Powell's speech highlights

1. Interest rate outlook: The central bank may keep interest rates high for a longer period of time. It is not believed that the next move may be to raise interest rates. It is more likely to maintain the policy interest rate at the current level

2. Inflation outlook: Confidence in the decline in inflation is lower than before. The lack of further progress in inflation in the first quarter of the United States is noteworthy; the inflation rate is expected to fall month-on-month.

3. Economic outlook: The US economy is performing very well and has a very strong labor market; GDP is expected to continue to grow at a rate of 2% or higher, benefiting from the increase in new labor

4. Market reaction: Since the beginning of Powell's speech, gold has basically remained sideways, rising to a maximum of $2,356.72: The three major US stock indexes generally showed a "V"-shaped trend,

5. Latest expectations: The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 40BP this year; the probability of interest rate cuts in June and September is stable at around 50%, which is basically consistent with before Powell's speech.

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