The labor data released yesterday fell short of expectations, but despite this, U.S. stocks and Bitcoin still showed signs of rebounding. Normally, such data would trigger market speculation about a recession, but this time the market main force seemed to have chosen to pull up rather than sell. Despite this, the price of Bitcoin is still suppressed below $64,000, and it is difficult to stabilize above the 200-day moving average, and the subsequent market trend is worrying.
In this uncertain market environment, investors can consider partially taking profits and waiting for a better entry opportunity in the market before buying the bottom. At the same time, in the current range of fluctuations, Bitcoin's spot ETF has shown continuous inflows, indicating that even in the market volatility, large amounts of funds are still being deployed.
In addition, Ethereum's ETF also showed optimistic inflows. As the Ethereum ETF launched by BlackRock gradually offsets the outflow of funds from Grayscale, the Ethereum market is expected to show stronger performance. Investors should remain patient and pay close attention to the development of these large capital layouts in order to seize future market opportunities. #劳工数据 #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BNB

Future rate cut expectations and economic outlook
The key focus of the market at present is the upcoming rate cut policy, and the most direct tool to understand the strength and scope of future rate cuts is the rate cut dot chart. These charts not only indicate the potential rate cut space of 75 to 150 basis points, but also indirectly reflect the current strength of the economy. If the rate cut is large, the market volatility may increase and the trend chart will be more attractive. On the contrary, if the rate cut is small, the future bull market may be more gentle, and we may only see fierce market stretching after liquidity fully returns.
In this process, investors need to be patient and wait for the development of the big cycle. The market layout of large institutions also needs more time to gradually establish, which is very different from the rapid market pull-up in the past (such as short-term gains from 100,000 to one million). Therefore, the injection and layout of a large amount of funds require a longer buffer period.
In the short term, although the altcoin market is still full of opportunities, especially those VC coins that have been under pressure. Digital currencies with full circulation characteristics, low valuations and support from well-known investment institutions may usher in a small market in the future. At the same time, Bitcoin is blocked at a high level, and the possibility of re-bottoming in the future is still increasing. However, the continued increase in stablecoins is also injecting new impetus into the market, and these changes will eventually be reflected in price trends. Therefore, the key words are patience, patience, and patience again. #MtGox钱包动态 #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BNB

Navigating the Coming Lows and Opportunities
The current market sentiment is obviously pessimistic. Today's market rally has cleared some short positions, indicating that the highest risk period may arrive in September, when a second bottom may be reached. Media in the market are speculating that the price of Bitcoin may fall back to $50,000. If this scenario comes to fruition, it will be a good time to build positions for those investors who are under-positioned. At the same time, Bitcoin’s market share is expected to reach a high point by then.
As the U.S. dollar index continues to fall, the market appears to be reacting to an expected interest rate cut in September ahead of schedule. However, Bitcoin price remains below the 200-day moving average for three weeks, which may indicate that the recent rebound will suppress the price and trigger a second bottom. Although the market sentiment is poor, fundamentals are improving - this is reminiscent of the situation when Bitcoin was at $15,000 during the bear market, market sentiment was bad but fundamentals were improving.
Altcoins are also showing signs of bottoming out after Bitcoin, suggesting that major investors remain optimistic about where the market is headed rather than rushing to crash before the overall market falls. With stablecoin issuance also increasing, maintaining a solid position and waiting for the market to explode seems to be a prudent strategy. #美联储何时降息？ #比特币策略 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Market Observation: The End of New Opportunities in Reputation
Recently, more and more voices have declared that the market cycle has ended, and some even say that the era of altcoins is about to end. However, just as the owners of these voices are accelerating their exit, it is a good opportunity for determined investors to continue to enter the market and layout. Ethereum has not yet hit a new record high, and it has only been a year since BlackRock launched a spot ETF for Bitcoin, and the game in the market is far from over.
Data and the role of large institutions:
According to comprehensive data indicators, the real bull market of Bitcoin has not yet arrived. The overall feeling of the current market is different from that of the past few rounds, and many people have not yet understood the reasons. Large institutions such as BlackRock have exceeded the long-term presence of Grayscale in just one year. This not only shows its strong influence in the market, but also shows that it can easily manipulate the emotions of retail investors.
Miner computing power and market reshuffle:
Since August, although the computing power of Bitcoin miners has continued to increase, the price of the currency has not risen significantly. This phenomenon may cause some miners who have difficulty maintaining to exit the market. This reshuffle is actually part of the market's self-adjustment, which is intended to promote the cryptocurrency market to move forward more steadily.
Conclusion:
The current market appearance may confuse or frighten some investors, but in-depth observation and analysis will reveal the structural opportunities behind it. For investors who dare to invest in the market trough, there may be unknown rich returns in the future. #加密市场反弹 #美联储何时降息？

During the weekend, it’s time to place orders and take a rest!

Boring market on weekends, weak liquidity, this weekend may be more volatile, after all, it has been consolidating for a while, but now the daily line is trending downward again, after experiencing a death cross, Bitcoin was briefly suppressed below the MA200 moving average, and the market briefly showed signs of a bear market, which may only last for about two months. When the price returns later, it will stand on the 200-day moving average again, and break upward to form a golden cross. Only then will the crazy stage of Bitcoin come. Now it can be said that it is cleaning up short-term investors, and it continues to be below the average price line of short-term holders, causing considerable psychological pressure, and subsequent chips have been seized, while long-term holders are still accumulating Bitcoin. Remember the second bottoming out, the market selling pressure has decreased, and it is expected that Bitcoin will break through the previous high again in a few months to welcome the arrival of the bull market! #比特币政策 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Market analysis of Bitcoin's search for bottom support
Last night's retail data exceeded market expectations, causing US stocks to rise sharply at the opening. However, like the recent CPI data, these optimistic retail data ultimately became fuel for short sellers, and stock prices gradually fell back in trading. In contrast, some pension funds continued to increase their holdings of Bitcoin ETFs, showing that they prefer long-term value investment rather than short-term speculation.
Market sentiment and strategic positioning:
Whether the economy is in recession or whether the interest rate cut policy is implemented, the main task at present is to manage market sentiment. This cautious strategy shows that the market structure is adjusting to prevent retail investors from having a favorable position that may benefit greatly in the future bull market. The best course of action at present is to maintain a cash position, because it is extremely dangerous to use leverage in such volatile market conditions.
Bitcoin technical outlook analysis:
Bitcoin recently hit a low of $56,000. Future forecasts show that Bitcoin may fall sharply to the $51,000 to $53,000 range, where the market's confirmed bottom may be formed. From the perspective of the time node, the market is unlikely to allow a new low below this range. However, if such an opportunity does arise, it may only exist for a short time window - perhaps as short as three minutes - which emphasizes the importance of investors' vigilance and quick response.
Risk Management and Misinformation:
Given that Bitcoin's current price level is much higher than in the past few cycles, risk management is particularly important. Recent reports about the US government moving Bitcoin, which was misreported as a sell-off and was actually transferred to Coinbase for custody, highlight that "FUD" (fear, uncertainty and doubt) in the market can mislead investors' judgment of market conditions. Investors are advised to stay informed and cautious to ensure that they do not react hastily to unverified information. #美国7月PPI低于预期 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 $BTC $ETH $BNB

The recently released CPI data showed that the inflation rate was 2.9%, exceeding the market expectation of 3.0. Despite the hot data, the reaction of the cryptocurrency circle and US stocks was unexpectedly cold, and both did not rise as expected, but fell instead. Combined with the rebound of the market last week, this may indicate that the market has completed the rise before the release of good news, or has digested all the good news.
Market reaction and investment strategy:
Based on past experience, good data usually pushes Bitcoin up to the key resistance level of 6.4 in the short term, and then falls back. The current market's cold reaction may be due to investors' cautious attitude towards the upcoming ETF holding price range. Combined with the upcoming interest rate cut policy, the market trend may not be optimistic in the short term. Investors need to be wary of pressure that may lead to a second bottom, and be prepared to deal with situations that may undermine the mentality of short-term holders and investors who expect interest rate cuts to drive the market.
Market liquidity and future prospects:
The difficulty of the current Bitcoin market is that multiple projects have diluted market liquidity before liquidity has fully returned. Once liquidity is fully restored, whether there is enough attraction in the market is an unknown. However, one positive thing is that Tether has begun to increase its money supply, which may help the market stabilize in the coming months. Investors should continue to pay attention to these developments to better seize market opportunities.
Conclusion:
Although the current market environment is challenging, investors should remain patient and prepare for the upcoming bull market. By closely monitoring market dynamics and adjusting investment strategies, investors can better take advantage of market fluctuations and prepare for future rises. #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #美联储何时降息？ #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Best BTC Accumulation Time:
Have you prepared your cash position to accumulate BTC? Historical trends show that the third quarter of each year is usually a great time to accumulate Bitcoin. Especially within a hundred days after the halving event is completed, Bitcoin usually reaches a historical high about five hundred days after the halving, thus opening the next market cycle.
Market volatility and investor mentality:
After the plunge of the 805 incident, many people thought that this round of bull market was over and chose to leave. However, just three days later, the market rebounded and many investors rushed back. The current Bitcoin market has formed a death cross, showing a downward trend demand. Investors should pay close attention to the $52,000 support level.
Political factors and market forecasts:
The height of this round of bull market will be affected by the results of the US election. At present, Harris's approval rating has exceeded Trump. Although both situations may trigger a bull market, if Harris takes office, the market's growth potential may be limited. In extreme cases, this may have a significant impact on the currency circle and may even threaten Tether's digital dollar status.
Market institutions and product dynamics:
The performance of Grayscale's GBTC products in the last round of the market took time to accumulate and hit a new high in price, and the launch of spot ETFs may accelerate the development of the currency circle. On-chain data shows that the peak of this bull market is expected to be reached in November 2025. Investors should consider market trends and avoid blindly entering the market at the peak. Pay special attention to the phenomenon of sneaking! #比特币政策 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Metaplanet purchased another 500 million yen worth of #Bitcoin❗ $BTC

Bitcoin is about to usher in a "death cross", and the market is facing the risk of a plunge. Investors need to carefully consider how to manage their positions and whether they should take risk-averse measures.
Historical trends and strategies:
Historical trends show that despite the current death cross, a golden cross may occur later, indicating that Bitcoin prices may rebound after high shocks. Investors should consider long-term holding or short-term adjustment strategies, especially those who rely on short-term and high-leverage contract transactions.
Market dynamics and key data:
In the current market, investors should pay special attention to this week's CPI data, which may affect market expectations of interest rate adjustments, including possible 25 basis points or 50 basis points of interest rate cuts. Maintaining flexible position management to cope with market fluctuations is the key to protecting investments.
Election and Bitcoin price impact:
The current election situation makes it difficult to price Bitcoin prices. If Trump is elected, it may bring a stronger bull market; if Hasley is elected, it will not hinder the long-term growth of the Bitcoin market. Market sentiment has not yet shown obvious FOMO (fear of missing out) due to the price increase in March. Not to mention the current bottoming position, the impression is certainly worse
Subsequent trends and market capitalization:
The future trend of Bitcoin will be affected by the capital entering the market, which determines the height of this round of bull market. As the market gradually develops, more and more companies may choose Bitcoin as the company's reserve asset, which will bring positive capital inflows. As for the possible negative impact of the market, now is not the time to discuss it. We will analyze it when the market enters a bear market. $BTC $ETH $BNB

A little-known fact: Since the Sam rule was proposed, there has not been a real verified recession (if you insist that the COVID-19 recession counts, just ignore what I said) #萨姆规则 #经济衰退

The recent BTC rebound only touched 0.5, did not break through the average cost line of short-term holders, and did not reach above the bull market support line. The rapid rise and fall of this rebound indicates that the market still needs further cleaning.
At the same time, Sun Ge’s WBTC unlocking time is approaching, which is an important node for the market. If it can become collateral, the preference of institutions will increase significantly, but if it loses its financial attributes, it may lead to increased selling pressure. In addition, Circle’s lawsuit against Tether has also brought uncertainty to the stablecoin market. In fact, every round of FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) about Tether is a tool for market cleaning, similar to every previous round of Mentougou incident, which is used as a tool for market sentiment management.
On the positive side, Circle has issued an additional 3.9 billion USDC in the past seven days, and the CFTC’s latest filing on FTX shows that it needs to pay US$12.7 billion in compensation. This liquidity is likely to continue to be injected into the cryptocurrency market. For cash positions cleared after the rebound, or cash positions currently held, it is recommended to pay attention to the formation of the market bottom and wait for the opportunity to enter the market again. $BTC $ETH $BNB

The weekend market is boring. It has been less than a week since the crash. It is likely to be stable. Take a rest! $BTC $ETH $BNB

The BTC market has just rebounded to 6.29W, and the news on the market has already begun to rebound rapidly. However, yesterday's pain point caused the price to return to some level. Emotional trading still occupies a large part of the market, and some people have already pocketed part of the arbitrage at 6.2W. It is not that we are not optimistic about the long-term trend of BTC, but a healthy asset will not go up all the way while going up. It also needs to go through some corrections to have a healthy trend. This rebound may go to 0.618 when the market sentiment is fully bullish, or it may go sideways again. At present, the market share of Bitcoin has hit a new high in recent years. It is likely to reach 60% in the second test in the future. The bull market of BTC, including altcoins, will start later. There is not much time left. Invest in altcoins. The bleeding on the currency has been going on for three or four years, and these few months are not bad. Yesterday, Trump's plane broke down again. Coupled with Harris's campaign in this election, there are many uncertainties. It is better to lock in part of the profits after each violent stretch. Although the market fundamentals are improving, macro factors determine the market, and the transaction itself only determines the short-term trend. Another good news is that the reserves of stablecoins are still growing, probably by 30E US dollars in the short term. The long-term holders of BTC (only inflows and not outflows in the wallet) are still accumulating. In summary: this rebound can be partially locked in, and wait for the second exploration. After the macro-economy improves, we can talk about the arrival of a real bull market $BTC $ETH $BNB

Bitcoin rebounded as expected, the gap of CME futures has been filled, and it has rebounded to the lower track of the bull market support line. Now those who are fully invested can choose to cash in part of the profits, or play dead. After all, the probability of a V-reversal to 7W is not high. This rebound also follows the US stock market. Let's see if there will be a better correction later, so that the trend will be healthy. However, FTX's compensation is about to be in place, and buying pressure begins to hype, and the return of liquidity in conjunction with the interest rate cut will be the highlight in the next six months. If the correction is very deep again, then you must not be thrown off the bus. The news may be that Mentougou has hyped the market again and brought a correction! It is worth noting that Trump and Harris' presidential election is now 50-50. If Trump cannot be elected, then this round of bull market may not be satisfactory, and there will be a four-year cycle. However, in the long run, any violent correction at any time is a good time to buy. Don't be washed out of the market by the news! $BTC $ETH $SOL

Recently, we can see that more and more listed companies are adopting MicroStrategy's strategy to use the company's cash to purchase BTC, and then the company's stock price will rise accordingly, and they can get more financing to purchase BTC, such as the last round of Grayscale's GBTC's positive premium unlimited nesting to push up the price of BTC. Moreover, these listed companies have low capital costs, and even do not need interest expenses to obtain free income, whether it is borrowing or financing. They are worth paying attention to in the future. Now BTC's market share has once again hit a high point, and there are only a few months left before the market liquidity returns. In other words, BTC needs to speed up the process if it has another correction. In my opinion, a deeper correction (the 43,000 they saw) may affect the real bull market with the return of liquidity later. Ripple's case has come to an end, and the regulations have been further clarified. Now there is also the copycat market affected by Coinbase's legal lawsuit, and it is likely to end perfectly. As for yesterday's negative news, on-chain data shows that a considerable part of it had actually been sold before the news was released, and it was just the news that smashed the market! $BTC $ETH $SOL

Yesterday, BlackRock's ETF unexpectedly did not have a large outflow, which is rare. When the market experienced panic selling and the trading volume even reached this year's peak, many retail investors' bitcoins were "cheated" out. As holders of professional institutions, they managed to hold on to -8% after the opening price was -14%. This situation is indeed worthy of attention, which indirectly shows that BlackRock's 4.7w bottom may be held with a high probability. Let's talk about ETH's ETF, which experienced positive inflows yesterday. When the price returned to the level at the end of last year and the beginning of this year, the price became worse when the fundamentals gradually improved under the condition of ETF passing, which also indirectly shows that it is an oversold phenomenon, especially the ETH/BTC exchange rate may have bottomed out. In short, the road to long-termism is not smooth, but the scenery on the top of the mountain still needs to be seen more$BTC $ETH $BNB

Yesterday's plunge was not only in the cryptocurrency market, but also in the global financial market, which released some emotions and funds, especially for the U.S. stock market. After the rise in the past one or two years, this kind of decline is also needed to sort out the market. In fact, Friday's data can be released as a positive, but capital chooses to tell it as a ghost story, which can be regarded as a proper correction to make the entire market relatively healthy. The cryptocurrency market experienced a drop below 50,000 and a pullback of 30 Pa, which can be regarded as a normal bull market correction, but it is likely that the real bull market will begin after the market suppresses multiple interest rate cuts. Now just wait patiently, and the data is secondary. It depends on how capital tells stories to manipulate the market. If there is another drop, it is unlikely to fall below 50,000, of course, except for the geopolitical crisis. There is still a chance. Be patient and wait for the interest rate cut, and wait for this round of real bull market to come. $BTC $ETH $BNB

$BONK
The downtrend may hold, try it in the short term!