falling this week is still large. It has been verified that the key support below is 2236
2. The hourly line entered a short position arrangement across the board. It broke through the key support of 2414-2424 in the early morning. Today, this range will be converted into a pressure point, and it is in the middle of SOW. This range can be used as the main short-selling point and enter the market according to the minute level
3. The three-line confluence point of the big cake fell below but closed with a cross star. The supply did not increase, so it will have a different trend from Ethereum. It is recommended not to short at the same time
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Market analysis - #BTC Due to the recent surge in A-shares, the cryptocurrency market has been siphoned to a certain extent, which has turned into a stock game. Therefore, there will be repeated false breakthroughs in the near future. On the daily chart, you only need to pay attention to the support of the three EMA confluence points below. In principle, you can continue to be bullish if it does not break. But it should be noted that the upward trend line at the 1-hour level since September 9 has been broken and EMA120 has begun to move downward. The key point of the pullback is around 64,500, so pay attention
Market analysis - #BTC
Due to the recent surge in A-shares, the cryptocurrency market has been siphoned to a certain extent, which has turned into a stock game. Therefore, there will be repeated false breakthroughs in the near future. On the daily chart, you only need to pay attention to the support of the three EMA confluence points below. In principle, you can continue to be bullish if it does not break.
But it should be noted that the upward trend line at the 1-hour level since September 9 has been broken and EMA120 has begun to move downward. The key point of the pullback is around 64,500, so pay attention
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Market analysis - #BTC 1. As mentioned a few days ago, the daily line is likely to fall back to the confluence of the three EMAs. Yesterday's daily line confirmed the start of the adjustment. It should be noted that the comparison between the decline and the 8.25-9.6 volume should be observed at all times as a reference. If the lower shadow is not closed at the confluence point, it is necessary to be vigilant. 2. Yesterday, the small level has spread, and the trend has turned from 5-15min to a short position. It will continue to be affected if we observe it for 30 minutes today. The defense position is 62816.
Market analysis - #BTC
1. As mentioned a few days ago, the daily line is likely to fall back to the confluence of the three EMAs. Yesterday's daily line confirmed the start of the adjustment. It should be noted that the comparison between the decline and the 8.25-9.6 volume should be observed at all times as a reference. If the lower shadow is not closed at the confluence point, it is necessary to be vigilant.
2. Yesterday, the small level has spread, and the trend has turned from 5-15min to a short position. It will continue to be affected if we observe it for 30 minutes today. The defense position is 62816.
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Market analysis——#BTC☀ 1. On the daily line, time needs to be exchanged for space to digest the support pressure and the selling pressure at the starting and falling points. If the volume continues to shrink and the cross star is closed, it is necessary to be vigilant to step back to the confluence of the three lines 2. The safer point to take more during the day is 64,000, but after breaking through, the market will turn from strong to weak, and it is necessary to wait for further confirmation of the next strong demand point 3. The overall market operation opportunities are in several strong cottages such as REEF, SAGA, SEI, and look for small-level entry.
Market analysis——#BTC☀
1. On the daily line, time needs to be exchanged for space to digest the support pressure and the selling pressure at the starting and falling points. If the volume continues to shrink and the cross star is closed, it is necessary to be vigilant to step back to the confluence of the three lines
2. The safer point to take more during the day is 64,000, but after breaking through, the market will turn from strong to weak, and it is necessary to wait for further confirmation of the next strong demand point
3. The overall market operation opportunities are in several strong cottages such as REEF, SAGA, SEI, and look for small-level entry.
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Market analysis - #BTC 1. As mentioned in the morning video, the obvious pressure range on the daily line is around 65,000. It is necessary to pay close attention to the relationship between the K-line and the volume after reaching this position. If the real body of the positive line shrinks and the trading volume increases, it is likely that the breakthrough will fail and turn to horizontal fluctuations, and it is necessary to sell; if the volume increases and the price rises, you can consider chasing high 2. Observe at the 4-hour level. A good and long-lasting rising pattern must be close to the key trend line or moving average to form a trend of three steps forward and one step back, and the real body of the positive line cannot be too long, otherwise there will be short-term divergence to form a pull-up shipment. In summary, don't touch the top and short easily, follow the trend You can enter part of the bottom position when you step back to the previous high; for short-term, you can reduce the level to 5 minutes and operate according to the prompts in the group
Market analysis - #BTC
1. As mentioned in the morning video, the obvious pressure range on the daily line is around 65,000. It is necessary to pay close attention to the relationship between the K-line and the volume after reaching this position. If the real body of the positive line shrinks and the trading volume increases, it is likely that the breakthrough will fail and turn to horizontal fluctuations, and it is necessary to sell; if the volume increases and the price rises, you can consider chasing high
2. Observe at the 4-hour level. A good and long-lasting rising pattern must be close to the key trend line or moving average to form a trend of three steps forward and one step back, and the real body of the positive line cannot be too long, otherwise there will be short-term divergence to form a pull-up shipment.
In summary, don't touch the top and short easily, follow the trend
You can enter part of the bottom position when you step back to the previous high; for short-term, you can reduce the level to 5 minutes and operate according to the prompts in the group
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Market analysis - #ETH I haven't looked at Ethereum for a long time, but I think it will show some performance in the near future based on the technical form: 1. An oversold rebound is formed on the weekly line, and an inverted hammer line also appears. This form is more accurate. In addition, Bitcoin has also entered a rebound cycle, which is expected to drive Ethereum to form a compensatory rise trend, but the maximum stop loss for medium and long-term entry is near 2273 below 2. The daily line is still short, but the continuous large-volume small positive line pushes the price upward and is expected to break through. Try to choose to enter the market near the previous support, such as the previous small platform of 2544 on the daily line 3. The 1-hour level breaks through the ascending triangle, and the trend of Bitcoin begins to decouple, meeting the first condition of strength. The starting point of the day below 2560 is the warning position, and it is firmly long if it is not broken.
Market analysis - #ETH
I haven't looked at Ethereum for a long time, but I think it will show some performance in the near future based on the technical form:
1. An oversold rebound is formed on the weekly line, and an inverted hammer line also appears. This form is more accurate. In addition, Bitcoin has also entered a rebound cycle, which is expected to drive Ethereum to form a compensatory rise trend, but the maximum stop loss for medium and long-term entry is near 2273 below
2. The daily line is still short, but the continuous large-volume small positive line pushes the price upward and is expected to break through. Try to choose to enter the market near the previous support, such as the previous small platform of 2544 on the daily line
3. The 1-hour level breaks through the ascending triangle, and the trend of Bitcoin begins to decouple, meeting the first condition of strength. The starting point of the day below 2560 is the warning position, and it is firmly long if it is not broken.
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#BTC#Web3#Transaction 1. The downward trend line on the daily line has not been completely broken, and it will take a few days to confirm, but it is undeniable that the price has stood above EMA120 for the first time since August 23, which is a positive signal. The overall thinking in the future is still bullish. 2. The hourly line was stimulated by positive news and broke through the floating supply line of 62400 since August 9, but the retracement at 9 o'clock in the morning was slightly larger. It is expected that the pressure support conversion point will be confirmed again during the day. You can try and take more here
#BTC#Web3#Transaction
1. The downward trend line on the daily line has not been completely broken, and it will take a few days to confirm, but it is undeniable that the price has stood above EMA120 for the first time since August 23, which is a positive signal. The overall thinking in the future is still bullish.
2. The hourly line was stimulated by positive news and broke through the floating supply line of 62400 since August 9, but the retracement at 9 o'clock in the morning was slightly larger. It is expected that the pressure support conversion point will be confirmed again during the day. You can try and take more here
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Market analysis - #BTC Yesterday morning, the market showed abnormal signs, that is, "supply efforts have no results, the center of gravity has moved up" at the 4-hour level, demand began to increase, and the prediction of a strong rebound during the day has been verified Back to the market, the same sentence, don't be a leek, the bull market will return when the positive line appears; you can compare the two rebounds on July 7 and August 7 to observe whether the trading volume can exceed the previous period. At the same time, the core is that in order to form a new rising cycle, the high point of the previous round of rebound, 65,000, must be effectively broken through to be established; so if you want to arrange the medium and long term in the near future, it is still recommended to enter the market with a breakthrough on the right side. And at the 1-hour level during the day, it can be observed that the rise has accelerated, and the short-term pressure level of 62,000 has become a considerable resistance. At present, there are signs of exhaustion in the volume, and it is during the holidays. If there is a bottom position here, you can consider reducing the position and then stepping back on the key moving average to cover it to lock in part of the profit; if there is no bottom position, it is recommended to wait and see, and make up for the rise from the cottage recommended in the group.
Market analysis - #BTC
Yesterday morning, the market showed abnormal signs, that is, "supply efforts have no results, the center of gravity has moved up" at the 4-hour level, demand began to increase, and the prediction of a strong rebound during the day has been verified
Back to the market, the same sentence, don't be a leek, the bull market will return when the positive line appears; you can compare the two rebounds on July 7 and August 7 to observe whether the trading volume can exceed the previous period. At the same time, the core is that in order to form a new rising cycle, the high point of the previous round of rebound, 65,000, must be effectively broken through to be established; so if you want to arrange the medium and long term in the near future, it is still recommended to enter the market with a breakthrough on the right side.
And at the 1-hour level during the day, it can be observed that the rise has accelerated, and the short-term pressure level of 62,000 has become a considerable resistance. At present, there are signs of exhaustion in the volume, and it is during the holidays. If there is a bottom position here, you can consider reducing the position and then stepping back on the key moving average to cover it to lock in part of the profit; if there is no bottom position, it is recommended to wait and see, and make up for the rise from the cottage recommended in the group.
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Market analysis - #BTC The market is relatively boring, reduce the frequency of operation, and look at the market carefully: The trading volume at 8 pm on September 11 and 8 pm last night was relatively abnormal at the 4-hour level. Both released huge volumes, but the price did not fall too much but recovered all, that is, the efforts were fruitless, and the demand began to gradually increase, causing the price center of gravity to gradually move up. The trend often starts quietly, so from this level alone, this week should continue to rebound slowly, but it is recommended to take over around 57,000 during the day, which has a better profit and loss ratio
Market analysis - #BTC
The market is relatively boring, reduce the frequency of operation, and look at the market carefully:
The trading volume at 8 pm on September 11 and 8 pm last night was relatively abnormal at the 4-hour level. Both released huge volumes, but the price did not fall too much but recovered all, that is, the efforts were fruitless, and the demand began to gradually increase, causing the price center of gravity to gradually move up. The trend often starts quietly, so from this level alone, this week should continue to rebound slowly, but it is recommended to take over around 57,000 during the day, which has a better profit and loss ratio
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Today's market analysis - #BTC 1. The daily line continues to be suppressed by EMA30, and the view of yesterday is still maintained. There is no bullish rebound unless it stands firm at 58500; as the saying goes, three yangs will lead to bullish rebounds, and three yins will lead to bearish rebounds. Don't learn from the bad nature of leeks, and keep a rational mindset 2. The 1-hour level has created a short-term high of 58000 with a shrinking volume, and the sustainability is questionable; but it is undeniable that EMA has returned to a long arrangement. Based on the above two considerations, you can try more near 57700.
Today's market analysis - #BTC
1. The daily line continues to be suppressed by EMA30, and the view of yesterday is still maintained. There is no bullish rebound unless it stands firm at 58500; as the saying goes, three yangs will lead to bullish rebounds, and three yins will lead to bearish rebounds. Don't learn from the bad nature of leeks, and keep a rational mindset
2. The 1-hour level has created a short-term high of 58000 with a shrinking volume, and the sustainability is questionable; but it is undeniable that EMA has returned to a long arrangement. Based on the above two considerations, you can try more near 57700.
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Trading logic - #BTC History will not repeat itself, but we can learn from it Compared with the lows of 7.5, 8.5 and 9.6 on the daily line, it is obvious that the trading volume is sluggish and the rebound volume is smaller, and the corresponding high point above is also gradually decreasing. (Stomach: mallqy2657761) According to this logic, I personally will not buy any spot before the previous high of 65,000 stands firm; at the same time, the day is in a slow rise stage, and the supply begins to shrink. In the near future, I will mainly focus on intraday short-term operations, and I will not go to the pattern, as long as I can make money.
Trading logic - #BTC
History will not repeat itself, but we can learn from it
Compared with the lows of 7.5, 8.5 and 9.6 on the daily line, it is obvious that the trading volume is sluggish and the rebound volume is smaller, and the corresponding high point above is also gradually decreasing. (Stomach: mallqy2657761)
According to this logic, I personally will not buy any spot before the previous high of 65,000 stands firm; at the same time, the day is in a slow rise stage, and the supply begins to shrink. In the near future, I will mainly focus on intraday short-term operations, and I will not go to the pattern, as long as I can make money.
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Answers from group members -#BTC#BTC 1. In the medium and long term, Bitcoin has already stepped back to the 24-year strong support of 53,300 the day before yesterday, but the closing volume yesterday was greatly reduced and the upper shadow was closed. The support is very likely to fail. It coincides with the weekend. It is recommended to observe today's closing situation and take medium and long-term short-selling measures. 2. If the 4-hour level accelerates to break through the lower track of the parallel channel, it will cause the deviation rate to expand and form a small rebound, but I personally think this rebound is unsustainable. Pay attention to the pressure of the middle track 55,138 (stomach: mallqy2657761) For other varieties, you can send a private message for analysis. Overall, the medium and long-term downward trend has not changed. Before Bitcoin stands above 56,600, there is no opportunity to buy the bottom; the risk exposure of buying the bottom on the left is too large, so be cautious.
Answers from group members -#BTC#BTC
1. In the medium and long term, Bitcoin has already stepped back to the 24-year strong support of 53,300 the day before yesterday, but the closing volume yesterday was greatly reduced and the upper shadow was closed. The support is very likely to fail. It coincides with the weekend. It is recommended to observe today's closing situation and take medium and long-term short-selling measures.
2. If the 4-hour level accelerates to break through the lower track of the parallel channel, it will cause the deviation rate to expand and form a small rebound, but I personally think this rebound is unsustainable. Pay attention to the pressure of the middle track 55,138 (stomach: mallqy2657761)
For other varieties, you can send a private message for analysis. Overall, the medium and long-term downward trend has not changed. Before Bitcoin stands above 56,600, there is no opportunity to buy the bottom; the risk exposure of buying the bottom on the left is too large, so be cautious.
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Market analysis - #BTC 1. The bottom of the big positive line on August 8 has been broken, and it has officially entered the daily level decline cycle. Don't have illusions about the bulls. There is a chance above 59470. The next step is to test this year's accelerated starting point support around 50600, which means that the accelerated decline of the daily line has not yet arrived. (Stomach: mallqy2657761) 2. The accelerated negative line at 8 pm yesterday announced the start of the accelerated decline cycle within the day, but the weekend is expected to have less volatility and will fall sideways. The pressure range is between 54725-55000. When the price reaches this area, it can be switched to 1/2 cycle for short-term operations. You can wait for the notification in the group for details.
Market analysis - #BTC
1. The bottom of the big positive line on August 8 has been broken, and it has officially entered the daily level decline cycle. Don't have illusions about the bulls. There is a chance above 59470. The next step is to test this year's accelerated starting point support around 50600, which means that the accelerated decline of the daily line has not yet arrived. (Stomach: mallqy2657761)
2. The accelerated negative line at 8 pm yesterday announced the start of the accelerated decline cycle within the day, but the weekend is expected to have less volatility and will fall sideways. The pressure range is between 54725-55000. When the price reaches this area, it can be switched to 1/2 cycle for short-term operations. You can wait for the notification in the group for details.
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Morning Market View -#BTC$BTC 1. The 4-hour level and above are all short positions, and the downward trend remains unchanged in the big cycle, so don't have any illusions; strictly speaking, the real panic decline has not yet arrived, and the recent period can only be regarded as accumulating short-term fuel 2. The 1-hour line briefly broke through the downward trend line since yesterday, but from the perspective of trading rules, even if it breaks through the short position, do not go long, and strictly enforce discipline 3. The pressure level is shown in the figure. As long as yesterday's high of 57,200 is not broken, the short position will still be dominant.
Morning Market View -#BTC$BTC
1. The 4-hour level and above are all short positions, and the downward trend remains unchanged in the big cycle, so don't have any illusions; strictly speaking, the real panic decline has not yet arrived, and the recent period can only be regarded as accumulating short-term fuel
2. The 1-hour line briefly broke through the downward trend line since yesterday, but from the perspective of trading rules, even if it breaks through the short position, do not go long, and strictly enforce discipline
3. The pressure level is shown in the figure. As long as yesterday's high of 57,200 is not broken, the short position will still be dominant.
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Market analysis - #BTC 1.4-hour level successfully stepped back to the downward trend line since August 26 and closed with a large positive, and encountered EMA30 resistance at 12 o'clock in the morning, but only closed with a cross star and the trading volume did not increase, the supply did not increase, and the market showed signs of warming up 2.30-minute level large positive broke through the downward short-term trend line and stood firmly on MA120. It is currently a converging triangle pattern. It is easy to make a false breakthrough here, so be careful not to chase. (Stomach: mallqy2657761) Overall, I personally think that it is just a rebound from a large support, and there is no condition for forming an upward trend. However, in order to prevent the pin from washing the market, it is recommended to wait for the 4-hour level and above to form a head signal before entering the short position.
Market analysis - #BTC
1.4-hour level successfully stepped back to the downward trend line since August 26 and closed with a large positive, and encountered EMA30 resistance at 12 o'clock in the morning, but only closed with a cross star and the trading volume did not increase, the supply did not increase, and the market showed signs of warming up
2.30-minute level large positive broke through the downward short-term trend line and stood firmly on MA120. It is currently a converging triangle pattern. It is easy to make a false breakthrough here, so be careful not to chase. (Stomach: mallqy2657761)
Overall, I personally think that it is just a rebound from a large support, and there is no condition for forming an upward trend. However, in order to prevent the pin from washing the market, it is recommended to wait for the 4-hour level and above to form a head signal before entering the short position.
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