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Data shows that the current Bitcoin price is almost identical to December 2020 and reveals significant similarities to the 2021 bull run. Comparing this year's performance with previous cycles shows that the 2011 to 2013 cycle was a clear outlier. This situation in turn challenges the notion that institutional interests have brought about a new Bitcoin price paradigm this year. Looking at the data from the highest point in April 2021 to now, the market is in almost the same position corresponding to the 2018 to 2021 cycle. “If we index the price performance since the April 2021 ATH (where bear market sentiment is thought to have started to form) (black), we can see almost exactly the same place compared to the previous cycle (blue). " Bitcoin price is down 15.4% from its latest high of $73,000, very similar to the price action of the 2018-2021 cycle. According to data, Bitcoin price hit $73,100 on March 13, then fell to a low of $61,800 on March 20 before recovering to the $70,000 range. Bitcoin investors have sold more than $2.6 billion in profit amid market resistance, marking an increase in profit-taking incidents. As the price fell from its all-time high to recent lows, a total of 2 million Bitcoins transitioned from a "profit" status to a "loss" status. Bitcoin is less than 18 days away from its halving. Can Bitcoin hit a gold pit before the halving and hit $60,000 again, and then break through to a new all-time high? ! #BTC

Data shows that the current Bitcoin price is almost identical to December 2020 and reveals significant similarities to the 2021 bull run. Comparing this year's performance with previous cycles shows that the 2011 to 2013 cycle was a clear outlier. This situation in turn challenges the notion that institutional interests have brought about a new Bitcoin price paradigm this year.

Looking at the data from the highest point in April 2021 to now, the market is in almost the same position corresponding to the 2018 to 2021 cycle.

“If we index the price performance since the April 2021 ATH (where bear market sentiment is thought to have started to form) (black), we can see almost exactly the same place compared to the previous cycle (blue). "

Bitcoin price is down 15.4% from its latest high of $73,000, very similar to the price action of the 2018-2021 cycle. According to data, Bitcoin price hit $73,100 on March 13, then fell to a low of $61,800 on March 20 before recovering to the $70,000 range. Bitcoin investors have sold more than $2.6 billion in profit amid market resistance, marking an increase in profit-taking incidents. As the price fell from its all-time high to recent lows, a total of 2 million Bitcoins transitioned from a "profit" status to a "loss" status.

Bitcoin is less than 18 days away from its halving. Can Bitcoin hit a gold pit before the halving and hit $60,000 again, and then break through to a new all-time high? !

#BTC

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當BTC 比特幣價格在三角形整理後,投資者應警惕可能出現潛在假跌破行情。最近的調整使得比特幣的相對強度降至40%,與此前自2023年初以來的三次調整相似。重新確定牛熊市分界價格線可能會改變之前的市場觀點,之前被看作看跌信號的分界線是68,300美元。 個人認為,如果比特幣能夠回升至60,000美元以上並保持穩定,可能會迎來一波不錯的反彈行情。另一種情況是價格跌破58,000美元至56,000美元之間並持續整理修復,這將為投資者提供充足的時間進行定投抄底。 【BitMEX聯合創始人Arthur Hayes在題為《五月險情》的最新博客文章中表示看好比特幣走勢。】 他分析了近期美國貨幣政策變化對加密市場的潛在影響。他指出,美聯儲決定將每月縮表速度從950億美元下調至600億美元,相當於每月新增350億美元流動性。 同時,美國財政部在最新的季度借新還舊報告中透露,為滿足5月底前的資金需求,近期將增發4周、6周和8週期限的短期國債,這有望為市場帶來額外的美元流動性。 他提到美國小型銀行Republic First Bank破產後,FDIC為避免存款擠兌,動用保險基金確保了所有存款人利益。這意味著美國當局實質上為全境銀行系統新增了6.7萬億美元的或有負債。 他認為,這些因素將持續為市場注入美元,減輕加密貨幣下行壓力,推動比特幣在未來數月企穩反彈。他預測,比特幣可能已在58,600美元附近觸底,接下來將重返60,000美元上方,並在60,000-70,000美元區間盤整至北半球夏季結束。他還透露,看好反彈行情,目前正在逢低吸納SOL等代幣。 #BTC
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