BTC's four-year cycle rule

Will it be broken by the market one day?

Everyone knows that this round of bull market is very different from the previous ones

1.Everyone thinks that the big bull market will start in 2024, but it turned out to be a big bull market in 2023. In the first half of 2024, there was no improvement in the cottage industry, and there was not as big a wealth effect as in 2023.

2.Everyone thinks that BTC will be a super bull market in 2024 and 2025, and now everyone thinks that there will be a big market in the second half of this year, so there are two possible trends. One is a big bull market in the second half of this year, and there will be no market in 2025, and then a group of people will be trapped on the top of the mountain. The other is that there will be no market in the second half of this year, and there will be a big market in 2025. In short, it is unlikely that there will be a big market in the second half of this year and in 2025. The overall market trend will become the way that traps the most people

3. There will be accidental events such as black swans before and after the halving every year. Maybe there will be no this year, because the consensus is too strong, so there will be a contrast

4. The key point in the market is to hold BTC well. Many cottage industries will definitely not be able to get up. There are too many tokens to buy.

5. The current self-media era is too developed, information spreads too quickly, and the time point for making money from information asymmetry is shortened, that is, the duration of the market is getting shorter and shorter. This is an inevitable phenomenon, and it is unlikely that BTC will have a four-year cycle in the future.

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