In the current Ethereum market, is the probability of Ethereum ETF passing only 10%?
This is in stark contrast to the 80% passing rate of Bitcoin ETF. The market is quiet, and everyone seems to have assumed that it will not pass, but will there be unexpected black swans?
Data on Polymarket shows that investors have serious lack of confidence in the passage of Ethereum ETF, and only 10% of people choose to bet on its passage. In sharp contrast, on the eve of the passage of Bitcoin ETF, the market enthusiasm was high, and the betting pass rate was as high as 80%. However, the current market seems unusually quiet, with few analysts speaking on Twitter, the media has never organized relevant debates, and no institutions have jumped out to stir up the market. This atmosphere seems to indicate that the passage of Ethereum ETF is not optimistic. However, the market is always full of variables, and perhaps at a critical moment, there will be unexpected black swan events that change the direction of the entire market. After all, in the field of cryptocurrency, surprises and accidents are always endless.
Although the current prospects for the passage of Ethereum ETF seem bleak, we still need to remain vigilant and concerned. After all, the market is always full of variables, and there may be unexpected surprises. Let us look forward to and pay attention to the final result!
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