The bull market must still be there. If you don't buy at a low price, you can't sell at a high price.
History will not repeat itself, but it is surprisingly similar every time. Let's take historical data to speak. According to the data of the past three waves of cycles, Bitcoin will reach the highest point of the cycle 1-1.5 years after each halving. It has just halved now, and those who say that the bull market is over can be regarded as live leeks. This wave of cycles not only has Bitcoin halving, but also superimposed with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, and there are spot ETFs. How can the current bull market be over? Those who can't hold on for two or three days of washing should withdraw from the circle as soon as possible, otherwise they will only lose more and more in the future. The healthy bull market is to advance three and retreat one, advance five and retreat two. Every pullback now is a good opportunity to buy.
According to the data in the table below, we can see that in the first wave of cycles, the price rose 88.23 times to the highest point on the day of halving, 30.56 times in the second wave of cycles, and 7.87 times in the third wave of cycles. Based on these historical data, we infer that the increase from halving to the highest point of this cycle is 7.87/(88.23/30.56+30.56/7.87)/2=2.04 times, and the halving price is 64,000 US dollars, so the high point of this cycle should be around 128,000 US dollars.
However, this cycle is quite special and completely coincides with the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, so I predict that the high point of this cycle BTC price will be 140,000-200,000 US dollars, and the high point time will be (367+523+544)/3=478 days after halving, which is around August 2025.
Don't say that this cycle is different, every time is different, but every time will be extremely similar.
