佛文BTC

🚀 Binance old users limited-time rebind, hurry up!!!

📅 Event time: March 9, 2026 to April 8, 2026 (UTC)
Must meet the following criteria:

✅ No superior inviter

✅ Total trading volume below $5,000 within the 90 days from December 8, 2025 to March 8, 2026

📌 How to submit the rebind:
Step 1: Fill out https://www.bsmkweb.cc/zh-CN/survey/94f3eb1935604a9c8d6751bafd4953f1?_dp=L3dlYnZpZXcvd2Vidmlldz90eXBlPWRlZmF1bHQmbmVlZER5bmFtaWM9dHJ1ZSZ1cmw9YUhSMGNITTZMeTkzZDNjdVltbHVZVzVqWlM1amIyMHZaVzR2YzNWeWRtVjVMemswWmpObFlqRTVNelUyTURSaE9XTTRaRFkzTlRGaVlXWmtORGsxTTJZeA

Step 2: Enter referral code: VIP19

Step 3: Trading volume during the event ≥ $150,000

Once the requirements are met and approved, the binding will be successfully completed within 14 working days after the event ends.

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The luckiest nine groups of people:
1. Those who jumped into business in the '80s;
2. Those who traded stocks in the '90s;
3. Those who got into computers around 2000;
4. Those who ventured into e-commerce in 2010;
5. Those who started food delivery in 2014;
6. Those who bought property in 2015;
7. Those who created media content in 2016;
8. Those who sold property in 2019;
9. Those who invested in gold in 2021.

You could say that as long as you seize one of these opportunities, an ordinary person can achieve significant wealth growth, even cross social classes. Are you one of them? If so, feel free to drop a comment.

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Buffett believes that in a lifetime, one should focus on just 10 key things:

1. Study how to make money
Understanding the money game can solve 90% of life's problems; the remaining 10% can be eased with cash.

2. Cultivate a habit of deep reading
By diving into classic books, whether they're business masterpieces, historical texts, or philosophical works, you can broaden your horizons and gain invaluable insights, laying a solid foundation for wise decision-making and critical thinking.

3. Build a network of wise mentors and friends
Surround yourself with smart, ethical, and positive people; they can guide you in times of confusion, support you when you're pushing forward, and inspire each other to grow together.

4. Stick to a fitness routine
Keep up a regular exercise habit several times a week—like running, swimming, or hitting the gym; a good physical state is essential for achieving any goals, and having energy helps tackle life and work efficiently.

5. Learn emotional management
Don’t let negative emotions like anger or anxiety control you; stay calm under pressure and in tough times, analyzing and solving problems rationally instead of acting on impulse.

6. Focus on long-term goals
Don’t get distracted by short-term temptations and challenges; set clear long-term plans and steadily work towards them to accumulate results and realize your life’s value.

7. Engage in continuous self-reflection
Regularly review your actions and decisions, summarize lessons learned, identify shortcomings, and make timely improvements for self-iteration and upgrade.

8. Learn investment and financial management
Understand different investment tools and strategies, allocate assets wisely to let your money work for you, and achieve steady wealth growth.

9. Value family relationships
Take time to be with family, care about their needs, and create a warm and harmonious home atmosphere; it’s a safe haven and source of happiness.

10. Understand the importance of giving back to society
When you're capable, help others through charitable activities, contribute to social progress, and reap spiritual wealth.

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Back in the day, FTX's founder was accused of misappropriating $16 billion of user assets, and if that hadn't gone down, FTX might not have gone belly up.\n\nSo, check out their investment portfolio returns:\nAnthropic: $82.3 billion (about 165x)\nSpaceX: $15 billion (about 75x)\nRobinhood: $4.9 billion (about 8x)\nCursor: $3 billion (about 15,000x)\nGenesis Digital Assets: $3.5 billion (about 3x)\n\nThat’s a total value of over $100 billion.\n\nBut hey, there's no what-ifs in crypto; misusing user funds is indeed the original sin.\n\n$BTC \n\n$ETH \n\n$BNB \n

Let's talk about funding costs, here's something interesting.

Strategy (MSTR) has been aggressively buying Bitcoin since August 2020, holding nearly 6 years now, with a total of 815,061 BTC.

The cash acquisition cost is around $61.56 billion, with an average cost of $75,527/BTC.

The early positions have been held for nearly 6 years, while the later large buys were held for just a few months to 2 years.
If we calculate the compounded opportunity cost at the average U.S. interest rate of 4-5% over the past 5 years, Strategy's effective breakeven price would need to rise to around $82,000-$88,000.
This is about 8-15% higher than the pure cash cost.
Cash has a cost, and basic risk-free deposits in U.S. banks yield about 4-5%, which is more than what's being earned now.

Adding in borrowing costs, although they aren't high, the overall surface cost is $75,527. Considering the time factor, it’s estimated that it needs to rise to at least $90,000 to truly break even.

#加密市场反弹
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In Hong Kong 🇭🇰, there is no sign of a bear market. The Web3 conference is packed with people.

Especially the event hosted by Binance on the 19th, it was crowded, the venue was full. Last night’s hot pot gathering sponsored by Binance was also packed.

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Strive to select stocks that are above average.

Buying the wrong stock, or purchasing an excellent stock at the wrong time, can lead to long-term troubles.

Do not chase the market highs and lows.

The time between the market's peaks and troughs is often measured in years, not months or half-years.

Be wary of group consensus.

When everyone is greedy, if you are greedier, you will lose more money than others; the market loves to punish irrational individuals.

Profit does not come from chasing highs, but from strategic positioning.

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Came out from the BNB event
Arrived at the seaside
Saw a drone performance
This year's Binance Hong Kong event budget is truly sufficient
The food is good
The event design is good, and the big sister is very relatable
There is also a drone performance 🎤
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Check in at BNB Chain venue #bnb

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This is the Binance event venue Rosewood (Rosewood Hotel) on the 19th at 6:00 PM, please check the arrival instructions 👇

📍Walking Guests
- Walk from the seaside promenade or head towards K11 Atelier to the exterior of the hotel
- Find the external stairs (there will be staff in Chain clothing to guide you)
- Follow the stairs up to the second floor entrance of Rosewood (Rosewood Hotel)

Friends in Hong Kong 🇭🇰 can come find me to hang out 😆

See you at the Binance event tonight

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The Hong Kong HK🇭🇰 conference is approaching!

Will the curse of falling prices during conferences continue, or can we break the pattern and see a rise?

Historical experience shows: every time before various Web3/investment summits in Hong Kong, the big players are busy flying around to "mix" things up, and when the liquidity loosens, the market tends to adjust downwards first... But is this time different?

Every time prices fall during conferences
Is this time the end?

What do you think?

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Today, Ray Dalio spoke at Tsinghua University. Key notes:

1. Diversification: Building a portfolio of 10-15 unrelated assets can reduce risk by 80%, achieving an annualized win rate of over 90%.
2. Ordinary investors should focus on beta (overall market returns) and not blindly pursue high-difficulty alpha (excess returns).
3. Risk control is a priority: The first principle is to control drawdown, with losses not exceeding one-third, to avoid catastrophic long-term compound losses.
4. Gold: The ultimate safe-haven asset, it is recommended to allocate 5%-15%.
5. Cryptocurrencies: They have privacy flaws and technical risks, making it difficult for central banks to recognize them. He holds a small amount but they cannot replace gold.
6. AI's impact exceeds that of the Industrial Revolution.
7. China is focusing on inclusive AI, low cost, open-source, and connecting with the public. The U.S. is pursuing capital market-driven AI, seeking high profits.
8. AI may exacerbate unemployment and the wealth gap, raising the question of "who will support the unemployed?" Individuals must establish partnerships with AI or risk being eliminated.
9. The security of key channels like the Strait of Malacca and the Strait of Hormuz will become increasingly important, and supply chain restructuring is inevitable.

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On Monday, US stock indices saw the Nasdaq index rise by 0.7%, the S&P 500 index increase by 0.5%, and gold prices rise by 1.2% to $4730 per ounce, while Brent crude oil increased by 4% to $96 per ounce.

Last weekend, negotiations between the US and Iran ended without results, and both sides remain in a two-week ceasefire period. Trump stated: The timeline related to Iran has not changed, and there is currently no fighting. Public news shows that both sides are still in contact.

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Morally speaking, poverty is never a sin, unrelated to character, and should not be despised or condemned.

But in the rules of survival, poverty is an original sin that is repeatedly punished.

Due to the costs of the times, it is always the lower class that bears the brunt first; the difficulties of life always target the weak.

If inflation is a gentle knife cutting flesh, then deflation is a cold axe beheading.

Rather than saying poverty is the sharpest sword, it is more like an invisible net; the more you struggle, the tighter it binds.

It does not judge you; it forces you to use the cheapest labor to atone for your sins in this life.

For ordinary people to escape their predicament, it is not about desperately working hard but about completely changing the cycle of relying solely on selling time for money, having only cash with no assets, and being unable to withstand any storms.
​
Please fight for your life and earn your first bucket of gold!!!

This is not greed; it is self-rescue. This is not an aspiration; it is the only trump card to break free from original sin and no longer be at the mercy of others.

The first bucket of gold is not the end point but the turning point from being punished by the rules to being able to negotiate with them.

Without the first bucket of gold, you can only be crushed by the rules, without even the qualification to resist poverty.

With it, you qualify to sit at the negotiating table, and you can escape the deadlock of being at others' mercy.

Buddhist BTC strongly recommends: fighting for the first bucket of gold is your harshest counterattack against poverty and your only starting point from being at others' mercy to having leverage.

Extreme frugality, press consumption to the survival bottom line, cut all face, extravagance, useless socializing, and emotional spending.

The generosity of the poor is the cheapest; every penny saved is a bullet against fate.

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In simple terms, the impact of the US-Iran negotiations

If the talks are successful (tensions ease):

When the United States and Iran reach a détente:

Crude oil and gold retreat, risk premium dissipates
US stocks rebound, risk appetite recovers
Cryptocurrency and US stocks rise in tandem

Cryptocurrency performance:
1. BTC stabilizes and rises, sentiment improves
2. Altcoins show greater elasticity (AI / DeFi / L2 are easier to scale up)
3. Short sellers are squeezed, continuous short squeezes are likely

If the talks succeed: Risk appetite returns, cryptocurrency sentiment rebounds, altcoins surge

If the talks fail (conflict escalates):

If negotiations fail and conflict expands:

Crude oil and gold soar
US stock futures plummet
Liquidity prioritizes withdrawal from high-volatility assets

Cryptocurrency performance:
1. BTC is first sold off as a risk asset (rather than a safe haven)
2. Altcoin liquidity is drained, magnifying declines
3. Long liquidations trigger a chain reaction, accelerating the waterfall
4. Stablecoin premiums rise, on-site risk aversion intensifies

If the talks fail: Risk aversion heats up, cryptocurrency falls first, gold and crude oil benefit

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After many years of trading cryptocurrencies, I increasingly feel that trading, on the surface, seems to be about judging price fluctuations, but in reality, it is about continuously refining my understanding of the world.

At first, people always think that the most important thing in trading is to find a "correct answer." To find that critical indicator, the core logic, the essential causality, as if once you grasp that point, price movements will become clear, and profits will follow naturally.

But later I slowly discovered that the market is not a standard answer system waiting for me to crack. It is more like a complex structure that is always changing, always reorganizing, and always competing. The real difficulty in trading is not that there is too little information, but that people are too easily misled into thinking they have grasped the overall truth based on some locally effective experiences.

Therefore, my trading perspective is not primarily based on "I can completely understand the market," but rather on a more simple and realistic premise:

The market is essentially uncertain, and the task of trading is not to eliminate this uncertainty, but to identify the dominant mechanisms during uncertain times and to cope with them using controllable risks.

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The Hong Kong Monetary Authority will announce the first batch of 2-3 stablecoin licenses today at 17:00, most likely granting them to the following three institutions:

The two banking institutions that are highly likely to be approved:

1. HSBC (Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation)

2. Anchorpoint Financial Limited
A joint venture established by Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong), Animoca Brands, and Hong Kong Telecommunications (HKT)

The third license is somewhat uncertain, but the biggest favorite: OSL Group (BC Technology Group, 00863.HK)

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Only by not believing in fate can one change fate.

What birth date, what attributes, what zodiac sign, what eight characters, what personality test, what family of origin, what facial features, all of these will lead you to form a fixed mindset.

What you really need to be confident in is that, like Li Bai, I am destined to be useful. Like Chen Sheng and Wu Guang, nobility and royalty, do they have any special qualities? You can even believe that you are the true dragon son of heaven.

Self-discovery is not a process; it is a process of self-creation. What you think you are is the most important; it does not matter how others see you.

#币安人生
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What stage is the bear market in now?

I feel increasingly less motivated to express my opinions
and I have less and less desire to browse social media...

Is this a market issue or is it my issue?
Do you have this problem? 🙃

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