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薛定谔的猫叔
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While eating, I saw that everyone was so panicked online, so I quickly looked at the data to report the current situation to everyone. First of all, in terms of the international situation, Big Goose, Ozawa, Brother Lang, the slippers brothers and Israel are basically in a tit-for-tat state, especially Brother Lang and the Americans, who are ready to fight. Let's see who will compromise first in the end. In the Far East, the foot basin, the stick and the other part of the Americans are also not quiet, and it is obvious that there are some potential forces. As for who is targeted, those who understand will understand, and those who don't understand I don't want to explain too much. At present, the international situation is basically still in a superficial struggle, and they are all shouting at each other temporarily, and no one wants to really do it. The good thing is that everyone is still at the stage of talking on paper, and the bad news is that the mood is a bit nervous at present. At this time, don't be stupid and do stupid things. Bitcoin has looked at the daily trend at present, which is basically a daily Bollinger band shock. The short-term price decline is effectively supported by the second support of 65,500 mentioned yesterday. The good news is that it has not fallen below for the time being, and the bad news is that the daily Bollinger Bands are still shrinking. If the price cannot break through the upper track of the daily line before shrinking, it may be a test for the future trend and the strength of the support level. Bitcoin has not fallen below the effective core support, and the cottage market has been scared. This method is still caused by emotional panic. To put it bluntly, the cottage market represents a high-risk area in the crypto market. At present, the emotions of global investors are a bit panicked by geopolitical factors, and the cottage market with too heavy risk atmosphere must have someone fleeing. It is human nature to avoid risks during sensitive periods. We can't do anything, but try not to cause stampedes. In terms of data, Asian funds have flowed out slightly, and US funds have suspended outflows, but there is no return. The funds are still worrying. At present, the large-scale shrinkage of cottages has led to a rapid increase in the proportion of Bitcoin. However, the good news is that with the decline of cottages, the trading volume has basically been successfully activated, indicating that there are still people buying at the bottom during the decline of cottages. The market is not hopeless. If you really can't hold on, you can reduce your position appropriately, but don't liquidate your position rashly, otherwise it will cause a stampede, which will be bad for everyone. Of course, the best news is that it is the weekend now, and the shrinking volume of Bitcoin has gradually stabilized the market, so the cottage market may slowly calm down. Because I have to take a plane, I have to update temporarily, and my thoughts are not clear enough, so please just take a look, #大盘走势

While eating, I saw that everyone was so panicked online, so I quickly looked at the data to report the current situation to everyone.

First of all, in terms of the international situation, Big Goose, Ozawa, Brother Lang, the slippers brothers and Israel are basically in a tit-for-tat state, especially Brother Lang and the Americans, who are ready to fight. Let's see who will compromise first in the end. In the Far East, the foot basin, the stick and the other part of the Americans are also not quiet, and it is obvious that there are some potential forces.

As for who is targeted, those who understand will understand, and those who don't understand I don't want to explain too much.

At present, the international situation is basically still in a superficial struggle, and they are all shouting at each other temporarily, and no one wants to really do it. The good thing is that everyone is still at the stage of talking on paper, and the bad news is that the mood is a bit nervous at present. At this time, don't be stupid and do stupid things.

Bitcoin has looked at the daily trend at present, which is basically a daily Bollinger band shock. The short-term price decline is effectively supported by the second support of 65,500 mentioned yesterday.

The good news is that it has not fallen below for the time being, and the bad news is that the daily Bollinger Bands are still shrinking. If the price cannot break through the upper track of the daily line before shrinking, it may be a test for the future trend and the strength of the support level.

Bitcoin has not fallen below the effective core support, and the cottage market has been scared. This method is still caused by emotional panic. To put it bluntly, the cottage market represents a high-risk area in the crypto market. At present, the emotions of global investors are a bit panicked by geopolitical factors, and the cottage market with too heavy risk atmosphere must have someone fleeing. It is human nature to avoid risks during sensitive periods. We can't do anything, but try not to cause stampedes.

In terms of data, Asian funds have flowed out slightly, and US funds have suspended outflows, but there is no return. The funds are still worrying. At present, the large-scale shrinkage of cottages has led to a rapid increase in the proportion of Bitcoin. However, the good news is that with the decline of cottages, the trading volume has basically been successfully activated, indicating that there are still people buying at the bottom during the decline of cottages. The market is not hopeless. If you really can't hold on, you can reduce your position appropriately, but don't liquidate your position rashly, otherwise it will cause a stampede, which will be bad for everyone.

Of course, the best news is that it is the weekend now, and the shrinking volume of Bitcoin has gradually stabilized the market, so the cottage market may slowly calm down.

Because I have to take a plane, I have to update temporarily, and my thoughts are not clear enough, so please just take a look,

#大盘走势

Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. See T&Cs.
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宏观经济与消息面: 上周,美国公布的就业数据,再次推动美联储今年降息的乐观预期,风险市场感受到了乐观情绪而上涨。不过,我的观点依旧是认为美联储是通过操纵市场预期来调控美股。 近期的美股财报周,财报带来的效果并不如预期那么好,美股走势的疲软,交易者细心的下降,并且市场中伴随着美股高泡沫的言论,这一切都不利于美股的走势。而美联储在公布就业数据之前,修正前值数据,然后公布出一个令人惊讶的就业数据,美股在财报周之后再次得到提振。 不过我们也比较佩服风险市场的适应能力,之前讨论年中的降息,降息3次,市场因此乐观,之后美联储连续的鹰派发言导致市场预期大幅度低落,而这个时候美联储只需要向市场证明,我们今年会降息,风险市场就再次变得的乐观,市场对于降息的预期越来越低,也越来越容易满足于乐观,这并非是好事。 就业数据导致降息预期的肯定,提振了股市,也让我们可以看出,目前美股的重要性依旧是美联储需要在乎的,也就是未来降息美股市场提供的流动性是美联储比较重视的。所以在财报预期不太乐观的环境下,利用市场预期来挽救美股的颓废之势,不过这种强心针式的抢救可以维持多久?起码撑到下个财报周期应该问题不大。 但是,利用市场预期调整美股市场,这也会给下个周期美股财报带来更大压力,处于降息预期乐观中,交易者对于美股企业的估值与预期会更高,而财报公布出的实际情况,如果不符合市场预期,届时,美联储如何挽救?而且这个过程中,会有越来越多的高净值投资者感受到美股的风险性。 目前美股开盘,高开高走,本周将会是一个美联储官员讲话密集的周期,各个官员讲话是否可以助推降息乐观预期,继续推动美股,这要看美股目前的热度情况如何了。 #大盘走势
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用数据说话: 交易量逐渐释放,目前依旧是低于前值阶段,关键放量才能突破。 关注一下今天整体的数据情况,伴随着市场市值增幅,今天表现最佳是山寨市场,比特币、以太坊的占比减少,今天日内山寨的乐观情绪比比特币要好很多。但是市场市值增幅数值不大。 交易量方面,目前交易量对比周六依然是递减式,不过对比低于前值的幅度正在逐渐减小,一旦美股开盘,美国交易者开始交易,可以实现对比周六的增量。而且,目前比特币的价格突破情况,一旦开始放量上涨,将会有利于价格的突破,是好事。 资金方面,场内留存资金增加1亿,场外资金净流出0.97亿美元,其中亚洲资金净流入0.32美元,美国资金净流出1.29亿,结合场内资金留存情况,今天有大约2亿的资金结束交易,1亿留存市场,1亿流出市场。 亚洲资金虽然是净流入,但是看资金数据图波动还是比较大,期间亚洲资金一度突破1111亿资金,然后开始流出,目前亚洲资金留存只有1108亿左右,日内资金的流动情况频繁,资金情绪并非一片向好。 而美国资金,在下午16:25左右,资金存量一度突破337亿之后大幅度流出市场。 结合比特币的走势来看,比特币在突破拉升过程中出现资金流出,预示着有高位套现离场的情况,资金可能再次被美股吸血。如果资金情况持续不稳定,美国自己本周持续流出不回流,那么比特币的价格继续突破难度将会增加 #大盘走势
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