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#ETHETFS #ETH #BTC $ETH $BTC Hey guys, The correction scenario I talked about at the beginning of the week is working out, bitcoin went down -10% and reached the price of 58k. I want to share my thoughts on what the cryptocurrency market will be waiting for in the coming months, in more detail. Seasonal factor. Bitcoin The months of July and August are statistically weak for bitcoin, and while July closed 60% better than the opening, August and September are the weakest months of the year, with a 30% chance of closing better than the beginning of the month. October begins a strong period, with October triggering a pre-New Year's rally. Ethereum. For ethereum, the summer period is just as weak, but it is stronger compared to bitcoin. In addition, etherium has a trump card in the form of the launch of spot ETFs trading, which is expected in July and this could push the price to a new high. Will altcoins follow suit? I think yes, not all, but many. At the beginning of the year after the launch of bitcoin spot ETFs trading, altcoins rose, but it is the etherium spot ETFs that can give a significant rise, the so-called Xs. Now many altcoins have corrected 60-70% from their 24 year highs. And now is a pretty good time to add positions. We also add the monetary and credit impact on the whole market. In July, macro data on the labor market and inflation in the U.S. will be released, which will most likely lead to the first cut in the benchmark interest rate in September. If you make a crypto calendar for the year 24, here it is. July-August - ETH ETFs trading launch, rate cut frontrun - growth. ETH and altcoins rise, bitcoin is sideways September - correction on the fact of the rate cut (sell the facts). October-November-December Christmas rally - growth. It is worth remembering that this is just one of the options, and you should always act on the facts. But it is necessary to have a plan of action for different options. DYOR. Stay tuned.
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$BTC #ETHETFs #Total3 Hey, guys. By the way, have you noticed that alts are no longer so rock bottom behind bitcoin? And some coins even grew in the last 2 days. The big picture can be seen on TOTAL3 total capitalization without btc and eth, where yesterday the market closed with a nice pin bar, which itself is a reversal candlestick pattern. This does not mean that alts will not fall further if bitcoin goes lower, but strong selling pressure is no longer seen. We'll see if this is a sign of a local bottom, but let's remember the start of trading in spot Ethereum ETFs, which is expected to start in July, and which everyone has forgotten about now with the fuss with Mt. Gox. Stay tuned.
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#BTC #FUD $BTC Hey guys, from under the table again pulled out the old scarecrow c payment to affected investors of the cryptocurrency exchange "Mt.Gox", it is expected that the start of payments will begin in July and the total amount will be 10 billion in BTC and BCH. Against this backdrop, the market is correcting. I do not think that the affected clients, when they receive their payments, will immediately sell them on the "exchange glass" through centralized exchanges. Usually such transactions are done through OTC. As it was many times already, news about this exchange comes out at the most "appropriate" moment, and is created under the schedule, to direct the desired price movement to a wide hamster audience. I described the real reasons for the correction in my weekly bitcoin review, and the price has been off -10% since publication. Always DYOR. Stay tuned.
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#BTC $BTC Hey guys. This is a weekly update on bitcoin. In the last review, we said that the price is likely to head to the 64k zone to update the LOW and remove stop liquidity, which is exactly what happened. What to expect this week and in the near future from bitcoin. To answer this question, we need to look at the stock market and what is the likely scenario there now. Last week was the expiration of quarterly derivatives, and during this period there is a high probability of corrections, changes in local trends. Since the stock indices are inflated and have moved away from their moving averages, we may see a local correction of 3-5%. This process may last 1-2 weeks, until the release of macro statistics in July on labor market and inflation data, which will determine the date of the first Fed interest rate cut. If we see a decline in inflation and a slowdown in the labor market, we can expect the first cut in September. Moreover, the market will play it back in advance July-August. Therefore, my expectations for the next 1-2 weeks is a moderate correction of major assets, including bitcoin and the entire crypto market, as they are already very closely linked to the stock market. This long introduction is needed to better understand what is happening to the market right now. Last week, bitcoin sales by institutional participants continued, with total outflows from spot ETFs totaling 535 million. Onchain metrics are still trending up, with exchange balances at low levels. Bitcoin TA. Expectations of a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the local sidewall in the 64-65 zone are not justified, the buyer is not working actively yet, there is no formation of clusters at the bottom, but we also see that sellers are not able to drive the price down yet. We can expect the continuation of a smooth decline under the downtrend. To what level it will last to 62 or 60 or below to remove the tail in the zone of 57 is not known. It all looks like shaking out weak hands from the market. The key resistance and support zones are 67 and 64-62. DYOR. Stay tuned.
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#BTC $BTC Hey guys. Last week, outflows from spot bitcoin ETFs totaled 535 million. This is also the second week to close bearish (-4%). On the chart we have an M pattern, and I'm not a big fan of the market smiling like this. Let's see how the week opens on Monday, and analyze as always in the weekly review. Stay tuned.
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