There are 4 scenarios in the future, all of which are determined by the peace talks between Israel and Hamas and the CPI data next Wednesday.

(1) Successful peace talks + CPI lower than expected: probability 10%

BTC soars back to $70,000, the bull market returns quickly, and everyone is happy

(2) Failed peace talks + CPI lower than expected: probability 35%

A big drop in the failed peace talks, a rebound in the CPI lower than expected

The positive and negative factors offset each other, BTC fluctuates around $60,000, but the copycats bleed and get hurt

(3) Successful peace talks + CPI higher than expected: probability 35%

In this case, the success of the peace talks is not considered a good thing, it can only be said that it will not fall

CPI higher than expected will definitely fall sharply, BTC falls to $55,000

(4) Failed peace talks + CPI higher than expected: probability 20%

Both are bad news, it will fall

BTC falls below $55,000, defend $50,000

After looking at these 4 scenarios, we can conclude: more bad news than good news.

Therefore, lower your expectations, so that you can buy the bottom if it falls. Even if it falls by 1%, you can buy more coins when you buy them back.

Whether it is a contract or spot, the principle is the same.

Next Monday, OpenAI will hold a press conference. If WLD rises sharply, remember to sell it first.

When all the good news comes out, it will be bad news. Buy it back if it falls later. $BTC $ETH