The bull is still here! The following points are particularly important in a bull market:

1. Every major drop in a bull market is an opportunity to get in, especially before and after the Spring Festival, which usually sees a pullback, making it a great time to increase your holdings.

2. Do not frequently switch coins; be patient and hold onto your coins until they have appreciated.

3. Do not diversify your investments too much; focus on different popular sectors and prioritize selecting leading coins for significant investment. Avoid holding multiple coins in the same sector.

4. Lock in some profits in a timely manner, while leaving the rest to continue appreciating. After a sharp decline, increase your holdings while keeping an eye on low positions to lower your average cost!

The current volatile market is expected to last until early January; the best strategy in such a market is to reduce the frequency of trades! #加密市场盘整 #比特币市场波动观察

On the evening of December 24, the price of Bitcoin achieved a relatively significant rebound. However, when the price approached the 99,000-100,000 area, it encountered resistance and then fell back. It is currently showing a slight convergence trend. #“圣诞老人行情”再现

In the midst of a bull market, why have many people not only failed to profit, but instead suffered significant losses?
Investing all funds in altcoin meme coins, ultimately resulting in total loss.
Participating in the primary market, finding it hard to sell Pi Xiu coins after buying.
Focusing solely on contract trading, operating with high leverage, unexpectedly facing liquidation.
Weak security awareness, falling victim to scams and phishing traps.
Wallets being stolen, funds frozen when attempting to withdraw.
#加密市场盘整

First of all, I wish everyone a Merry Christmas!
Today, the US stock market is closed.
From the daily closing situation of Bitcoin, it failed to break through the central range of 93800 - 98800. Last night, the US stock market surged, and Bitcoin also rebounded accordingly. However, with the US stock market closed, Bitcoin lacks a market trend to follow, and it is expected to present a volatile trend in the future.
The movement of Ethereum is basically in sync with Bitcoin. Currently, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are still below the previously broken trend line, so it's not advisable to be overly optimistic in this situation.
Looking at the weekly chart, the current market conditions still pose risks.
Overall, for the cryptocurrency market to truly establish a clear trend, it may still need the US stock market to play a leading role.
#圣诞行情分析

In the ecosystem of the cryptocurrency market, the market sentiment driven by altcoins often has a powerful influence, which may push the entire market towards a new and more exuberant phase. The so-called higher phase is significantly characterized by a noticeable price increase in leading public chains within the industry and previously dominant coins that held advantageous positions in the market.

Specifically, on the (VC) chain, the continuous warming of altcoin sentiment and the significant increase in market liquidity are two key factors that interact with each other, accumulating sufficient energy for a market explosion. It can be said that this state is enough to propel the market into the next round of high explosive periods.
From the perspective of market capital flow, as the sentiment around altcoins continues to ferment, related sentiment capital will gradually begin to gather, thereby initiating the fundraising process. Once the fundraising reaches a certain scale, market manipulation behaviors will occur.

It is worth noting that, according to market dynamics and trend analysis, the next most iconic signal is the critical time point of January 20. Numerous signs indicate that the market will undergo significant changes during this period. Combining the current situation, we can reasonably speculate that in next year's cryptocurrency market, exchange VC coins are very likely to experience large-scale explosive growth. #圣诞行情分析 #加密市场反弹

Attention! The US stock market will close early due to the arrival of Christmas.
December 25th is the Christmas holiday in the United States, and on this special day, the US stock market will be closed for one day. Specifically for this year, trading on December 24th will end 3 hours earlier, which means it will close at 2 AM Beijing time on December 25th; on December 25th itself, the US stock market will be closed all day.
With the end of Christmas, the market will enter a period of adjustment. However, in the long term, it is a trend for the Federal Reserve to implement interest rate cuts in the future. Overall, market sentiment is relatively optimistic. It is recommended that investors prepare their layouts in advance, always be ready to continue engaging in the market at the right time. #圣诞行情分析

The price fluctuations of Bitcoin are influenced by various factors:
1. When the uncertainty of interest rate policies increases, investors may drive up the price of Bitcoin due to risk aversion. In an unstable economic environment where interest rate policies are unclear, Bitcoin, as a relatively independent asset, may be viewed by some investors as a safe haven, thereby pushing its price up.
2. The movement of the M currency is closely related to the M Federal Reserve's policies. Once the M currency weakens, it will have a reverse effect on the price of Bitcoin. The M currency occupies an important position in the global financial system. When the M currency weakens due to factors such as M Federal Reserve policies, investors will seek other more valuable assets, and Bitcoin may become one of the choices, subsequently affecting its price.
3. Market intimidation can trigger emotional fluctuations, which may indirectly alter investors' attitudes towards Bitcoin, resulting in changes in Bitcoin's price and activity levels. For example, negative news or sudden events causing market panic may lead investors to reassess the risks and value of Bitcoin, thereby affecting their trading behavior and price trends. #市场调整後的机会？

Recently, many people have been discussing that the counterfeit season is about to arrive. However, in my view, things are not that simple, and we won't welcome the counterfeit season so soon.

Think about it, the main force has just completed the washout process, trapping retail investors, and is now busy pulling the market to help them break even. This clearly does not align with the usual operational logic of the main force; it’s like lifting a stone to smash one’s own foot.

In fact, the arrival of the counterfeit season has certain preconditions:

1. The main force must have collected enough chips;

2. The big pie must regain an upward trend.

The achievement of these two conditions requires a certain amount of time to accumulate. After all, any price fluctuation in the market does not happen overnight.

The main force wants to clean out the chips held by retail investors, and the commonly used methods primarily include creating panic and using time to wear down the patience of retail investors.

However, I still firmly believe that the market next year will still have a good trend. #圣诞行情分析 #市场调整後的机会？

Bull Market Knowledge
1. In a bull market, popular coins drop quickly and severely.
2. Truly potential hundredfold coins are seldom mentioned in the early stages.
3. Market cap, exchanges, number of holders, and investment institutions are not reliable references for selecting coins.
4. The market shows a smooth curve of change.
5. There is always a ‘killer move’ targeting observers.
6. The methods of pumping altcoins are similar and time-consuming.
7. New coins often skyrocket and then plummet; avoid them.
8. There are always ‘traps’ targeting those who chase after price increases.
9. Buying on dips and selling on rises is hard to change.
10. After buying and seeing a rise of 5% - 20%, a drop may occur, or you might be ‘cutting leeks’.
11. A strong rebound is not from potential coins.
12. Betting on rebounds, choose hot coins with significant price increases.
13. Hold assets in the opposite direction of most people, or pursue independent trends.
14. Coins that rise and fall significantly with Bitcoin may be potential coins.
15. Some potential coins have a dull first half in a bull market, then rise 20 times in the second half.
16. Coins that go sideways for several months after a tenfold increase are potential coins.
17. Coins that go sideways for several months after an increase of less than ten times are meme coins, or may drop by 100 times.
#市场调整後的机会？ #比特币市场波动观察

Why is there a possibility of BTC continuing to decline during the 'Christmas Crash'?
On one hand, the selling wave triggered by cashing out for holiday preparations and the temporary drying up of liquidity are one of the reasons;
On the other hand, hawkish rhetoric has caused panic to spread, and such discussions are highly noted in the market. The pressure from both sides can create downward pressure on the price. At this moment, I am waiting for the arrival of the excellent opportunity of 'small volume forming a bottom'. #比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析

Today's fan Q&A:
meme Christmas concept coin, small capital participation, not a hot spot.
fil This round of bull market has a market, it is difficult to reach the last high price.
apt Strong support, currently around 8.
Dogecoin, need to adjust and wait.
usual The dealer has shipped, and the daily line has not been completed.
This week's market, shock bottoming out and looking forward to rebound.
Christmas market, short-term decline has been too much, if it falls again, it will be extreme, the currency circle is impermanent, Auntie 2800 is not broken, there are opportunities in the spot, and Yue needs safety.
#圣诞行情分析 #比特币市场波动观察

The future market may replicate the volatile conditions observed from April to August this year, during which most investors may lose all the profits previously gained in trending markets due to market fluctuations.

In a volatile market, a wiser strategy is to seek new market narratives, explore emerging asset areas, or consider adopting a currency-based rental approach for steady appreciation.

It is worth noting that in a turbulent market, diversifying investments may no longer be an effective risk-avoidance strategy.

During this period, the market often focuses solely on one dominant narrative or trend, leading to relatively lackluster performance of other investment options.

Therefore, investors should be more cautious in selecting investment strategies to adapt to market changes.
#比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析

Recently, the market has shown signs of weakness, with the key factor being the tightening of capital conditions.

On Saturday, when the market surged to a high point, the supply of USDT suddenly decreased by over 700 million, directly causing the market to turn from rising to falling.

Yesterday, its supply further decreased by 88 million, and the market remained weak and powerless.

Until today, the supply of USDT increased by 112 million, showing signs of improvement in capital conditions, and the market also experienced a certain degree of rebound.

However, whether this improvement in capital conditions can be sustained for a long time still requires further observation and verification.

The core reason ordinary people encounter losses in the process of trading cryptocurrencies is actually quite simple: they hold relatively small positions during price increases, but have substantial positions during price declines.

Why does this situation occur? To trace it back, it is a problem caused by trading habits.

For example, when purchasing a cryptocurrency that is on the rise, the initial position is relatively small. As the price continues to rise, there is a feeling of 'missing out,' which makes it difficult to resist the urge to increase the position. However, when a wave of price correction arrives, the small position's profits have not yet solidified, while the large position is already deep in losses. Of course, there are times when adding to a position is the right move, but given that trading cryptocurrencies is a long-term investment activity, such trading habits will inevitably lead to significant losses sooner or later.

To effectively avoid such situations, it is essential to abandon the bad habit of 'chasing highs and selling lows' and to achieve the ideal trading state of 'selling high and buying low.' Specifically, improvements can be made from the following three aspects:

First, implement a fixed position building strategy. Absolutely avoid arbitrarily changing positions to prevent excessive increase during price chasing.

Second, establish the principle of only reducing positions after building them. Once a position is constructed, subsequent operations should focus on reducing the position, rather than blindly adding to it.

Finally, adhere to the bottom line of not randomly building positions. Especially when the market trend is unclear, it is better to choose to hold and observe than to rashly enter a trade.

In conclusion, for ordinary investors, one must not blindly imitate those so-called 'cryptocurrency trading experts.' True investment experts possess their unique logical thinking and operational methods during trading activities, while ordinary investors urgently need to cultivate stable trading habits and gradually improve their investment level and overall quality.
#加密市场盘整 #市场调整後的机会？

The future direction of PEPE coin is indeed fascinating and highly valuable for discussion.

It is dubbed the 'most adept at generating topics MEME coin,' lacking substantial intrinsic value support and a strong professional team, yet it is precisely this unpredictability and unique趣味性 that attracts a vast number of investors.

From the development forecast from 2025 to 2030, it is highly likely that PEPE coin will experience several ups and downs. If the overall environment of the crypto market can maintain relative stability, there is a certain possibility of a price rebound.

On a specific data level, it is expected to achieve an investment return rate of about 359.64% in 2025, and the price increase in the following years may experience adjustments and fluctuations due to various factors, especially the impact of significant events like Bitcoin halving.

However, by 2029 and 2030, PEPE coin may once again encounter opportunities for significant growth. With its user base continuing to expand and regulatory policies gradually becoming more refined and implemented, its market price is expected to gain further upward potential.

But it must be emphasized that PEPE coin, as a typical representative of meme coins, carries a high market risk. Investors must adopt a cautious attitude when getting involved, fully considering their risk tolerance and investment planning. #加密市场盘整 #市场调整後的机会？

Recently, the PNUT market has mixed feelings. The main funds are actively operating, and it seems that they are preparing to pull up, which makes investors look forward to it. However, the main force uses the "boiling frog in warm water" strategy, using the pin market to attract retail investors to follow suit, using a small number of long orders to fake a rebound, and then opening shorts to clean up the chips, causing the market to fluctuate downward and retail investors to be depressed. The altcoins are gradually breaking away from the control of the market and have independent trends. It is expected that after a deep wash in December, the altcoins may usher in the "altcoin season" in January next year. Although the situation is difficult, if you survive it, you may usher in a turnaround, and victory belongs to those who persevere. #比特币市场波动观察 #加密市场回调

Today is likely to repeat yesterday's trend; rebound after hitting the support in the early trading, and then start to fall after the rebound hits the resistance

The resistance conversion position is around 99000, and the first rebound hits 99300-99500 short

The four-hour Yitai has a rebound trend, so don't consider shorting for the time being!
#加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测

From the recent peak in December to the lowest point yesterday, the decline of several coins I follow
BTC -11.71%
ETH -19.17%
BNB -18.29%
SOL -24.29%
DOGE -38.06%
XRP -25.77%

Although buying in batches,
it is very likely that this trend has not yet fallen. Which market do you think will go better in the future?
#加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测

The early morning trend is consistent with last night's expectations, and prices fell across the board. Although Powell's hawkish remarks are bearish at the moment, if Trump comes to power, the situation may change, and this negative news may be quickly digested by the market. Overall, there is no inducement for a sharp decline, but BTC bulls are still under pressure in the short term, and we will see the rebound of US stocks tonight and the performance of copycats over the weekend. #美联储放鹰 #加密市场回调

Characteristics of Strong庄币
1. Long Wash
Strong庄币 dealers often spend at least two months or even longer washing the market. If investors notice early, they may find it difficult to hold their positions due to the prolonged wash. During the wash, the price may either move sideways or decline slowly, testing patience and determination. For example, if a strong庄币 fluctuates within a narrow range over two months, with slight increases and decreases, investors may find it hard to endure the lack of movement and sell off.
2. Slow Start
It takes at least one month from the wash to the start. Dealers typically buy heavily first and then sell quickly, creating a hanging man pattern, followed by a few days of price drops and then a rapid rise. This process may repeat four or five times, gradually raising the bottom price and testing patience. For instance, if a coin sees rapid increases and decreases within a month, with a slowly rising bottom price, investors may struggle to keep up with the rhythm and get thrown off.
3. Long and Variable Pump
Dealers pump the price for at least two and a half months, during which there may be a pullback wash to eliminate final holders. There could be a rapid surge within a single day, with an increase of 300% or more, quickly raising the bottom price to prevent retail investors from buying at low prices. If the initial surge is noticed by many retail investors, the pump may involve washing and pumping simultaneously, enticing retail investors to chase high prices before crashing the price.